2013 Bavarian state election

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2013 Bavarian state election
Flag of Bavaria (lozengy).svg
  2008 15 September 2013 2018  

All 180 seats in the Landtag of Bavaria
91 seats needed for a majority
Turnout11,812,965 (63.6%) [1]
Increase2.svg 5.7%
 First partySecond party
  12-07-17-landtagsprojekt-bayern-RalfR-001.jpg Christian Ude-295.jpg
Leader Horst Seehofer Christian Ude
Party CSU SPD
Last election92 seats, 43.4%39 seats, 18.6%
Seats won10142
Seat changeIncrease2.svg 9Increase2.svg 3
Popular vote5,632,2722,436,515
Percentage47.7%20.6%
SwingIncrease2.svg 4.3%Increase2.svg 2.0%

 Third partyFourth party
  Hubert Aiwanger 2012 - RalfR.jpg Margarete Bause2.jpg
Leader Hubert Aiwanger Margarete Bause
Party FW Greens
Last election21 seats, 10.2%19 seats, 9.4%
Seats won1918
Seat changeDecrease2.svg 2Decrease2.svg 1
Popular vote1,062,2441,018,652
Percentage9.0%8.6%
SwingDecrease2.svg 1.2%Decrease2.svg 0.8%

2013 Bavarian state election.svg
Results for the single-member constituencies

Minister-President before election

Horst Seehofer
CSU

Minister-President designate

Horst Seehofer
CSU

The 2013 Bavarian state election was held on 15 September 2013 to elect the 180 members of the 17th Landtag of Bavaria. It was held one week before the 2013 German federal election. The CSU regained the absolute majority it had lost in 2008, while the Free Democratic Party (FDP), a member of the outgoing governing coalition, fell below the 5% electoral threshold and lost all its seats. [2] Minister-President Horst Seehofer continued in office.

Contents

This election was the last election in which a single party got an absolute majority in a state parliament until the 2022 Saarland state election. The CSU previously held an absolute majority, and therefore governed alone, from 1966 to 2008 and again from 2013 to 2018. Previously, even in the late 1990s, it was common that either the CDU/CSU or the SPD got an absolute majority in a state election. For example, this happened in Brandenburg in 1994, 1998 in Lower Saxony and 1999 in Saxony .

Parties

The table below lists parties represented in the 16th Landtag of Bavaria.

NameIdeologyLeader(s)2008 result
Votes (%)Seats
CSU Christian Social Union in Bavaria
Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern
Christian democracy Horst Seehofer 43.4%
92 / 187
SPD Social Democratic Party of Germany
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands
Social democracy Christian Ude 18.6%
39 / 187
FW Free Voters of Bavaria
Freie Wähler Bayern
Regionalism Hubert Aiwanger 10.2%
21 / 187
Grüne Alliance 90/The Greens
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
Green politics Margarete Bause 9.4%
19 / 187
FDP Free Democratic Party
Freie Demokratische Partei
Classical liberalism Martin Zeil 8.0%
16 / 187

Opinion polling

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
CSU SPD FW Grüne FDP Linke Piraten OthersLead
2013 state election 15 Sep 201347.720.69.08.63.32.12.06.727.1
Emnid 4–5 Sep 2013~1,0004718812443429
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 3–5 Sep 20131,010482081041028
Infratest dimap 3–5 Sep 20131,006472171133826
GMS 30 Aug – 2 Sep 20131,0094718813532429
Emnid 23–24 Aug 20131,0004818813433330
Infratest dimap 11–15 Jul 20131,004471881533629
GMS 8–10 Jul 20131,00747191011522428
Emnid 4–6 Jul 20131,00047199115333 [lower-alpha 1] 28
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 10–12 Jun 20131,009462010134726
GMS 3–10 Jun 20131,3094620911432526
Forsa 8–25 May 20131,1024620912432526
GMS 28–30 Apr 20131,0084720813322527
INSA 15–17 Apr 20131,005491891622431
GMS 4–15 Feb 20131,0044821812332 ?27
TNS Infratest 28 Jan – 6 Feb 20131,0014619815323427
Emnid 5–7 Feb 20131,0014820912323 ?28
Emnid  ? ?4820812333 ?28
Forsa 17 Dec 2012–8 Jan 20131,1194618913342528
Infratest dimap 3–7 Jan 20131,0004719914323328
GMS 4–7 Dec 20121,10049228104 ?4 ?27
GMS 22–30 Oct 2012 ?4820810524 ?28
GMS 16–18 Oct 20121,0074820810524328
Emnid 26 Sep – 10 Oct 20121,0014821810424327
Emnid  ? ?4721910325326
Emnid 27–30 Jul 20121,0004620812326326
GMS June 20121,00046196/8 [lower-alpha 2] 104 ?9/7 [lower-alpha 3]  ?27
Forsa 21–29 Jun 20121,1504323911226420
Emnid 20–21 Jun 20121,0004422613317422
Emnid 16–18 Apr 20121,0004620712228326
Emnid 15–20 Mar 20121,0014620813225426
Infratest dimap 2–3 Jan 20121,0004421814324423
GMS 30 Dec 2011–3 Jan 20121,0024222912225620
Emnid December 20121,0004421913225 ?23
Forsa 26 Oct – 25 Nov 20111,00241249103364 [lower-alpha 4] 17
Emnid September 2011 ?432091723623
Emnid 31 Aug – 1 Sep 20111,00044189184 ? ?26
Forsa 15–26 Aug 20111,0074121101634520
GMS 6–8 Jun 20111,002421961844723
Emnid 6–8 Jun 20111,000451582044425
Emnid 11–17 Mar 20111,000461771744529
Forsa 4–14 Jan 20111,0484016102044620
Infratest dimap 6–10 Jan 20111,0004617417641529
Emnid 10–12 Dec 20101,001451861655527
Infratest dimap 7–12 Jan 20101,0014117615113524
2009 federal election 27 Sep 200942.616.8 ?10.814.76.5 ?8.625.8
Infratest dimap 8–11 Jan 20091,00045171011103428
GMS 4–5 Jan 20091,002451981084626
GMS 12–17 Dec 20081,002451981084626
2008 state election 28 Sep 200843.418.610.29.48.04.36.1 [lower-alpha 5] 24.8

Election result

The CSU regained an absolute majority of the seats, which they had lost in the 2008 election after 50 years of single-party government. The FDP, which had governed with the CSU since 2008, fell below the 5% threshold and lost all its seats. SPD, the Greens and Free Voters remained in opposition. A record number of 14.1% of the votes cast went unrepresented in the Landtag because of the 5% threshold.

Summary of the 15 September 2013 election results for the Landtag of Bavaria
2013 Landtag of Bavaria.svg
PartyVotes%+/–Seats+/–
Christian Social Union (CSU)5,632,27247.68+4.3101+9
Social Democratic Party (SPD)2,436,51520.63+2.042+3
Free Voters of Bavaria (FW)1,062,2448.99-1.219-2
Alliance 90/The Greens (Grüne)1,018,6528.62-0.818-1
Free Democratic Party (FDP)389,5843.30-4.70-16
The Left (Linke)251,0862.13-220±0
Bavaria Party (BP)247,2822.09-2.20±0
Ecological Democratic Party (ÖDP)239,2352.03±0.00±0
Pirate Party Germany (Piraten)234,2211.98New0New
The Republicans (REP)117,6331.00-0.40±0
Party For Franconia 87,2370.74New0New
National Democratic Party (NPD)74,8950.63±0.00±0
Others22,0190.19-0.20±0
Total11,812,875100.00180
Popular vote
CSU
47.68%
SPD
20.63%
FW
8.99%
B'90/GRÜNE
8.62%
FDP
3.30%
DIE LINKE
2.13%
Others
8.65%
Seats
CSU
56.11%
SPD
23.33%
FW
10.55%
B'90/GRÜNE
10.00%

Notes

  1. 1% AfD, 2% Other
  2. The results of the poll differ between sources, and were not confirmed by the publisher.
  3. The results of the poll differ between sources, and were not confirmed by the publisher.
  4. 1% BP, 3% Other
  5. 2.0% ÖDP, 1.4% REP, 2.7% Other

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References

  1. The winners and losers - 7 things you need to know about the Bavaria election. The Local de. (German edition). Published 15 October 2018. Retrieved 1 December 2018.
  2. "Wahlen".