Developmental bias

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In evolutionary biology, developmental bias refers to the production against or towards certain ontogenetic trajectories which ultimately influence the direction and outcome of evolutionary change by affecting the rates, magnitudes, directions and limits of trait evolution. [1] [2] Historically, the term was synonymous with developmental constraint, [1] [3] [4] however, the latter has been more recently interpreted as referring solely to the negative role of development in evolution. [5]

Contents

The role of the embryo

Haeckel's drawings of "lower" (fish, salamander) and "higher" (tortoise, chick) vertebrates at comparable stages Haeckel's Evolution of Man Wellcome L0032934.jpg
Haeckel's drawings of "lower" (fish, salamander) and "higher" (tortoise, chick) vertebrates at comparable stages

In modern evolutionary biology, the idea of developmental bias is embedded into a current of thought called Structuralism , which emphasizes the role of the organism as a causal force of evolutionary change. [6] [ page needed ] In the Structuralist view, phenotypic evolution is the result of the action of natural selection on previously ‘filtered’ variation during the course of ontogeny. [7] [8] It contrasts with the Functionalist (also “adaptationist”, “pan-selectionist” or “externalist”) view in which phenotypic evolution results only from the interaction between the deterministic action of natural selection and variation caused by mutation. [3] [7]

The rationale behind the role of the organism, or more specifically the embryo, as a causal force in evolution and for the existence of bias is as follows: The traditional, neo-Darwinian, approach to explain the process behind evolutionary change is natural selection acting upon heritable variation caused by genetic mutations. [9] However, natural selection acts on phenotypes and mutation does not in itself produce phenotypic variation, thus, there is a conceptual gap regarding the connection between a mutation and the potential change in phenotype. [6] For a mutation to readily alter a phenotype, and hence be visible to natural selection, it has to modify the ontogenetic trajectory, a process referred to as developmental reprogramming. [10] Some kinds of reprogramming are more likely to occur than others given the nature of the genotype–phenotype map, which determines the propensity of a system to vary in a particular direction, [8] [11] thus, creating a bias. In other words, the underlying architecture of the developmental systems influences the kinds of possible phenotypic outcomes.

However, developmental bias can evolve through natural selection, and both processes simultaneously influence phenotypic evolution. For example, developmental bias can affect the rate or path to an adaptive peak (high-fitness phenotype), [5] and conversely, strong directional selection can modify the developmental bias to increase the phenotypic variation in the direction of selection. [12]

Developmental bias for continuous characters. If the main axis of variation (red arrows) is orthogonal to the direction of selection (dashed line), trait covariation will constraint adaptive evolution. Conversely, if the main axis of variation is aligned with the direction of selection, trait covariation will facilitate adaptive evolution. DevelopmentalBiasContinuousTrait.jpeg
Developmental bias for continuous characters. If the main axis of variation (red arrows) is orthogonal to the direction of selection (dashed line), trait covariation will constraint adaptive evolution. Conversely, if the main axis of variation is aligned with the direction of selection, trait covariation will facilitate adaptive evolution.

Types of bias

Developmental constraints

Developmental constraints are limitations on phenotypic variability (or absence of variation) caused by the inherent structure and dynamics of the developmental system. [1] Constraints are a bias against a certain ontogenetic trajectory, and consequently are thought to limit adaptive evolution. [12] [13]

Developmental drive

Developmental drive is the inherent natural tendency of organisms and their ontogenetic trajectories to change in a particular direction (i.e. a bias towards a certain ontogenetic trajectory). [14] [5] [6] This type of bias is thought to facilitate adaptive evolution by aligning phenotypic variability with the direction of selection. [15] [12]

Distribution of phenotypic variation

Morphospace

Multidimensional representation of species in the morphospace. Each axis corresponds to a trait, and dots correspond to organisms with particular trait values combinations. In this case, the axes represent the form of the fish species. Morphospace2.jpeg
Multidimensional representation of species in the morphospace. Each axis corresponds to a trait, and dots correspond to organisms with particular trait values combinations. In this case, the axes represent the form of the fish species.

The morphospace is a quantitative representation of phenotypes in a multidimensional space, where each dimension corresponds to a trait. The phenotype of each organism or species is then represented as a point in that space that summarizes the combination of values or states at each particular trait. [16] This approach is used to study the evolution of realized phenotypes compared to those that are theoretically possible but inexistent. [16] [17]

Nonrandom (anisotropic) distribution of phenotypic variation

Describing and understanding the drivers of the distribution of phenotypic variation in nature is one of the main goals in evolutionary biology. [2] One way to study the distribution of phenotypic variation is through depicting the volume of the morphospace occupied by a set of organisms or species. Theoretically, there can exist a natural process that generates an almost-evenly (quasi stochastic) distributed pattern of phenotypes in the morphospace, regarding that new species necessary tend to occupy a point in the morphospace that is close to those of its phylogenetic relatives. [18] However, it is now widely acknowledged that organisms are not evenly distributed along the morphospace, i.e. isotropic variation, but instead are nonrandomly distributed, i.e. anisotropic variation. [17] [19] In other words, there exists a discordance between the apparent (or theoretical) possible phenotypes and their actual accessibility. [17]

Ontogenetically impossible creature Friedrich-Johann-Justin-Bertuch Mythical-Creature-Dragon 1806-detoure.png
Ontogenetically impossible creature

Thus, some phenotypes are inaccessible (or impossible) due to the underlying architecture of the developmental trajectory, while others are accessible (or possible). [20] However, of the possible phenotypes, some are ‘easier’ or more probable to occur than others. [8] [19] For example, a phenotype such as the classical figure of a dragon (i.e. a giant reptile-like creature with two pairs of limbs and an anterior pair of wings) may be impossible because in vertebrates the fore-limbs and the anterior pair of wings are homologous characters (e.g. birds and bats), and, thus, are mutually exclusive. On the other hand, if two phenotypes are possible (and equally fit), but one form of reprogramming requires only one mutation while the other requires two or more, the former will be more likely to occur (assuming that genetic mutations occur randomly). [8]

An important distinction between structuralism and functionalism regards primarily with the interpretation of the causes of the empty regions in the morphospace (that is, the inexistent phenotypes): Under the functionalist view, empty spaces correspond to phenotypes that are both ontogenetically possible and equally probable but are eliminated by natural selection due to their low fitness. [20] In contrast, under the structuralist view, empty spaces correspond to ontogenetically impossible or improbable phenotypes, [3] [20] thus, implying a bias in the types of phenotypes that can be produced assuming equal amounts of variation (genetic mutations) in both models. [6] [8]

Classical examples of anisotropic variation

Shell variation in nature Theba geminata variability.jpg
Shell variation in nature

In a classical natural example of bias it was shown that only a small proportion of all possible snail shell shapes was realized in nature and actual species were confined to discrete regions of the shell-morphospace rather than being continuously distributed. [21] In another natural example, it was shown that soil-dwelling centipedes have an enormous variation in the number of pairs of legs, the lowest being 27 and the highest 191 pairs; however, there are no species with an even number of leg pairs, which suggests that either these phenotypes are somehow restricted during development or that there is a developmental drive into odd numbers. [22]

Biased number of polydactylous toes in a Main Coon population Fig 5 29-11-2013-vereinfacht-deutsch.jpg
Biased number of polydactylous toes in a Main Coon population

A study of the polydactyl toe counts of 375 Hemingway mutants of the Maine Coon cat showed that the number of additional toes was variable (plastic) and contained a bias. The Maine Coon cat (as the basic model of the Hemingway mutants) has 18 toes in the wild. Polydactyly occurred in some cases with an unchanged number of toes (18 toes), whereby the deviation consisted of a three-jointed thumb due to the extension of the first toe. However, 20 toes were found much more frequently and then 22, 24 or 26 toes with decreasing frequency. Odd total numbers of toes on the feet were less common. There is another bias between the number of toes on the front and rear feet, and a left-right asymmetry in the number of toes. Random bistability during the development process could explain the observed bias. [23]

Conversely, developmental abnormalities (or teratologies) have been used to understand the logic behind the mechanisms that produce variation. [24] For example, in a wide range of animals, from fish to humans, two-headed organisms are much more common than three-headed organisms; similarly, Siamese twins theoretically could ‘fuse’ through any region in the body but the fusion occurs more frequently in the abdominal region. [7] [24] This trend was referred to as transpecific parallelism, suggesting the existence of profound historical rules governing the expression of abnormal forms in distantly related species. [7]

Biased phenotypes I: Continuous variation

Developmental integration and the P-matrix

Representation of the relationship between two traits. Left: No trait covariation. Each trait changes independently of the other. Right: Trait covariation causes a positive correlation between traits where increase in one trait is correlated with an increase in the other trait (covariation can also produce negative correlation). The red line within the ellipse represents the main eigenvector of the variance-covariance matrix. Gmatrix.jpeg
Representation of the relationship between two traits. Left: No trait covariation. Each trait changes independently of the other. Right: Trait covariation causes a positive correlation between traits where increase in one trait is correlated with an increase in the other trait (covariation can also produce negative correlation). The red line within the ellipse represents the main eigenvector of the variance-covariance matrix.

Integration or covariation among traits during development has been suggested to constrain phenotypic evolution to certain regions of the morphospace and limit adaptive evolution. [25] These allometric changes are widespread in nature and can account for a wide variety of realized morphologies and subsequent ecological and physiological changes. [26] [27] Under this approach, phenotype is seen as an integrated system where each trait develops and evolves in concert with the other traits, and thus, a change in one trait affects the interacting parts in a correlated manner. [25] [28] The correlation between traits is a consequence of the architecture of the genotype–phenotype map, particularly the pleiotropic effects of underlying genes. [11] This correlated change between traits can be measured and analyzed through a phenotypic variance-covariance matrix (P-matrix) which summarizes the dimensions of phenotypic variability and the main axis of variation. [25]

Quantitative genetics and the G-matrix

Quantitative genetics is a statistical framework mainly concerned with modeling the evolution of continuous characters. [9] Under this framework, correlation between traits could be the result of two processes: 1) natural selection acting simultaneously on several traits ensuring that they are inherited together (i.e. linkage disequilibrium), [29] or 2) natural selection acting on one trait causing correlated change in other traits due to pleiotropic effects of genes. [11] For a set of traits, the equation that describe the variance among traits is the multivariate breeder’s equation Δz = β x G, where Δz is the vector of differences in trait means, β is a vector of selection coefficients, and G is a matrix of the additive genetic variance and covariance between traits. [30] [31] Thus, a population’s immediate ability to respond to selection is determined by the G-matrix, in which the variance is a function of standing genetic variation, and the covariance arises from pleiotropy and linkage disequilibrium. [31] [32] Although the G-matrix is one of the most relevant parameters to study evolvability, [12] the mutational matrix (M-matrix), also known as the distribution of mutational effects, has been shown to be of equivalent importance. [32] The M-matrix describes the potential effects of new mutations on the existing genetic variances and covariances, and these effects will depend on the epistatic and pleiotropic interactions of the underlying genes. [12] [32] [33] In other words, the M-matrix determines the G-matrix, and thus, the response to selection of a population. [32] Similarly to the P-matrix, the G-matrix describes the main axis of variation.

Paths of least resistance

Morphospace and fitness landscape with a single fitness optimum. For a population undergoing directional selection, the main axis of variation (largest axis of the white ellipse) will bias the main direction of the trajectory toward the fitness optimum (arrow). The rate of morphological change will be inversely proportional to the angle (beta) formed between the direction of selection (dashed line) and the main axis of variation. Morphospace&FitnessLandscape.jpeg
Morphospace and fitness landscape with a single fitness optimum. For a population undergoing directional selection, the main axis of variation (largest axis of the white ellipse) will bias the main direction of the trajectory toward the fitness optimum (arrow). The rate of morphological change will be inversely proportional to the angle (beta) formed between the direction of selection (dashed line) and the main axis of variation.

A general consequence of the P-matrices and G-matrices is that evolution will tend to follow the ‘path of least resistance’. In other words, if the main axis of variation is aligned with the direction of selection, covariation (genetic or phenotypic) will facilitate the rate of adaptive evolution; however, if the main axis of variation is orthogonal to the direction of selection, covariation will constraint the rate of adaptive evolution. [2] [12] [25] In general, for a population under the influence of a single fitness optimum, the rate of morphological divergence (from an ancestral to a new phenotype or between pairs of species) is inversely proportional to the angle formed by the main axis of variation and the direction of selection, causing a curved trajectory through the morphospace. [34]

From the P-matrix for a set of characters, two broadly important measures of the propensity of variation can be extracted: 1) Respondability: ability of a developmental system to change in any direction, and 2) Evolvability: ability of a developmental system to change in the direction of natural selection. [25] In the latter, the main axis of phenotypic variation is aligned with the direction of selection. Similarly, from the G-matrix, the most important parameter that describes the propensity of variation is the lead eigenvector of G (gmax), which describes the direction of greatest additive genetic variance for a set of continuous traits within populations. [32] [34] For a population undergoing directional selection, gmax will bias the main direction of the trajectory. [34]

Biased phenotypes II: Properties of gene regulatory networks

Hierarchy and optimal pleiotropy

Different vertebrate species have evolved melanic forms from parallel mutations at the mc1r gene. Melanism in Panthera Onca.jpg
Different vertebrate species have evolved melanic forms from parallel mutations at the mc1r gene.

GRNs are modular, multilayered, and semi-hierarchically systems of genes and their products: each transcription factor provides multiple inputs to other genes, creating a complex array of interactions, [36] and information regarding the timing, place and amount of gene expression generally flows from few high-level control genes through multiple intermediate genes to peripheral gene batteries that ultimately determine the fate of each cell. [19] [36] This type of architecture implies that high-level control genes tend to be more pleiotropic affecting multiple downstream genes, whereas intermediate and peripheral genes tend to have moderate to low pleiotropic effects, respectively. [19] [36]

In general, it is expected that newly arisen mutations with higher dominance and fewer pleiotropic and epistatic effects are more likely to be targets of evolution, [37] thus, the hierarchical architecture of developmental pathways may bias the genetic basis of evolutionary change. For instance, genes within GRNs with "optimally pleiotropic" effects, that is, genes that have the most widespread effect on the trait under selection but few effects on other traits, are expected to accumulate a higher proportion of mutations that cause evolutionary change. [38] These strategically-positioned genes have the potential to filter random genetic variation and translate it to nonrandom functionally integrated phenotypes, making adaptive variants effectively accessible to selection, [12] and, thus, many of the mutations contributing to phenotypic evolution may be concentrated in these genes. [37] [39]

Neutral networks

The genotype–phenotype map perspective establishes that the way in which genotypic variation can be mapped to phenotypic variation is critical for the ability of a system to evolve. [11] The prevalence of neutral mutations in nature implies that biological systems have more genotypes than phenotypes, [40] and a consequence of this "many-to-few" relationship between genotype and phenotype is the existence of neutral networks. [6] [41] In development, neutral networks are clusters of GRNs that differ in only one interaction between two nodes (e.g. replacing transcription with suppression) and yet produce the same phenotypic outcome. [6] [12] In this sense, an individual phenotype within a population could be mapped to several equivalent GRNs, that together constitute a neutral network. Conversely, a GRN that differs in one interaction and causes a different phenotype is considered non-neutral. [6] Given this architecture, the probability of mutating from one phenotype to another will depend on the number of neutral-neighbors relative to non-neutral neighbors for a particular GRN, [6] [12] and thus, phenotypic change will be influenced by the position of a GRN within the network and will be biased towards changes that require few mutations to reach a neighboring non-neutral GRN. [12] [41]

See also

Related Research Articles

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Natural selection</span> Mechanism of evolution by differential survival and reproduction of individuals

Natural selection is the differential survival and reproduction of individuals due to differences in phenotype. It is a key mechanism of evolution, the change in the heritable traits characteristic of a population over generations. Charles Darwin popularised the term "natural selection", contrasting it with artificial selection, which is intentional, whereas natural selection is not.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Phenotype</span> Composite of the organisms observable characteristics or traits

In genetics, the phenotype is the set of observable characteristics or traits of an organism. The term covers the organism's morphology, its developmental processes, its biochemical and physiological properties, its behavior, and the products of behavior. An organism's phenotype results from two basic factors: the expression of an organism's genetic code and the influence of environmental factors. Both factors may interact, further affecting the phenotype. When two or more clearly different phenotypes exist in the same population of a species, the species is called polymorphic. A well-documented example of polymorphism is Labrador Retriever coloring; while the coat color depends on many genes, it is clearly seen in the environment as yellow, black, and brown. Richard Dawkins in 1978 and then again in his 1982 book The Extended Phenotype suggested that one can regard bird nests and other built structures such as caddisfly larva cases and beaver dams as "extended phenotypes".

Population genetics is a subfield of genetics that deals with genetic differences within and among populations, and is a part of evolutionary biology. Studies in this branch of biology examine such phenomena as adaptation, speciation, and population structure.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Polymorphism (biology)</span> Occurrence of two or more clearly different morphs or forms in the population of a species

In biology, polymorphism is the occurrence of two or more clearly different morphs or forms, also referred to as alternative phenotypes, in the population of a species. To be classified as such, morphs must occupy the same habitat at the same time and belong to a panmictic population.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Directional selection</span> Type of genetic selection favoring one extreme phenotype

In population genetics, directional selection is a type of natural selection in which one extreme phenotype is favored over both the other extreme and moderate phenotypes. This genetic selection causes the allele frequency to shift toward the chosen extreme over time as allele ratios change from generation to generation. The advantageous extreme allele will increase as a consequence of survival and reproduction differences among the different present phenotypes in the population. The allele fluctuations as a result of directional selection can be independent of the dominance of the allele, and in some cases if the allele is recessive, it can eventually become fixed in the population.

Evolvability is defined as the capacity of a system for adaptive evolution. Evolvability is the ability of a population of organisms to not merely generate genetic diversity, but to generate adaptive genetic diversity, and thereby evolve through natural selection.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Baldwin effect</span> Effect of learned behavior on evolution

In evolutionary biology, the Baldwin effect describes an effect of learned behaviour on evolution. James Mark Baldwin and others suggested that an organism's ability to learn new behaviours will affect its reproductive success and will therefore have an effect on the genetic makeup of its species through natural selection. It posits that subsequent selection might reinforce the originally learned behaviors, if adaptive, into more in-born, instinctive ones. Though this process appears similar to Lamarckism, that view proposes that living things inherited their parents' acquired characteristics. The Baldwin effect only posits that learning ability, which is genetically based, is another variable in / contributor to environmental adaptation. First proposed during the Eclipse of Darwinism in the late 19th century, this effect has been independently proposed several times, and today it is generally recognized as part of the modern synthesis.

Genetic architecture is the underlying genetic basis of a phenotypic trait and its variational properties. Phenotypic variation for quantitative traits is, at the most basic level, the result of the segregation of alleles at quantitative trait loci (QTL). Environmental factors and other external influences can also play a role in phenotypic variation. Genetic architecture is a broad term that can be described for any given individual based on information regarding gene and allele number, the distribution of allelic and mutational effects, and patterns of pleiotropy, dominance, and epistasis.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Pleiotropy</span> Influence of a single gene on multiple phenotypic traits

Pleiotropy occurs when one gene influences two or more seemingly unrelated phenotypic traits. Such a gene that exhibits multiple phenotypic expression is called a pleiotropic gene. Mutation in a pleiotropic gene may have an effect on several traits simultaneously, due to the gene coding for a product used by a myriad of cells or different targets that have the same signaling function.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Facilitated variation</span>

The theory of facilitated variation demonstrates how seemingly complex biological systems can arise through a limited number of regulatory genetic changes, through the differential re-use of pre-existing developmental components. The theory was presented in 2005 by Marc W. Kirschner and John C. Gerhart.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Canalisation (genetics)</span> Measure of the ability of a population to produce the same phenotype

Canalisation is a measure of the ability of a population to produce the same phenotype regardless of variability of its environment or genotype. It is a form of evolutionary robustness. The term was coined in 1942 by C. H. Waddington to capture the fact that "developmental reactions, as they occur in organisms submitted to natural selection...are adjusted so as to bring about one definite end-result regardless of minor variations in conditions during the course of the reaction". He used this word rather than robustness to consider that biological systems are not robust in quite the same way as, for example, engineered systems.

An evolutionary landscape is a metaphor or a construct used to think about and visualize the processes of evolution acting on a biological entity. This entity can be viewed as searching or moving through a search space. For example, the search space of a gene would be all possible nucleotide sequences. The search space is only part of an evolutionary landscape. The final component is the "y-axis", which is usually fitness. Each value along the search space can result in a high or low fitness for the entity. If small movements through search space cause changes in fitness that are relatively small, then the landscape is considered smooth. Smooth landscapes happen when most fixed mutations have little to no effect on fitness, which is what one would expect with the neutral theory of molecular evolution. In contrast, if small movements result in large changes in fitness, then the landscape is said to be rugged. In either case, movement tends to be toward areas of higher fitness, though usually not the global optima.

Genetic assimilation is a process described by Conrad H. Waddington by which a phenotype originally produced in response to an environmental condition, such as exposure to a teratogen, later becomes genetically encoded via artificial selection or natural selection. Despite superficial appearances, this does not require the (Lamarckian) inheritance of acquired characters, although epigenetic inheritance could potentially influence the result. Waddington stated that genetic assimilation overcomes the barrier to selection imposed by what he called canalization of developmental pathways; he supposed that the organism's genetics evolved to ensure that development proceeded in a certain way regardless of normal environmental variations.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Antagonistic pleiotropy hypothesis</span> Proposed evolutionary explanation for senescence

The antagonistic pleiotropy hypothesis was first proposed by George C. Williams in 1957 as an evolutionary explanation for senescence. Pleiotropy is the phenomenon where one gene controls more than one phenotypic trait in an organism. A gene is considered to possess antagonistic pleiotropy if it controls more than one trait, where at least one of these traits is beneficial to the organism's fitness early on in life and at least one is detrimental to the organism's fitness later on due to a decline in the force of natural selection. The theme of G. C. William's idea about antagonistic pleiotropy was that if a gene caused both increased reproduction in early life and aging in later life, then senescence would be adaptive in evolution. For example, one study suggests that since follicular depletion in human females causes both more regular cycles in early life and loss of fertility later in life through menopause, it can be selected for by having its early benefits outweigh its late costs.

Weak selection in evolutionary biology is when individuals with different phenotypes possess similar fitness, i.e. one phenotype is weakly preferred over the other. Weak selection, therefore, is an evolutionary theory to explain the maintenance of multiple phenotypes in a stable population.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Phenotypic integration</span>

Phenotypic Integration is a metric for measuring the correlation of multiple functionally-related traits to each other. Complex phenotypes often require multiple traits working together in order to function properly. Phenotypic integration is significant because it provides an explanation as to how phenotypes are sustained by relationships between traits. Every organism's phenotype is integrated, organized, and a functional whole. Integration is also associated with functional modules. Modules are complex character units that are tightly associated, such as a flower. It is hypothesized that organisms with high correlations between traits in a module have the most efficient functions. The fitness of a particular value for one phenotypic trait frequently depends on the value of the other phenotypic traits, making it important for those traits evolve together. One trait can have a direct effect on fitness, and it has been shown that the correlations among traits can also change fitness, causing these correlations to be adaptive, rather than solely genetic. Integration can be involved in multiple aspects of life, not just at the genetic level, but during development, or simply at a functional level.

The Extended Evolutionary Synthesis (EES) consists of a set of theoretical concepts argued to be more comprehensive than the earlier modern synthesis of evolutionary biology that took place between 1918 and 1942. The extended evolutionary synthesis was called for in the 1950s by C. H. Waddington, argued for on the basis of punctuated equilibrium by Stephen Jay Gould and Niles Eldredge in the 1980s, and was reconceptualized in 2007 by Massimo Pigliucci and Gerd B. Müller.

In biology, reciprocal causation arises when developing organisms are both products of evolution as well as causes of evolution. Formally, reciprocal causation exists when process A is a cause of process B and, subsequently, process B is a cause of process A, with this feedback potentially repeated. Some researchers, particularly advocates of the extended evolutionary synthesis, promote the view that causation in biological systems is inherently reciprocal.

This glossary of genetics and evolutionary biology is a list of definitions of terms and concepts used in the study of genetics and evolutionary biology, as well as sub-disciplines and related fields, with an emphasis on classical genetics, quantitative genetics, population biology, phylogenetics, speciation, and systematics. Overlapping and related terms can be found in Glossary of cellular and molecular biology, Glossary of ecology, and Glossary of biology.

Bias in the introduction of variation is a theory in the domain of evolutionary biology that asserts biases in the introduction of heritable variation are reflected in the outcome of evolution. It is relevant to topics in molecular evolution, evo-devo, and self-organization. In the context of this theory, "introduction" ("origination") is a technical term for events that shift an allele frequency upward from zero. Formal models demonstrate that when an evolutionary process depends on introduction events, mutational and developmental biases in the generation of variation may influence the course of evolution by a first come, first served effect, so that evolution reflects the arrival of the likelier, not just the survival of the fitter. Whereas mutational explanations for evolutionary patterns are typically assumed to imply or require neutral evolution, the theory of arrival biases distinctively predicts the possibility of mutation-biased adaptation. Direct evidence for the theory comes from laboratory studies showing that adaptive changes are systematically enriched for mutationally likely types of changes. Retrospective analyses of natural cases of adaptation also provide support for the theory. This theory is notable as an example of contemporary structuralist thinking, contrasting with a classical functionalist view in which the course of evolution is determined by natural selection.

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Further reading