Nationwide opinion polling for the 2020 United States presidential election

Last updated

This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the general election for the 2020 United States presidential election. If multiple versions of polls are provided, the version among likely voters (LV) is prioritized, then registered voters (RV), then adults (A). Polling in the 2020 election was considerably less accurate than in the 2016 election, and possibly more inaccurate than in any election since 1996. [1]

Contents

Polling aggregation

Two-way

The following graph depicts the standing of each candidate in the poll aggregators from September 2019 to November 2020. Former Vice President Joe Biden, the Democratic nominee, had an average polling lead of 7.9 percentage points over incumbent President Donald Trump, the Republican nominee. Biden would win the national popular vote by 4.4 percentage points.

Polling aggregates
Active candidates
  Joe Biden (Democratic)
  Donald Trump (Republican)
  Others/Undecided
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Source of poll aggregationDates administeredDates updatedJoe BidenDonald TrumpOther/Undecided [lower-alpha 1] Margin
270 to Win Oct 28 – Nov 2, 2020Nov 2, 202051.1%43.1%5.8%
RealClear Politics Oct 25 – Nov 2, 2020Nov 2, 202051.2%44.0%4.8%
FiveThirtyEight until Nov 2, 2020Nov 2, 202051.8%43.4%4.8%
Average51.4%43.5%5.1%
2020 results51.3%46.8%1.9%

Four-way

Calculated averages are not comparable to those for the Biden vs. Trump polls. As polling with third parties has been very limited, the polls included in the average are often different.

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Jo Jorgensen vs. Howie Hawkins
Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Joe
Biden		Donald
Trump		Jo
Jorgensen		Howie
Hawkins		Other/
Undecided [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
270 to Win Oct 23 – Nov 2, 2020Nov 2, 202050.6%43.2%1.2%1.0%4.0%
RealClear Politics Oct 15 – Nov 2, 2020Nov 2, 202050.6%43.2%1.8%0.8%3.6%
2020 results51.3%46.8%1.1%0.2%0.6%

National poll results

October 1 – November 3, 2020

Poll sourceDateSample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Jo
Jorgensen
Libertarian 		Howie
Hawkins
Green 		Other Abstention UndecidedLead
Ipsos/Reuters Oct 31 – Nov 2914 (LV)± 3.7%45%52%––3% [lower-alpha 3] ––7%
YouGov/Economist Oct 31 – Nov 21,363 (LV)–43%53%––2%0%2%10%
Research Co. Oct 31 – Nov 21,025 (LV)± 3.0%42%50%1%1%1%–5%8%
IBD/TIPP Oct 29 – Nov 21,212 (LV)± 3.2%46% [lower-alpha 4] [lower-alpha 5] 50%2%1%1%––4%
46% [lower-alpha 6] 51%–––––5%
USC Dornsife Oct 20 – Nov 25,423 (LV)–42% [lower-alpha 4] 54%– [lower-alpha 7] – [lower-alpha 7] – [lower-alpha 7] – [lower-alpha 7] –12%
43% [lower-alpha 8] 54%––– [lower-alpha 7] ––11%
Swayable Nov 15,174 (LV)± 1.7%46%52%2%0%–––6%
John Zogby Strategies/EMI Research Nov 11,008 (LV)± 3.2%43% [lower-alpha 4] 48%4%2%2%–2%5%
45% [lower-alpha 6] 52%––––3%7%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Oct 30 – Nov 18,765 (LV)–41%53%1%1%–––12%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 30 – Nov 124,930 (LV)± 1%47% [lower-alpha 9] 52%–––––5%
YouGov/Yahoo News Oct 30 – Nov 11,360 (LV)–43%53%––2%0%2%10%
Change Research/CNBC Oct 29 – Nov 11,880 (LV)± 2.26%42%52%2%1%2% [lower-alpha 10] –1%10%
Qriously/Brandwatch Oct 29 – Nov 13,505 (LV)–41%52%2%1%–––11%
Léger Oct 29 – Nov 1827 (LV)± 3.1%42%50%2%1%1% [lower-alpha 11] 0%4%8%
Quinnipiac University Oct 28 – Nov 11,516 (LV)± 2.5%39%50%––2% [lower-alpha 12] –9%11%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports Oct 28 – Nov 11,500 (LV)± 2.5%47% [lower-alpha 13] 48%––3% [lower-alpha 3] –2%1%
AYTM/Aspiration Oct 30–31700 (LV)± 3.7%39%48%–––––9%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 29–3134,255 (LV)–46%52%–––––6%
Morning Consult Oct 29–3114,663 (LV)± 1%44% [lower-alpha 14] 52%––2% [lower-alpha 12] –3%8%
Swayable Oct 29–313,115 (LV)± 2.4%46%52%2%0%–––6%
RMG Research/Just the News Oct 29–311,200 (LV)± 2.8%44% [lower-alpha 4] 51%1%1%2% [lower-alpha 15] –1%7%
42% [lower-alpha 16] 53%1%1%2% [lower-alpha 15] –1%11%
45% [lower-alpha 17] 50%1%1%2% [lower-alpha 15] –1%5%
SurveyUSA/Cheddar Oct 29–311,265 (LV)± 3.2%44%52%––3% [lower-alpha 3] –2%8%
NBC/WSJ Oct 29–31833 (RV)± 3.4%42%52%--3% [lower-alpha 18] –3%10%
IBD/TIPP Oct 27–311,072 (LV)± 3.2%45% [lower-alpha 4] 49%3%1%0%–0%4%
45% [lower-alpha 6] 50%–––––5%
Data for Progress Oct 28–291,403 (LV)± 2.6%44%54%1%1%–––10%
Gravis Marketing Oct 27–291,281 (LV)± 2.7%44%50%––––6%6%
Morning Consult Oct 27–2912,000 (LV)± 1%43%52%––2% [lower-alpha 12] –3%9%
Fox News Oct 27–291,246 (LV)± 2.5%44%52%––2%0% [lower-alpha 19] 2%8%
Opinium/The Guardian Oct 26–291,451 (LV)–41%55%––2%–2%14%
Swayable Oct 27–282,386 (LV)± 2.9%46%53%1%1%–––7%
Harvard-Harris Oct 27–282,093 (RV)–46%54%–––––8%
AtlasIntel Oct 26–281,726 (LV)± 2%46%51%––1%1%1%5%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports Oct 26–281,500 (LV)± 2.5%47%48%––3% [lower-alpha 3] –2%1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 26–2815,688 (LV)–47%51%–––––4%
JL Partners/The Independent Oct 26–28844 (LV)–41%55%–––––14%
HarrisX/The Hill Oct 25–282,359 (LV)± 2%45% [lower-alpha 4] 49%––3%3%3%4%
47% [lower-alpha 6] 53%–––––6%
Angus Reid Global Oct 23–282,231 (LV)± 2.1%45%53%––2% [lower-alpha 20] ––8%
SurveyMonkey/Long Island University Oct 26–271,573 (A)± 3.5%36%47%––5%–9%11%
YouGov/Economist Oct 25–271,365 (LV)–43%54%––2%0%2%11%
Global Marketing Research/FPU/Boston Herald Archived 2020-11-27 at the Wayback Machine Oct 23–271,006 (LV)± 3%39%53%––6% [lower-alpha 21] –4%14%
Ipsos/Reuters Oct 23–27825 (LV)± 3.9%42%52%––5% [lower-alpha 22] 0%2%10%
Suffolk University/USA Today Oct 23–271,000 (LV)± 3.1%43% [lower-alpha 4] 50%1%1%2% [lower-alpha 23] 0% [lower-alpha 24] 4%7%
44% [lower-alpha 6] 52%––2% [lower-alpha 10] –2%8%
YouGov/University of Massachusetts Amherst [ permanent dead link ]Oct 20–271,500 (LV)± 3.1%44%53%––3%0% [lower-alpha 25] 1%9%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Oct 25–264,790 (LV)–41%51%1%1%1% [lower-alpha 26] –5%10%
Emerson College Oct 25–261,121 (LV)± 2.8%47% [lower-alpha 27] 51%––2% [lower-alpha 12] ––4%
Morning Consult Oct 24–2612,000 (LV)± 1%43%52%––2% [lower-alpha 12] –3%9%
Swayable Oct 23–2611,714 (RV)± 1.2%46%51%2%1%–––5%
Winston Group (R) Archived 2020-12-23 at the Wayback Machine Oct 23–261,000 (RV)–43%48%––––9%5%
CNN/SSRS Archived 2020-12-22 at the Wayback Machine Oct 23–26886 (LV)± 3.8%42%54%––1%1%2%12%
Qriously/Brandwatch Oct 22–262,234 (LV)± 2.8%39% [lower-alpha 27] 49%3%1%–4%4%10%
IBD/TIPP Oct 22–26970 (LV)± 3.2%46% [lower-alpha 4] 51%1%1%0%–0%5%
46% [lower-alpha 6] 50%–––––4%
YouGov/Hofstra University Oct 19–262,000 (LV)± 2%43%54%––4% [lower-alpha 28] ––11%
YouGov/GW Politics Oct 16–262,500 (LV)± 2%41%52%––2% [lower-alpha 20] 1% [lower-alpha 29] 4%11%
Cometrends/University of Dallas Oct 13–262,500 (A)± 2%44%56%–––––12%
Lucid/Tufts University Oct 25837 (LV)–45%52%–––––7%
Léger Oct 23–25834 (LV)± 3.1%41%49%4%1%1% [lower-alpha 11] –5%8%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 23–2519,543 (LV)–46%52%–––––6%
YouGov/Yahoo News Oct 23–251,350 (LV)–42%54%––2%0%2%12%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports Oct 21–22,
Oct 25		1,500 (LV)± 2.5%48%47%––3% [lower-alpha 3] –2%1%
Change Research/Crooked Media Oct 23–241,125 (LV)± 3%43%51%1%1%1% [lower-alpha 30] 0% [lower-alpha 31] 2%9%
RMG Research/Just the News Oct 23–241,842 (LV)± 2.8%44% [lower-alpha 4] 51%1%0%1%–2%7%
43% [lower-alpha 16] 53%1%0%1%–2%10%
46% [lower-alpha 17] 50%1%0%1%–2%4%
CNBC/Hart Research/Public Opinion Strategies Oct 21–24800 (RV)± 3.5%40%51%–––––11%
Morning Consult Oct 21–2312,000 (LV)± 1%43%52%––2% [lower-alpha 12] –3%9%
Spry Strategies Oct 20–233,500 (LV)± 3.1%48%46%––2%–4%2%
Spry Strategies/Women's Liberation Front Oct 20–233,500 (LV)± 3.1%46%48%––2%–4%2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 20–2234,788 (LV)–46%52%–––––6%
Ipsos/Reuters Oct 20–22935 (LV)–43%51%––4%–2%8%
IBD/TIPP Oct 17–21965 (LV)± 3.2%45% [lower-alpha 4] 50%3%1%0%–1%5%
46% [lower-alpha 6] 50%–––––4%
Rethink Priorities Archived 2020-12-22 at the Wayback Machine Oct 204,933 (LV)± 2%42%51%––4% [lower-alpha 32] –4%9%
Data for Progress Oct 20811 (LV)–44%54%––2% [lower-alpha 33] ––10%
YouGov/Economist Oct 18–201,344 (LV)–43%52%––2%0%4%9%
Morning Consult Oct 18–2015,821 (LV)± 1%43%52%––2% [lower-alpha 12] –3%9%
Echelon Insights Oct 16–201,006 (LV)–44% [lower-alpha 4] 50%1%1%0% [lower-alpha 34] –3%6%
44% [lower-alpha 6] 51%––––5%7%
Ipsos/Reuters Archived 2020-11-26 at the Wayback Machine Oct 16–20949 (LV)± 3.6%42%51%––4% [lower-alpha 35] –3%9%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports Oct 14–15,
Oct 18–20		2,500 (LV)± 2%46%49%––2% [lower-alpha 15] –2%3%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 17–1918,255 (LV)–46%52%–––––6%
SurveyUSA/Cheddar Oct 16–191,136 (LV)± 3.2%43%53%––2% [lower-alpha 15] –3%10%
Quinnipiac University Oct 16–191,426 (LV)± 2.6%41%51%––2% [lower-alpha 12] –4%10%
GSG/GBAO Oct 15–191,000 (RV)± 3.1%43%53%–––1%3%10%
Qriously/Brandwatch Oct 15–192,731 (LV)± 2.6%40% [lower-alpha 27] 51%1%0%–3%5%11%
GBAO/Omidyar Network Oct 15–191,150 (RV)–40%53%––3% [lower-alpha 36] 1%4%13%
USC Dornsife Oct 6–195,488 (LV)–41% [lower-alpha 4] 54%– [lower-alpha 7] – [lower-alpha 7] – [lower-alpha 7] – [lower-alpha 7] –13%
42% [lower-alpha 8] 54%––– [lower-alpha 7] ––12%
Change Research/CNBC Oct 17–182,711 (LV)± 1.9%42%52%–––––10%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Oct 17–182,915 (LV)–40%51%1%1%1% [lower-alpha 26] –6%11%
Research Co. Oct 16–181,035 (LV)± 3.0%42%50%1%1%7% [lower-alpha 37] ––8%
Léger Oct 16–18821 (LV)± 3.1%41%50%2%2%1% [lower-alpha 11] 0%5%9%
YouGov/Yahoo News Oct 16–181,583 (LV)± 4%40%51%––3%0%5%11%
Siena College/NYT Upshot Oct 15–18987 (LV)± 3.4%41%50%2%0%1%0%6% [lower-alpha 38] 9%
Morning Consult Oct 15–1712,000 (LV)± 1%43%52%––2% [lower-alpha 12] –3%9%
RMG Research/Just the News Oct 15–171,265 (LV)± 2.8%43%51%2%1%1% [lower-alpha 39] –2%8%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 14–1638,710 (LV)–45%53%–––––8%
IBD/TIPP Oct 12–161,009 (LV)± 3.2%43% [lower-alpha 4] 50%2%1%1%–1%7%
43% [lower-alpha 6] 50%–––––7%
HarrisX/The Hill Oct 13–151,897 (RV)± 2.25%42%46%––3%3%6%4%
Ipsos/Reuters Oct 13–15920 (LV)–41%51%––4%0%4%10%
Morning Consult Oct 12–1415,499 (LV)± 1%43%52%––2% [lower-alpha 12] –4%9%
JL Partners/The Independent Oct 13844 (LV)–42%52%–––––10%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 11–1310,395 (LV)–46%52%–––––6%
YouGov/Economist Oct 11–131,333 (LV)–42%52%––1%0%4%10%
HarrisX/The Hill Oct 10–132,855 (RV)± 1.83%40%47%––3%3%7%7%
Ipsos/Reuters Archived 2021-01-24 at the Wayback Machine Oct 9–13882 (LV)± 3.8%41%51%––4%–4%10%
Marist College/NPR/PBS Oct 8–13896 (LV)± 3.8%43%54%––1%–2%11%
Whitman Insight Strategies Archived 2020-10-22 at the Wayback Machine Oct 8–131,103 (LV)± 2.9%42%54%––1% [lower-alpha 40] –3%12%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports Oct 7–8,
Oct 11–13		2,500 (LV)± 2%45%50%––2% [lower-alpha 15] –3%5%
Public Religion Research Institute Oct 9–12752 (LV) [lower-alpha 41] –38%56%–––––18%
591 (LV) [lower-alpha 42] –40%54%–––––14%
NBC/WSJ Oct 9–121,000 (RV)± 3.1%42%53%––3% [lower-alpha 18] –2%11%
AP-NORC Oct 8–121,121 (A)± 4%36%51%––7% [lower-alpha 43] 6%0%15%
GSG/GBAO Oct 8–121,003 (RV)± 3.1%43%53%–––1%3%10%
Qriously/Brandwatch Oct 8–122,053 (LV)± 2.8%38% [lower-alpha 27] 52%1%1%–3%6%14%
Opinium/The Guardian Oct 8–121,398 (LV)–40%57%––1%–2%17%
Kaiser Family Foundation Oct 7–121,015 (LV)± 3%38%49%––5% [lower-alpha 44] –8%11%
Public First Oct 6–122,004 (A)–34%47%––3% [lower-alpha 45] 8%8%13%
YouGov/UMass Lowell Oct 5–12819 (LV)± 4.3%43%53%1%1%0% [lower-alpha 46] –3%10%
Morning Consult Oct 9–1116,056 (LV)± 1%43%51%––2% [lower-alpha 12] –4%8%
YouGov/Yahoo News Oct 9–111,366 (LV) [lower-alpha 7] –43%51%––2%0%4%8%
Léger Oct 9–11841 (LV)± 3.1%39%50%3%1%1% [lower-alpha 11] 1%6%11%
IBD/TIPP Oct 7–11851 (LV)± 3.5%43% [lower-alpha 4] 52%2%1%0%–0%9%
42% [lower-alpha 6] 53%–––––11%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Oct 101,679 (LV)–41%49%1%1%1% [lower-alpha 26] –7%8%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 8–1025,748 (LV)–46%52%–––––6%
RMG Research/Just the News Oct 8–101,240 (LV)± 2.8%43% [lower-alpha 4] 51%2%1%0%–2%8%
41% [lower-alpha 16] 53%2%1%0%–2%12%
45% [lower-alpha 17] 50%2%1%0%–2%5%
Morning Consult Oct 7–912,000 (LV)± 1%43%51%––2% [lower-alpha 12] –4%8%
YouGov/CCES Sep 29 – Oct 750,908 (LV)–43%51%–––––8%
ABC/Washington Post Oct 6–9752 (LV)± 4%42% [lower-alpha 4] 54%2%1%0% [lower-alpha 47] 0% [lower-alpha 19] 2%12%
43% [lower-alpha 6] 55%––0% [lower-alpha 48] 1%1%12%
Ipsos/Reuters Oct 6–8882 (LV)–41%53%––2% [lower-alpha 15] 0%3%12%
Public Opinion Strategies/Conservative Energy Network [upper-alpha 1] Oct 5–81,000 (LV)–41%55%––––4%14%
Edison Research Sep 25 – Oct 81,378 (RV) [lower-alpha 49] –35%48%–––––13%
Ipsos/Reuters Sep 22 – Oct 82,004 (A)± 3.5%39%46%––5% [lower-alpha 22] 5%5%7%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 5–730,687 (LV)–45%53%–––––8%
Data For Progress Oct 6863 (LV)–41%56%––3% [lower-alpha 50] ––15%
Morning Consult Oct 4–612,000 (LV)± 1%43%51%––2% [lower-alpha 12] –4%8%
YouGov/Economist Oct 4–61,364 (LV)–42%51%––2%0%5%9%
HarrisX/The Hill Oct 3–62,841 (RV)± 1.84%40%45%––3%4%7%5%
Fox News Oct 3–61,012 (LV)± 3%43%53%––1%–3%10%
Ipsos/Reuters Oct 2–6882 (LV)± 3.8%40% [lower-alpha 4] 52%1%1%3% [lower-alpha 51] –3%12%
40% [lower-alpha 52] 52%––4% [lower-alpha 35] –4%12%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports Sep 30 – Oct 1,
Oct 4–6		2,500 (LV)± 2%40%52%––4% [lower-alpha 35] –4%12%
Innovative Research Group Sep 29 – Oct 62,435 (RV)–42%47%––1%2%9%5%
GSG/GBAO Oct 2–51,011 (RV)± 3.1%44%52%–––1%4%8%
Pew Research Sep 30 – Oct 511,929 (RV)± 1.5%42%52%4%1%1% [lower-alpha 53] –0%10%
USC Dornsife Sep 22 – Oct 54,914 (LV)–42% [lower-alpha 4] 54%– [lower-alpha 7] – [lower-alpha 7] – [lower-alpha 7] – [lower-alpha 7] –12%
42% [lower-alpha 8] 53%––– [lower-alpha 7] ––11%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Oct 3–42,127 (LV)–42%50%1%1%1% [lower-alpha 26] –6%8%
Léger Oct 2–4843 (LV)± 3.1%40%49%2%1%1% [lower-alpha 11] 1%6%9%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 2–412,510 (LV)–46%52%–––––6%
Change Research/CNBC Oct 2–42,167 (LV)± 2.11%42%52%3%1%–1%2%10%
Qriously/Brandwatch Oct 1–42,048 (LV)± 2.7%38% [lower-alpha 27] 51%1%0%–3%6%13%
SurveyUSA Oct 1–41,114 (LV)± 3.6%43%53%––2% [lower-alpha 15] –3%10%
CNN/SSRS Oct 1–41,001 (LV)± 3.6%41%57%––1%0%1%16%
Global Marketing Research/FPU/Boston Herald Sep 30 – Oct 41,003 (LV)± 3.1%37%51%––3% [lower-alpha 54] –8%14%
NBC/WSJ Oct 2–3800 (RV)± 3.46%39%53%––2% [lower-alpha 55] –6%14%
Ipsos/Reuters Oct 2–3596 (LV)± 5%41%51%––4% [lower-alpha 56] –4%10%
YouGov/Yahoo News Oct 2–31,088 (LV)–43%51%––2%0%5%8%
RMG Research/Just the News Oct 1–3763 (LV)± 3.5%43% [lower-alpha 4] 51%1%1%1%–3%8%
41% [lower-alpha 16] 53%1%1%1%–3%12%
45% [lower-alpha 17] 49%1%1%1%–3%4%
Morning Consult Oct 1–312,000 (LV)± 1%43%52%––2% [lower-alpha 12] –4%9%
Zogby Strategies/EMI Research Oct 21,002 (LV)± 3.2%45% [lower-alpha 4] 47%2%2%––4%2%
47% [lower-alpha 6] 49%––––4%2%
YouGov/Yahoo News Oct 1–21,345 (LV)–40%48%––3%0%8%8%
St. Leo University Sep 27 – Oct 2947 (LV)± 3%38%52%––––6%14%
HarrisX/The Hill Archived 2020-12-10 at the Wayback Machine Sep 30 – Oct 1928 (RV)± 3.2%40%47%––3%3%7%7%
Data for Progress Sep 30 – Oct 11,146 (LV)± 2.9%41%51%––––8%10%
IBD/TIPP Sep 30 – Oct 11,021 (LV)± 3.5%46%49%––1.5% [lower-alpha 57] –4%3%
SurveyMonkey/Long Island University Sep 30 – Oct 11,502 (A)± 3.5%31%48%––7% [lower-alpha 58] 5%9%17%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Sep 29 – Oct 124,022 (LV)–46%52%–––––6%
Ipsos/Reuters Sep 29 – Oct 1882 (LV)± 3.8%41%50%––4% [lower-alpha 28] –5%9%

September 1 – September 30, 2020

Poll sourceDateSample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Jo
Jorgensen
Libertarian 		Howie
Hawkins
Green 		Other Abstention UndecidedLead
Change Research/CNBC Sep 29–30 [lower-alpha 49] 925 (LV)± 3.22%41%54%–––––13%
YouGov/Economist Sep 27–301,350 (LV)–42%50%––2%0%6%8%
Morning Consult Sep 27–3012,000 (LV)± 1%43%51%––2% [lower-alpha 12] –4%8%
Winston Group (R) Sep 26–301,000 (RV)–43%47%––––10%4%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Sep 1–30152,640 (LV)–46%52%––––2%6%
Ipsos/Reuters Sep 25–29864 (LV)± 3.8%42%51%––3% [lower-alpha 3] –4%9%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports Sep 23–293,000 (LV)± 2%43%51%––3% [lower-alpha 3] –3%8%
Global Strategy Group/GBAO Sep 26–281,002 (RV)± 3.1%43%53%–––1%4%10%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Sep 26–272,445 (LV)–40%50%2%1%1% [lower-alpha 26] No voters7%10%
Zogby Analytics Sep 25–27833 (LV)± 3.3%43%46%5%2%––5%3%
Léger Sep 25–27854 (LV)± 3.1%40%47%2%2%1% [lower-alpha 11] 1%8%7%
Morning Consult Sep 25–2712,965 (LV)± 1%44%51%––2% [lower-alpha 12] –4%7%
Qriously/Brandwatch Sep 24–272,273 (LV)± 2.6%40% [lower-alpha 27] 50%1%1%–2%6%10%
Monmouth University Sep 24–27809 (LV)± 3.5%45%50%1%1%–––5%
PureSpectrum/COVID-19 Consortium Aug 7 – Sep 2726,838 (LV)–40%50%–––––10%
RMG Research/Just the News Sep 24–26752 (LV)± 3.6%45% [lower-alpha 4] 51%0%1%0%–3%6%
44% [lower-alpha 16] 52%0%1%0%–3%8%
47% [lower-alpha 17] 49%0%1%0%–3%2%
SurveyMonkey/Long Island University Sep 24–261,508 (A)± 3.5%30%48%––5% [lower-alpha 59] 6%10%18%
HarrisX/The Hill Sep 22–252,768 (RV)± 1.86%40%45%––4%4%7%5%
Echelon Insights Sep 19–251,018 (LV)–41% [lower-alpha 4] 50%2%1%1% [lower-alpha 11] –6%9%
43% [lower-alpha 6] 51%––––6%8%
Harvard-Harris Sep 22–24– (LV) [lower-alpha 7] –45%47%–––––2%
Siena College/NYT Upshot Sep 22–24950 (LV)± 3.5%41%49%2%1%0% [lower-alpha 60] 0%7% [lower-alpha 38] 8%
Morning Consult Sep 22–2412,000 (LV)± 1%44%51%––2% [lower-alpha 12] –4%7%
Ipsos/Reuters Sep 22–24934 (LV)–41%50%––4%–4%9%
ABC News/Washington Post Sep 21–24739 (LV)± 4%43% [lower-alpha 4] 49%4%3%0% [lower-alpha 61] 1%1%6%
44% [lower-alpha 6] 54%––0% [lower-alpha 61] 0%1%10%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Archived 2020-11-26 at the Wayback Machine Sep 22–232,500 (LV)± 2.19%41%50%2%1%1% [lower-alpha 26] –7%9%
Emerson College Sep 22–231,000 (LV)± 3%47% [lower-alpha 27] 50%––4% [lower-alpha 28] ––3%
YouGov/Yahoo News Sep 21–231,125 (LV)–44%49%––1%0%6%5%
JL Partners Sep 14–234,053 (LV)–41%51%––2% [lower-alpha 20] –6%10%
Data For Progress Sep 22740 (RV)–42%55%––3% [lower-alpha 50] ––13%
YouGov/Economist Sep 20–221,124 (LV)–42%49%––2%0%6%7%
Ipsos/Reuters Sep 18–22889 (LV)± 3.7%42%50%––4% [lower-alpha 35] –5%8%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports Sep 16–17,
Sep 20–22		3,000 (LV)± 2.5%47%48%––3% [lower-alpha 3] –2%1%
YouGov/Hofstra University Sep 14–222,000 (LV)± 2.92%42%53%––5% [lower-alpha 44] ––11%
Public Religion Research Institute Sep 9–221,736 (LV) [lower-alpha 62] ± 3.2%42% [lower-alpha 49] 57%–––––15%
1,387 (LV) [lower-alpha 42] ± 3.6%44%55%––0% [lower-alpha 63] –0%11%
HarrisX/The Hill Archived 2020-12-09 at the Wayback Machine Sep 19–212,803 (RV)± 1.9%40%45%––4%4%7%5%
Morning Consult Sep 19–2112,000 (LV)± 1%43%51%––2% [lower-alpha 12] –4%8%
Global Strategy Group/GBAO Sep 17–211,230 (RV)± 2.8%42%53%–––2%3%11%
Quinnipiac University Sep 17–211,302 (LV)± 2.7%42%52%––1% [lower-alpha 40] –4%10%
Ipsos/Survey Center on American Life Sep 11–212,006 (A)± 2.4%37%47%––6% [lower-alpha 64] 11%–10%
USC Dornsife Sep 8–215,482 (LV)–42% [lower-alpha 4] 52%– [lower-alpha 7] – [lower-alpha 7] – [lower-alpha 7] – [lower-alpha 7] –10%
42% [lower-alpha 8] 51%––– [lower-alpha 7] ––9%
Change Research/CNBC Sep 18–201,430 (LV)± 2.59%42%51%4%1%–0%3%9%
Léger Sep 18–20830 (LV)± 3.1%41%48%––5%1%5%7%
Morning Consult Sep 18–201,988 (RV)± 2%41%48%––3% [lower-alpha 65] –7%7%
Qriously/Brandwatch Sep 17–202,134 (LV)± 3%39%46%2%0%–2%12%7%
RMG Research/Just the News Sep 17–19773 (LV)± 3.5%44% [lower-alpha 4] 50%2%1%1% [lower-alpha 39] –3%6%
42% [lower-alpha 16] 52%2%1%1% [lower-alpha 39] –3%10%
46% [lower-alpha 17] 49%2%1%1% [lower-alpha 39] –3%3%
IBD/TIPP Sep 16–19962 (LV)–44%50%––2% [lower-alpha 20] –5%6%
Morning Consult Sep 16–1812,000 (LV)± 1%44%51%––2% [lower-alpha 12] –4%7%
YouGov/Yahoo News Sep 15–171,223 (RV)–41%47%––2%1%9%6%
Ipsos/Reuters Sep 15–17834 (LV)± 3.8%42%51%––3% [lower-alpha 3] –4%9%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Sep 15–161,070 (LV)± 1.97%41%49%2%1%1% [lower-alpha 26] –7%8%
NBC/WSJ Sep 13–161,000 (RV)± 3.1%43%51%––3% [lower-alpha 18] –3%8%
GBAO/Omidyar Network Sep 12–161,150 (RV)–39%51%––3% [lower-alpha 65] 1%6%12%
Marist/NPR/PBS Newshour Sep 11–16723 (LV)42% [lower-alpha 4] 49%5%2%0%–2%7%
43% [lower-alpha 6] 52%––3%–2%9%
Data for Progress Sep 15809 (RV)–42%53%––5% [lower-alpha 66] ––11%
YouGov/Economist Sep 13–151,061 (LV)–42%51%––1%0%5%9%
Morning Consult Sep 13–1512,000 (LV)± 1%43%51%––2% [lower-alpha 12] –4%8%
Ipsos/Reuters Sep 11–15859 (LV)± 3.8%41%50%––3% [lower-alpha 3] –6%9%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports Sep 9–10,
Sep 13–15		2,500 (LV)± 2%47%46%––3% [lower-alpha 3] –4%1%
Marquette Law School Sep 8–151,357 (LV)–40%50%3%2%3% [lower-alpha 67] 2%–10%
AP-NORC Sep 11–141,108 (A)± 4%40%44%––7% [lower-alpha 68] 7%0%4%
Morning Consult Sep 10–141,144 (LV)–44%56%–––––12%
Morning Consult Sep 10–141,277 (LV)–45%55%–––––10%
Global Strategy Group/GBAO Sep 10–141,007 (RV)± 3.1%42%53%–––1%4%11%
HarrisX/The Hill Sep 10–143,758 (RV)± 1.6%39%45%––4%4%8%6%
Léger Sep 11–13833 (LV)± 3.1%41%47%2%0%1% [lower-alpha 11] 1%7%6%
Qriously/Brandwatch Archived 2020-10-06 at the Wayback Machine Sep 10–132,065 (LV)± 2.5%42%46%1%0%–1%9%4%
Morning Consult Sep 10–1212,000 (LV)± 1%43%51%––2% [lower-alpha 12] –4%8%
RMG Research/Just the News Sep 10–12941 (LV)± 3.2%43%48%2%1%1% [lower-alpha 39] –6%5%
YouGov/Yahoo News Sep 9–111,216 (RV)–39%49%––1%2%9%10%
Pollfish/Socioanalítica Research Sep 8–10– (RV) [lower-alpha 69] –45%53%––--–8%
Fox News Sep 7–101,191 (LV)± 2.5%46%51%––1%–2%5%
Opinium Sep 4–101,234 (LV)–42%51%––2% [lower-alpha 15] –5%9%
Climate Nexus Sep 8–91,244 (LV)–41%52%––3% [lower-alpha 70] –4%11%
Morning Consult Sep 7–912,000 (LV)± 1%44%51%––2% [lower-alpha 12] –4%7%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Archived 2020-12-01 at the Wayback Machine Sep 7–81,852 (LV)± 2.19%40%49%1%1%1% [lower-alpha 26] –7%9%
YouGov/Economist Sep 6–81,057 (LV)–43%52%––2%0%3%9%
HarrisX/The Hill Archived 2020-09-10 at the Wayback Machine Sep 5–82,831 (RV)± 1.84%39%47%––5%4%7%8%
Monmouth University Sep 3–8758 (LV)± 3.6%44%51%1%1%––2%7%
Ipsos/Reuters Sep 3–8823 (LV)± 3.9%40%52%––3% [lower-alpha 45] –5%12%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports Sep 2–3,
Sep 6–8		2,500 (LV)± 2%46%48%––4% [lower-alpha 35] –3%2%
Hart Research Associates/Protect Our Care [upper-alpha 2] Sep 3–71,202 (LV)–43%51%––6% [lower-alpha 71] ––8%
Qriously/Brandwatch Sep 3–72,013 (LV)± 2.8%41%47%1%0%–1%9%6%
USC Dornsife Aug 25 – Sep 75,144 (LV)–42% [lower-alpha 4] 51%– [lower-alpha 7] – [lower-alpha 7] – [lower-alpha 7] – [lower-alpha 7] –9%
42% [lower-alpha 8] 52%––– [lower-alpha 7] ––10%
Research Co. Sep 4–61,114 (LV)± 2.9%41%49%1%1%1% [lower-alpha 39] –7%8%
Léger Archived 2020-10-31 at the Wayback Machine Sep 4–6861 (LV)± 3.19%41%47%2%1%1% [lower-alpha 11] 0%7%6%
Morning Consult Sep 4–612,965 (LV)± 1%43%50%––2% [lower-alpha 12] –4%7%
Change Research/CNBC Sep 4–61,902 (LV)± 2.25%43%49%3%2%–1%2%6%
Targoz Market Research/PollSmart Market Research Sep 2–61,039 (LV)± 2.98%46%48%––6%––2%
Politico/Harvard/SSRS Aug 25 – Sep 61,459 (LV)± 3%42%52%––1%2%3% [lower-alpha 38] 10%
YouGov/CBS Sep 2–42,433 (LV)± 2.4%42%52%––3% [lower-alpha 72] –3%10%
Morning Consult Sep 1–312,000 (LV)± 1%43%51%––2% [lower-alpha 12] –4%8%
Kaiser Family Foundation Aug 28 – Sep 3989 (RV)± 4%43%48%––––6%5%
Ipsos/Reuters Sep 1–21,113 (A)± 3.3%38% [lower-alpha 4] 42%––7% [lower-alpha 73] 6%7%4%
45% [lower-alpha 74] 51%–––––6%
Harvard-Harris Archived 2021-01-25 at the Wayback Machine Aug 31 – Sep 21,493 (LV) [lower-alpha 75] –47% [lower-alpha 27] 53%–––––6%
Data for Progress Sep 1695 (RV)–43%53%––4% [lower-alpha 76] ––10%
Ipsos/Reuters Aug 31 – Sep 11,089 (RV)± 3.4%40%47%––5% [lower-alpha 22] 2%5%7%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Aug 31 – Sep 11,835 (LV)–41%49%2%1%1% [lower-alpha 26] –7%8%
YouGov/Economist Aug 30 – Sep 11,207 (RV)± 3.6%40%51%––2%2%4%11%
IBD/TIPP Aug 29 – Sep 11,033 (RV)–41%49%–––––8%
CNN/SSRS Aug 28 – Sep 1997 (RV)± 4%43%51%––1%2%3%8%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports Archived 2020-10-14 at the Wayback Machine Aug 26–27,
Aug 30 – Sep 1		2,500 (LV)± 2%45%49%––3% [lower-alpha 3] –3%4%

July 1 – August 31, 2020

Poll sourceDateSample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Jo
Jorgensen
Libertarian 		Howie
Hawkins
Green 		Other Abstention UndecidedLead
Emerson College Archived 2021-01-15 at the Wayback Machine Aug 30–311,567 (LV)± 2.4%49% [lower-alpha 27] 51%–––––2%
Morning Consult Aug 29–3112,000 (LV)± 1%43%51%––2% [lower-alpha 12] –4%8%
HarrisX/The Hill Archived 2021-02-06 at the Wayback Machine Aug 29–312,834 (RV)± 1.84%40%46%––4%4%7%6%
Quinnipiac University Archived 2020-09-02 at the Wayback Machine Aug 28–311,081 (LV)± 3%42%52%––2% [lower-alpha 12] –3%10%
Suffolk University/USA Today Aug 28–311,000 (RV)± 3.1%42% [lower-alpha 4] 47%1%0%3% [lower-alpha 77] 7%1%5%
43% [lower-alpha 6] 50%––3% [lower-alpha 78] –4%7%
Global Strategy Group/GBAO Aug 27–311,309 (RV)± 3.1%43%52%–––1%4%9%
Qriously/Brandwatch Aug 27–311,998 (LV)± 2.7%41%46%2%1%–1%10%5%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Aug 1–31131,263 (LV)–46%52%––––2%6%
Léger Archived 2020-10-31 at the Wayback Machine Aug 28–30861 (LV)± 3.1%42%49%1%0%1% [lower-alpha 11] 1%6%7%
Selzer & Co./Grinnell College Aug 26–30827 (LV)± 3.4%41%49%––3% [lower-alpha 65] 1%5%8%
Atlas Intel Aug 24–304,210 (LV)± 2%46%49%––2%1%1%3%
John Zogby Strategies/EMI Research Aug 291,007 (LV)± 3.2%42% [lower-alpha 4] 45%3%2%–––3%
42% [lower-alpha 6] 48%––––10%6%
Morning Consult Aug 294,035 (LV)± 2%44%50%––7% [lower-alpha 79] ––6%
RMG Research/Just the News Archived 2021-01-10 at the Wayback Machine Aug 27–29915 (LV) [lower-alpha 80] ± 3.2%44%48%2%1%1%–4%4%
– [lower-alpha 81] –42%50%–––––8%
YouGov/Yahoo News Aug 27–28807 (RV)–41%47%––3%1%8%6%
Morning Consult Aug 26–2812,000 (LV)± 1%43%50%––2% [lower-alpha 12] –4%7%
HarrisX/The Hill Archived 2020-12-24 at the Wayback Machine Aug 25–282,862 (RV)± 1.83%38%47%––4%4%8%9%
Survey Sampling International/University of Maryland Aug 24–281,724 (A)± 2.36%37%50%--5% [lower-alpha 82] 3%7%13%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Aug 25–261,834 (LV)–39%49%2%1%1% [lower-alpha 26] –9%10%
Opinium/The Guardian Aug 21–261,257 (LV)–39%54%––2%–5%15%
YouGov/Economist Aug 23–251,254 (RV)–41%50%––1%3%4%9%
Morning Consult Aug 23–2512,000 (LV)± 1%43%51%––2% [lower-alpha 12] –4%8%
HarrisX/The Hill Archived 2020-11-25 at the Wayback Machine Aug 22–252,861(RV)± 1.84%38%47%––4%3%8%9%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports Aug 19–20,
Aug 23–25		2,500 (LV)± 2.5%45%46%––6% [lower-alpha 83] –4%1%
Ipsos/Reuters Aug 19–253,829 (RV)± 1.8%40%47%––5% [lower-alpha 22] 2%6%7%
Global Strategy Group/GBAO Aug 21–241,319 (RV)± 3.1%41%54%–––1%5%13%
USC Dornsife Aug 11–244,317 (LV)–39% [lower-alpha 4] 54%– [lower-alpha 7] – [lower-alpha 7] – [lower-alpha 7] – [lower-alpha 7] –15%
4,325 (LV)40% [lower-alpha 8] 53%––– [lower-alpha 7] ––13%
Morning Consult Aug 234,810 (LV)± 1%42%52%––6% [lower-alpha 84] ––10%
Change Research/CNBC Aug 21–232,362 (LV)± 2.02%43%51%2%2%–0%2%8%
Léger Aug 21–23894 (LV)± 3.1%40%49%2%1%1% [lower-alpha 11] 1%6%9%
YouGov/Yahoo News Aug 20–23906 (RV)–39%50%––3%2%7%11%
Survey Sampling International/University of Maryland Aug 18–232,208 (A)± 2.09%39%48%--5% [lower-alpha 82] 3%6%9%
Morning Consult Aug 20–2212,000 (LV)± 1%43%52%––2% [lower-alpha 12] –4%9%
YouGov/CBS Aug 20–22934 (LV)± 3.7%42%52%––4% [lower-alpha 85] –3%10%
Morning Consult Aug 214,377 (LV)± 1%43%52%––6% [lower-alpha 84] ––9%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Archived 2020-12-01 at the Wayback Machine Aug 19–201,860 (LV)–39%49%1%1%1% [lower-alpha 26] –9%10%
Zogby Analytics Aug 17–19901 (LV)–43%46%5%2%––5%3%
Morning Consult Aug 17–1912,000 (LV)± 1%43%51%––2% [lower-alpha 12] –4%8%
YouGov/Economist Aug 16–181,246 (RV)± 3.4%40%50%––4%1%4%10%
HarrisX/The Hill Archived 2020-08-29 at the Wayback Machine Aug 15–182,840 (RV)± 1.84%38%46%––4%3%8%8%
Ipsos/Reuters Aug 14–181,179 (RV)± 3.3%40%48%––5% [lower-alpha 22] 1%5%8%
Echelon Insights Archived 2020-12-22 at the Wayback Machine Aug 14–181,004 (LV)± 3.3%38% [lower-alpha 4] 51%2%1%1% [lower-alpha 86] –8%13%
39% [lower-alpha 6] 53%––––8%14%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports Aug 12–182,500 (LV)± 2%44%48%––4% [lower-alpha 35] –4%4%
Morning Consult Aug 174,141 (LV)± 2%43%51%––7% [lower-alpha 79] ––8%
Léger Archived 2020-10-31 at the Wayback Machine Aug 14–161,001 (A)± 3.1%35%51%––3% [lower-alpha 87] –10%16%
Morning Consult Aug 14–1611,809 (LV)± 1%43%51%––2% [lower-alpha 12] –4%8%
EKOS Research Associates [ dead link ]Aug 7–16710 (A)± 3.7%42%43%––12% [lower-alpha 88] 1% [lower-alpha 89] 3%1%
YouGov/Yahoo News Aug 14–151,027 (LV)–41%50%–––––9%
ABC News/Washington Post Aug 12–15707 (LV)–44%54%–––––10%
CNN/SSRS Aug 12–15987 (RV)± 3.7%46%50%––1% [lower-alpha 90] 2% [lower-alpha 91] 2%4%
Data For Progress Aug 13–141,143 (LV)± 2.7%41%50%––––9%9%
YouGov/CBS Aug 12–142,152 (LV)± 2.4%42%52%––4% [lower-alpha 85] –2%10%
Harris X/The Hill Archived 2021-02-06 at the Wayback Machine Aug 11–142,823 (RV)± 1.84%39%45%––4%4%7%6%
Morning Consult Aug 11–1312,000 (LV)± 1%42%51%––2% [lower-alpha 12] –5%9%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies Aug 121,867 (LV)–41%48%2%1%1% [lower-alpha 26] –7%7%
NBC/Wall Street Journal Aug 9–12900 (RV)± 3.27%41%50%––5% [lower-alpha 92] –4%9%
Fox News Aug 9–121,000 (RV)± 3%42%49%––3%1%5%7%
Data for Progress Aug 11782 (RV)–40%53%––8% [lower-alpha 93] ––13%
Ipsos/Reuters Aug 10–111,034 (RV)± 3.5%42% [lower-alpha 94] 58%–––––16%
38% [lower-alpha 4] 49%2%1%5% [lower-alpha 95] 2%6%11%
YouGov/Economist Aug 9–111,201 (RV)± 3.6%39%49%––5%1%5%10%
HarrisX/The Hill Archived 2021-02-06 at the Wayback Machine Aug 8–112,828 (RV)± 1.84%40%44%––4% [lower-alpha 28] 4%9%4%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports Archived 2020-10-02 at the Wayback Machine Aug 5–112,500 (LV)± 2%43%49%––4% [lower-alpha 35] –4%6%
Marist/NPR/PBS News Hours Aug 3–111,120 (RV)± 3.3%42%53%––2%–4%11%
NORC/AEI Jul 31 – Aug 11, 20204,067 (A)± 2%37%48%––6% [lower-alpha 96] 10%–11%
Morning Consult/Politico Aug 9–101,983 (RV)± 2%40%49%––2% [lower-alpha 97] –9%9%
Morning Consult Aug 8–1012,000 (LV)± 1%43%51%––2% [lower-alpha 12] –4%8%
Global Strategy Group/GBAO Aug 6–101,419 (RV)± 3.1%43%52%–––1%5%9%
Monmouth Aug 6–10785 (RV)± 3.5%41%51%2%1%1% [lower-alpha 98] 1%4%10%
Morning Consult/Murmuration Aug 4–102,200 (A) [lower-alpha 49] ± 2%41% [lower-alpha 27] 54%––5% [lower-alpha 44] ––13%
Change Research/CNBC Aug 7–92,143 (LV)± 2.12%44%50%3%1%–0%2%6%
RMG Research Aug 6–81,200 (RV)± 2.8%37%45%1%1%3% [lower-alpha 3] –14%8%
Morning Consult Aug 5–712,000 (LV)± 1%42%51%––2% [lower-alpha 12] –5%9%
Léger Aug 4–71,007 (LV)–39%47%3%1%3% [lower-alpha 99] 2%6%8%
Georgetown University/Battleground Aug 1–61,000 (LV)± 3.1%40%53%––––7%13%
HarrisX/The Hill Aug 2–52,850 (RV)± 1.84%40%43%––5%3%9%3%
Research Co. Aug 3–41,018 (LV)± 3.1%38%48%2%1%1% [lower-alpha 98] –7%10%
Ipsos/Reuters Aug 3–4964 (RV)± 3.6%38%48%––6% [lower-alpha 83] 2%6%10%
YouGov/Economist Aug 2–41,225 (RV)± 3.3%40%49%––3%2%6%9%
Morning Consult Aug 2–412,000 (LV)± 1%42%51%––3% [lower-alpha 65] –5%9%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports Jul 29–30,
Aug 2–4		2,500 (LV)± 2%45%48%––3% [lower-alpha 3] –3%3%
Pew Research Jul 27 – Aug 29,114 (RV)± 1.5%45%53%––2% [lower-alpha 55] –0%8%
Morning Consult Jul 30 – Aug 112,000 (LV)± 1%43%50%––2% [lower-alpha 12] –4%7%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jul 1–31145,585 (LV)–47%51%––––2%4%
Emerson College Jul 29–30964 (LV)± 3.1%47% [lower-alpha 27] 53%–––––6%
YouGov/Yahoo News Jul 28–301,088 (RV)–40%49%––2%1%8%9%
Morning Consult Jul 27–2912,000 (LV)± 1%43%50%––3% [lower-alpha 65] –4%7%
Data For Progress Jul 28794 (RV)–42% [lower-alpha 49] 52%––8% [lower-alpha 93] ––10%
Ipsos/Reuters Jul 27–28947 (RV)± 3.6%38%47%––7% [lower-alpha 73] 2%6%9%
YouGov/Economist Jul 26–281,260 (RV)± 3.4%40%49%––4%1%6%9%
IBD/TIPP Jul 25–281,160 (RV)± 3.1%41%48%–––––7%
Optimus Jul 24–28914 (LV)–40%48%––3% [lower-alpha 100] 1%8%8%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports Jul 22–23,
Jul 26–28		2,500 (LV)± 2%42%48%––5% [lower-alpha 22] –4%6%
NORC/HKS Carr Center Jul 6–281,863 (RV)–34%48%––0% [lower-alpha 101] –18%14%
Beacon Research/The Dream Corps Jul 23–271,504 (RV)–41%48%––4%2%5% [lower-alpha 38] 7%
YouGov Blue/Data For Progress Jul 21–271,059 (LV)–45%51%–––––6%
Change Research/CNBC Jul 24–261,039 (LV)± 3.04%42%51%2%1%–1%3%9%
Morning Consult Jul 24–2612,235 (LV)± 1%43%51%––2% [lower-alpha 12] –5%8%
RMG Research Jul 23–251,200 (RV)–37%45%2%1%3%–12%8%
YouGov/CBS News Jul 21–241,401 (LV)± 3.1%41%51%––4%–4%10%
Zogby Analytics Jul 21–231,516 (LV)± 2.5%40%44%5%2%––9%4%
Harvard-Harris Jul 21–231,786 (LV)–45%55%–––––10%
Morning Consult Jul 21–2312,000 (LV)± 1%42%51%––3% [lower-alpha 65] –5%9%
Echelon Insights Archived 2020-12-22 at the Wayback Machine Jul 17–221,000 (LV)–37% [lower-alpha 4] 50%3%1%––9%13%
38% [lower-alpha 6] 53%––––9%15%
Data for Progress Jul 21652 (RV)–44%50%––6%––6%
YouGov/Economist Jul 19–211,222 (RV)± 3.2%41%48%––5%2%4%7%
Ipsos/Reuters Jul 15–213,744 (RV)± 1.8%38%46%––8%2%6%8%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports Jul 15–212,500 (LV)± 2%45%47%––5%–4%2%
Morning Consult Jul 18–2012,000 (LV)± 1%42%50%––3% [lower-alpha 65] –5%8%
HarrisX/The Hill Archived 2021-02-06 at the Wayback Machine Jul 17–202,829 (RV)± 1.84%38%45%––5%4%9%7%
AP-NORC Jul 16–201,057 (A)± 4.3%34%46%––11% [lower-alpha 102] 8%0%12%
Morning Consult/Politico Archived 2021-02-19 at the Wayback Machine Jul 17–191,991 (RV)± 2%40%47%–––––7%
GQR Research Jul 15–191,000 (RV)± 3.1%44%55%––1%–0%11%
Kaiser Family Foundation Jul 14–191,117 (RV)± 4%38%47%––3% [lower-alpha 77] 2%10%9%
Morning Consult Archived 2021-02-19 at the Wayback Machine Jul 13–1931,310 (RV)± 1%40%47%–––––7%
Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group Jul 15–181,301 (LV)–39%50%––4% [lower-alpha 28] 1%7%11%
Morning Consult Jul 15–1712,000 (LV)± 1%42%50%––3% [lower-alpha 65] –5%8%
ABC News/Washington Post Jul 12–15673 (LV)–44%54%–––––10%
Fox News Jul 12–151,104 (RV)± 3%41%49%––4%1%5%8%
Ipsos/Reuters Jul 13–14961 (RV)± 3.6%37%47%––7%2%7%10%
YouGov/Economist Jul 12–141,252 (RV)± 3.3%40%49%––4%2%4%9%
Morning Consult Jul 12–1412,000 (LV)± 1%42%50%––3% [lower-alpha 65] –5%8%
YouGov/Yahoo News Jul 11–141,081 (RV)± 3.6%39%47%––3%1%10%8%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports Jul 8–141,500 (LV)± 4.5%44%47%––5%–4%3%
Quinnipiac University Jul 9–131,273 (RV)± 2.8%37%52%––3%2%6%15%
Morning Consult Jul 6–1332,514 (RV)±2.0%39%47%–––––8%
Change Research/CNBC Jul 10–121,258 (LV)± 2.76%41%51%3%2%0%2%2%10%
NBC/WSJ Jul 9–12900 (RV)± 3.27%40%51%–––7%2%11%
RMG Research/Scott Rasmussen/Just the News Jul 9–111,200 (RV)±5.0%39%46%––6%–8%7%
Morning Consult Jul 9–1112,000 (LV)± 1%42%50%––3% [lower-alpha 65] –5%8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Jul 91,853 (LV)2.5%40% [lower-alpha 4] 48%1%1%1%–9%8%
39% [lower-alpha 103] 48%2%1%2% [lower-alpha 104] –8%9%
SurveyMonkey/Study Finds Released Jul 8469 (A)9.5%37% [lower-alpha 103] 55%––8% [lower-alpha 104] ––18%
39% [lower-alpha 105] 61%–––––21%
Zogby Analytics/EMI Research Jul 81,000 (LV)5.6%42%49%––––9%7%
Morning Consult Jul 6–812,000 (LV)± 1%42%51%––3% [lower-alpha 65] –4%9%
Democracy Fund & UCLA Nationscape Archived 2020-11-02 at the Wayback Machine Jul 2–84,983 (RV) [lower-alpha 49] 1.5%41%49%–––––8%
Data for Progress Jul 7673 (RV)5.842%52%––6%––10%
Ipsos/Reuters Archived 2021-01-03 at the Wayback Machine Jul 6–7952 (RV)± 3.6%37% [lower-alpha 49] 43%––10%3%7%6%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports Jul 5–71,500 (LV)± 5.0%40%50%––––6%10%
YouGov/Economist Jul 5–71,165 (RV)± 3.6%40%49%––4%2%4%9%
Morning Consult Jul 3–512,000 (LV)± 1%42%50%––3% [lower-alpha 65] –5%8%
Morning Consult Jun 29 – Jul 533,549 (RV)± 2%39%48%–––––9%
HarrisX/The Hill Archived 2020-12-06 at the Wayback Machine Jul 3–4933 (RV)± 3.2%39%43%––5%5%8%4%
Research Co. Jul 1–2 [lower-alpha 49] 1,049 (LV)± 3.0%40%49%1%–2%4%4%9%
Morning Consult Jun 30 – Jul 212,000 (LV)± 1%42%51%––3% [lower-alpha 65] –4%9%
YouGov/Yahoo News Jun 29 – Jul 11,187 (RV)4.4%40%45%––4%3%9%5%
Global Strategy Group/Data For Progress Jun 23 – Jul 13,249 (RV)–39%50%–2%2% [lower-alpha 106] –4%11%

May 3 – June 30, 2020

Poll sourceDateSample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Jo
Jorgensen
Libertarian 		Howie
Hawkins
Green 		Other UndecidedLead
Ipsos/Reuters Jun 29–30943 (RV)± 3.6%38%46%--10% [lower-alpha 107] 6%8%
YouGov/Economist Jun 28–301,198 (RV)± 3.4%40%49%--6% [lower-alpha 108] 4%9%
IBD/TIPP Jun 27–301,005 (RV)± 3.1%40%48%--––8%
Monmouth Jun 26–30359 (RV)–39%52%4% [lower-alpha 109] <1% [lower-alpha 110] ~2-3% [lower-alpha 111] 3%13%
733 (RV)± 3.6%41% [lower-alpha 112] 53%--4% [lower-alpha 113] 2%12%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jun 8–3065,085 (LV)–46%51%--–2%5%
Morning Consult Jun 27–2912,000 (LV)± 1%43%50%--3% [lower-alpha 65] 4%7%
Suffolk University/USA Today Jun 25–291,000 (RV)± 3.1%41% [lower-alpha 6] 53%--––12%
37% [lower-alpha 114] 46%--11% [lower-alpha 115] 6%9%
Change Research/CNBC Jun 26–281,663 (LV)± 2.4%41%49%5%2%1% [lower-alpha 116] 3%8%
Hart Research Associates/Protect Our Care [upper-alpha 3] Jun 22–281,000 (LV)–41%55%--1% [lower-alpha 117] 3%14%
Morning Consult Archived 2021-02-19 at the Wayback Machine Jun 22–2828,722 (RV)± 1%40%47%--––7%
PureSpectrum/COVID-19 Consortium Archived 2021-02-04 at the Wayback Machine Jun 12–2822,501 (LV)–39%47%--––8%
RMG Research/Scott Rasmussen Jun 25–271,200 (RV)–39%47%--6% [lower-alpha 83] 7%8%
Optimus/Firehouse Jun 23–27903 (LV)–40.6%44.8%--6.1% [lower-alpha 118] 8.5%4.2%
PPP/Giffords [upper-alpha 4] Jun 25–26996 (RV)–42%53%--–5%11%
Morning Consult Jun 24–2612,000 (LV)± 1%42%50%--2% [lower-alpha 12] 5%8%
YouGov/Yahoo News Jun 24–251,244 (RV)–39%47%--5% [lower-alpha 119] 9%8%
Marist College Jun 22–241,515 (RV)± 3.5%44%52%--3%2%8%
Opinium/The Guardian Jun 19–241,215 (LV)–40%52%--3% [lower-alpha 3] 4%12%
Data for Progress Jun 23721 (RV)–44%50%--5% [lower-alpha 66] –6%
HarrisX/The Hill Archived 2021-02-06 at the Wayback Machine Jun 22–23951 (RV)± 3.18%39%43%--9% [lower-alpha 120] 9%4%
Ipsos/Reuters Jun 22–23934 (RV)± 3.7%37%47%--10% [lower-alpha 107] 6%10%
Morning Consult Jun 21–2312,000 (LV)± 1%42%50%--3% [lower-alpha 65] 5%8%
YouGov/Economist Jun 21–231,230 (RV)± 3.3%41%49%--6% [lower-alpha 108] 5%8%
CNBC/Hart Research/Public Opinion Strategies Jun 19–22800 (RV)± 3.5%38%47%--––9%
NYT Upshot/Siena College Jun 17–221,337 (RV)± 3%36%50%--5% [lower-alpha 121] 9%14%
Pew Research Center Jun 16–223,577 (RV)± 2%44%54%--2% [lower-alpha 122] –10%
Morning Consult Jun 15–2130,942 (RV)± 1%39%47%--––8%
Morning Consult Jun 18–2012,000 (LV)± 1%42%50%--3% [lower-alpha 65] 5%8%
PPP/Protect Our Care [upper-alpha 3] Jun 19–201,013 (V)± 3.1%43%52%--–6%9%
Harvard-Harris Jun 17–18~ 1,735 (LV) [lower-alpha 123] –44%56%--––12%
Morning Consult Jun 15–1712,000 (LV)± 1%42%51%--3% [lower-alpha 65] 4%9%
YouGov/Economist Jun 14–161,160 (RV)± 3.5%41%50%--5% [lower-alpha 124] 4%9%
Fox News Jun 13–161,343 (RV)± 2.5%38%50%--7% [lower-alpha 125] 5%12%
Axios/SurveyMonkey Jun 12–165,666 (A)–42%53%--4% [lower-alpha 126] –11%
Echelon Insights Archived 2020-06-23 at the Wayback Machine Jun 12–161,000 (LV)–42%50%--–8%8%
Ipsos/Reuters Jun 10–163,768 (RV) [lower-alpha 49] ± 1.8%35%48%--10% [lower-alpha 107] 7%13%
Optimus/Firehouse Jun 9–16686 (LV)–43.9%50%--6.1% [lower-alpha 127] –6%
Quinnipiac Jun 11–151,332 (RV)± 2.7%41%49%--4% [lower-alpha 128] 5%8%
Morning Consult Jun 12–1412,000 (LV)± 1%42%50%--3% [lower-alpha 65] 5%8%
Change Research/CNBC Jun 12–141,250 (LV)± 2.77%41%51%3%2%0% [lower-alpha 129] 3%10%
Kaiser Family Foundation Jun 8–141,094 (RV)± 4%38%51%--5% [lower-alpha 130] 7%13%
Morning Consult Jun 8–1432,138 (RV)± 1%39%48%--––9%
RMG Research/Scott Rasmussen/Just the News Jun 11–131,200 (RV)–36%48%--6%9%12%
Abacus Data Jun 11–131,004 (LV) [lower-alpha 49] –41%51%--––10%
Firehouse/Optimus Jun 6–13742 (LV)–42.9%51.6%--5.5% [lower-alpha 131] –8.7%
Morning Consult Jun 9–1112,000 (LV)± 1%42%50%--3% [lower-alpha 65] 5%8%
Climate Nexus Jun 6–119,087 (RV)± 1%41%48%--–11%7%
YouGov/Yahoo News Jun 9–101,288 (RV)–40%49%--5% [lower-alpha 132] 6%9%
Democracy Fund & UCLA Nationscape/SurveyUSA May 28 – Jun 1010,601 (RV)± 1.5%39%50%--––11%
YouGov/Econnomist Jun 7–91,241 (RV)± 3.4%41%49%--5% [lower-alpha 124] 5%8%
Ipsos/Reuters Jun 8–9931 (RV)–38%46%--7%9% [lower-alpha 133] 8%
Firehouse/Optimus Jun 2–9762 (LV)–42.2%53%--4.8% [lower-alpha 134] –11%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Jun 2–91,500 (LV)–37%50%1%0%1% [lower-alpha 26] 10%13%
Morning Consult Jun 6–812,000 (LV)± 1%42%51%--3% [lower-alpha 65] 4%9%
MSR Group Jun 7855 (RV)± 3.1%38.9%46.3%--7.3% [lower-alpha 135] 7.5%7.3%
Morning Consult Jun 1–732,380 (RV)± 1%39%47%--––8%
Firehouse/Optimus Jun 4–6787 (LV)–41.9%53.1%--5% [lower-alpha 136] –11.2%
Scott Rasmussen/RMG Research Jun 4–61,200 (RV)–37%47%--9% [lower-alpha 137] 7%10%
Garin-Hart-Yang/Senate Majority PAC/Priorities USA [upper-alpha 5] Jun 3–61,223 (LV)–41%53%--––12%
Morning Consult Jun 3–512,000 (LV)± 1%43%49%--3% [lower-alpha 65] 5%6%
CNN/SSRS Jun 2–51,125 (RV)± 3.6%41%55%--3% [lower-alpha 138] 2%14%
NORC/AEI May 21 – Jun 53,504 (A)± 2.3%32%40%--19% [lower-alpha 139] 9%8%
Whitman Insight Strategies Jun 2–4500 (RV)–43%53%--1%2%10%
HarrisX/The Hill Archived 2021-02-06 at the Wayback Machine Jun 1–42,827 (RV)± 1.8%37%47%--8% [lower-alpha 140] 8%10%
Marist College Jun 2–3958 (RV)± 4.0%43%50%--2%5%7%
Emerson College Jun 2–31,431 (RV)± 2.5%47% [lower-alpha 27] 53%--––6%
Civiqs/Daily Kos Jun 1–31,327 (A)± 2.8%44%47%--7% [lower-alpha 141] 3%3%
IBD/TIPP May 31 – Jun 3964 (RV)–42%45%--––13%
Data for Progress Jun 2 [lower-alpha 49] 688 (RV)–40.2%53.58%--6.22% [lower-alpha 142] –13.4%
Zogby Analytics Jun 1–21,007 (LV)± 3.1%46%46%--–8%Tie
Ipsos/Reuters Jun 1–2964 (RV)–37%47%--––10%
Research Co. Jun 1–21,000 (A)± 3.1%41%46%2%–1%10% [lower-alpha 133] 5%
YouGov/Economist May 31 – Jun 21,244 (RV)± 3.2%40%47%--8% [lower-alpha 143] 5%7%
Morning Consult May 31 – Jun 212,000 (LV)± 1%43%49%--3% [lower-alpha 65] 5%6%
NBC/WSJ May 28 – Jun 21,000 (RV)± 3.1%42%49%--5% [lower-alpha 92] 4%7%
Firehouse/Optimus May 26 – Jun 2795 (LV)–44.4%50.9%--4.7% [lower-alpha 144] –6.5%
Morning Consult May 31 – Jun 11,624 (RV)± 2%39%51%--–10%12%
YouGov/CBS News May 29 – Jun 11,486 (LV)–43%47%--4% [lower-alpha 145] 5%4%
Monmouth May 28 – Jun 1742 (RV)± 3.6%41%52%--6% [lower-alpha 146] 1%11%
Change Research/CNBC May 29–311,457 (LV)± 2.567%41%48%3%3%1% [lower-alpha 129] 4%7%
Morning Consult May 25–3131,983 (RV) [lower-alpha 49] ± 1%41%46%--––5%
PureSpectrum/COVID-19 Consortium Archived 2021-02-04 at the Wayback Machine May 16–3118,132 (LV)–37%46%--––9%
Morning Consult May 28–3012,000 (LV)± 1%44%49%--3% [lower-alpha 65] 5%5%
YouGov/Yahoo News May 29–30861 (RV)–40%48%--6% [lower-alpha 147] 5%8%
RMG Research/Scott Rasmussen/Just the News May 28–301,200 (RV)–39%46%--7% [lower-alpha 73] 8%7%
Firehouse/Optimus May 21–30789 (LV)–45.4%49.7%--4.9% [lower-alpha 148] –4.3%
ABC News/Washington Post May 25–28835 (RV)± 4%43%53%--2% [lower-alpha 149] 1%10%
Morning Consult May 25–2712,000 (LV)± 1%44%48%--3% [lower-alpha 65] 5%4%
TargetSmart May 21–271,200 (RV)± 2.8%40%43%--9% [lower-alpha 150] 8%3%
Ipsos/Reuters May 20–273,732 (RV)± 1.8%39%45%--8% [lower-alpha 151] 7%6%
Data for Progress May 26 [lower-alpha 49] 686 (RV)–49.81%--4.52% [lower-alpha 152] –3.14%
Zogby/EMI/Washington Examiner May 26 [lower-alpha 49] 1,001 (LV)± 3.2%40%53%--––13%
YouGov/Economist May 23–261,153 (RV)± 3.4%42%45%--8% [lower-alpha 143] 6%3%
Firehouse/Optimus May 19–26793 (LV)–44.1%51.8%--4.1% [lower-alpha 153] –7.7%
Morning Consult May 22–2412,000 (LV)± 1%44%48%--3% [lower-alpha 65] 5%4%
Morning Consult Archived 2021-02-19 at the Wayback Machine May 18–2430,317 (RV)± 1%41%46%--––5%
Firehouse/Optimus May 16–23766 (LV)–42.7%53.9%--3.4% [lower-alpha 154] –11.2%
YouGov/Yahoo News May 20–211,218 (RV)–42%46%--6% [lower-alpha 155] 6%4%
Morning Consult May 19–2112,000 (LV)± 1%44%49%--3% [lower-alpha 65] 5%5%
Echelon Insights Archived 2020-06-23 at the Wayback Machine May 18–201,000 (LV)–42%51%--–7%9%
Fox News May 17–201,207 (RV)± 2.5%40%48%--6% [lower-alpha 108] 5%8%
Data for Progress/Harvard May 19810 (RV)–42%51%--––9%
Ipsos/Reuters May 18–19957 (RV)± 3.6%38%47%--7% [lower-alpha 156] 7%9%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research May 18–191,000 (LV)± 3%43%48%--–8%5%
YouGov/Economist May 17–191,235 (RV)± 3.2%42%47%--6% [lower-alpha 108] 5%5%
Firehouse/Optimus May 12–19774 (LV)–41.5%51.5%--7% [lower-alpha 157] –10.0%
Morning Consult May 16–1812,000 (LV)± 1%44%49%--3% [lower-alpha 65] 5%5%
Quinnipiac May 14–181,323 (RV)± 2.7%39%50%--4% [lower-alpha 158] 7%11%
Kaiser Family Foundation May 13–18970 (RV)± 4%41%43%--5% [lower-alpha 159] 12%2%
Change Research/CNBC May 15–171,424 (LV)± 2.6%45%48%3%3%0% [lower-alpha 129] 2%3%
Morning Consult May 11–1728,159 (RV)± 1%41%46%--––5%
Scott Rasmussen/RMG Research/Just the News May 14–161,200 (RV)–39%43%--8% [lower-alpha 160] 9%4%
Firehouse/Optimus May 9–16780 (LV)–41.4%51.6%--7% [lower-alpha 157] –10.2%
Morning Consult May 13–1512,000 (LV)± 1%43%49%--3% [lower-alpha 65] 5%6%
PureSpectrum/COVID-19 Consortium Archived 2021-02-04 at the Wayback Machine May 2–1520,333 (LV)–39%43%--––4%
HarrisX/The Hill Archived 2020-06-03 at the Wayback Machine May 13–14950 (RV)± 3.18%41%42%--9% [lower-alpha 120] 9%1%
Harvard-Harris May 13–141,708 (LV)–47%53%--––6%
Data for Progress/Harvard May 12684 (RV)–41%48%--––7%
Ipsos/Reuters May 11–12973 (RV)–38%46%--––8%
YouGov/Economist May 10–121,175 (RV)± 3.4%43%47%--6% [lower-alpha 108] 5%4%
Morning Consult May 10–1212,000 (LV)± 1%45%48%--3% [lower-alpha 65] 5%3%
Firehouse/Optimus May 5–12728 (LV)–43.3%52%--4.7% [lower-alpha 144] –9%
CNN/SSRS May 7–101,001 (RV)± 4%46%51%--2% [lower-alpha 161] 1% [lower-alpha 38] 5%
Morning Consult May 4–1027,754 (RV)± 1%42%45%--–13%3%
Redfield and Wilton Strategies May 8–91,384 (LV)–40% [lower-alpha 4] 47%--4% [lower-alpha 162] 9%7%
1,408 (LV)–39% [lower-alpha 163] 48%--4% [lower-alpha 162] 9%9%
Morning Consult May 7–912,000 (LV)± 1%44%48%--3% [lower-alpha 65] 4%4%
Scott Rasmussen/RMG Research Archived 2020-11-26 at the Wayback Machine May 7–91,200 (RV)–38%44%--7% [lower-alpha 73] 10%6%
Firehouse/Optimus May 2–9726 (LV)–44.5%50%--5.5% [lower-alpha 131] –5%
HarrisX/The Hill May 6957 (RV)± 3.17%41%41%--9% [lower-alpha 120] 9%Tie
Morning Consult May 4–612,000 (LV)± 1%44%49%--3% [lower-alpha 65] 4%5%
Data for Progress/Harvard May 5795 (RV)–44%50%--––6%
YouGov/Yahoo News May 4–51,224 (RV)–42%45%--7% [lower-alpha 164] 6%3%
Ipsos/Reuters May 4–51,015 (RV)± 3.5%41%43%--9% [lower-alpha 165] 6%2%
YouGov/Economist May 3–51,206 (RV)± 3.3%42%46%--7% [lower-alpha 166] 5%4%
Civiqs/Daily Kos May 2–51,546 (A)± 2.5%44%47%--7% [lower-alpha 141] 2%3%
Firehouse/Optimus Apr 28 – May 5758 (LV)–45%51%--4% [lower-alpha 167] –6%
Monmouth University Apr 30 – May 4739 (RV)± 3.6%41% [lower-alpha 4] 50%--4% [lower-alpha 168] 5%9%
40% [lower-alpha 169] 47%--7% [lower-alpha 170] 6%7%
Morning Consult May 2–31,991 (RV)± 2%41%45%--3% [lower-alpha 171] 11%4%
Change Research/CNBC May 1–31,489 (LV)± 2.54%44%47%--7% [lower-alpha 172] 2%3%
Morning Consult Apr 27 – May 331,117 (RV) [lower-alpha 49] –42%46%--––4%

Jan 1 – May 2, 2020

Poll sourceDateSample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other UndecidedLead
Scott Rasmussen/RMG Research Apr 30 – May 2, 20201,200 (RV)–39%46%7% [lower-alpha 73] 8%7%
Firehouse/Optimus Apr 25 – May 2, 2020765 (LV)–45.3%49.5%5.2% [lower-alpha 173] –4.2%
YouGov/CBS News Apr 28 – May 1, 20201,671 (LV)–43%49%4% [lower-alpha 145] 4%6%
PureSpectrum/COVID-19 Consortium Archived 2021-02-04 at the Wayback Machine Apr 16–30, 202019,505 (LV)–40%44%––4%
Ipsos/Reuters Apr 27–29, 20201,876 (RV)± 2.6%39%45%9% [lower-alpha 174] 7%6%
IBD/TIPP Apr 26–29, 2020948 (RV)–43%43%––Tie
Data for Progress/Harvard Apr 28, 2020895 (RV)–43%52%––9%
YouGov/Economist Apr 26–28, 20201,222 (RV)± 3.2%41%47%6% [lower-alpha 108] 6%6%
Emerson College Apr 26–28, 20201,200 (RV)–46% [lower-alpha 27] 54%––7.4%
Firehouse/Optimus Apr 21–28, 2020766 (LV)–45.3%49.2%5.5% [lower-alpha 131] –3.9%
Morning Consult Apr 20–26, 202030,560 (RV)± 1%42%46%––4%
Scott Rasmussen/RMG Research Apr 23–25, 20201,200 (RV)–38%46%6% [lower-alpha 83] 9%6%
Suffolk University/USA Today Apr 21–25, 20201,000 (RV)–38%44%10% [lower-alpha 175] 9%6%
Firehouse/Optimus Apr 18–25, 2020784 (LV)–44%52%4% [lower-alpha 167] –8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Apr 23, 20201,362 (LV)–40%49%2% [lower-alpha 176] 9%9%
Data for Progress/Harvard Apr 21, 2020860 (RV)–44%49%––5%
YouGov/Economist Apr 19–21, 20201,142 (RV)± 3.4%42%48%5% [lower-alpha 124] 5%6%
Echelon Insights Archived 2020-12-22 at the Wayback Machine Apr 18–21, 20201,000 (LV)–43%52%–5%9%
Ipsos/Reuters Apr 15–21, 20203,806 (RV)± 1.8%39%47%8% [lower-alpha 151] 7%8%
Firehouse/Optimus Apr 14–21, 2020829 (LV)–44.3%52.7%–3%8.4%
HarrisX/The Hill Archived 2020-12-09 at the Wayback Machine Apr 19–20, 2020958 (RV)± 3.17%40%42%9% [lower-alpha 120] 9%2%
Fordham University Apr 16–20, 2020862 (RV)± 4.33%42%56%–3%14%
Climate Nexus April 19, 20201,917 (RV)± 2.3%40%49%–10%9%
Morning Consult Archived 2021-02-19 at the Wayback Machine Apr 13–19, 202031,482 (RV) [lower-alpha 49] ± 1%42%47%––5%
Change Research/CNBC Apr 17–18, 20201,178 (LV)± 2.9%44%48%6% [lower-alpha 177] 1%4%
Scott Rasmussen/RMG Research/Just the News Daily Poll Apr 16–18, 20201,000 (RV)± 2.8%40%49%5% [lower-alpha 22] 6%9%
Firehouse/Optimus Apr 11–18, 2020745 (LV)–44.3%52.2%3.5% [lower-alpha 178] –7.9%
Harvard-Harris Archived 2020-12-22 at the Wayback Machine Apr 14–16, 20202,190 (LV)–47%53%––6%
Morning Consult Archived 2020-10-19 at the Wayback Machine Apr 14–16, 20201,992 (RV)± 2.0%42%46%12% [lower-alpha 179] –4%
43%47%10% [lower-alpha 180] -4%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Apr 13–15, 2020900 (RV)± 3.27%42%49%5%4%7%
Change Research Apr 13–15, 20201,349 (LV)± 3.4%40% [lower-alpha 181] 51%7% [lower-alpha 172] 2%11%
Democracy Fund & UCLA Nationscape Archived 2020-11-02 at the Wayback Machine Apr 9–15, 20205,036 (RV) [lower-alpha 49] –43%48%––5%
Data for Progress/Harvard Apr 14, 2020802 (RV)–45%49%––4%
Ipsos/Reuters Archived 2021-02-19 at the Wayback Machine Apr 13–14, 2020937 (RV)± 4.0%40%45%––5%
YouGov/Economist Apr 12–14, 20201,160 (RV)± 3.4%43%48%5% [lower-alpha 124] 4%5%
Civiqs Apr 11–14, 20201,600 (A)± 2.6%44%48%6%2%4%
Firehouse/Optimus Apr 7–14, 2020732 (LV)–42.1%53.9%4% [lower-alpha 167] –11.8%
Pew Research Center Apr 8–12, 20204,208 (RV)± 2.2%45%47%8%–2%
Morning Consult Archived 2021-02-19 at the Wayback Machine Apr 6–12, 202025,372 (RV) [lower-alpha 49] ± 1%42%45%––3%
Global Strategy Group/314 Action Fund [upper-alpha 6] Apr 6-10, 20201,002 (LV)± 3.1%45%49%–6%4%
Firehouse/Optimus Apr 4–10, 2020814 (LV) [lower-alpha 49] –43.3%52.8%4% [lower-alpha 167] –9.5%
YouGov/Yahoo News Apr 6–7, 20201,139 (RV)–40%49%6% [lower-alpha 155] 5%9%
Ipsos/Reuters Apr 6–7, 2020959 (RV)–37%43%––6%
YouGov/Economist Apr 5–7, 20201,144 (RV)± 3.1%42%48%6% [lower-alpha 108] 4%6%
Fox News Apr 4–7, 20201,107 (RV)± 3.0%42%42%7%6%Tie
Climate Nexus Apr 3–7, 20203,168 (RV)–41%47%––6%
Monmouth University Apr 3–7, 2020743 (RV)± 3.6%44%48%6% [lower-alpha 182] 3%4%
CNN/SSRS Apr 3–6, 2020875 (RV)± 3.9%42%53%2% [lower-alpha 183] 3%11%
Hart Research/Public
Opinion Strategies/CNBC 		Apr 3–6, 2020604 (RV)–39%44%4% [lower-alpha 184] 13% [lower-alpha 185] 5%
Quinnipiac University Apr 2–6, 20202,077 (RV)± 2.2%41%49%5% [lower-alpha 186] 5%8%
Hart Research Associates/Protect Our Care [upper-alpha 7] Apr 3–5, 20201,015 (RV)–43%51%2% [lower-alpha 187] 4%8%
Morning Consult Mar 30 – Apr 5, 202030,985 (RV)± 1%42%46%–12%4%
Firehouse/Optimus Mar 28 – Apr 4, 2020937 (LV) [lower-alpha 49] –43.8%50.2%6% [lower-alpha 188] –6.4%
Research Co. Archived 2020-11-09 at the Wayback Machine Apr 3, 20201,000 (A)± 3.1%44%50%6%–6%
Change Research Apr 2–3, 20201,200 (LV)–45%43%9% [lower-alpha 189] 2%2%
IBD/TIPP Mar 29 – Apr 1, 2020980 (RV)–41%47%6% [lower-alpha 190] 7%6%
Ipsos/Reuters Mar 30–31, 2020930 (RV)–40%46%––6%
YouGov/Economist Mar 29–31, 20201,194 (RV)± 3.2%42%46%7% [lower-alpha 166] 6%4%
Selzer & Co./Grinnell College Mar 27–30, 2020777 (LV)± 3.5%43%47%8%1%4%
Morning Consult Mar 23–29, 202034,645 (RV)± 1%42%46%–12%4%
YouGov Mar 26–28, 20201,193 (RV)± 3.2%42%46%4%6%4%
Change Research Mar 26–28, 20201,845 (LV)± 3.3%42%47%–11%5%
Scott Rasmussen/RMG Mar 26–28, 20201,000 (RV)–40%45%––5%
Firehouse/Optimus Mar 21–28, 20201,032 (LV) [lower-alpha 49] –42.8%51.1%6.1% [lower-alpha 127] –8.3%
YouGov/Yahoo News Mar 25–26, 20201,579 (A)± 3.1%40%46%5% [lower-alpha 191] 8%6%
Zogby Analytics Mar 24–26, 2020889 (LV) [lower-alpha 49] –45%46%–9%1%
Harvard-Harris Mar 24–26, 20202,410 (RV)–45%55%––10%
ABC News/Washington Post Mar 22–25, 2020845 (RV)± 3.5%47%49%2%1%2%
YouGov/Economist Mar 22–24, 20201,167 (RV)± 3.4%42%46%6% [lower-alpha 108] 6%4%
Fox News Mar 21–24, 20201,011 (RV)± 3.0%40%49%5%4%9%
Echelon Insights Archived 2020-12-22 at the Wayback Machine Mar 20–24, 20201,000 (LV)–41%51%–8%10%
Ipsos/Reuters Mar 18–24, 20203,763 (RV)–39%46%––7%
Lord Ashcroft Polls Mar 10–24, 202010,357 (A)–36%48%9% [lower-alpha 192] 7%12%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies Mar 23, 20201,500 (LV)± 2.57%40% [lower-alpha 193] 48%4% [lower-alpha 194] 8%8%
Monmouth University Mar 18–22, 2020754 (RV)± 3.6%45%48%3%4%3%
Morning Consult Mar 16–22, 202036,272 (RV)± 1%42%47%–12%5%
Emerson College Mar 18–19, 20201,100 (RV)± 2.9%47% [lower-alpha 27] 53%––6%
YouGov/Economist Mar 15–17, 20201,129 (RV)± 3.5%41%48%6% [lower-alpha 108] 5%7%
Ipsos/Reuters Mar 13–16, 2020955 (RV)± 3.6%37%46%11% [lower-alpha 195] 6% [lower-alpha 196] 9%
Hart Research & Associates/Protect Our Care [upper-alpha 8] Mar 13–15, 20201,015 (RV)–43%51%2%4%8%
Morning Consult Mar 11–15, 20209,979 (RV)± 1%42%48%–11%6%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Mar 11–13, 2020900 (RV)± 3.3%43%52%3%2%9%
YouGov/Hofstra University Mar 5–12, 20201,500 (LV)± 2.9%49%51%––2%
YouGov Mar 10–11, 20201,240 (RV)–41%45%7% [lower-alpha 197] 6%4%
Civiqs Archived 2020-12-22 at the Wayback Machine Mar 8–11, 20201,441 (RV)± 2.7%46%48%–6%2%
GS Strategy Group/Patients for Affordable Drugs Now Mar 7–11, 20201,000 (LV)± 3.1%42%48%–10%6%
YouGov Mar 8–10, 20201,191 (RV)± 2.9%43%47%5% [lower-alpha 198] 5%4%
Ipsos/Reuters Mar 6–9, 2020956 (RV)± 3.6%42%44%10% [lower-alpha 199] 5% [lower-alpha 196] 2%
Quinnipiac University Mar 5–8, 20201,261 (RV)± 2.8%41%52%3% [lower-alpha 200] 5%11%
Rasmussen Reports Mar 5–8, 20201,000 (RV)± 3%42%48%–9%6%
Morning Consult Mar 5–8, 20206,112 (RV)± 1%42%46%–12%4%
CNN/SSRS Mar 4–7, 20201,084 (RV)± 3.5%43%53%1% [lower-alpha 201] 2%10%
IBD/TIPP Feb 20–29, 2020839 (RV)–46%49%2% [lower-alpha 202] 2%3%
Harvard-Harris Feb 26–28, 2020651 (RV)–45%55%––10%
YouGov/Yahoo News Feb 26–27, 20201,662 (RV)–41%50%6% [lower-alpha 147] 3%9%
Morning Consult Feb 23–27, 20206,117 (RV)± 1%42%46%–12%4%
Fox News Feb 23–26, 20201,000 (RV)± 3.0%41%49%6% [lower-alpha 203] 4%8%
Ipsos/Reuters Feb 19–25, 20203,809 (RV)± 1.8%40% [lower-alpha 49] 47%– [lower-alpha 7] – [lower-alpha 7] 7%
YouGov/CBS News Feb 20–22, 202010,000 (RV)± 1.2%45%47%5% [lower-alpha 204] 4%2%
Saint Leo University Feb 17–22, 20201,000 (A)± 3%39.4%46.8%–13.8%7.4%
Emerson College Feb 16–18, 20201,250 (RV)± 2.7%52% [lower-alpha 27] 48%––4%
ABC News/Washington Post Feb 14–17, 2020913 (RV)± 4%45%52%3% [lower-alpha 205] 1%7%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Feb 14–17, 2020900 (RV)± 3.3%44%52%––8%
Ipsos/Reuters Feb 14–17, 2020947 (RV)± 3.6%40%42%12% [lower-alpha 206] 6% [lower-alpha 196] 2%
SurveyUSA Archived 2020-07-01 at the Wayback Machine Feb 13–17, 20202,768 (RV)± 1.9%45%48%–7%3%
Morning Consult Feb 12–17, 20207,313 (RV)± 1%42%46%–12%4%
NPR/PBS News/Marist College Archived 2020-12-12 at the Wayback Machine Feb 13–16, 20201,164 (RV)± 3.7%44%50%1%5%6%
Zogby Analytics Feb 13–14, 20201,340 (LV) [lower-alpha 49] –46%46%–8%Tie
Ipsos/Reuters Archived 2020-10-19 at the Wayback Machine Feb 7–10, 2020952 (RV)± 3.6%42%44%11% [lower-alpha 207] 4% [lower-alpha 38] 2%
Quinnipiac University Archived 2020-12-06 at the Wayback Machine Feb 5–9, 20201,519 (RV)± 2.5%43%50%5% [lower-alpha 208] 2%7%
Morning Consult Feb 4–9, 202036,180 (RV)± 1%42%45%–13%3%
Zogby Analytics Jan 31 – Feb 2, 2020908 (LV) [lower-alpha 49] –46%46%–8%Tie
Atlas Intel Jan 30 – Feb 2, 20201,600 (RV)± 2%45.4%45.8%–8.8%0.4%
Morning Consult Jan 27 – Feb 2, 20207,178 (RV)± 1%42%46%–12%4%
IBD/TIPP [lower-alpha 209] Jan 23–30, 2020856 (RV)–48%49%2% [lower-alpha 202] 2%1%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Jan 26–29, 20201,000 (RV)± 3.1%44%50%4% [lower-alpha 184] 2%6%
USC Dornlife/LA Times Archived 2020-12-08 at the Wayback Machine Jan 15–28, 20204,869 (RV)± 2%40%49%6% [lower-alpha 210] 5%9%
Morning Consult Jan 20–26, 20208,399 (RV)± 1%41%47%–13%6%
Emerson College Archived 2020-05-07 at the Wayback Machine Jan 21–23, 20201,128 (RV)± 2.8%50%50%––Tie
ABC News/Washington Post Jan 20–23, 2020880 (RV)± 4%46%50%3% [lower-alpha 205] 1%4%
Echelon Insights Archived 2020-12-22 at the Wayback Machine Jan 20–23, 20201,000 (LV)–40%49%–10%9%
Fox News Jan 19–22, 20201,005 (RV)± 3%41%50%8% [lower-alpha 211] 2%9%
CNN/SSRS Jan 16–19, 20201,051 (RV)± 3.6%44%53%1% [lower-alpha 201] 1%9%
Morning Consult Jan 15–19, 20205,944 (RV)± 1%41%46%–13%5%
Zogby Analytics Jan 15–16, 2020882 (LV)–46%46%–8%Tie
SurveyUSA Jan 14–16, 20204,069 (RV)± 1.7%43%50%–7%7%
Morning Consult Archived 2020-11-30 at the Wayback Machine Jan 6–12, 20208,299 (RV)± 1%41%46%–13%5%
IBD/TIPP Jan 3–11, 2020901 (RV)± 3.3%46%48%3% [lower-alpha 212] 2%2%
Morning Consult Dec 30, 2019 – Jan 5, 20208,436 (RV)± 1%40%46%–14%6%

2017–2019

Poll sourceDateSample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other UndecidedLead
Meeting Street Insights Dec 28–30, 20191,000 (RV)–38%49%––11%
Ipsos/Reuters Archived 2020-10-22 at the Wayback Machine Dec 18–19, 20191,117 (A)± 3.3%35%39%17% [lower-alpha 213] 9%4%
Ipsos/Reuters Dec 18–19, 20191,108 (A)± 3.4%36%37%20% [lower-alpha 214] 8%1%
Emerson College Archived 2020-04-16 at the Wayback Machine Dec 15–17, 20191,222 (RV)± 2.7%48%52%––4%
CNN/SSRS Archived 2019-12-23 at the Wayback Machine Dec 12–15, 20191,005 (RV)± 3.7%44%49%1%3%5%
IBD/TIPP Dec 6–14, 2019905 (RV)± 3.3%45%50%3% [lower-alpha 212] 2%5%
Fox News Dec 8–11, 20191,000 (RV)± 3.0%41%48%2%4%7%
Quinnipiac Dec 4–9, 20191,553 (RV)± 2.5%42%51%4% [lower-alpha 158] 3%9%
Zogby Analytics Dec 5–8, 2019865 (LV)± 3.3%46%45%––1%
SurveyUSA Nov 20–21, 20193,850 (RV)± 1.7%39%52%–9%13%
RealClear Opinion Research Nov 15–21, 20192,055 (RV)± 2.38%39%51%–10%12%
Emerson College Nov 17–20, 20191,092 (RV)± 2.9%51%49%––2%
Morning Consult Nov 8, 20191,300 (RV)± 3%40%44%–16%4%
YouGov/Hofstra University Oct 25–31, 20191,500 (LV)± 3%48.5%51.5%––3.0%
ABC/Washington Post Oct 27–30, 2019876 (RV)± 4%39%56%4% [lower-alpha 215] 0%17%
FOX News Oct 27–30, 20191,040 (RV)± 3%39%51%7% [lower-alpha 125] 4%12%
IBD/TIPP Archived 2020-11-15 at the Wayback Machine Oct 27–30, 2019903 (A)± 3.3%41%51%––10%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Oct 27–30, 2019720 (RV)± 3.7%41%50%6% [lower-alpha 216] 3%9%
Morning Consult/Politico Oct 25–28, 20191,997 (RV)± 2%36%41%–23%5%
Emerson College Archived 2021-01-25 at the Wayback Machine Oct 18–21, 20191,000 (RV)± 3.0%49%51%––2%
CNN/SSRS Oct 17–20, 2019892 (RV)± 4.0%43%53%2% [lower-alpha 122] 1% [lower-alpha 217] 10%
Ipsos/Reuters Oct 17–18, 2019945 (RV)± 3.6%38%47%9% [lower-alpha 218] 6% [lower-alpha 38] 9%
SurveyUSA Archived 2021-02-06 at the Wayback Machine Oct 15–16, 20193,080 (RV)± 2.1%41%52%–7%11%
Lord Ashcroft Polls Oct 1–15, 201915,051 (A)–41%59%––18%
Fox News Oct 6–8, 20191,003 (RV)± 3.0%40%50%5%2%10%
Quinnipiac University Archived 2021-01-16 at the Wayback Machine Oct 4–7, 20191,483 (RV)± 3.1%40%51%2%4%11%
Zogby Analytics Oct 1–3, 2019887 (LV)± 3.3%47%45%–8%2%
IBD/TIPP Sep 26 – Oct 3, 2019863 (RV)± 3.5%44%51%1%3%7%
HarrisX Archived 2019-12-12 at the Wayback Machine Oct 1–2, 20191,000 (RV)–35%44%11% [lower-alpha 219] 10%9%
Ipsos/Reuters Sep 26–30, 20191,917 (RV)± 2.6%36%43%11%8%7%
Rasmussen Reports Sep 23–24, 20191,000 (LV)± 3.0%47%43%––4%
Ipsos/Reuters Archived 2020-12-23 at the Wayback Machine Sep 23–24, 2019876 (RV)± 3.8%36%42%12%8%6%
Emerson College Archived 2020-02-03 at the Wayback Machine Sep 21–23, 20191,019 (RV)± 3.0%49%50%––1%
Zogby Analytics Archived 2020-10-29 at the Wayback Machine Sep 16–17, 20191,004 (LV)± 3.1%44%49%–8%5%
Fox News Sep 15–17, 20191,008 (RV)± 3.0%38%52%5%2%14%
SurveyUSA Sep 13–16, 20194,520 (RV)± 1.6%41%49%–10%8%
Marquette University Law School Sep 3–13, 20191,244 (A)–35% [lower-alpha 220] 45% [lower-alpha 221] 20% [lower-alpha 222] – [lower-alpha 223] 10%
ABC News/Washington Post Sep 2–5, 2019877 (RV)± 4.0%40%55%–1%15%
IBD/TIPP Aug 22–30, 2019848 (RV)± 3.5%42%54%1%3%12%
Emerson College Archived 2020-04-19 at the Wayback Machine Aug 24–26, 20191,458 (RV)± 2.5%46%54%––8%
Quinnipiac University Archived 2021-01-16 at the Wayback Machine Aug 21–26, 20191,422 (RV)± 3.1%38%54%1%4%16%
Morning Consult Aug 16–18, 20191,998 (RV)± 2.0%35%42%–23%7%
Fox News Aug 11–13, 20191,013 (RV)± 3.0%38%50%5%4%12%
SurveyUSA Aug 1–5, 20195,459 (RV)± 1.6%42%50%–9%8%
IBD/TIPP Jul 25 – Aug 1, 2019856 (RV)± 3.5%41%54%1%3%14%
Emerson College Archived 2020-02-03 at the Wayback Machine Jul 27–29, 20191,233 (RV)± 2.7%49%51%––2%
HarrisX Archived 2019-08-04 at the Wayback Machine Jul 25–26, 20191,000 (RV)–39%42%11% [lower-alpha 224] 8%3%
Fox News Jul 21–23, 20191,004 (RV)± 3.0%39%49%5%5%10%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Jul 7–9, 2019800 (RV)± 3.5%42%51%4%3%9%
Emerson College Archived 2020-04-14 at the Wayback Machine Jul 6–8, 20191,100 (RV)± 2.9%47%53%––6%
Rasmussen Reports Jun 23 – Jul 2, 20194,500 (LV)± 1.5%44%48%–7%4%
ABC News/Washington Post Jun 28 – Jul 1, 2019875 (RV)± 4.0%43%53%–1%10%
Emerson College Archived 2020-01-27 at the Wayback Machine Jun 21–24, 20191,096 (RV)± 2.9%45%55%––10%
HarrisX Archived 2019-06-25 at the Wayback Machine Jun 22–23, 20191,001 (RV)± 3.1%40%41%11% [lower-alpha 225] 8%1%
Fox News Jun 9–12, 20191,001 (RV)± 3.0%39%49%5%5%10%
Ipsos/Daily Beast Jun 10–11, 20191,005 (A)± 2.5%35%46%–9%11%
Quinnipiac University Jun 6–10, 20191,214 (RV)± 3.5%40%53%1%4%13%
Morning Consult Jun 7–9, 20191,991 (RV)± 2.0%33%44%–24%11%
Ipsos/Reuters Archived 2020-11-30 at the Wayback Machine May 29 – Jun 5, 20193,851 (RV)± 1.8%36%50%7%5%14%
HarrisX Archived 2019-06-03 at the Wayback Machine May 25–26, 20191,001 (RV)± 3.1%36%43%5%11%7%
Change Research May 18–21, 20192,904 (LV)± 1.8%46%47%7%–1%
Civiqs/Daily Kos May 12–14, 20191,650 (RV)± 2.6%44%48%–8%4%
Fox News Archived 2020-11-12 at the Wayback Machine May 11–14, 20191,008 (RV)± 3.0%38%49%5%5%11%
Emerson College Archived 2020-02-17 at the Wayback Machine May 10–13, 20191,006 (RV)± 3.0%46%54%––8%
Zogby Analytics Archived 2020-11-08 at the Wayback Machine May 2–9, 2019903 (LV)–39%49%–12%10%
HarrisX Archived 2019-05-01 at the Wayback Machine Apr 28–29, 20191,002 (RV)± 3.1%36%43%8%8%7%
CNN/SSRS Apr 25–28, 2019470 (RV)± 5.5%45%51%<1%2%6%
HarrisX Archived 2021-02-06 at the Wayback Machine Apr 25–26, 20191,000 (RV)± 3.1%37%43%5%15%6%
Morning Consult Apr 19–21, 20191,992 (RV)± 2.0%34%42%–19%8%
Emerson College Archived 2020-04-14 at the Wayback Machine Apr 11–14, 2019914 (RV)± 3.2%47%53%––6%
Civiqs/Daily Kos Apr 6–9, 20191,584 (RV)± 2.7%45%45%–10%Tie
HarrisX Archived 2019-12-31 at the Wayback Machine Mar 31 – Apr 1, 20191,000 (RV)± 3.1%36%45%8%8%9%
Public Policy Polling Mar 27–28, 2019846 (RV)± 3.4%40%53%–7%13%
Rasmussen Reports Mar 17–28, 20195,000 (LV)± 1.5%44%49%–7%5%
Fox News Mar 17–20, 20191,002 (RV)± 3.0%40%47%4%5%7%
Emerson College Archived 2020-05-13 at the Wayback Machine Mar 17–18, 20191,153 (RV)± 2.8%45%55%––10%
HarrisX Archived 2019-04-02 at the Wayback Machine Mar 17–18, 20191,001 (RV)± 3.1%33%44%8%10%11%
Civiqs/Daily Kos Archived 2020-11-05 at the Wayback Machine Mar 9–12, 20191,622 (A)± 2.6%43%48%–9%5%
Change Research Mar 8–10, 20194,049 (LV)± 2.5%46%51%––5%
D-CYFOR Feb 22–23, 20191,000 (RV)± 3.1%40%51%–9%11%
Emerson College Archived 2020-04-30 at the Wayback Machine Feb 14–16, 20191,000 (RV)± 3.0%45%55%––10%
Change Research Jan 31 – Feb 1, 20191,338 (LV)± 2.7%45%52%––7%
Øptimus Archived 2019-12-24 at the Wayback Machine Jan 30 – Feb 1, 20191,084 (LV)± 3.0%43%50%–7%7%
Public Policy Polling Jan 19–21, 2019760 (RV)± 3.6%41%53%–6%12%
HarrisX Dec 16–17, 20181,001 (RV)± 3.1%36%42%–22%6%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 24–29, 20183,064 (RV)–44%53%–3%9%
Morning Consult/Politico Archived 2020-11-27 at the Wayback Machine Aug 16–18, 20181,974 (RV)± 2.0%31%43%–26%12%
Morning Consult/Politico Jul 26–30, 20181,993 (RV)± 2.0%37%44%–19%7%
Public Policy Polling Jun 8–10, 2018679 (RV)± 3.8%39%53%–8%14%
Zogby Analytics May 10–12, 2018881 (LV)± 3.2%38%48%–14%10%
Public Policy Polling Mar 23–25, 2018846 (RV)± 3.4%39%56%–6%17%
Public Policy Polling Feb 9–11, 2018687 (RV)± 3.7%42%51%–7%9%
CNN/SSRS Jan 14–18, 2018913 (RV)± 3.8%40%57%1%1%17%
Zogby Analytics Jan 12–15, 2018847 (LV)± 3.4%38%53%–9%15%
Public Policy Polling Dec 11–12, 2017862 (RV)± 3.3%40%54%–6%14%
Morning Consult/Politico Nov 9–11, 20171,993 (RV)± 2.0%35%46%–20%11%
Public Policy Polling Oct 27–29, 2017572 (RV)± 4.1%38%56%–6%16%
Zogby Analytics Oct 19–25, 20171,514 (LV)± 2.5%41%50%–9%9%
Emerson College Oct 12–14, 2017820 (RV)± 3.4%42%51%–7%9%
Public Policy Polling Sep 22–25, 2017865 (RV)± 3.3%40%53%–6%13%
Public Policy Polling Aug 18–21, 2017887 (RV)± 3.3%39%51%–11%12%
Public Policy Polling Archived 2020-12-23 at the Wayback Machine Jul 14–17, 2017836 (RV)± 3.4%39%54%–7%15%
Public Policy Polling Jun 9–11, 2017811 (RV)± 3.4%41%54%–5%14%
Public Policy Polling Archived 2021-02-11 at the Wayback Machine May 12–14, 2017692 (RV)± 3.7%40%54%–6%14%
Public Policy Polling Apr 17–18, 2017648 (RV)± 3.9%40%54%–6%14%
Public Policy Polling Mar 27–28, 2017677 (RV)± 3.8%40%54%–6%14%

See also

Notes

  1. 1 2 Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 "Some other candidate" with 3%
  4. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 Standard VI response
  5. ↑ Overlapping sample with the previous IBD/TIPP poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  6. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 If only Biden and Trump were candidates
  7. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 Not yet released
  8. 1 2 3 4 5 6 With the only options as Biden, Trump and "someone else" and additional weighting based on respondents' estimated chances of voting
  9. ↑ Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  10. 1 2 "Refused" with 2%
  11. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 West (B) with 1%
  12. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 "Someone else" with 2%
  13. ↑ Overlapping sample with the previous Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  14. ↑ Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  15. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 "Some other candidate" with 2%
  16. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Results generated with high Democratic turnout model
  17. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Results generated with high Republican turnout model
  18. 1 2 3 "Neither/other" with 3%
  19. 1 2 No voters
  20. 1 2 3 4 "Another candidate" with 2%
  21. ↑ "Other" and "Refused" with 3%
  22. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 "Some other candidate" with 5%
  23. ↑ "Refused" with 2%; "Someone else" with no voters
  24. ↑ Would not vote with no voters
  25. ↑ Would not vote with 0%
  26. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 "Another Third Party/Write-in" with 1%
  27. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  28. 1 2 3 4 5 "Someone else" with 4%
  29. ↑ Includes did not vote
  30. ↑ "Don't recall" with 1%
  31. ↑ Did/would not vote with 0%
  32. ↑ "Another candidate" with 4%
  33. ↑ "A different candidate" with 2%
  34. ↑ West (B) with 0%
  35. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 "Some other candidate" with 4%
  36. ↑ "Someone else" with 2%; "Refused" with 1%
  37. ↑ "Some other candidate" with 1%; "Undecided"/would not vote with 6%
  38. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Includes "Refused"
  39. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "Some other candidate" with 1%
  40. 1 2 "Someone else" with 1%
  41. ↑ Likely voter model assuming 70% turnout
  42. 1 2 Likely voter model assuming 55% turnout
  43. ↑ "Another candidate" with 6%; "Refused" with 1%
  44. 1 2 3 "Someone else" with 5%
  45. 1 2 "Another candidate" with 3%
  46. ↑ "Another candidate" with 0%
  47. ↑ "None of these" with 0%; "Other" with no voters
  48. ↑ "Other" with no voters; "neither" with 0%
  49. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  50. 1 2 "A different candidate" with 3%
  51. ↑ "Some other candidate" with 3%; West (B) with 0%
  52. ↑ With only Biden, Trump and "Some other candidate" available
  53. ↑ "None/other" with 1%
  54. ↑ "Third party candidate" with 3%
  55. 1 2 "Neither/other" with 2%
  56. ↑ "Third party candidate" with 4%
  57. ↑ "Another candidate" with 1.5%
  58. ↑ "Another candidate" with 7%
  59. ↑ "Another candidate" with 5%
  60. ↑ "Someone else" with 0%
  61. 1 2 "Other" and "None of these" with 0%
  62. ↑ Likely voter model assuming 68% turnout
  63. ↑ "Skipped/Refused" with 0%
  64. ↑ "Someone else" with 4%; "Refused" with 2%
  65. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 "Someone else" with 3%
  66. 1 2 "A different candidate" with 5%
  67. ↑ "Someone else" with 3%; "Refused" with 0%
  68. ↑ "Another candidate" with 7%; "Skipped/Refused" with 1%
  69. ↑ Registered Voters subsample of full sample of 2019 adults
  70. ↑ "Other candidate or neither candidate" with 3%
  71. ↑ "Undecided/third party" with 6%
  72. ↑ "Someone else/third party" with 3%
  73. 1 2 3 4 5 "Some other candidate" with 7%
  74. ↑ If only Biden and Trump were candidates and including voters who lean towards a given candidate
  75. ↑ LV subsample of full 1,604 RV sample
  76. ↑ "A different candidate" with 4%
  77. 1 2 "Refused" with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
  78. ↑ "Refused" with 3%
  79. 1 2 "Someone else/don't know/no opinion" with 7%
  80. ↑ Results with tighter Likely Voter screen; additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  81. ↑ Sample size not yet released, but results with looser Likely Voter screen
  82. 1 2 "Other" with 4%; "No response" with 0%
  83. 1 2 3 4 "Some other candidate" with 6%
  84. 1 2 "Someone else/don't know/no opinion" with 6%
  85. 1 2 "Someone else/third party" with 4%
  86. ↑ Kanye West (affiliated with the Birthday Party, but listed in the poll as an independent) with 1%
  87. ↑ "Prefer not to answer" with 3%
  88. ↑ "Other" with 8%; "Refused" with 4%
  89. ↑ Listed as "Not eligible to vote"
  90. ↑ "Other" with 1%
  91. ↑ Listed as "Neither"
  92. 1 2 "Neither/other" with 5%
  93. 1 2 "A different candidate" with 8%
  94. ↑ With voters who lean towards a given candidate if only Biden and Trump were candidates
  95. ↑ "Some other candidate" with 3%; West (B) with 2%
  96. ↑ "Someone else" with 5%; "Refused" with 1%
  97. ↑ Kanye West (B) with 2%
  98. 1 2 "Other candidate" with 1%
  99. ↑ West (B) with 3%
  100. ↑ "Other candidate" with 3%
  101. ↑ "Skipped on web" and "Refused" with 0%
  102. ↑ "Another candidate" with 10%; "Skipped/Refused" with 1%
  103. 1 2 With Kanye West
  104. 1 2 Kanye West
  105. ↑ Without Kanye West
  106. ↑ Jacob Hornberger
  107. 1 2 3 "Some other candidate" with 8%; would not vote with 2%
  108. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 "Other" with 4%; would not vote with 2%
  109. ↑ Listed as Jorgensen
  110. ↑ Listed as Hawkins
  111. ↑ "Other candidate" with 2%; "no one" with <1%
  112. ↑ Response without naming third party candidates
  113. ↑ "Some other candidate" with 4%; "no one" with 0%
  114. ↑ With a third party option
  115. ↑ "Third party candidate" with 11%
  116. ↑ Would not vote with 1%
  117. ↑ "Third party candidate" with 1%
  118. ↑ "Other candidate" with 5.6%; would not vote with 0.5%
  119. ↑ "Other" with 4%; would not vote with 1%
  120. 1 2 3 4 "Other" with 5%; would not vote with 4%
  121. ↑ "Another candidate" with 3%; Would not vote with 2%
  122. 1 2 "Neither" with 2%
  123. ↑ 92% of a sample of 1,886 registered voters
  124. 1 2 3 4 "Other" with 3%; would not vote with 2%
  125. 1 2 "Other" with 5%; would not vote with 2%
  126. ↑ "No answer" with 4%
  127. 1 2 Would not vote with 6.1%
  128. ↑ "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 1%
  129. 1 2 3 Would not vote
  130. ↑ "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote and "refused" with 1%
  131. 1 2 3 Would not vote with 5.5%
  132. ↑ "Third party candidate" with 4%; would not vote with 1%
  133. 1 2 Includes would not vote
  134. ↑ Would not vote with 4.8%
  135. ↑ "Neither/other" with 7.3%
  136. ↑ Would not vote with 5%
  137. ↑ "Some other candidate" with 9%
  138. ↑ "Other" with 1%; "neither" with 2%
  139. ↑ Would not vote with 13%; "Third party candidate" with 6%
  140. ↑ "Other" and would not vote with 4%
  141. 1 2 "Someone else" with 7%
  142. ↑ "A different candidate" with 6.22%
  143. 1 2 "Other" with 5%; would not vote with 3%
  144. 1 2 Would not vote with 4.7%
  145. 1 2 "Someone else/third party" with 4%; would not vote with 0%
  146. ↑ "Other" with 5%; "no one" with 1%
  147. 1 2 "Third party candidate" with 5%; would not vote with 1%
  148. ↑ Would not vote with 4.9%
  149. ↑ "Other" and "Neither" with 1%; would not vote with 0%
  150. ↑ "Other candidate" with 6%; would not vote with 3%
  151. 1 2 "Some other candidate" with 6%; would not vote with 2%
  152. ↑ "A different candidate" with 4.52%
  153. ↑ Would not vote with 4.1%
  154. ↑ Would not vote with 3.4%
  155. 1 2 "Third party candidate" with 4%; would not vote with 2%
  156. ↑ "Some other candidate" with 5%; would not vote with 2%
  157. 1 2 Would not vote with 7%
  158. 1 2 "Someone else" with 2%; would not vote with 2%
  159. ↑ "Refused" with 3%; "someone else" and would not vote with 1%
  160. ↑ Amash with 3%; "Other" with 5%
  161. ↑ "Other" and "neither" with 1%
  162. 1 2 "Third party/write-in" with 4%; would not vote with no voters
  163. ↑ Voting intention for an exclusively vote-by-mail election
  164. ↑ "Third party candidate" with 5%; would not vote with 2%
  165. ↑ "Some other candidate" with 7%; would not vote with 2%
  166. 1 2 "Other" with 4%; would not vote with 3%
  167. 1 2 3 4 Would not vote with 4%
  168. ↑ "Other candidate" with 3%; "no one" with 1%
  169. ↑ With Justin Amash
  170. ↑ Justin Amash with 5%; "Other candidate" with 1%; "no one" with 1%
  171. ↑ Would not vote with 3%
  172. 1 2 "Third party candidate" with 6%; would not vote with 1%
  173. ↑ Would not vote with 5.2%
  174. ↑ "Other" with 7%; would not vote with 2%
  175. ↑ "Third party candidate" with 8%; "refused" with 1%
  176. ↑ "Would vote for a third party/write-in candidate" with 2%; would not vote with no voters
  177. ↑ "Third party candidate" with 6%; would not vote with 0%
  178. ↑ Would not vote with 3.5%
  179. ↑ Justin Amash with 1%; "Someone else" with 5%; Would not vote with 6%
  180. ↑ "Someone else" with 5%; Would not vote with 5%
  181. ↑ Vote shares listed as proportion of decided voters for candidate X + proportion of leaners for candidate X * proportion of voters who are leaners
  182. ↑ "Other candidate" with 5%; "No one" with 1%
  183. ↑ "Other" with 0%; “neither” with 2%
  184. 1 2 "Neither/other" with 4%
  185. ↑ "Not sure" with 9%; "Depends" with 4%
  186. ↑ "Someone else" with 3%; Would not vote with 2%
  187. ↑ "Third party candidate" with 2%
  188. ↑ Would not vote with 6%
  189. ↑ "Other" with 9%; would not vote with 0%
  190. ↑ "Other" with 5%; "prefer not to answer" with 1%
  191. ↑ "Third party candidate" with 3%; would not vote with 2%
  192. ↑ Would not vote with 9%
  193. ↑ Percentages calculated as listed percentage in sample without undecided voters * Percentage of voters who are not undecided
  194. ↑ "Would vote for a third party/write-in candidate" with 4%
  195. ↑ "Neither/other" with 7%; would not vote with 4%
  196. 1 2 3 Listed as "don't know/refused"
  197. ↑ "Third party candidate" with 4%; would not vote with 3%
  198. ↑ "Other" with 2%; would not vote with 3%
  199. ↑ "Neither/other" with 8%; Would not vote with 2%
  200. ↑ "Someone else" with 1%; Would not vote with 2%
  201. 1 2 "Other" with 0%; "neither" with 1%
  202. 1 2 "Other" with 1%; "refused" with 1%
  203. ↑ "Other" with 2%; would not vote with 4%
  204. ↑ "Someone else/third party" with 4%; would not vote with 1%
  205. 1 2 "Other" with 0%; "Neither" with 2%; would not vote with 1%
  206. ↑ "Neither/other" with 10%; would not vote with 2%
  207. ↑ "Neither/other" with 8%; would not vote with 3%
  208. ↑ "Someone else" with 2%; Would not vote with 3%
  209. ↑ Sample size for registered voters sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  210. ↑ "Some other party's candidate" with 6%
  211. ↑ "Other" with 6%; would not vote with 2%
  212. 1 2 "Other" with 2%; "refused" with 1%
  213. ↑ "Neither/other" with 10%; Would not vote with 7%
  214. ↑ "Neither/other" with 12%; Would not vote with 8%
  215. ↑ "Other" with 0%; "neither" with 2%; would not vote with 2%
  216. ↑ "Neither/other" with 6%
  217. ↑ Listed as "no opinion"
  218. ↑ "Neither/other" with 6%; would not vote with 3%
  219. ↑ "Other" with 5%; would not vote with 6%
  220. ↑ 7% said they'd probably (as opposed to definitely) vote for Trump
  221. ↑ 12% said they'd probably (as opposed to definitely) vote for Biden
  222. ↑ "Someone else" with 13%; Would not vote with 6%; no answer with 1%
  223. ↑ See Biden and Trump notes
  224. ↑ "Other" with 7%; would not vote with 5%
  225. ↑ "Other" with 8%; would not vote with 3%
Partisan clients
  1. ↑ The Conservative Energy Network primarily supports Republican candidates
  2. ↑ Protect Our Care is a pro-Affordable Care Act organisation
  3. 1 2 Poll sponsored by Protect Our Care, a pro-Affordable Care Act Organisation
  4. ↑ Giffords is a PAC which supports gun control measures
  5. ↑ This poll was sponsored by the Senate Majority PAC, which supports Democratic Senate candidates, and Priorities USA, a Democratic super PAC
  6. ↑ The 314 Action Fund is a PAC which supports the election of scientists
  7. ↑ The poll's sponsor is a pro-Affordable Care Act organisation
  8. ↑ This poll's sponsor, Protect Our Care, is a pro-Affordable Care Act organisation

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References

  1. ↑ Panagopoulos, Costas (2021). "Polls and Elections: Accuracy and Bias in the 2020 U.S. General Election Polls". Presidential Studies Quarterly. 51: 214–227. doi:10.1111/psq.12710. ISSN   1741-5705. S2CID   233802562.
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