Nationwide opinion polling for the 1968 United States presidential election

Last updated

This article provides a list of scientific, nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the 1968 United States presidential election.

Contents

Presidential election

Richard Nixon vs Hubert Humphrey vs George Wallace

Polling aggregates
Candidates
  Richard Nixon
  Hubert Humphrey
  George Wallace
  Undecided/Other
Events
  Conventions
Poll sourceDateRichard Nixon
Republican
Hubert Humphrey
Democratic
George Wallace
American Ind.
Undecided/OtherLeading by
(points)
Election ResultsNovember 5, 196843.42%42.72%13.53%0.33%0.70
Harris [1] November 4, 196840%43%13%4%3
Gallup [2] November 4, 196842%40%14%4%2
Harris [3] November 1, 196840%37%16%7%3
Gallup [4] October 24, 196844%36%15%5%8
Harris [5] October 18, 196840%35%18%7%5
Gallup [6] October 9, 196844%29%20%7%8
Gallup [7] September 29, 196843%28%21%8%15
Harris [8] September 23, 196839%31%21%9%8
Gallup [9] September 11, 196843%31%19%7%12
Harris [10] August 27, 196840%34%17%9%6
Gallup [11] August 21, 196845%29%18%8%16
Harris [12] [13] July 31, 196836%41%16%7%5
Crossley [14] [15] July 31, 196839%36%19%6%3
Gallup [16] July 31, 196840%38%16%6%2
Harris [17] [18] July 20, 196835%37%17%11%2
Gallup [19] July 11, 196835%40%16%9%5
Harris [20] June 24, 1968----7
Gallup [21] June 23, 196837%42%14%7%5
Gallup [22] June 12, 196836%42%14%8%6
Harris [23] May 23, 196837%41%14%8%4
Gallup [24] May 12, 196839%36%14%11%3
Harris [25] May 6, 196836%38%13%13%2
Gallup [26] April 21, 196843%34%14%9%9
Harris [27] April 6, 196834%35%12%19%1

Hypothetical Polling

Richard Nixon vs Eugene McCarthy vs George Wallace

Poll sourceDateRichard Nixon
Republican
Eugene McCarthy
Democratic
George Wallace
American Ind.
UndecidedLeading by
(points)
Harris [28] August 27, 196841%35%16%8%6
Gallup [29] August 21, 196842%37%16%5%5
Harris [30] [31] July 31, 196835%43%15%7%8
Crossley [32] [33] July 31, 196840%41%11%8%1
Gallup [34] July 31, 196841%36%16%7%5
Harris [35] [36] July 20, 196834%42%16%8%8
Gallup [37] July 11, 196836%39%18%7%3
Gallup [38] June 23, 196839%41%14%6%2
Harris [39] May 23, 196840%39%14%7%1
Gallup [40] May 12, 196839%36%14%10%3
Harris [41] May 6, 196837%40%13%10%3
Gallup [42] April 21, 196841%38%10%11%3
Harris [43] April 6, 196833%39%10%18%6

Richard Nixon vs Lyndon Johnson vs George Wallace

Poll sourceDateRichard Nixon
Republican
Lyndon Johnson
Democratic
George Wallace
American Ind.
UndecidedLeading by
(points)
Harris [44] August 28, 196842%36%16%6%6
Harris [45] July 30, 196835%41%17%7%6
Harris [46] March, 1968 [lower-alpha 1] 39%41%13%7%3
Gallup [47] March 26, 196841%39%-14%3
Harris [48] February 27, 196838%47%11%4%9
Gallup [49] February 24, 196842%42%-16%Tied
39%39%11%11%Tied
Harris [50] February 20, 196843%48%-9%5
Gallup [51] January 20, 196839%51%-10%12

Richard Nixon vs Lyndon Johnson vs George Wallace vs Eugene McCarthy

Poll sourceDateRichard Nixon
Republican
Lyndon Johnson
Democratic
George Wallace
American Ind.
Eugene McCarthy
Peace
UndecidedLeading by
(points)
Gallup [52] January 6, 196830%39%11%12%8%9

Richard Nixon vs Robert Kennedy vs George Wallace

Poll sourceDateRichard Nixon
Republican
Robert Kennedy
Democratic
George Wallace
American Ind.
UndecidedLeading by
(points)
Harris [53] May 23, 196840%42%13%5%2
Gallup [54] May 12, 196842%32%15%11%10
Harris [55] May 6, 196840%38%14%8%2
Gallup [56] April 21, 196841%38%10%11%3
Harris [57] April 6, 196835%41%8%16%6

Nelson Rockefeller vs Hubert Humphrey vs George Wallace

Poll sourceDateNelson Rockefeller
Republican
Hubert Humphrey
Democratic
George Wallace
American Ind.
UndecidedLeading by
(points)
Harris [58] [59] July 31, 196840%34%20%6%6
Crossley [60] [61] July 31, 196837%31%22%10%6
Gallup [62] July 31, 196836%36%21%7%Tied
Harris [63] [64] July 20, 196837%34%19%10%3
Gallup [65] July 11, 196836%36%21%7%Tied
Gallup [66] June 23, 196839%38%17%6%1
Gallup [67] June 12, 196836%39%17%8%3
Harris [68] May 23, 196837%40%17%6%3
Gallup [69] May 12, 196840%33%16%11%3
Harris [70] [71] May 6, 196839%37%16%8%2

Nelson Rockefeller vs Eugene McCarthy vs George Wallace

Poll sourceDateNelson Rockefeller
Republican
Eugene McCarthy
Democratic
George Wallace
American Ind.
UndecidedLeading by
(points)
Harris [72] [73] July 31, 196840%34%20%6%6
Crossley [74] [75] July 31, 196838%30%22%10%8
Gallup [76] July 31, 196836%35%21%7%1
Harris [77] [78] July 20, 196832%38%20%10%6
Gallup [79] July 11, 196835%37%20%8%2
Gallup [80] June 23, 196838%39%16%7%1
Harris [81] May 23, 196838%36%19%8%2
Gallup [82] May 12, 196840%31%17%12%9
Harris [83] [84] May 6, 196838%36%15%11%2

Nelson Rockefeller vs Robert Kennedy vs George Wallace

Poll sourceDateNelson Rockefeller
Republican
Robert Kennedy
Democratic
George Wallace
American Ind.
UndecidedLeading by
(points)
Harris [85] May 23, 196841%36%17%6%5
Gallup [86] May 12, 196842%28%18%12%14
Harris [87] [88] May 6, 196841%33%17%9%8

Notes

  1. The original announcement of the March Harris poll has not been found in the New York Times' Archives, but it is referenced in comparison to a later poll made in July.

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References

  1. "Nation Will Vote Today; Close Presidential Race Predicted In Late Polls" (PDF). New York Times. 1968-11-05. Retrieved 2020-12-10.
  2. Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1935-1971. Vol. III. p. 2168.
  3. "Humphrey Gains In A Harris Poll" (PDF). New York Times. 1968-11-02. Retrieved 2020-12-10.
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  5. "Humphrey Gains In A Harris Poll" (PDF). New York Times. 1968-10-19. Retrieved 2020-12-10.
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