Graphical summaries
General elections were held in Pakistan on 25 July 2018. Since the previous general election, several pollsters conducted opinion polls at both the national and provincial levels.
Voting intention polls conducted since 2013 for the National Assembly.
| Date | Pollster | Publisher | Sample | PML-N | PTI | PPP | MQM-P | MMA* | ANP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 July 2018 | Election 2018 | ECP | 53,123,733 | 24.35% | 31.82% | 13.01% | 1.38% | 4.81% | 1.53% | 22.98% | 7.47% |
| 12 Jul 2018 | SDPI [1] | Herald | 6,004 | 25% | 29% | 20% | — | 3% | 1% | 20% | 4% |
| 04 Jul 2018 | IPOR [2] | GSP | 3,735 | 32% | 29% | 13% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 20% | 3% |
| 06 Jun 2018 | Gallup Pakistan [3] | Geo/Jang | 3,000 | 26% | 25% | 16% | — | 2% | 1% | 30% | 1% |
| 28 May 2018 | Pulse Consultant [3] | 3,163 | 27% | 30% | 17% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 20% | 3% | |
| May 2018 | Gallup Pakistan [4] | Self | 3,000 | 38% | 25% | 15% | 22% | 13% | |||
| Mar 2018 | Gallup Pakistan [5] | WSJ | 2,000 | 36% | 24% | 17% | 23% | 12% | |||
| 01 Nov 2017 | Gallup Pakistan [6] | Geo/Jang | 3,000 | 34% | 26% | 15% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 19% | 8% |
| 25 Oct 2017 | Pulse Consultant [6] | 3,243 | 36% | 23% | 15% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 22% | 13% | |
| 24 Oct 2017 | IPOR [7] [8] | GSP | 4,540 | 38% | 27% | 17% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 14% | 11% |
| 24 Apr 2017 | Gallup Pakistan [9] | Self | 1,400 | 36% | 25% | 16% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 16% | 11% |
| 38% | 22% | 17% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 14% | 16% | ||||
| 27 Aug 2015 | SDPI [10] [11] | 3,014 | 27% | 33% | 14% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 20% | 6% | |
| 17 Jul 2014 | SDPI [12] | Herald | 1,354 | 17% | 33% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 18% | 14% |
| 11 May 2013 | Election 2013 [13] | ECP | 45,388,404 | 32.77% | 16.92% | 15.23% | 5.41% | 3.22% | 1.00% | 25.57% | 15.85% |
*Muttahida Majlis-e-Amal is an alliance of Islamist political parties, formed in 2002 and dissolved after the 2008 elections. The restoration of this alliance occurred in December 2017. Polls conducted before the restoration show the sum for Jamiat Ulema-e-Islam (F), the major political party in this alliance.
Voting intention polls conducted for each of the provinces. If a party has N/A listed in the poll, this indicates it is in the 'Others' section of the poll. If a certain poll result is bolded, this indicates that the option has achieved over 50% of the vote.
| Date | Pollster | Legislature type | PML (N) | PTI | PPP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 July 2018 | Election 2018 | Provincial | 31.8% | 33.7% | 5.4% | 29.1% | 1.9% |
| 12 Jul 2018 | SDPI [1] | unspecified | 40% | 33% | 7% | 20% | 7% |
| 04 Jul 2018 | IPOR [2] | National | 50% | 31% | 5% | 14% | 19% |
| 06 Jun 2018 | Gallup Pakistan [3] | unspecified | 40% | 26% | 6% | 28% | 14% |
| 02 Jun 2018 | IPOR [14] | unspecified | 51% | 30% | 5% | 14% | 21% |
| 28 May 2018 | Pulse Consultant [3] | unspecified | 43% | 34% | 5% | 18% | 9% |
| 01 Nov 2017 | Gallup Pakistan [6] | unspecified | 50% | 31% | 5% | 14% | 19% |
| 25 Oct 2017 | Pulse Consultant [6] | unspecified | 55% | 20% | 7% | 18% | 35% |
| 24 Oct 2017 | IPOR [8] | National | 58% | 23% | 6% | 13% | 35% |
| 27 Aug 2015 | SDPI [10] [11] | National | 38% | 35% | 7% | 20% | 3% |
| 17 Jul 2014 | SDPI [12] | Provincial | 25% | 43% | 11% | 21% | 18% |
| 11 May 2013 | Election 2013 [13] | Provincial | 40.8% | 17.8% | 8.8% | 32.6% | 23.0% |
| Date | Pollster | Legislature type | PPP | MQM (P) | GDA* | PTI | PML (N) | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 July 2018 | Election 2018 | Provincial | 38.4% | 7.7% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 2.4% | 22.4% | 23.5% |
| 12 Jul 2018 | SDPI [1] | unspecified | 54% | 2% | 10% | 14% | 4% | 16% | 40% |
| 04 Jul 2018 | IPOR [2] | National | 35% | 7% | 5% | 18% | 10% | 25% | 17% |
| 06 Jun 2018 | Gallup Pakistan [3] | unspecified | 44% | — | 9% | 4% | 43% | 35% | |
| 28 May 2018 | Pulse Consultant [3] | unspecified | 45% | 5% | — | 11% | 4% | 35% | 34% |
| 01 Nov 2017 | Gallup Pakistan [6] | unspecified | 44% | 10% | — | 11% | 35% | 33% | |
| 25 Oct 2017 | Pulse Consultant [6] | unspecified | 46% | 7% | — | 10% | — | 37% | 36% |
| 24 Oct 2017 | IPOR [8] | National | 52% | 11% | 2% | 14% | 12% | 7% | 38% |
| 27 Aug 2015 | SDPI [10] [11] | National | 41% | 5% | — | 21% | 13% | 20% | 20% |
| 17 July 2014 | SDPI [12] | Provincial | 50% | 20% | 5% | 25% | 30% | ||
| 11 May 2013 | Election 2013 [13] | Provincial | 32.6% | 25.5% | 11.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 18.1% | 7.1% |
*The “Grand Democratic Alliance” is an alliance of political parties which was formed in late 2017. Polls before this show the sum for PML-F, the major party in this alliance before its formation
| Date | Pollster | Legislature type | PTI | PML (N) | MMA | ANP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 July 2018 | Election 2018 | Provincial | 32.3% | 9.9% | 17.1% | 12.2% | 28.5% | 15.2% |
| 12 Jul 2018 | SDPI [1] | unspecified | 43% | 10% | 11% | 6% | 30% | 31% |
| 04 Jul 2018 | IPOR [2] | National | 45% | 12% | 6% | 8% | 29% | 33% |
| 06 Jun 2018 | Gallup Pakistan [3] | unspecified | 57% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 22% | 48% |
| 28 May 2018 | Pulse Consultant [3] | unspecified | 57% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 17% | 47% |
| 01 Nov 2017 | Gallup Pakistan [6] | unspecified | 47% | 10% | 43% | 37% | ||
| 25 Oct 2017 | Pulse Consultant [6] | unspecified | 53% | 13% | 34% | 40% | ||
| 24 Oct 2017 | IPOR [8] | National | 62% | 10% | 1% | 5% | 22% | 52% |
| 27 Aug 2015 | SDPI [10] [11] | National | 50% | 15% | 7% | 7% | 21% | 35% |
| 17 Jul 2014 | SDPI [12] | Provincial | 40% | — | 13% | 12% | 35% | 27% |
| 11 May 2013 | Election 2013 [13] | Provincial | 19.3% | 15.9% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 40.9% | 3.4% |
| Date | Pollster | Legislature type | MMA | PMAP | PML (N) | BNP | NP | PPP | ANP | PTI | BAP | Other's | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 July 2018 | Election 2018 | Provincial | 14.9% | 1.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 6.0% | 24.6% | 28.8% | 9.7% |
| 12 Jul 2018 | SDPI [1] | unspecified | 8% | 4% | 11% | 6% | — | 15% | — | 11% | 45% | 4% | |
| 04 Jul 2018 | IPOR [2] | National | 12% | 10% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 16% | 4% | 8% | 7% | 35% | 4% |
| 06 Jun 2018 | Gallup Pakistan [3] | unspecified | 23% | 9% | 2% | 14% | 11% | 20% | 4% | 5% | 12% | 3% | |
| 28 May 2018 | Pulse Consultant [3] | unspecified | 11% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 5% | 36% | 3% | 12% | 7% | 14% | 24% |
| 01 Nov 2017 | Gallup Pakistan [6] | unspecified | 22% | 18% | 16% | 13% | 5% | 7% | 4% | 5% | — | 10% | 4% |
| 25 Oct 2017 | Pulse Consultant [6] | unspecified | 5% | 0% | 39% | 8% | 0% | 5% | 7% | 21% | 15% | 18% | |
| 24 Oct 2017 | IPOR [8] | National | — | 6% | 15% | 8% | 1% | 9% | 2% | 33% | 26% | 18% | |
| 27 Aug 2015 | SDPI [10] [11] | National | 18% | — | 5% | — | 10% | 12% | 4% | 51% | 6% | ||
| 17 July 2014 | SDPI [12] | Provincial | — | 23% | 22% | — | 14% | 41% | 1% | ||||
| 11 May 2013 | Election 2013 [13] | Provincial | 15.8% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | — | 40.9% | 3.0% |
Exit Poll
By election result
| Date | Pollster | Sample | PTI | PML (N) | JI | ANP | PPP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct 2017 | By-election 2017 | 131,298 | 34.8% | 18.9% | 5.4% | 18.9% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 15.9% |
| 26 Oct 2017 | CPDI [15] | 1,742 | 43% | 16% | 8% | 20% | 9% | 6% | 23% |
| 19 Oct 2017 | IPOR [16] | 1,313 | 41% | 18% | 4% | 9% | 9% | 19% | 25% |
| 11 May 2013 | Election 2013 [13] | 138,555 | 39.8% | 14.7% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 13.5% | 25.1% |
| Date | Pollster | Sample | PTI | Ind (Ch.) | PML (N) | PPP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 July 2018 | Election 2018 | 215,669 | 46.8% | 30.5 | 10.7% | 1.2% | 10.8% | 16.3% |
| 28 Feb 2018 | IPOR [17] | 598 | 37% | 41% | 2% | 20% | 4% | |
| 11 May 2013 | Election 2013 [13] | 236,624 | 46.6% | 43.2% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | |
| Date | Pollster | Sample | PML (N) | PTI | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 July 2018 | Election 2018 | 250,254 | 48.9% | 42.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% |
| 17 September 2017 | By-election 2017 | 125,129 | 49.4% | 37.6% | 13.0% | 11.8% |
| 17 September 2017 | CPDI [18] | 1,433 | 46% | 40% | 14% | 6% |
| 12 September 2017 | Pulse Consultant [19] | 1,520 | 62% | 23% | 15% | 39% |
| 10 September 2017 | Gallup Pakistan [20] | 1,500 | 53% | 29% | 18% | 24% |
| 06 September 2017 | IPOR [21] | 2,198 | 49% | 34% | 17% | 15% |
| 11 May 2013 | Election 2013 [13] | 153,328 | 60.5% | 34.6% | 4.9% | 25.9% |
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| Date | Pollster | Sample | Agree (Right) | Disagree (Wrong) | Don’t Know | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 April 2018 | Gallup Pakistan [22] | 1,586 | 53% | 40% | 7% | 13% |
| 01 Nov 2017 | Gallup Pakistan [6] | 3,000 | 55% | 33% | 11% | 22% |
| 54% | 31% | 15% | 23% | |||
| 25 Oct 2017 | Pulse Consultant [6] | 3,243 | 48% | 31% | 21% | 17% |
| 47% | 28% | 25% | 19% | |||
| 24 Oct 2017 | GSP [8] | 4,540 | 65% | 33% | 2% | 32% |
| 69% | 28% | 3% | 39% | |||
| 28 July 2017 | Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif is disqualified from office by the Supreme Court | |||||
| Date | Pollster | Nawaz Sharif | Imran Khan | Don’t Know | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 2018 | Gallup Pakistan [4] | 50% | 45% | 5% | 5% |
| March 2018 | Gallup Pakistan [5] | 49% | 46% | 5% | 3% |
| (undefined) 2017 | Gallup Pakistan [5] | 51% | 39% | 10% | 12% |
| (undefined) 2016 | Gallup Pakistan [5] | 57% | 37% | 6% | 20% |
| (undefined) 2015 | Gallup Pakistan [5] | 59% | 35% | 6% | 24% |
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