2006 South Carolina gubernatorial election

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2006 South Carolina gubernatorial election
Flag of South Carolina.svg
←  2002 November 7, 2006 2010  →
  Mark Sanford, Official Portrait, 113th Congress (3x4).jpg No image.svg
Nominee Mark Sanford Tommy Moore
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote601,868489,076
Percentage55.1%44.8%
2006 South Carolina gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
County results
Sanford:      50–60%     60–70%
Moore:      50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Governor before election

Mark Sanford
Republican

Elected Governor

Mark Sanford
Republican

The 2006 South Carolina gubernatorial election took place on November 7, 2006. Incumbent Republican Governor Mark Sanford won re-election against Democratic State Senator Tommy Moore, becoming only the third Republican governor in South Carolina to win a second term (Robert Kingston Scott and Carroll A. Campbell Jr. were the others). Sanford started the campaign with a double-digit edge over Moore and he maintained that lead to election day. During the campaign, Sanford's approval rating averaged in the mid-fifties. [1] In Sanford's re-election victory, he also garnered 22% of the African American vote.

Contents

Democratic primary

Tommy Moore, a State Senator from western South Carolina, emerged with Florence Mayor Frank Willis as the major candidates in the Democratic primary election for governor. Rumors circulated that Superintendent of Education and former U.S. Senate candidate, Inez Tenenbaum, might enter the race, but she ultimately chose not to run for governor nor seek re-election to her position. Kenneth Holland, a former U.S. Representative from the 5th congressional district, briefly entered the race, but dropped out a month later after failing to raise enough financial contributions.

Moore and Willis traded barbs over campaign contributions made by Willis and his wife to prominent Republicans, including President George W. Bush and Senator Lindsey Graham. Attorney C. Dennis Aughtry entered the campaign at the eleventh hour and floated the idea of legalizing casinos statewide to raise money for public schools. Moore garnered more than 50% of the vote in the Democratic primary held on June 13 and thus avoided a runoff election.

Democratic primary results [2]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Tommy Moore 88,092 63.68
Democratic Frank Willis42,31730.59
Democratic C. Dennis Aughtry7,9345.74
Total votes138,343 100

Republican primary

Primary results by county: .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} Sanford 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% Lovelace 50-60% 60-70% 2006 South Carolina governor Republican primary.svg
Primary results by county:
  Sanford
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  Lovelace
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%

Portending a sign of trouble, incumbent Governor Mark Sanford faced a primary challenge from Oscar Lovelace, a physician from the Midlands. When former Governor David Beasley ran for re-election in 1998, he faced a primary challenge and went on to lose the general election to Jim Hodges. Sanford's veto of a heart center for Lexington County and theatrics such as bringing pigs to the Statehouse to show his displeasure of pork barrel spending by the General Assembly angered and annoyed many Republicans. However, Sanford's strategy of avoiding Lovelace and refusal to debate worked as the governor scored a decisive victory in the primary on June 13.

Republican primary results [3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Mark Sanford (incumbent) 160,238 64.80
Republican Oscar Lovelace87,04335.20
Total votes247,281 100

Campaign

Governor Mark Sanford proposed three major issues in his campaign for re-election, chief among them being the restructuring of state government. He wanted to reduce the number of statewide elected officials from nine to three and eliminate the state's Budget and Control Board. The governor insisted that these measures would reduce the number of redundant positions and make state government both more efficient and less costly. Sanford's three major issues for the campaign were:

State Senator Tommy Moore ran as a good manager of state government. He held socially conservative and fiscally moderate positions, which put him squarely at odds with the libertarian incumbent. Moore disagreed with what he believed was Sanford's condescending and combative approach of dealing with the General Assembly. The senator also believed that Sanford lacked leadership skills, and that lack of leadership had brought South Carolina to a standstill over the past four years in his view. The main policy proposals that he developed were:

On July 7, several weeks after the primary election, Lexington County State Senator Jake Knotts launched a last-minute effort to place his name on the ballot as a petition candidate for governor. He had feuded with Governor Sanford over a number of issues, including the heart center for Lexington County, and supported Lovelace in the Republican primary. In order to be on the ballot in November, Knotts needed to collect 10,000 signatures of registered voters by July 17, which he failed to do. Knotts's political consultant publicly stated that he could not have raised enough money to have run a successful candidacy.

There were two trains of thought on the effects of a candidacy by Knotts. It was generally believed that had Knotts entered the race, it would have split the Republican vote and helped elect Tommy Moore. However, because those who supported Knotts went on to support Moore, it was also argued that a Knotts candidacy would have in fact deprived Moore of both votes and money.

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Likely RNovember 6, 2006
Sabato's Crystal Ball [5] Safe RNovember 6, 2006
Rothenberg Political Report [6] Safe RNovember 2, 2006
Real Clear Politics [7] Safe RNovember 6, 2006

Polling

SourceDateTommy
Moore (D)		Mark
Sanford (R)
Survey USA November 5, 200640%57%
Palmetto Poll October 26, 200631%58%
Rasmussen October 25, 200634%57%
Survey USA October 17, 200641%56%
Survey USA September 28, 200646%50%
Survey USA September 20, 200641%54%
Rasmussen September 10, 200638%51%
Rasmussen Archived 2006-09-22 at the Wayback Machine August 4, 200638%47%
Rasmussen June 23, 200639%51%
Rasmussen May 10, 200633%52%
Rasmussen February 17, 200636%49%

Results

South Carolina Gubernatorial Election, 2006
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Mark Sanford (incumbent) 601,868 55.12% +2.2%
Democratic Tommy Moore 489,07644.79%-2.2%
Independent Write-ins 1,0080.1%
Majority112,79210.3%+4.4%
Turnout 1,091,95244.5%-9.6%
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

See also

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References

  1. ↑ "Do you approve or disapprove of the job Mark Sanford is doing as Governor?". SurveyUSA.
  2. ↑ "South Carolina Election Returns - June 13, 2006 Democratic Primary - Official Results" (PDF). South Carolina State Election Commission. Archived from the original (PDF) on March 30, 2015.
  3. ↑ "South Carolina Election Returns - June 13, 2006 Republican Primary - Official Results" (PDF). South Carolina State Election Commission. Archived from the original (PDF) on August 2, 2022.
  4. ↑ "2006 Governor Race Ratings for November 6, 2006" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Archived from the original (PDF) on June 5, 2008. Retrieved October 1, 2006.
  5. ↑ "Election Eve 2006: THE FINAL PREDICTIONS". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved June 25, 2021.
  6. ↑ "2006 Gubernatorial Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved June 25, 2021.
  7. ↑ "Election 2006". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved June 25, 2021.
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