2016 United States presidential election in Vermont

Main article: 2016 United States presidential election

2016 United States presidential election in Vermont

←  2012 November 8, 2016 2020  →
Turnout	67.95%
Nominee Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Bernie Sanders (write-in) Party Democratic Republican Independent Home state New York New York Vermont Running mate Tim Kaine Mike Pence none Electoral vote 3 0 0 Popular vote 178,573 95,369 18,218 Percentage 55.72% 29.76% 5.68%
County results Municipality results Clinton   40-50%   50-60%   60-70%   70-80%   80-90% Trump   40-50%   50-60%   60-70%
President before election Barack Obama Democratic Elected President Donald Trump Republican

Treemap of the popular vote by county.

The 2016 United States presidential election in Vermont was held on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Vermont voters chose three electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and her running mate, Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. Independent Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders received unsolicited write-in votes.

Clinton won Vermont with 55.7% of the vote and ^[1] a vote margin of 25.9%, a substantial decline from Barack Obama's 35.6% margin in 2012. ^[2] Trump received 29.8% of the vote statewide and carried Essex County—the most rural and sparsely populated county in the state, thus making him the first Republican presidential candidate to win a county in Vermont since George W. Bush in 2004.

After voting Republican in all but one election from 1856 to 1988, Vermont has since become one of the most reliably Democratic strongholds in the nation. In 2016, Trump became only the second Republican, after George W. Bush, to win the White House without carrying Vermont.

Vermont Senator and Democratic primary candidate Bernie Sanders, who had endorsed Clinton after she won the primary, received 5.7% of the vote through write-ins, the highest write-in draft campaign percentage for a statewide presidential candidate in history. ^[3] Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson, received 3.1%, and Green Party nominee Jill Stein received 2.1%. ^[4] Trump's 29.76% vote share is the worst for a Republican presidential nominee in Vermont history.

Primary elections

On March 1, 2016, in the presidential primaries, Vermont voters expressed their preferences for the Democratic, Republican, and Libertarian parties. Voters who were unaffiliated chose any 1 primary in which to vote.

Democratic primary

Main article: 2016 Vermont Democratic presidential primary

The 2016 Vermont Democratic primary took place on March 1 as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

On the same day, dubbed "Super Tuesday," Democratic primaries were held in 10 other states plus American Samoa, while the Republican Party held primaries in 11 states including their own Vermont primary.

As Sanders was an extremely popular favorite son, there was no campaign to speak of and all pledged delegates were given to Sanders, due to Clinton getting less than 15% of the popular vote. Sanders won every municipality in the state.

Republican primary

Main article: 2016 Vermont Republican presidential primary

Vermont Republican primary, March 1, 2016

Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
			Bound	Unbound	Total
Donald Trump	19,974	32.34%	8	0	8
John Kasich	18,534	30.01%	8	0	8
Marco Rubio	11,781	19.08%	0	0	0
Ted Cruz	5,932	9.61%	0	0	0
Ben Carson	2,551	4.13%	0	0	0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn)	1,106	1.79%	0	0	0
Rand Paul (withdrawn)	423	0.68%	0	0	0
Chris Christie (withdrawn)	361	0.58%	0	0	0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn)	212	0.34%	0	0	0
Rick Santorum (withdrawn)	164	0.27%	0	0	0
Unprojected delegates:			0	0	0
Total:	61,756	100.00%	16	0	16
Source: The Green Papers

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
Los Angeles Times [5]	Safe D	November 6, 2016
CNN [6]	Safe D	November 4, 2016
Cook Political Report [7]	Safe D	November 7, 2016
Electoral-vote.com [8]	Safe D	November 8, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report [9]	Safe D	November 7, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball [10]	Safe D	November 7, 2016
RealClearPolitics [11]	Safe D	November 8, 2016
Fox News [12]	Safe D	November 7, 2016

Polling

See also: Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election § Vermont

Hillary Clinton won every poll pre-election by double digits. Interestingly, she only reached 50% in the last poll, leading 50% to 22%, which may indicate support for writing in Bernie Sanders or other third party candidates. The average of the final three polls showed Hillary Clinton leading Trump 48% to 22%. ^[13]

Results

2016 United States presidential election in Vermont ^{[14] [15]}

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Hillary Clinton	178,573	55.72%
	Republican	Donald Trump	95,369	29.76%
	Independent	Bernie Sanders (write-in)	18,218	5.68%
	Libertarian	Gary Johnson	10,078	3.14%
	Green	Jill Stein	6,758	2.11%
	Reform	Rocky De La Fuente	1,063	0.33%
	Republican	John Kasich (write-in)	831	0.26%
	Independent	Evan McMullin (write-in)	641	0.20%
	Liberty Union	Gloria La Riva	327	0.10%
	Constitution	Darrell Castle (write-in)	63	0.02%
	Socialist	Mimi Soltysik (write-in)	3	<0.01%
	Write-in	Other Write-in	3,143	1.00%
	n/a	No Name/None of the Above	257	0.09%
	n/a	Spoiled/blank	5,400	1.69%
Total votes			320,467	100.00%
	Democratic win

Extended content
	Other Write-ins	Candidate	Votes	Percentage
	Republican	Mike Pence (write-in)	305	0.09%
	Republican	Paul Ryan (write-in)	209	0.06%
	Republican	Mitt Romney (write-in)	122	0.04%
	Republican	Marco Rubio (write-in)	93	0.03%
	Republican	Jeb Bush (write-in)	79	0.03%
	Republican	John McCain (write-in)	76	0.03%
	Republican	Ted Cruz (write-in)	63	0.02%
	Libertarian	Ron Paul (write-in)	25	0.02%
	Republican	Colin Powell (write-in)	25	0.02%
	Democratic	Martin O'Malley (write-in)	6	<0.01%
	n/a	Write-in (Other)	2,140	0.72%

Results by county

County	Hillary Clinton Democratic		Donald Trump Republican		Various candidates Other parties		Margin		Total votes cast
	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%
Addison	11,219	58.95%	5,297	27.83%	2,515	13.22%	5,922	31.12%	19,031
Bennington	9,539	54.88%	5,925	34.09%	1,917	11.03%	3,614	20.79%	17,381
Caledonia	6,445	45.79%	5,534	39.32%	2,095	14.89%	911	6.47%	14,074
Chittenden	54,814	65.71%	18,601	22.30%	10,001	11.99%	36,213	43.41%	83,416
Essex	1,019	34.84%	1,506	51.49%	400	13.67%	-487	-16.65%	2,925
Franklin	9,351	43.67%	8,752	40.88%	3,308	15.45%	599	2.79%	21,411
Grand Isle	2,094	50.96%	1,487	36.19%	528	12.85%	607	14.77%	4,109
Lamoille	7,241	56.74%	3,570	27.97%	1,951	15.29%	3,671	28.77%	12,762
Orange	7,541	51.48%	5,007	34.18%	2,101	14.34%	2,534	17.30%	14,649
Orleans	5,185	43.04%	5,159	42.83%	1,702	14.13%	26	0.21%	12,046
Rutland	13,635	46.04%	12,479	42.14%	3,501	11.82%	1,156	3.90%	29,615
Washington	18,594	59.81%	7,993	25.71%	4,499	14.48%	10,601	34.10%	31,086
Windham	14,340	63.36%	5,454	24.10%	2,840	12.54%	8,886	39.26%	22,634
Windsor	17,556	58.66%	8,605	28.75%	3,767	12.59%	8,951	29.91%	29,928
Totals	178,573	56.68%	95,369	30.27%	41,125	13.05%	83,204	26.41%	315,067

County Flips:

Democratic   Hold

Republican   Gain from Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

• Essex (largest town: Lunenburg) ^[16]

By congressional district

Due to the state's low population, only one congressional district is allocated. This district, called the At-Large district because it covers the entire state, is thus equivalent to the statewide election results.

District	Trump	Clinton	Representative
At-large	29.76%	55.72%	Peter Welch

See also

• United States presidential elections in Vermont
• 2016 Democratic Party presidential debates and forums
• 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries
• 2016 Republican Party presidential debates and forums
• 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries

References

1. "2016 Presidential General Election Results - Vermont".
2. "Vermont Election Results 2016". The New York Times. August 1, 2017. ISSN   0362-4331 . Retrieved January 11, 2020.
3. Weigel, David (November 17, 2016). "More than 18,000 Vermonters wrote in Bernie Sanders for president". The Washington Post. Retrieved January 11, 2020.
4. "Vermont Election Night Results". sec state vt us/. Archived from the original on May 28, 2019. Retrieved November 12, 2016.
5. "Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours". Los Angeles Times . November 6, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
6. Chalian, David (November 4, 2016). "Road to 270: CNN's new election map". CNN . Retrieved March 3, 2019.
7. "2016 Electoral Scorecard". The Cook Political Report . November 7, 2016. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
8. "2016 Electoral Map Prediction". Electoral-vote.com . November 8, 2016. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
9. "Presidential Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved August 16, 2021.
10. Sabato, Larry J. (November 7, 2016). "2016 President". University of Virginia Center for Politics . Retrieved March 3, 2019.
11. "2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
12. "Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge". Fox News. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
13. "RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - Vermont: Trump vs. Clinton". www.realclearpolitics.com. 2017. Retrieved September 15, 2020.
14. "Presidential Election Statement of Votes". Vermont Secretary of State. Archived from the original on April 7, 2016. Retrieved November 26, 2016.
15. http://www.thegreenpapers.com/G16/VT The Green Papers
16. "Here's a map of the US counties that flipped to Trump from Democrats". www.cnbc.com. Retrieved September 1, 2020.

External links

• RNC 2016 Republican Nominating Process Archived 2016-11-08 at the Wayback Machine
• Green papers for 2016 primaries, caucuses, and conventions
• Decision Desk Headquarter Results for Vermont