Bolton North East (UK Parliament constituency)

Last updated

Bolton North East
Borough constituency
for the House of Commons
BoltonNorthEast2007Constituency.svg
Boundary of Bolton North East in Greater Manchester
EnglandGreaterManchester.svg
Location of Greater Manchester within England
County Greater Manchester
Population95,288 (2011 census) [1]
Electorate 66,600 (December 2010) [2]
Major settlements Bromley Cross = Tonge Moor]] he left Conservative Party on Friday May 31ST 2024]]
Current constituency
Created 1983
Member of Parliament Mark Logan (Conservative)
SeatsOne
Created from Bolton West
Bolton East
Darwen [3]

Bolton North East is a constituency [n 1] represented in the House of Commons of the UK Parliament since 2019 by Mark Logan, an MP who defected to the Labour Party in May 2024. [n 2]

Contents

Constituency profile

The seat covers the north part of Bolton town and extends into the West Pennine Moors.

Bolton North East has more often than not to date been a marginal seat [n 3] between Labour and Conservative candidates. In 1992, Labour's David Crausby came tantalisingly close to gaining the seat, but did not, as his party were expecting to. It would not be until 1997 that Labour gained the seat, with a huge 12,000 majority, holding it for the next 22 years. Altogether, the national statistics collected reflect a socially diverse seat in terms of income; this has been a highly marginal seat when national polls are close, with lower than average social housing, and less deprivation than the average for the metropolitan county. [4]

Boundaries

Bolton North East (UK Parliament constituency)
Map of present boundaries

1983–1997: The Metropolitan Borough of Bolton wards of Astley Bridge, Bradshaw, Breightmet, Bromley Cross, Central, and Tonge.

1997–2010: The Metropolitan Borough of Bolton wards of Astley Bridge, Bradshaw, Breightmet, Bromley Cross, Central, Halliwell, and Tonge.

2010–present: The Metropolitan Borough of Bolton wards of Astley Bridge, Bradshaw, Breightmet, Bromley Cross, Crompton, Halliwell, and Tonge with the Haulgh.

Bolton North East was created for the 1983 general election from parts of the constituencies of Bolton West and the former Bolton East. It covers Bolton's town centre, and the districts in close proximity (Breightmet, Crompton, Halliwell, Tonge with the Haulgh) are Labour-voting areas, whereas the outer suburbs (Astley Bridge, Bradshaw, Bromley Cross) are much more Conservative inclined. Labour comfortably held the seat in 2010, with very little swing from the previous election.

Proposed

Further to the 2023 Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies, enacted by the Parliamentary Constituencies Order 2023, the composition of the constituency from the 2024 general election will be expanded to bring the electorate within the permitted range. This will be achieved by adding the Bolton Borough ward of Little Lever and Darcy Lever, to be transferred from Bolton South East. [5]

Following a local government boundary review which came into effect in May 2023, [6] [7] the constituency will now comprise the following wards of the Metropolitan Borough of Bolton from the 2024 general election:

Members of Parliament

ElectionMember [9] Party
1983 Peter Thurnham Conservative
Feb 1996 Independent
Oct 1996 Liberal Democrats
1997 Sir David Crausby Labour
2019 Mark Logan Conservative

Elections

Bolton North East election results 1997-2017 BoltonNEGraph.svg
Bolton North East election results 1997–2017

Elections in the 2020s

General election 2024: Bolton North East
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Green Hanif Alli [10]
Labour Kirith Entwistle [11]
Liberal Democrats Rebecca Forrest [12]
Reform UK Trevor Jones [13]

Elections in the 2010s

General election 2019: Bolton North East [14]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Mark Logan 19,759 45.4 +3.2
Labour David Crausby 19,38144.5−6.1
Brexit Party Trevor Jones1,8804.3New
Liberal Democrats Warren Fox1,8474.2+1.3
Green Liz Spencer6891.6+0.8
Majority3780.9N/A
Turnout 43,55664.5-2.7
Conservative gain from Labour Swing +4.7
General election 2017: Bolton North East [15]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labour David Crausby 22,870 50.6 +7.6
Conservative James Daly 19,07342.2+9.4
UKIP Harry Lamb1,5673.5−15.3
Liberal Democrats Warren Fox1,3162.90.0
Green Liz Spencer3570.8−1.8
Majority3,7978.4−1.8
Turnout 45,18367.2+3.6
Labour hold Swing −0.8
General election 2015: Bolton North East [16] [17]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labour David Crausby 18,541 43.0 −3.1
Conservative James Daly 14,16432.8−3.7
UKIP Harry Lamb8,11718.8+14.6
Liberal Democrats Stephen Rock1,2362.9−10.1
Green Laura Diggle1,1032.6New
Majority4,37710.2+0.8
Turnout 43,16163.6−0.7
Labour hold Swing
General election 2010: Bolton North East [18] [19]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labour David Crausby 19,870 45.9 −0.4
Conservative Deborah Dunleavy15,78636.5+2.2
Liberal Democrats Paul Ankers5,62413.0−3.1
UKIP Neil Johnson1,8154.2+2.4
You PartyNorma Armston1820.4New
Majority4,0849.4−2.5
Turnout 43,27764.3+9.8
Labour hold Swing −1.3

Elections in the 2000s

General election 2005: Bolton North East [20]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labour David Crausby 16,874 45.7 −8.6
Conservative Paul Brierley12,77134.6+1.9
Liberal Democrats Adam Killeya6,04416.4+6.1
UKIP Kevin Epsom6401.7New
Veritas Alan Ainscow3751.0New
Socialist Labour Lynne Lowe2070.6−0.4
Majority4,10311.1-10.5
Turnout 36,91154.8−1.2
Labour hold Swing −5.2
General election 2001: Bolton North East [21]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labour David Crausby 21,166 54.3 −1.8
Conservative Michael Winstanley12,74432.7+2.3
Liberal Democrats Tim Perkins4,00410.3+0.4
Green Kenneth McIvor6291.6New
Socialist Labour Lynne Lowe4071.0−0.4
Majority8,42221.6-4.1
Turnout 38,95056.0−16.4
Labour hold Swing

Elections in the 1990s

General election 1997: Bolton North East [22] [23] [24]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Labour David Crausby 27,62156.13
Conservative Rob Wilson 14,95230.39
Liberal Democrats Edmund Critchley4,8629.88
Referendum David Staniforth1,0962.23New
Socialist Labour William Kelly6761.37New
Majority12,66925.74N/A
Turnout 49,20772.37
Labour hold Swing 10.2 [25]

For the 1997 general election the boundaries of the seat were significantly redrawn. The Times Guide to the House of Commons 1997 estimated that had the new boundaries been used for the previous general election rather than being narrowly held by the Conservatives, the seat would have been won by the Labour candidate with a majority of 3,017 over the Conservatives. Thus technically the seat was notionally a Labour hold at this election rather than a gain for the party. The swing above is based on this notional result. [25]

General election 1992: Bolton North East [26] [27]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Peter Thurnham 21,644 44.9 +0.5
Labour David Crausby 21,45944.5+1.8
Liberal Democrats Brian Dunning4,97110.3−2.7
Natural Law Peter Tong1810.4New
Majority1850.4−1.3
Turnout 48,25582.3+3.6
Conservative hold Swing −0.7

Elections in the 1980s

General election 1987: Bolton North East [28] [29]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Peter Thurnham 20,742 44.4 +1.2
Labour Frank White [30] 19,92942.7+4.9
SDP John Alcock6,06013.0−5.3
Majority8131.7-3.7
Turnout 46,73178.7+1.6
Conservative hold Swing
General election 1983: Bolton North East [31] [32]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Conservative Peter Thurnham 19,632 43.2
Labour Ann Taylor 17,18937.8
SDP John Alcock8,31118.3
BNP David P. Ball1860.4
Independent Thomas Keen1040.2
Majority2,4435.4
Turnout 45,31877.1
Conservative win (new seat)

See also

Notes

  1. A borough constituency (for the purposes of election expenses and type of returning officer)
  2. As with all constituencies, the constituency elects one Member of Parliament (MP) by the first past the post system of election at least every five years.
  3. As it has more often than not given marginal majorities of less than 10%

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References

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  2. "Electorate Figures – Boundary Commission for England". 2011 Electorate Figures. Boundary Commission for England. 4 March 2011. Archived from the original on 6 November 2010. Retrieved 13 March 2011.
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  4. "Local statistics - Office for National Statistics". neighbourhood.statistics.gov.uk. Archived from the original on 11 February 2003. Retrieved 24 December 2012.
  5. "The Parliamentary Constituencies Order 2023". Schedule 1 Part 5 North West region.
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  11. "Three more Labour parliamentary candidates selected over the weekend". LabourList. Retrieved 27 January 2024.
  12. "Liberal Democrat Prospective Parliamentary Candidates". Mark Pack . Retrieved 27 January 2024.
  13. "Bolton North East Constituency". Reform UK . Retrieved 27 January 2024.
  14. Sansome, Jessica; Otter, Saffron (14 November 2019). "All the Greater Manchester General Election 2019 candidates". men. Retrieved 15 November 2019.
  15. "Bolton North East parliamentary constituency". BBC News.
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  17. "Bolton North East". BBC News. Retrieved 11 May 2015.
  18. "Election Data 2010". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 26 July 2013. Retrieved 17 October 2015.
  19. "Election 2010 - Constituency - Bolton North East". BBC News -.
  20. "Election Data 2005". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
  21. "Election Data 2001". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
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  28. "Election Data 1987". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
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  30. Frank Richard White. Links in a Chain. Retrieved 14 May 2010.
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53°35′13″N2°24′36″W / 53.587°N 2.410°W / 53.587; -2.410