Bicester and Woodstock (UK Parliament constituency)

Last updated
Bicester & Woodstock
County constituency
for the House of Commons
County Oxfordshire
Electorate 70,389 (March 2020) [1]
Major settlements Bicester, Kidlington and Woodstock
Current constituency
Created 2024
Member of Parliament None
SeatsOne
Created from Banbury (part), Henley (part), Oxford West & Abingdon (part), Witney (part)

Bicester and Woodstock is a constituency of the House of Commons in the UK Parliament. [2] After the completion of the 2023 Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies, it will first be contested at the 2024 general election.

Contents

Boundaries

Bicester and Woodstock (UK Parliament constituency)
Map of boundaries from 2024

The constituency is composed of the following (as they existed on 1 December 2020):

It comprises the following areas:

Predictions

There have been various MRP national prediction models, which have given the results shown below for Bicester & Woodstock. The accuracy of these for individual seat predictions may be debated, especially where boundary changes have been significant [4] .

MRP models of vote share for 2024 UK general election: Bicester & Woodstock
DateModelCONLABLDEMREFGRNSource
14 Jan 2024YouGov29%20%37%7%5% [5] [6]
15 Jan 2024Electoral Calculus30%28%25%10%6% [7]
15 Feb 2024Electoral Calculus30%30%25%10%5% [8]
28 March 2024Electoral Calculus28%30%26%12%4% [9]
30 March 2024Survation32%31%23%9%4% [10]
3 April 2024YouGov31%24%26%12%6% [11]
27 April 2024Electoral Calculus27%31%25%12%4% [12]
21 May 2024Electoral Calculus28%31%24%11%5% [13]
25 May 2024Economist32%30%19%8%7% [14]
25 May 2024New Statesman33%19%35%8%6% [15]
29 May 2024Financial Times31%26%25%11%6% [16]
31 May 2024UK Polling Report32%30%24%9%5% [17]
31 May 2024Electoral Calculus32%23%32%8%4% [18]
3 June 2024YouGov32%22%32%9%4% [19]
3 June 2024More In Common36%24%27%6%6% [20]
4 June 2024Survation28%29%24%12%4% [21]

Elections

Elections in the 2020s

General election 2024: Bicester and Woodstock
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
SDP Tim Funnell [22]
Conservative Rupert Harrison [23]
Green Ian Middleton [24]
Liberal Democrats Calum Miller [25]
Labour Veronica Oakeshott [26]
Reform UK Augustine Obodo [27]
Majority
Turnout
Swing

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Opinion polling for the 2024 United Kingdom general election is being carried out continually by various organisations to gauge voting intention. Most of the polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. The dates for these opinion polls range from the 2019 general election on 12 December to the present day.

References

  1. ↑ "Electorate Figures – Boundary Commission for England" (PDF). Boundary Commission for England. 28 June 2023. Retrieved 28 June 2023.
  2. ↑ "The 2023 Review of Parliamentary Constituency Boundaries in England – Volume one: Report – South East | Boundary Commission for England". boundarycommissionforengland.independent.gov.uk. Retrieved 2023-07-15.
  3. ↑ "The Parliamentary Constituencies Order 2023". Schedule 1 Part 6 South East region.
  4. ↑ "MRP: what it is and why it may, or may not, be right at the next general election". The Week In Polls. 2023-08-23. Retrieved 2024-05-29.
  5. ↑ "YouGov MRP shows Labour would win 1997-style landslide if election were held today". YouGov. 15 January 2024. Retrieved 15 January 2024.
  6. ↑ "Searchable tool: How would your constituency vote in an election tomorrow?". Telegraph Media Group. 14 January 2024. Retrieved 15 January 2024.
  7. ↑ "Electoral Calculus January 2024". Electoral Calculus. Retrieved 15 January 2024.
  8. ↑ "Electoral Calculus 14 Feb 2024" . Retrieved 14 Feb 2024.
  9. ↑ "New Seat Details - Bicester and Woodstock". www.electoralcalculus.co.uk. Retrieved 2024-04-07.
  10. ↑ "What We Can Learn From Our Latest MRP (and what we can't)". Survation. 2024-03-31. Retrieved 2024-04-07.
  11. ↑ "YouGov MRP – Labour now projected to win over 400 seats | YouGov". yougov.co.uk. Retrieved 2024-04-07.
  12. ↑ "New Seat Details - Bicester and Woodstock". www.electoralcalculus.co.uk. Retrieved 2024-05-08.
  13. ↑ "New Seat Details - Bicester and Woodstock". www.electoralcalculus.co.uk. Retrieved 2024-05-24.
  14. ↑ "The Economist's UK general election forecast". The Economist. Retrieved 2024-05-25.
  15. ↑ "Who will win the 2024 UK general election?The definitive forecast model - how the country will vote according to Britain Predicts". The New Statesman. Retrieved 2024-05-29.
  16. ↑ "Predict the UK general election result". ig.in.ft.com. 2024-05-29. Retrieved 2024-05-29.(subscription required)
  17. ↑ "Bicester and Woodstock | E14001090". pollingreport.uk. Retrieved 2024-05-31.
  18. ↑ "Bicester and Woodstock: Overview" . Retrieved 31 May 2024.
  19. ↑ "First YouGov MRP of 2024 general election shows Labour on track to beat 1997 landslide" . Retrieved 3 June 2024.
  20. ↑ "Labour on course to win a majority of over 100" . Retrieved 4 June 2024.
  21. ↑ "Survation MRP: Labour Set for Record Breaking Majority". Survation. 2024-06-04. Retrieved 2024-06-05.
  22. ↑ "General Election Candidates - SDP" . Retrieved 27 May 2024.
  23. ↑ "Harrison selected in Bicester and Woodstock for his ability to "talk about local issues from a national perspective"". Conservative Home. Retrieved 15 January 2024.
  24. ↑ "Green Oxfordshire 2024 - Looking forward to 2024". Oxfordshire Green Party. Retrieved 15 January 2024.
  25. ↑ "Calum Miller selected for Bicester and Woodstock". Mark Pack. Retrieved 15 January 2024.
  26. ↑ "Bicester and Woodstock MP Labour candidate shares vision". Oxford Mail. Retrieved 12 March 2024.
  27. ↑ "Bicester and Woodstock Constituency". Reform UK. Retrieved 15 January 2024.


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