Bullet voting

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A voter marking a ballot for a single favorite candidate. Hand marking ranked ballot0.jpg
A voter marking a ballot for a single favorite candidate.

A bullet, [1] single-shot, [2] or plump vote [3] is a ballot where an elector shows strong support for a single favorite candidate by ranking only them.

Contents

Bullet voting can also refer to strategic truncation, i.e. declining to state lower preferences to keep a disliked alternative from winning. Every voting method failing either later-no-harm (such as approval voting) or participation (such as instant-runoff voting) will encourage bullet voting or truncation in some situations; [4] Graham-Squire and McCune note that instant-runoff is even susceptible to an exceptionally severe kind of truncation, where a voter is better off casting a completely empty ballot than one with even a single preference, a situation referred to as a no-show paradox. [5]

In later-no-harm systems, voters can use bullet voting to maximize the chances their favorite candidate will be elected, at the cost of reducing the chances that one of their later preferences will win. [6] [7]

In non-participatory systems (such as instant-runoff voting), voters can strategically bullet-vote to hide their support for additional candidates, as systems like IRV can cause candidates to lose if they receive too much support from voters. [4] [5]

In cumulative voting (a semi-proportional variant of score voting), bullet voting is encouraged and often used by minority groups to achieve proportional representation, by allowing small groups to concentrate all their support on one candidate to win a seat on a city council. [2] [7] [8] During the Jim Crow era, municipalities often banned bullet voting in an attempt to prevent black voters from being able to achieve representation on city councils. [2] [8]

Single winner elections

To allow for better comparisons with other ranked voting systems, first-preference plurality is usually modeled as a ranked voting system where voters can rank as many candidates as they like, and then the candidate with the most first-preference votes wins. As a result, plurality is "immune" to bullet voting or truncation as a strategy, as there is never any harm to adding additional preferences to a voter's list.

In contrast, approval voting allows voters to support as many candidates as they like, and bullet voting can be fairly common; however, because approval satisfies the sincere favorite criterion, such voting does not constitute strategic voting (in the sense of being deceptive about one's preferences).

Traditional Bucklin voting was infamous for its high vulnerability to bullet voting, due to its use of ranked ballots. [9] More modern highest median voting rules allow voters to instead skip ratings or equal-rate similar candidates, giving them the ability to weakly support a candidate (rather than assign them no support by truncating their listings).

Multiple winner elections

N seat elections
SystemVotes
Approval voting
Range voting
Borda voting
Point
scores
Plurality-at-large voting N
Limited voting
 
N-1
N-2
...
Single nontransferable vote
(Whole vote)
1
Instant runoff voting
(Whole vote)
1
Cumulative voting
(Explicit divided vote)
1
Single transferable vote
(Implicit divided vote)
1

Multiple votes are often allowed in elections with more than one winner. Bullet voting can help a first choice be elected, depending on the system:

Multiple non-transferable vote methods
Bullet voting in Cumulative voting allows multiple votes for one candidate. Cumballot1.gif
Bullet voting in Cumulative voting allows multiple votes for one candidate.
Limited-Vote Systems

See also

Related Research Articles

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Approval voting</span> Single-winner electoral system

Approval voting is an electoral system in which voters can select any number of candidates instead of selecting only one.

Plurality voting refers to electoral systems in which a candidate in an electoral district who polls more than any other is elected. Used for elections of representative bodies, it competes with the proportional representation. In systems based on single-member districts, the plurality system elects just one member per district and is then frequently called a "first-past-the-post" (FPTP), sometimes "single-member [district] plurality" (SMP/SMDP). A system that elects multiple winners elected at once with the plurality rule and where each voter casts multiple X votes in a multi-seat district is referred to as plurality block voting. A semi-proportional system that elects multiple winners elected at once with the plurality rule and where each voter casts just one vote in a multi-seat district is known as single non-transferable voting.

Score voting, sometimes called range voting or average score voting, is an electoral system for single-seat elections. Voters give each candidate a numerical score, and the candidate with the highest average score is elected. Score voting includes the well-known approval voting, but also lets voters give partial (in-between) approval ratings to candidates.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Two-round system</span> Voting system

The two-round system (TRS), also known as runoff voting, second ballot, or ballotage, is a voting method used to elect a single candidate. The first round is held using simple plurality to choose the top-two candidates, and then in the second round the winner is chosen by majority vote. The two-round system is widely used in the election of legislative bodies and directly elected presidents.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Single transferable vote</span> Multi-winner electoral system

The single transferable vote (STV), sometimes known as proportional ranked choice voting (P-RCV), is a multi-winner electoral system in which each voter casts a single vote in the form of a ranked-choice ballot. Voters have the option to rank candidates, and their vote may be transferred according to alternate preferences if their preferred candidate is eliminated or elected with surplus votes, so that their vote is used to elect someone they prefer over others in the running. STV aims to approach proportional representation based on votes cast in the district where it is used, so that each vote is worth about the same as another.

Strategic or tactical voting is a situation where a voter considers the possible ballots cast by other voters in order to maximize their satisfaction with the election's results. For example, in plurality or instant-runoff, a voter may recognize their favorite candidate is unlikely to win and so instead support a candidate they think is more likely to win.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Condorcet method</span> Pairwise-comparison electoral system

A Condorcet method is an election method that elects the candidate who wins a majority of the vote in every head-to-head election against each of the other candidates, whenever there is such a candidate. A candidate with this property, the pairwise champion or beats-all winner, is formally called the Condorcet winner. The head-to-head elections need not be done separately; a voter's choice within any given pair can be determined from the ranking.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Voting</span> Method to make collective decisions

Voting is a method by which a group, such as a meeting or an electorate, convenes together for the purpose of making a collective decision or expressing an opinion usually following discussions, debates or election campaigns. Democracies elect holders of high office by voting. Residents of a jurisdiction represented by an elected official are called "constituents", and the constituents who choose to cast a ballot for their chosen candidate are called "voters." There are different systems for collecting votes, but while many of the systems used in decision-making can also be used as electoral systems, any which cater to proportional representation can only be used in elections.

Cumulative voting is a multiple-winner method intended to promote more proportional representation than winner-take-all elections such as block voting or first past the post. Cumulative voting is used frequently in corporate governance, where it is mandated by some (7) U.S. states.

Bucklin voting is a class of voting methods that can be used for single-member and multi-member districts. As in highest median rules like the majority judgment, the Bucklin winner will be one of the candidates with the highest median ranking or rating. It is named after its original promoter, the Georgist politician James W. Bucklin of Grand Junction, Colorado, and is also known as the Grand Junction system.

The majority criterion is a voting system criterion. The criterion states that "if only one candidate is ranked first by a majority of voters, then that candidate must win."

Later-no-harm is a property of some ranked-choice voting systems, first described by Douglas Woodall. In later-no-harm systems, modifying the rating or rank of a candidate ranked below the winner of an election cannot change the result.

In voting systems theory, the independence of clones criterion measures an election method's robustness to strategic nomination. Nicolaus Tideman was the first to formulate this criterion, which states that the winner must not change due to the addition of a non-winning candidate who is similar to a candidate already present. It is a relative criterion: it states how changing an election should or shouldn't affect the outcome.

There are a number of complications and issues surrounding the application and use of single transferable vote proportional representation that form the basis of discussions between its advocates and detractors.

The Borda count is a family of positional voting rules which gives each candidate, for each ballot, a number of points corresponding to the number of candidates ranked lower. In the original variant, the lowest-ranked candidate gets 0 points, the next-lowest gets 1 point, etc., and the highest-ranked candidate gets n − 1 points, where n is the number of candidates. Once all votes have been counted, the option or candidate with the most points is the winner. The Borda count is intended to elect broadly acceptable options or candidates, rather than those preferred by a majority, and so is often described as a consensus-based voting system rather than a majoritarian one.

Instant-runoff voting (IRV), also known as plurality with elimination or plurality loser, is a ranked-choice voting system that modifies plurality by repeatedly eliminating the last-place winner until only one candidate is left. In the United Kingdom, it is generally called the alternative vote (AV). In the United States, IRV is often conflated with ranked-choice voting (RCV); however, this conflation is not completely standard, and social choice theorists tend to prefer more explicit terms.

The later-no-help criterion is a voting system criterion formulated by Douglas Woodall. The criterion is satisfied if, in any election, a voter giving an additional ranking or positive rating to a less-preferred candidate can not cause a more-preferred candidate to win. Voting systems that fail the later-no-help criterion are vulnerable to the tactical voting strategy called mischief voting, which can deny victory to a sincere Condorcet winner.


A major branch of social choice theory is devoted to the comparison of electoral systems, otherwise known as social choice functions. Viewed from the perspective of political science, electoral systems are rules for conducting elections and determining winners from the ballots cast. From the perspective of economics, mathematics, and philosophy, a social choice function is a mathematical function that determines how a society should make choices, given a collection of individual preferences.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">STAR voting</span> Single-winner electoral system

STAR voting is an electoral system for single-seat elections. The name stands for "Score then Automatic Runoff", referring to the fact that this system is a combination of score voting, to pick two finalists with the highest total scores, followed by an "automatic runoff" in which the finalist who is preferred on more ballots wins. It is a type of cardinal voting electoral system.

Descending Solid Coalitions (DSC) is a ranked-choice voting system. It is designed to preserve the advantages of instant-runoff voting, while satisfying monotonicity. It was developed by voting theorist Douglas Woodall as an improvement on (and replacement for) the use of the alternative vote.

References

  1. Bullet Voting Explained
  2. 1 2 3 4 5 "Drawing the Line". Southern Poverty Law Center. Archived from the original on 2017-02-21. Retrieved 2017-07-13. 4. Anti-single-shot provisions: These provisions compel voters to cast a vote for every open seat, even if voters do not want to support more than one candidate. A voter who casts a vote for less than the entire number of seats open (a "full slate") will not have their ballot counted. Requiring minority voters to vote for a full slate dilutes their voting strength by preventing them from concentrating their support behind one candidate.
  3. EDITORIAL: To plump, or not to plump your vote
  4. 1 2 "Later-No-Harm Criterion". The Center for Election Science. Retrieved 2024-02-02.
  5. 1 2 Graham-Squire, Adam; McCune, David (2023-06-12). "An Examination of Ranked-Choice Voting in the United States, 2004–2022". Representation: 1–19. arXiv: 2301.12075 . doi:10.1080/00344893.2023.2221689. ISSN   0034-4893.
  6. "Does "Bullet Voting" Really Work? - Philadelphia Magazine". Philadelphia Magazine. 2015-10-27. Retrieved 2017-07-12.
  7. 1 2 "Ocean City Maryland News | OC MD Newspapers | Maryland Coast Dispatch » Merits Of Single-Shot Voting Questioned". mdcoastdispatch.com. 22 October 2008. Retrieved 2017-07-13. Single-shot voting is essentially a tactic used by voters ... choosing only one candidate or a lesser amount of candidates than open seats.
  8. 1 2 3 4 Decision 1997: Constitutional Change in New York By Henrik N. Dullea, 1997
  9. Democracy in Divided Societies: Electoral Engineering for Conflict Management, Benjamin Reiley, 2001 ISBN   0521797306 p.145 ("But the Bucklin system was found to be defective, as it allowed a voter's second choice vote to help defeat a voter's first choice candidate. Under these circumstances, most voters refrained from giving second choices, and the intent of discovering which candidate was favored by the majority was thwarted.)"
  10. "Approval Voting is Better Than Plurality Voting, Even in Multi-Winner Races". 7 June 2020.
  11. The Troubling Record of Approval Voting at Dartmouth
  12. Amy (2000) p.60 ('At-large voting can discourage voters from supporting all the candidates they want to see on the council, a practice called bullet voting... This is a political predicament racial minorities find themselves. They must give up all of their other votes to have any hope of electing their first choice.)
  13. "Black candidate for Euclid school board to test new voting system". Archived from the original on 2011-06-07. Retrieved 2011-06-07.

Further reading