2010 Maryland gubernatorial election

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2010 Maryland gubernatorial election
Flag of Maryland.svg
  2006 November 2, 2010 2014  
Turnout54.02% Decrease2.svg 3.51% [1]
  Martin O'Malley, photo portrait, visiting Maryland National Guard, June 8, 2008.jpg Robert ehrlich speaking at healthierUS summit cropped.jpg
Nominee Martin O'Malley Bob Ehrlich
Party Democratic Republican
Running mate Anthony Brown Mary Kane
Popular vote1,044,961776,319
Percentage56.24%41.79%

2010 Maryland gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
County results
O'Malley:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     80–90%
Ehrlich:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%

Governor before election

Martin O'Malley
Democratic

Elected Governor

Martin O'Malley
Democratic

The 2010 Maryland gubernatorial election was held on November 2, 2010. [2] The date included the election of the governor, lieutenant governor, and all members of the Maryland General Assembly. Incumbent Democratic governor Martin O'Malley and lieutenant governor Anthony Brown won re-election to a second term in office, defeating Republican former governor Bob Ehrlich and his running mate Mary Kane.

Contents

Ehrlich had previously lost re-election to O'Malley in 2006. O'Malley and Brown became the first gubernatorial ticket in Maryland history to receive more than one million votes. [3] [4]

While Ehrlich won a clear majority of Maryland’s counties, he lost in the area between Baltimore and Washington, which accounts for more than 90% of the state’s population. This allowed O’Malley to win by a relatively large margin of 14.4%.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Results

Results by county:
Map legend
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O'Malley-->=90%
O'Malley--80-90%
O'Malley--70-80% Maryland Governor Democratic primary, 2010.svg
Results by county:
Map legend
  •   O'Malley—≥90%
  •   O'Malley—80–90%
  •   O'Malley—70–80%
Democratic primary results [6]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Martin O'Malley (incumbent)414,59586.28
Democratic J. P. Cusick46,4119.66
Democratic Ralph Jaffe19,5174.06
Total votes480,523 100

Republican primary

Candidates

  • Running mate: Mary Kane, former Maryland Secretary of State
  • Running mate: Mike Ryman, former federal and congressional inspector and candidate for the State Senate in 2006 [9]
  • Former running mate: Carmen Amedori, former State Delegate [9]

Results

Results by county:
Map legend
Ehrlich--80-90%
Ehrlich--70-80%
Ehrlich--60-70% Maryland Governor Republican primary, 2010.svg
Results by county:
Map legend
  •   Ehrlich—80–90%
  •   Ehrlich—70–80%
  •   Ehrlich—60–70%
Republican primary results [6]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Bob Ehrlich211,42875.84
Republican Brian Murphy67,36424.16
Total votes278,792 100

Minor party candidates

Constitution Party

  • Running mate: Michael Hargadon

Green Party

  • Running mate: Ken Eidel

Libertarian Party

  • Running mate: Doug McNeil

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report [10] TossupOctober 14, 2010
Rothenberg [11] Likely DOctober 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics [12] Likely DNovember 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [13] Likely DOctober 28, 2010
CQ Politics [14] Lean DOctober 28, 2010

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredBob
Ehrlich (R)
Martin
O'Malley (D)
Rasmussen Reports October 24, 201042%52%
Rasmussen Reports October 5, 201041%49%
Washington Post September 22–26, 201041%52%
Rasmussen Reports September 15, 201047%50%
Center Maryland/Opinion Works Archived 2010-09-06 at the Wayback Machine August 13–18, 201041%47%
Rasmussen Reports August 17, 201044%45%
Gonzales poll July 13–21, 201042%45%
Public Policy Polling July 10–12, 201042%45%
Rasmussen Reports July 12, 201047%46%
Magellan Strategies June 29, 201046%43%
The Polling Company June 8–10, 201043%44%
Rasmussen Reports June 8, 201045%45%
Washington Post May 3–6, 201041%49%
Rasmussen Reports April 20, 201044%47%
Rasmussen Reports February 23, 201043%49%
Gonzales poll September 17, 200938%49%

Results

2010 Maryland gubernatorial election [15]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Martin O'Malley (incumbent) 1,044,961 56.24% +3.54%
Republican Bob Ehrlich 776,31941.79%-4.41%
Libertarian Susan Gaztanaga14,1370.76%
Green Maria Allwine11,8250.64%-0.26%
Constitution Eric Knowles8,6120.46%
Write-ins2,0260.11%
Majority268,64214.45%+7.92%
Turnout 1,857,880
Democratic hold Swing
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Republican voter suppression

In the summer before the election, Ehrlich's campaign hired a consultant who advised that "the first and most desired outcome is voter suppression", in the form of having "African-American voters stay home." [16] To that end, the Republicans placed thousands of Election Day robocalls to Democratic voters, telling them that O'Malley had won, although in fact the polls were still open for some two more hours. [17] The Republicans' call, worded to seem as if it came from Democrats, told the voters, "Relax. Everything's fine. The only thing left is to watch it on TV tonight." [16] The calls reached 112,000 voters in majority-African American areas. [17] In 2011, Ehrlich's campaign manager, Paul Schurick, was convicted of fraud and other charges because of the calls. [16] Ehrlich denied knowing about the calls. [16]

See also

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References

  1. "2010 Gubernatorial Primary Election - Voter Turnout". elections.maryland.gov. Maryland State Board of Elections . Retrieved May 1, 2022.
  2. "Maryland Elections, forthcoming". Msa.md.gov. November 6, 1956. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  3. "State Gubernatorial Term Limits". Archived from the original on September 27, 2007. Retrieved September 9, 2007.
  4. "Maryland State Board of Elections". www.elections.state.md.us. Archived from the original on June 14, 2012.
  5. "2010 Gubernatorial Primary Election" (PDF). Maryland State Board of Elections.
  6. 1 2 "Maryland Gubernatorial Primary Results". Maryland State Board of Elections. September 19, 2010. Retrieved September 19, 2010.
  7. "Ehrlich Announces Run For Maryland Governor". wjz.com. March 31, 2010. Archived from the original on April 4, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  8. "Brian Murphy for Governor of Maryland. Leading a Return to Principled Governance". Brianmurphy2010.com. Archived from the original on August 14, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  9. 1 2 Wagner, John (July 6, 2010). "Maryland Politics – GOP hopeful Murphy offers second running mate". Voices.washingtonpost.com. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  10. "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  11. "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report . Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  12. "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics . Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  13. "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". Sabato's Crystal Ball . Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  14. "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 5, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  15. "2010 General Election Official Results".
  16. 1 2 3 4 Broadwater, Luke (December 6, 2011), "Schurick guilty of election fraud in robocall case", The Baltimore Sun , archived from the original on January 11, 2014, retrieved December 7, 2011
  17. 1 2 Wagner, John (December 6, 2011), "Ex-Ehrlich campaign manager Schurick convicted in robocall case", The Washington Post , retrieved December 8, 2011
Official campaign websites (Archived)