2016 Maryland Democratic presidential primary

Last updated

2016 Maryland Democratic presidential primary
Flag of Maryland.svg
  2012 April 26, 2016 (2016-04-26) 2020  
  Hillary Clinton by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg Bernie Sanders September 2015 cropped.jpg
Candidate Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders
Home state New York Vermont
Delegate count6035
Popular vote573,242 [1] 309,990
Percentage62.53%33.81%

2016 Maryland Democratic Presidential Primary election by county.svg
Election results by county.

The 2016 Maryland Democratic presidential primary was held on April 26 in the U.S. state of Maryland as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

Contents

The Democratic Party's primaries in Connecticut, Delaware, Pennsylvania and Rhode Island were held the same day, as were Republican primaries in the same five states, including their own Maryland primary.

Opinion polling

Poll sourceDate1st2nd3rdOther
Official Primary results April 26, 2016Hillary Clinton
62.5%
Bernie Sanders
33.8%
Others / Uncommitted
3.7%
ARG [2]

Margin of error: ± 5.0%
Sample size: 400

April 21-24, 2016Hillary Clinton
50%
Bernie Sanders
44%
Others / Undecided
6%
Monmouth [3]

Margin of error: ± 5.7%
Sample size: 300

April 18-20, 2016Hillary Clinton
57%
Bernie Sanders
32%
Others / Undecided
11%
Public Policy Polling [4]

Margin of error: ± 4.4%
Sample size: 492

April 15-17, 2016Hillary Clinton
58%
Bernie Sanders
33%
Others / Undecided
9%
NBC 4/Marist [5]

Margin of error: ± 3.5%
Sample size: 775

April 5-9, 2016Hillary Clinton
58%
Bernie Sanders
36%
Others / Undecided
6%
University of Maryland/Washington Post [6]

Margin of error: ± 5.5%
Sample size: 539

March 30 - April 4, 2016Hillary Clinton
55%
Bernie Sanders
40%
Others / Undecided
5%
Baltimore Sun [7]

Margin of error: ± 4.9%
Sample size: 400

March 4-8, 2016Hillary Clinton
61%
Bernie Sanders
28%
Others / Undecided
11%
Gonzales/Arscott Research [8]

Margin of error: ± 5.0
Sample size: 411

February 29-March 4, 2016Hillary Clinton
57%
Bernie Sanders
26%
Others / Undecided
17%
Goucher [9]

Margin of error: ± 3.5
Sample size: 794

February 13–18, 2016Hillary Clinton
58%
Bernie Sanders
28%
Others / Undecided
14%
Baltimore Sun/University of Baltimore

Margin of error: ± 5%
Sample size: 402

January 11–16, 2016Hillary Clinton
40%
Bernie Sanders
27%
Others / Undecided
33%
Polls in 2015
Poll sourceDate1st2nd3rdOther
Baltimore Sun/University of Baltimore

Margin of error: ± 4.8%
Sample size: 419

November 13–17, 2015Hillary Clinton
56%
Bernie Sanders
23%
Martin O'Malley
7%
Other/Unsure 14%
Washington Post

Margin of error: ± 5%
Sample size: 490

October 8–11, 2015Hillary Clinton
43%
Joe Biden
26%
Bernie Sanders
20%
Martin O'Malley 4%, Jim Webb 1%, Lincoln Chafee 0%, None/Any/Other 3%, No Opinion 2%
Goucher [10]

Margin of error: ± 5.7%
Sample size: 300

September 26 – October 1, 2015Hillary Clinton
43%
Joe Biden
23%
Bernie Sanders
17%
Martin O'Malley 2%, Jim Webb 2%, Lincoln Chafee 0%, None/Any/Other 2%, Undecided 11%
Polls in 2014
Poll sourceDate1st2nd3rdOther
Washington Post [11]

Margin of error: ± 5%
Sample size: 538

February 13–16, 2014Hillary Clinton
72%
Joe Biden
9%
Martin O'Malley
6%
Elizabeth Warren 3%, Andrew Cuomo 2%, None 1%, Undecided 7%
Baltimore Sun

Margin of error: ± 4.4%
Sample size: 500

February 8–12, 2014Hillary Clinton
59%
Joe Biden
14%
Martin O'Malley
6%
Andrew Cuomo 4%, Undecided/Other 17%
Polls in 2013
Poll sourceDate1st2nd3rdOther
Washington Post

Margin of error:
Sample size:

February 21–24, 2013Hillary Clinton
56%
Joe Biden
18%
Martin O'Malley
8%
Andrew Cuomo 4%, None/other/any of them 4%, No opinion 9%

Results

Maryland Democratic primary, April 26, 2016
CandidatePopular voteEstimated delegates
CountPercentagePledgedUnpledgedTotal
Hillary Clinton 573,24262.53%601777
Bernie Sanders 309,99033.81%35136
Rocky De La Fuente 3,5820.39%
Uncommitted29,9493.27%066
Total916,763100%9524119
Source: The Green Papers , Maryland State Board of Elections - Official Primary Results ,
MDP Announces DNC Delegates, Alternates and State DNC Members ,
MDP Announces District-Level Delegate Winners

Results by county

Hillary Clinton won every county (and the independent city of Baltimore) with the exceptions of Allegany, Carroll, Cecil, and Garrett counties, which went for Bernie Sanders. [12]

County [13] Clinton %Sanders %OthersTotalsTurnoutMargin
Allegany 2,47641.29%2,72745.48%7935,99640.48%-4.19%
Anne Arundel 37,72656.19%26,20539.03%3,21067,14143.57%17.16%
Baltimore (City) 87,76265.26%42,28531.44%4,434134,48145.59%33.82%
Baltimore (County) 77,05257.24%50,64137.62%6,919134,61244.18%19.62%
Calvert 5,44057.10%3,49036.63%5979,52740.53%20.47%
Caroline 1,16750.94%95941.86%1652,29133.47%9.08%
Carroll 7,01746.00%7,29947.85%93815,25446.81%-1.85%
Cecil 3,53445.27%3,56245.63%7107,80634.84%-0.36%
Charles 15,68567.84%6,62328.64%81323,12137.58%39.19%
Dorchester 2,14961.68%1,08031.00%2553,48434.17%30.68%
Frederick 14,73551.09%12,84444.53%1,26228,84149.09%6.56%
Garrett 82141.17%93947.09%2341,99444.21%-5.92%
Harford 13,91351.21%11,48942.29%1,76527,16742.84%8.92%
Howard 32,13959.44%20,31637.57%1,61954,07454.35%21.86%
Kent 1,53254.85%1,08038.67%1812,79345.93%16.18%
Montgomery 122,88166.25%59,15731.89%3,445185,48350.28%34.36%
Prince George's 120,97873.60%40,81524.83%2,580164,37337.63%48.77%
Queen Anne's 2,45853.49%1,85140.28%2864,59543.17%13.21%
Somerset 4,89252.44%3,72539.93%7119,32836.63%12.51%
St. Mary's 1,20759.60%66832.99%1502,02532.61%26.62%
Talbot 2,71060.74%1,55034.74%2024,46245.05%26.00%
Washington 6,21149.25%5,18941.15%1,21012,61039.10%8.10%
Wicomico 5,54358.14%3,41035.77%5819,53437.09%22.37%
Worcester 3,21455.69%2,08636.15%4715,77140.08%19.55%
Total573,24262.53%309,99033.81%33,531916,76343.90%28.72%

Note: Maryland is a closed primary state. Turnout is based on registered democrats before the primary on April 26, 2016. Others vote totals consist of votes for Rocky De La Fuente and Uncommitted

Analysis

With its coalition of African Americans and college-educated, affluent white progressive/liberal professionals, Maryland was a state Hillary Clinton was expected to win in the so-called "Acela Primaries" on April 26. She swept the state on election day, winning the primary by 29 points, a clear difference from 2008 when she lost Maryland to Barack Obama. According to exit polls, 43 percent of voters in the Maryland Democratic Primary were white and they opted for Clinton by a margin of 52-42 compared to the 46 percent of African American voters who backed Clinton by a margin of 75-22. Clinton swept all socioeconomic/income classes and educational attainment categories in Maryland as well. She won the votes of people over the age of 45, 75-20, but lost the youth vote to Sanders 52-46. She won both men (55-40) and women (68-29).

In terms of party identification, of the 80 percent of self-identified Democrats who voted in the primary, 69 percent backed Clinton while 30 percent supported Bernie Sanders; Independents, who made up 17 percent of the voters, backed Sanders by a 51-39 margin. Clinton also won all ideological groups.

Clinton performed well in the urban and suburban parts of the state in and around Baltimore (which she won 63-34), and the Washington, D.C. suburbs (which she won 71-27), and she also won in the more rural parts of the state like the Eastern Shore (which she won 57-37) and Western Maryland (which she won 53-47), which includes parts of Appalachia. [14]

See also

Related Research Articles

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries</span>

This article contains opinion polling by U.S. state for the 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries. For currency and accuracy, please note the specific dates for each polling as listed below. For the significance of the earliest state votes, the Iowa caucuses and the New Hampshire primary, see United States presidential primary – Iowa and New Hampshire. To know when any given state votes, see the timeline of primaries and caucuses.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries</span> Selection of the Democratic Party nominee

Presidential primaries and caucuses were organized by the Democratic Party to select the 4,051 delegates to the 2016 Democratic National Convention held July 25–28 and determine the nominee for president in the 2016 United States presidential election. The elections took place within all fifty U.S. states, the District of Columbia, five U.S. territories, and Democrats Abroad and occurred between February 1 and June 14, 2016.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary</span>

The 2016 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary was held on Tuesday February 9. As per tradition, it was the first primary and second nominating contest overall to take place in the cycle. Bernie Sanders defeated Hillary Clinton in the primary by a margin of more than 22% in the popular vote. Sanders claimed 15 delegates to Clinton's 9.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 United States presidential election in Vermont</span>

The 2016 United States presidential election in Vermont was held on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Vermont voters chose three electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and her running mate, Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. Independent Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders received unsolicited write-in votes.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 Iowa Democratic presidential caucuses</span>

The 2016 Iowa Democratic presidential caucuses were held on Monday February 1 in Iowa, as usual marking the Democratic Party's first nominating contest in their series of presidential primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 United States presidential election in California</span>

The 2016 United States presidential election in California was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. California voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. California had 55 electoral votes in the Electoral College, the most of any state.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 South Carolina Democratic presidential primary</span>

The 2016 South Carolina Democratic presidential primary took place on February 27 in the U.S. state of South Carolina, marking the Democratic Party's fourth nominating contest in their series of presidential primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 Arkansas Democratic presidential primary</span>

The 2016 Arkansas Democratic presidential primary took place on March 1 in the U.S. state of Arkansas as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 Georgia Democratic presidential primary</span>

The 2016 Georgia Democratic presidential primary took place on March 1 in the U.S. state of Georgia as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election. The primary was an open one.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 Massachusetts Democratic presidential primary</span>

The 2016 Massachusetts Democratic presidential primary took place on March 1 in the U.S. state of Massachusetts as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 Oklahoma Democratic presidential primary</span>

The 2016 Oklahoma Democratic presidential primary took place on March 1 in the U.S. state of Oklahoma as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 Virginia Democratic presidential primary</span>

The 2016 Virginia Democratic presidential primary took place on March 1 in the U.S. state of Virginia as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 Michigan Democratic presidential primary</span> Election

The 2016 Michigan Democratic presidential primary was held on March 8 in the U.S. state of Michigan as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 Illinois Democratic presidential primary</span>

The 2016 Illinois Democratic presidential primary took place on March 15 in the U.S. state of Illinois as one of the 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 Ohio Democratic presidential primary</span>

The 2016 Ohio Democratic presidential primary took place on March 15 in the U.S. state of Ohio as one of the Democratic Party's primaries prior to the 2016 presidential election.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 Wisconsin Democratic presidential primary</span>

The 2016 Wisconsin Democratic presidential primary was held on April 5 in the U.S. state of Wisconsin as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election. Vermont senator Bernie Sanders won the contest with 56.5%, distancing nationwide frontrunner Hillary Clinton by 13 percentage points.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 New York Democratic presidential primary</span>

The 2016 New York Democratic presidential primary was held on April 19 in the U.S. state of New York as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election. Hillary Clinton, who had previously represented New York in the United States Senate from 2001 to 2009, won a comfortable majority in both the popular vote and delegate count over Bernie Sanders, who was born in Brooklyn.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 Connecticut Democratic presidential primary</span>

The 2016 Connecticut Democratic presidential primary were held on April 26 in the U.S. state of Connecticut as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 Pennsylvania Democratic presidential primary</span> Selecting presidential candidate

The 2016 Pennsylvania Democratic presidential primary was held on April 26 in the U.S. state of Pennsylvania as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 California Democratic presidential primary</span>

The 2016 California Democratic presidential primary was held on June 7 in the U.S. state of California as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

References

  1. Maryland State Board of Elections - Official Primary Results
  2. "Maryland poll April 21-24, 2016". American Research Group. Retrieved April 25, 2016.
  3. "MARYLAND: CLINTON LEADS SANDERS BY 25" (PDF). Retrieved April 22, 2016.
  4. "Maryland Likely To Continue Momentum for Trump, Clinton" (PDF). Retrieved April 19, 2016.
  5. "NBC4/Marist Poll April 2016 Maryland Questionnaire" (PDF). Retrieved April 13, 2016.
  6. "Washington Post-University of Maryland poll, March 30-April 3, 2016" . Retrieved April 7, 2016.
  7. "Hillary Clinton has 33-point lead in Maryland Democratic primary, new poll shows".
  8. "Maryland Poll" (PDF).
  9. "Goucher poll February 13–18, 2016" (PDF).
  10. "Goucher poll September 26 – October 1, 2015" (PDF).
  11. "(Among Democrats and independents who lean Democratic) Thinking ahead to 2016, between (Martin O'Malley), (Hillary Clinton), (Joe Biden), (Andrew Cuomo) and (Elizabeth Warren) whom would you like to be the next Democratic presidential nominee?". Washington Post. February 22, 2014. Retrieved July 9, 2015.
  12. "Maryland Election Results 2016". The New York Times. August 2017.
  13. "Maryland Certified Election Results". CNN . May 9, 2017. Retrieved April 5, 2017.
  14. "2016 Election Center". CNN. Retrieved September 25, 2016.