The European Parliament election is set to take place in June 2024. This article lists national polls for the European Union (EU) election as well as EU-wide seat projections and popular vote estimates.
Europe Elects, Der Föderalist and Politico Europe have been presenting seat projections throughout the legislative period. Other institutes started presenting data during the election campaign. All projections make their national-level data transparent, except Politico Europe, which only presents aggregate EU-level data.
Polling aggregator | Date updated | Number of seats | The Left | S&D | G/EFA | Renew | EPP | ECR | ID | NI | Others | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Europe Elects [1] | 4 June 2024 | 720 | 38 | 136 | 55 | 81 | 182 | 79 | 69 | 76 | 4 | |
Der Föderalist [2] | Baseline [lower-alpha 1] | 3 Jun 2024 | 720 | 37 | 136 | 57 | 81 | 172 | 79 | 66 | 50 | 42 |
Dynamic [lower-alpha 2] | 720 | 40 | 137 | 58 | 85 | 186 | 80 | 78 | 56 | – | ||
election.de [3] | 30 May 2024 | 720 | 43 | 141 | 57 | 84 | 179 | 81 | 68 | 67 | – | |
Politico Europe [4] | 27 May 2024 | 720 | 32 | 145 | 41 | 80 | 168 | 75 | 67 | 57 | 55 | |
Cassandra-odds.com [5] | 24 May 2024 | 720 | 49 | 148 | 56 | 92 | 159 | 88 | 74 | 64 | – | |
PolitPro [6] | 24 May 2024 | 720 | 38 | 142 | 43 | 86 | 167 | 70 | 91 | 46 | 33 | |
Euronews [7] | 23 May 2024 | 720 | 43 | 135 | 54 | 82 | 181 | 80 | 83 | 62 | – | |
corneliushirsch.com [8] | 9 May 2024 | 720 | 43 | 137 | 48 | 87 | 183 | 82 | 94 | 46 | – | |
2019 election | After Brexit | 1 Feb 2020 | 705 | 40 | 148 | 67 | 97 | 187 | 62 | 76 | 28 | – |
Before Brexit | 26 May 2019 | 751 | 41 | 154 | 74 | 108 | 182 | 62 | 73 | 57 | – |
Europe Elects has been presenting popular vote projections throughout the legislative period. Other institutes started presenting data during the election campaign.
Polling aggregator | Date updated | The Left | S&D | G/EFA | Renew | EPP | ECR | ID | NI | Others | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Europe Elects [1] | 31 May 2024 | 6.4% | 19.8% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 21.1% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 4.2% | ||
The Economist [9] | 31 May 2024 | 6.0% | 17.0% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 22.0% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 4.0% | 14.0% | ||
PolitPro [10] | 24 May 2024 | 5.3% | 19.7% | 6.0% | 11.9% | 23.2% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | ||
2019 election | ||||||||||||
Before Brexit | 26 May 2019 | 6.5% | 18.5% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 21.0% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 3.1% |
361 seats are needed for an absolute majority in the European Parliament.
Organisation | Release date | Area | Number of seats | The Left | S&D | G/EFA | Renew | EPP | ECR | ID | NI | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Europe Elects for EURACTIV [11] | 4 June 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 38 | 136 | 55 | 81 | 182 | 79 | 69 | 76 | 4 | 46 |
election.de [12] | 30 May 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 43 | 141 | 57 | 84 | 179 | 81 | 68 | 67 | 38 | |
Europe Elects for EURACTIV [13] | 27 May 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 39 | 138 | 56 | 86 | 180 | 75 | 68 | 76 | 2 | 42 |
Germany's AfD is expelled from the Identity and Democracy (ID) group. [14] | |||||||||||||
election.de [15] | 23 May 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 43 | 139 | 56 | 87 | 179 | 83 | 80 | 53 | 40 | |
Europe Elects for EURACTIV [16] | 16 May 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 43 | 134 | 54 | 85 | 182 | 83 | 83 | 54 | 2 | 48 |
election.de [17] | 9 May 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 40 | 140 | 55 | 89 | 177 | 80 | 84 | 55 | 37 | |
Europe Elects for EURACTIV [18] | 28 Apr 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 44 | 140 | 48 | 86 | 183 | 86 | 84 | 48 | 1 | 43 |
EM Analytics [19] | 30 April 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 40 | 139 | 55 | 85 | 176 | 84 | 79 | 62 | 37 | |
Der Föderalist [20] | 26 Apr 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 35 | 132 | 51 | 86 | 173 | 81 | 83 | 35 | 44 | 41 |
720 | 39 | 134 | 53 | 89 | 181 | 86 | 99 | 39 | 47 | ||||
EM Analytics [21] | 22 Apr 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 39 | 139 | 51 | 86 | 181 | 86 | 77 | 61 | 42 | |
election.de [22] | 22 Apr 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 39 | 138 | 52 | 90 | 173 | 80 | 87 | 61 | 35 | |
Europe Elects for EURACTIV [23] | 16 Apr 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 40 | 139 | 52 | 84 | 184 | 82 | 84 | 52 | 3 | 45 |
election.de [24] | 8 Apr 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 39 | 138 | 55 | 86 | 176 | 81 | 85 | 60 | 38 | |
Europe Elects for EURACTIV [25] | 28 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 47 | 135 | 52 | 87 | 184 | 81 | 82 | 48 | 4 | 49 |
election.de [26] | 22 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 40 | 139 | 54 | 89 | 176 | 84 | 83 | 55 | 37 | |
Ipsos for Euronews [27] | 19 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 42 | 136 | 55 | 85 | 177 | 76 | 81 | 68 | 41 | |
Europe Elects for EURACTIV [28] | 18 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 46 | 135 | 50 | 86 | 183 | 84 | 89 | 43 | 4 | 48 |
Politico Europe [29] | 9 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 33 | 141 | 48 | 90 | 180 | 87 | 89 | 52 | 39 | |
election.de [30] | 8 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 39 | 142 | 51 | 86 | 171 | 86 | 86 | 59 | 29 | |
Europe Elects for EURACTIV [31] | 1 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 45 | 140 | 49 | 82 | 181 | 83 | 92 | 44 | 4 | 41 |
Der Föderalist [32] | 26 Feb 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 35 | 135 | 48 | 85 | 176 | 78 | 85 | 36 | 42 | 41 |
37 | 137 | 48 | 89 | 183 | 82 | 101 | 43 | 46 | |||||
Europe Elects for EURACTIV [33] | 19 Feb 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 44 | 140 | 48 | 85 | 180 | 83 | 92 | 43 | 6 | 40 |
election.de [34] | 7 Feb 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 42 | 138 | 49 | 78 | 176 | 88 | 94 | 55 | 38 | |
Europe Elects for EURACTIV [35] | 1 Feb 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 42 | 140 | 51 | 82 | 180 | 80 | 91 | 49 | 5 | 40 |
ECFR [36] | 23 Jan 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 44 | 131 | 61 | 86 | 173 | 85 | 98 | 42 | 42 | |
Europe Elects for EURACTIV [37] | 15 Jan 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 37 | 143 | 50 | 84 | 178 | 80 | 93 | 49 | 6 | 35 |
election.de [38] | 9 Jan 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 41 | 141 | 45 | 80 | 179 | 86 | 95 | 53 | 38 | |
Politico Europe [39] | 9 Jan 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 33 | 145 | 43 | 86 | 178 | 89 | 96 | 50 | 33 | |
Der Föderalist [40] | 8 Jan 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 33 | 141 | 45 | 86 | 169 | 75 | 89 | 43 | 39 | 28 |
35 | 143 | 47 | 91 | 177 | 85 | 108 | 34 | 34 | |||||
Europe Elects [41] | 30 Dec 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 36 | 142 | 49 | 84 | 179 | 81 | 93 | 50 | 6 | 37 |
Politico Europe [42] | 11 Dec 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 33 | 145 | 47 | 87 | 175 | 91 | 91 | 51 | 30 | |
Europe Elects [43] | 30 Nov 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 38 | 141 | 52 | 89 | 175 | 82 | 87 | 52 | 4 | 35 |
KAS [44] | 29 Nov 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 42 | 143 | 48 | 87 | 171 | 78 | 79 | 41 | 30 | 35 |
Politico Europe [45] | 9 Nov 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 38 | 143 | 49 | 91 | 179 | 90 | 85 | 45 | 36 | |
Der Föderalist [46] | 6 Nov 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 43 | 137 | 43 | 90 | 170 | 78 | 76 | 37 | 45 | 33 |
46 | 138 | 47 | 96 | 178 | 89 | 92 | 34 | 40 | |||||
Europe Elects [47] | 31 Oct 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 45 | 139 | 51 | 92 | 173 | 80 | 76 | 53 | 11 | 34 |
PES (S&D's party) suspends Slovakia's Smer–SD and Hlas–SD due to their coalition with the sovereignist SNS party. [48] | |||||||||||||
Politico Europe [49] | 9 Oct 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 40 | 151 | 49 | 89 | 172 | 93 | 82 | 44 | 21 | |
Europe Elects [50] | 30 Sep 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 43 | 145 | 52 | 90 | 165 | 86 | 74 | 56 | 10 | 21 |
The European Council approves the new apportionment in the European Parliament from 705 to 720 seats. [51] | |||||||||||||
Der Föderalist [52] | 11 Sep 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 43 | 147 | 46 | 91 | 162 | 77 | 74 | 36 | 43 | 15 |
45 | 147 | 50 | 96 | 171 | 90 | 89 | 32 | 24 | |||||
705 | 42 | 144 | 46 | 90 | 157 | 77 | 72 | 35 | 41 | 13 | |||
44 | 144 | 50 | 95 | 165 | 89 | 87 | 31 | 21 | |||||
Politico Europe [53] | 7 Sep 2023 | EU27 | 705 | 42 | 146 | 46 | 91 | 167 | 93 | 76 | 44 | 21 | |
Europe Elects [54] | 31 Aug 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 38 | 149 | 53 | 90 | 164 | 83 | 75 | 58 | 10 | 15 |
Politico Europe [55] | 9 Aug 2023 | EU27 | 705 | 45 | 145 | 48 | 89 | 165 | 89 | 77 | 47 | 20 | |
Europe Elects [56] | 31 Jul 2023 | EU27 | 705 | 45 | 143 | 49 | 90 | 157 | 82 | 82 | 55 | 12 | 14 |
Der Föderalist [57] | 17 Jul 2023 | EU27 | 705 | 41 | 136 | 48 | 94 | 160 | 79 | 70 | 36 | 41 | 24 |
43 | 137 | 52 | 99 | 167 | 89 | 87 | 31 | 30 | |||||
Der Föderalist [58] | 22 May 2023 | EU27 | 705 | 49 | 137 | 50 | 92 | 162 | 79 | 67 | 33 | 36 | 25 |
50 | 137 | 54 | 99 | 172 | 82 | 83 | 28 | 35 | |||||
Europe Elects [59] | 28 Apr 2023 | EU27 | 705 | 51 | 141 | 49 | 89 | 163 | 85 | 64 | 51 | 11 | 22 |
Der Föderalist [60] | 27 Mar 2023 | EU27 | 705 | 44 | 137 | 42 | 94 | 162 | 78 | 68 | 38 | 42 | 25 |
46 | 141 | 46 | 102 | 170 | 81 | 84 | 35 | 29 | |||||
Der Föderalist [61] | 1 Feb 2023 | EU27 | 705 | 50 | 135 | 42 | 96 | 168 | 78 | 65 | 37 | 34 | 33 |
52 | 138 | 47 | 103 | 172 | 82 | 80 | 31 | 34 | |||||
Der Föderalist [62] | 6 Dec 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 51 | 136 | 44 | 93 | 166 | 79 | 64 | 37 | 35 | 30 |
53 | 139 | 50 | 100 | 170 | 83 | 80 | 30 | 31 | |||||
Europe Elects [63] | 7 Dec 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 49 | 142 | 56 | 100 | 158 | 84 | 63 | 46 | 7 | 16 |
Europe Elects [64] | 1 Nov 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 55 | 135 | 53 | 106 | 162 | 81 | 66 | 41 | 6 | 27 |
Der Föderalist [65] | 12 Oct 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 52 | 127 | 42 | 100 | 169 | 79 | 63 | 35 | 38 | 42 |
54 | 130 | 48 | 108 | 174 | 84 | 80 | 27 | 44 | |||||
Der Föderalist [66] | 20 Aug 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 52 | 134 | 47 | 98 | 170 | 75 | 63 | 27 | 39 | 36 |
54 | 137 | 53 | 107 | 175 | 80 | 76 | 23 | 38 | |||||
Der Föderalist [67] | 22 Jun 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 54 | 133 | 44 | 101 | 165 | 77 | 64 | 31 | 36 | 32 |
56 | 136 | 54 | 106 | 168 | 81 | 79 | 25 | 32 | |||||
Der Föderalist [68] | 25 Apr 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 59 | 139 | 39 | 97 | 157 | 78 | 64 | 37 | 35 | 18 |
60 | 143 | 49 | 102 | 159 | 84 | 76 | 32 | 16 | |||||
Der Föderalist [69] | 1 Mar 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 53 | 139 | 36 | 98 | 158 | 78 | 62 | 45 | 36 | 19 |
55 | 142 | 44 | 105 | 160 | 109 | 62 | 28 | 18 | |||||
Europe Elects [70] | 8 Jan 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 49 | 152 | 55 | 99 | 158 | 78 | 62 | 35 | 17 | 6 |
Der Föderalist [71] | 4 Jan 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 51 | 142 | 39 | 99 | 165 | 73 | 62 | 34 | 40 | 23 |
53 | 146 | 43 | 105 | 166 | 102 | 62 | 28 | 20 | |||||
Europe Elects [72] | 7 Dec 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 50 | 155 | 55 | 103 | 146 | 81 | 75 | 36 | 4 | 9 |
Der Föderalist [73] | 8 Nov 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 50 | 144 | 42 | 96 | 155 | 75 | 72 | 36 | 35 | 11 |
52 | 148 | 48 | 107 | 156 | 23 | 120 | 51 | 8 | |||||
Europe Elects [74] | 4 Nov 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 50 | 155 | 51 | 102 | 151 | 81 | 75 | 35 | 5 | 4 |
Europe Elects [75] | 8 Oct 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 50 | 154 | 47 | 94 | 156 | 78 | 75 | 36 | 15 | 2 |
Der Föderalist [76] | 13 Sep 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 54 | 141 | 42 | 98 | 160 | 70 | 75 | 33 | 32 | 19 |
56 | 145 | 48 | 107 | 160 | 22 | 116 | 51 | 15 | |||||
Der Föderalist [77] | 21 Jul 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 52 | 133 | 45 | 97 | 167 | 71 | 74 | 31 | 35 | 34 |
54 | 138 | 49 | 108 | 168 | 23 | 117 | 48 | 30 | |||||
Europe Elects [78] | 9 Jul 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 52 | 144 | 55 | 94 | 156 | 75 | 77 | 34 | 18 | 12 |
Europe Elects [79] | 5 Jun 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 51 | 146 | 58 | 92 | 155 | 76 | 74 | 35 | 18 | 9 |
Der Föderalist [80] | 24 May 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 50 | 125 | 50 | 95 | 167 | 74 | 73 | 33 | 38 | 42 |
52 | 130 | 54 | 109 | 167 | 87 | 74 | 32 | 37 | |||||
Europe Elects [81] | 2 May 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 52 | 144 | 56 | 93 | 158 | 75 | 74 | 34 | 19 | 14 |
Europe Elects [82] | 2 Apr 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 51 | 151 | 52 | 93 | 159 | 74 | 74 | 32 | 19 | 8 |
Der Föderalist [83] | 29 Mar 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 52 | 136 | 46 | 96 | 164 | 71 | 73 | 34 | 33 | 28 |
54 | 141 | 49 | 109 | 164 | 85 | 73 | 30 | 23 | |||||
Hungary's Fidesz party leaves the EPP Group. [84] | |||||||||||||
Der Föderalist [85] | 2 Feb 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 52 | 135 | 45 | 94 | 184 | 70 | 71 | 21 | 33 | 49 |
53 | 141 | 48 | 107 | 184 | 73 | 71 | 28 | 49 | |||||
Europe Elects [86] | 5 Jan 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 55 | 138 | 47 | 97 | 190 | 73 | 72 | 22 | 11 | 52 |
Der Föderalist [87] | 9 Dec 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 52 | 136 | 47 | 93 | 188 | 67 | 73 | 20 | 29 | 52 |
53 | 140 | 40 | 103 | 188 | 73 | 73 | 25 | 48 | |||||
Europe Elects [88] | 2 Dec 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 55 | 136 | 48 | 95 | 195 | 68 | 73 | 23 | 12 | 59 |
Europe Elects [89] | 31 Oct 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 54 | 136 | 48 | 93 | 197 | 70 | 74 | 24 | 9 | 61 |
Der Föderalist [90] | 12 Oct 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 51 | 127 | 49 | 96 | 193 | 67 | 71 | 21 | 30 | 66 |
52 | 136 | 52 | 102 | 193 | 71 | 71 | 28 | – | 57 | ||||
Europe Elects [91] | 4 Oct 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 55 | 136 | 49 | 95 | 195 | 71 | 77 | 23 | 4 | 59 |
Europe Elects [92] | 31 Aug 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 55 | 134 | 49 | 96 | 196 | 71 | 75 | 24 | 5 | 62 |
Europe Elects [93] | 14 Aug 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 54 | 134 | 49 | 97 | 198 | 70 | 75 | 23 | 5 | 64 |
Europe Elects [94] | 24 Jul 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 54 | 133 | 48 | 97 | 198 | 71 | 77 | 24 | 3 | 65 |
Europe Elects [95] | 28 May 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 55 | 135 | 47 | 98 | 197 | 70 | 77 | 23 | 3 | 62 |
Europe Elects [96] | 30 Apr 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 55 | 140 | 46 | 94 | 193 | 72 | 78 | 23 | 4 | 53 |
Europe Elects [97] | 31 Mar 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 57 | 135 | 51 | 92 | 188 | 72 | 83 | 21 | 6 | 53 |
Europe Elects [98] | 29 Feb 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 56 | 133 | 55 | 99 | 184 | 68 | 85 | 21 | 6 | 51 |
Europe Elects [99] | 31 Jan 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 55 | 130 | 53 | 101 | 182 | 70 | 85 | 23 | 6 | 52 |
The United Kingdom leaves the European Union. [100] | |||||||||||||
Europe Elects [101] | 31 Dec 2019 | EU27 | 705 | 54 | 131 | 52 | 102 | 182 | 70 | 86 | 25 | 3 | 51 |
Europe Elects [102] | 31 Dec 2019 | EU28 | 751 | 53 | 153 | 52 | 103 | 177 | 103 | 82 | 25 | 3 | 24 |
Europe Elects [103] | 30 Nov 2019 | EU28 | 751 | 49 | 157 | 61 | 107 | 176 | 95 | 80 | 25 | 1 | 19 |
Europe Elects [103] | 31 Aug 2019 | EU28 | 751 | 46 | 151 | 62 | 115 | 175 | 92 | 78 | 30 | 2 | 24 |
Europe Elects [103] | 30 Sep 2019 | EU28 | 751 | 48 | 151 | 63 | 118 | 170 | 87 | 79 | 32 | 3 | 19 |
Europe Elects [103] | 31 Aug 2019 | EU28 | 751 | 47 | 154 | 64 | 116 | 166 | 89 | 80 | 32 | 3 | 12 |
Europe Elects [103] | 31 Jul 2019 | EU28 | 751 | 48 | 153 | 65 | 117 | 168 | 85 | 79 | 33 | 3 | 15 |
Europe Elects [103] | 30 Jun 2019 | EU28 | 751 | 46 | 145 | 74 | 119 | 167 | 64 | 80 | 54 | 2 | 22 |
Redistribution of seats after Brexit | 1 Feb 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 40 | 148 | 68 | 97 | 187 | 62 | 76 | 27 | – | 39 |
2019 European Parliament election | 26 May 2019 | EU28 | 751 | 41 | 154 | 74 | 108 | 182 | 62 | 73 | 57 | – | 28 |
The following table shows the projected popular vote share for the groups in the EU Parliament aggregated on the European level. EU27 excludes the United Kingdom in this context. EU28 includes the United Kingdom.
Organisation | Release date | Area | The Left | S&D | G/EFA | Renew | EPP | ECR | ID | NI | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Germany's AfD is expelled from the Identity and Democracy group. [14] | ||||||||||||
EM Analytics [19] | 30 Apr 2024 | EU27 | 7.3% | 18.9% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 21.7% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
Europe Elects for Euractiv [104] | 28 Apr 2024 | EU27 | 6.3% | 18.3% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 22.9% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% |
EM Analytics [105] | 22 Apr 2024 | EU27 | 7.0% | 18.5% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 22.0% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% |
Europe Elects for Euractiv [106] | 16 Apr 2024 | EU27 | 5.9% | 18.0% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 24.3% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% |
Europe Elects for Euractiv [107] | 28 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 7.7% | 18.4% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 23.0% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% |
Europe Elects for Euractiv [108] | 18 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 4.8% | 18.5% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 22.2% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.7% |
Europe Elects for Euractiv [109] | 1 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 5.5% | 18.9% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 22.6% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% |
Europe Elects for Euractiv [110] | 19 Feb 2024 | EU27 | 6.7% | 18.5% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 22.9% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% |
Europe Elects for Euractiv [111] | 1 Feb 2024 | EU27 | 6.8% | 18.4% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 22.6% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% |
Europe Elects for Euractiv [112] | 15 Jan 2024 | EU27 | 5.9% | 18.3% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 23.5% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% |
Europe Elects [113] | 30 Dec 2023 | EU27 | 5.5% | 17.9% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 22.8% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% |
Europe Elects [114] | 30 Nov 2023 | EU27 | 5.7% | 18.4% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 22.4% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.0% |
Europe Elects [115] | 31 Oct 2023 | EU27 | 5.9% | 18.5% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 22.4% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 3.9% |
Europe Elects [116] | 30 Sep 2023 | EU27 | 6.9% | 19.1% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 21.3% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 2.2% |
Europe Elects | 31 Aug 2023 | EU27 | 6.1% | 19.5% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 21.6% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 2.1% |
Europe Elects [117] | 31 Jul 2023 | EU27 | 7.2% | 19.5% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 20.6% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 1.1% |
Europe Elects [118] | 28 Jun 2023 | EU27 | 6.9% | 18.7% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 21.4% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 2.7% |
Europe Elects [119] | 31 May 2023 | EU27 | 7.5% | 18.8% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 20.7% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 1.9% |
Europe Elects [120] | 30 Apr 2023 | EU27 | 7.8% | 18.2% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 21.4% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 3.2% |
Europe Elects [121] | 31 Mar 2023 | EU27 | 7.3% | 19.0% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 21.6% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 2.6% |
Europe Elects [122] | 28 Feb 2023 | EU27 | 7.1% | 18.7% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 21.7% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 3.0% |
Europe Elects [123] | 31 Jan 2023 | EU27 | 7.4% | 18.5% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 21.5% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 3.0% |
Europe Elects [124] | 31 Dec 2022 | EU27 | 7.1% | 18.7% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 21.1% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 2.4% |
Europe Elects [63] | 7 Dec 2022 | EU27 | 7.2% | 18.8% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 21.2% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 2.4% |
Europe Elects [64] | 1 Nov 2022 | EU27 | 8.0% | 18.3% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 21.6% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.3% |
Europe Elects [70] | 8 Jan 2022 | EU27 | 6.7% | 20.6% | 7.2% | 11.9% | 20.7% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 0.1% |
Europe Elects [72] | 7 Dec 2021 | EU27 | 7.0% | 20.4% | 7.4% | 13.6% | 17.9% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 1.2% |
Europe Elects [74] | 4 Nov 2021 | EU27 | 6.9% | 20.7% | 7.2% | 13.0% | 19.5% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 1.2% |
Europe Elects [75] | 8 Oct 2021 | EU27 | 7.3% | 20.3% | 7.2% | 12.0% | 20.3% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | Tie |
Europe Elects [78] | 9 Jul 2021 | EU27 | 7.2% | 17.9% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 21.2% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 3.3% |
Europe Elects [79] | 5 Jun 2021 | EU27 | 7.8% | 18.0% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 20.6% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 2.6% |
Europe Elects [96] | 2 May 2021 | EU27 | 7.9% | 18.3% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 20.3% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 2.0% |
Europe Elects [97] | 2 Apr 2021 | EU27 | 8.0% | 18.7% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 21.6% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
Hungary's Fidesz party leaves the EPP Group. [84] | ||||||||||||
Europe Elects [86] | 2 Mar 2021 | EU27 | 7.9% | 18.9% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 23.1% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 4.2% |
Europe Elects [86] | 2 Feb 2021 | EU27 | 8.2% | 18.6% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 24.4% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% |
Europe Elects [86] | 31 Dec 2020 | EU27 | 8.4% | 18.9% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 24.1% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% |
Europe Elects [88] | 2 Dec 2020 | EU27 | 8.2% | 18.5% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 24.8% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% |
Europe Elects [89] | 31 Oct 2020 | EU27 | 7.6% | 18.4% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 25.0% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% |
Europe Elects [91] | 4 Oct 2020 | EU27 | 7.9% | 17.9% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 24.4% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% |
Europe Elects [92] | 31 Aug 2020 | EU27 | 8.1% | 18.3% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 25.0% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% |
Europe Elects [93] | 14 Aug 2020 | EU27 | 8.0% | 18.0% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 25.3% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% |
Europe Elects [94] | 24 Jul 2020 | EU27 | 8.3% | 17.9% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 25.7% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 7.8% |
Europe Elects [95] | 28 May 2020 | EU27 | 8.2% | 18.0% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 25.2% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% |
Europe Elects [96] | 30 Apr 2020 | EU27 | 8.2% | 18.5% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 25.3% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% |
Europe Elects [97] | 31 Mar 2020 | EU27 | 8.5% | 18.2% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 24.1% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% |
Europe Elects [98] | 29 Feb 2020 | EU27 | 9.1% | 18.0% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 22.7% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% |
Europe Elects [99] | 31 Jan 2020 | EU27 | 8.0% | 18.6% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 20.5% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
The United Kingdom leaves the European Union. [100] | ||||||||||||
Europe Elects [103] | 31 Dec 2019 | EU28 | 8.1% | 18.8% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 20.9% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
Europe Elects [103] | 30 Nov 2019 | EU28 | 8.0% | 18.4% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 20.3% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
Europe Elects [103] | 31 Oct 2019 | EU28 | 6.5% | 17.8% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 20.3% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 2.5% |
Europe Elects [103] | 30 Sep 2019 | EU28 | 6.6% | 19.5% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 19.6% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 0.1% |
Europe Elects [103] | 31 Aug 2019 | EU28 | 6.9% | 19.0% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 20.0% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 1.0% |
Europe Elects [103] | 31 Jul 2019 | EU28 | 6.6% | 19.0% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 19.3% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 0.3% |
Europe Elects [103] | 30 Jun 2019 | EU28 | 6.9% | 18.9% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 19.1% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 0.2% |
2019 European Parliament election [125] | 26 May 2019 | EU27 | 7.0% | 18.9% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 22.6% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% |
2019 European Parliament election [103] | EU28 | 6.5% | 18.5% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 21.0% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | ÖVP EPP | SPÖ S&D | FPÖ ID | Grüne G/EFA | NEOS Renew | KPÖ Left | DNA NI | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lazarsfeld Society | 24–28 May2024 | 2,000 | 22 4 | 23 5 | 28 6 | 9 2 | 15 3 | 2 0 | 1 0 | — | 5 |
Market | 24–28 May2024 | 814 | 22 4 | 24 5 | 27 6 | 9 2 | 14 3 | 3 0 | 1 0 | — | 3 |
IFDD | 22–24 May2024 | 1,080 | 22 5 | 23 5 | 28 6 | 10 2 | 12 2 | 3 0 | 2 0 | — | 5 |
Lazarsfeld Society | 17–21 May2024 | 1,000 | 22 4 | 24 5 | 27 6 | 9 2 | 15 3 | 2 0 | 1 0 | — | 3 |
Spectra | 13–20 May2024 | 1,000 | 22 5 | 23 5 | 26 5 | 11 2 | 13 3 | 3 0 | 2 0 | — | 3 |
IFDD | 15–17 May2024 | 1,000 | 23 5 | 22 5 | 27 6 | 11 2 | 12 2 | 4 0 | 1 0 | — | 4 |
Peter Hajek | 13–17 May2024 | 1,200 | 23 5 | 23 5 | 30 6 | 10 2 | 10 2 | 3 0 | 1 0 | — | 7 |
OGM | 7–8 May2024 | 1,007 | 22 5 | 22 5 | 26 5 | 13 2 | 14 3 | 2 0 | — | 1 0 | 4 |
Lazarsfeld Society | 6–8 May2024 | 2,000 | 21 4 | 21 4 | 26 6 | 14 3 | 15 3 | 2 0 | 1 0 | — | 5 |
Triple-M | 3–7 May2024 | 800 | 19 4 | 23 5 | 27 6 | 14 3 | 11 2 | 4 0 | — | 2 0 | 4 |
Market | 22–25 Apr2024 | 842 | 20 4 | 24 5 | 27 6 | 12 2 | 13 3 | 3 0 | — | 1 0 | 3 |
Lazarsfeld Society | 22–24 Apr2024 | 2,000 | 21 4 | 23 5 | 27 6 | 12 2 | 13 3 | 3 0 | — | 1 0 | 4 |
Ipsos | 23 Feb–5 Mar2024 | 1,000 | 21.0 4 | 22.0 5 | 28.2 6 | 13.0 3 | 11.8 2 | 2.1 0 | — | 1.9 0 | 6.2 |
Lazarsfeld Society | 26–28 Feb2024 | 1,000 | 20 4 | 22 5 | 26 5 | 14 3 | 16 3 | 2 0 | — | — | 4 |
Market | 5–7 Feb2024 | 800 | 24 5 | 23 5 | 27 6 | 11 2 | 12 2 | 2 0 | — | 1 0 | 3 |
Lazarsfeld Society | 29–31 Jan2024 | 1,000 | 24 5 | 20 4 | 27 6 | 13 2 | 14 3 | 2 0 | — | — | 3 |
OGM | 22–31 Jan2024 | 2,076 | 22 5 | 21 4 | 26 6 | 14 3 | 12 2 | 2 0 | — | 3 0 | 4 |
IFDD | 25–28 Jan2024 | 1,000 | 21 4 | 24 5 | 27 6 | 14 3 | 9 2 | 3 0 | — | 2 0 | 3 |
Lazarsfeld Society | 11–13 Dec2023 | 1,000 | 22 5 | 22 5 | 30 6 | 13 2 | 9 2 | 2 0 | — | 2 0 | 8 |
Peter Hajek | 22–29 Nov2023 | 1,600 | 23 5 | 24 5 | 30 7 | 12 2 | 7 1 | 3 0 | — | 1 0 | 6 |
IFDD | 1–4 Oct2023 | 837 | 25 5/6 | 25 5/6 | 25 5/6 | 14 3 | 8 1 | — | — | 3 0 | Tie |
2019 legislative election | 29 Sep 2019 | – | 37.5 8 | 21.2 5 | 16.2 3 | 13.9 3 | 8.1 1 | 0.7 0 | — | 2.5 0 | 16.3 |
2019 European election | 26 May 2019 | – | 34.6 7 | 23.9 5 | 17.2 3 | 14.1 3 | 8.4 1 | 0.8 0 | — | 1.0 0 | 9.7 |
Projected turnout:
According to the OGM poll for the "Kurier" newspaper (May 7-8, 2024), a total of 66% of those surveyed said they are "certain" to vote. This would represent an increase of more than 6% compared to the 2019 election, which had 59.8% turnout. It would also be the highest turnout since the first EU parliament election in Austria in 1996, when turnout was 67.7%.
Date(s) conducted | Polling firm | Publisher | Sample size | N‑VA ECR | VB ID | Open Vld Renew | cd&v EPP | Groen G/EFA | Vooruit S&D | PVDA Left | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024 | Ipsos | Euronews [126] | 1,500 | 18.7% 3 | 23.5% 3 | 12.7% 2 | 11.5% 1 | 9.7% 1 | 13.8% 2 | 9.3% 1 | 0.8% 0 | 4.8% |
26 May 2019 | European election | 22.4% 3 | 19.1% 3 | 15.9% 2 | 14.5% 2 | 12.4% 1 | 10.2% 1 | 4.9% 0 | 0.5% 0 | 3.3% |
Date(s) conducted | Polling firm | Publisher | Sample size | PS S&D | Ecolo G/EFA | MR Renew | PTB Left | LE EPP | DéFI NI | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024 | Ipsos | Euronews [126] | 1,500 | 26.7% 2 | 12.8% 1 | 22.8% 2 | 19.2% 2 | 11.0% 1 | 2.8% 0 | 4.7% 0 | 3.9% |
26 May 2019 | European election | 26.7% 2 | 19.9% 2 | 19.3% 2 | 14.6% 1 | 8.9% 1 | 5.9% 0 | 4.7% 0 | 6.8% |
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample | GERB—SDS EPP | BSPzB S&D | DPS Renew | VMRO ECR | PP–DB Renew-EPP [lower-alpha 3] | Revival NI | ITN ECR [lower-alpha 4] | Blue Bulgaria ECR | Others | NOTA | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sova Haris | 29 May-3 June 2024 | 1000 | 26.4 5 | 8.9 2 | 14.4 3 | — | 15.4 3 | 15.3 3 | 5.6 0 | — | 14 | — | 11 |
Market Links | 22 May-2 June 2024 | 1004 | 28.8 6 | 8.7 2 | 12.4 3 | — | 20.2 4 | 11.4 2 | 3.9 0 | 2.2 0 | 7.4 [lower-alpha 5] | 2.1 | 8.6 |
TREND | 11–18 May 2024 | 1003 | 25.9 5 | 8.1 2 | 14.6 3 | 1.2 0 | 16.1 4 | 15.1 3 | 5.5 0 | 1.8 0 | 12.4 [lower-alpha 6] | 5.3 | 9.8 |
Sova Harris | 8–13 May 2024 | 1000 | 28.3 6 | 10.3 2 | 13.3 3 | — | 15.8 3 | 15 3 | 5.2 0 | — | 11.5 | — | 12.5 |
MarketLinks | 29 April–9 May 2024 | — | 29.4 6 | 9.3 2 | 13.1 3 | — | 20.6 4 | 12.3 2 | 2.7 0 | 1.7 0 | 6.4 [lower-alpha 7] | 4.2 | 8.8 |
Alpha Research | 28 April–5 May 2024 | 1000 | 25.1 5 | 8.0 2 | 14.4 3 | — | 18.5 4 | 14.8 3 | 4.8 0 | 2.4 0 | 12.0 [lower-alpha 8] | — | 6.6 |
Gallup | 22 April–2 May 2024 | 808 | 26.4 5 | 8.2 2 | 14.9 3 | 1.3 0 | 17.5 4 | 14.7 3 | 4.5 0 | 1.4 0 | 11.1 [lower-alpha 9] | — | 8.9 |
TREND | 12–19 April 2024 | 1002 | 27.2 5 | 9.4 2 | 15.4 3 | — | 17.2 4 | 15.3 3 | 5.1 0 | — | 10.1 [lower-alpha 10] | — | 10.1 |
Gallup | 28 March-5 April 2024 | 805 | 28.7 5 | 10.1 2 | 15.3 3 | — | 18.2 4 | 15.1 3 | 5.5 0 | — | 9.8 | — | 6.2 |
IPSOS | N/A | N/A | 27.1 5 | 8.8 2 | 13.0 2 | — | 20.9 4 | 15.1 3 | 6.1 1 | — | 8.9 [lower-alpha 11] | — | 6.2 |
Alpha Research | 1-7 March 2024 | 1000 | 27.0 5 | 10.6 2 | 10.0 2 | — | 23.8 5 | 15.8 3 | 5.9 0 | — | 6.9 | — | 3.2 |
Market Links | 24 February-3 March 2024 | 1058 | 26.4 5 | 9.7 2 | 14.0 3 | — | 22.7 4 | 13.5 3 | 3.8 0 | — | 6.1 | 3.9 | 3.7 |
2019 election | 26 May 2019 | — | 30.4 6 | 23.5 5 | 16.1 3 | 7.1 2 | 5.9 [lower-alpha 12] 1 | 1.0 0 | — | — | 2.6 | 4.1 | 6.9 |
Publication date | Polling firm | Sample size | HDZ EPP | SDP S&D | Most ECR | PiP NI | IDS RE | DP ID | M! G/EFA | Others | Undecided | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 Jun 2024 | CroElecto | 1041 | 31.2 5 | 22.0 3 | 7.1 1 | 3.7 0 | 3.8 0 | 8.7 1 | 11.1 2 | - | - | 9.2 |
25 May 2024 | Ipsos | 990 | 28.5 5 | 17.8 3 | 5.4 1 | 1.8 0 | 3.8 0 | 7.4 1 | 9.9 2 | 12.2 [lower-alpha 13] 0 | 14.9 | 10.7 |
04 May 2024 | Promocija plus | 1000 | 30.6 5 | 24.2 4 | 5.4 1 | 2.5 0 | 2.3 0 | 6.7 1 | 7.5 1 | - | - | 6.4 |
17 Apr 2024 | 2024 parliamentary election | – | 34.4 | 25.4 | 8.0 | [lower-alpha 14] | 2.3 | 9.6 | 9.1 | 11.2 | - | 9.0 |
26 May 2019 | 2019 European election | – | 27.1 4 | 22.1 4 | 17.6 1 | 13.6 2 | 11.9 1 | – | 1.8 0 | 5.8 | - | 5.0 |
Date | Polling firm | DISY EPP | AKEL Left | ELAM ECR | DIKO S&D | EDEK S&D | DIPA Renew | KOSP G/EFA | APC Left | EP NI | VOLT G/EFA | Fidias NI | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
27-30 May 2024 | IMR | 26.6 | 28.3 | 13.7 | 10.6 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 3.2 | - | 2.0 | 2.8 | 7.5 | 0.6 | 1.7 |
22-28 May 2024 | CMRC | 28.7 | 27.4 | 14.0 | 12.1 | 3.8 | 1.9 | 3.8 | 1.9 | - | 3.8 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
20-25 May 2024 | RAI Consultants | 27.3 | 25.2 | 12.5 | 9.3 | 4.4 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 2.1 | 4.5 | 8.7 | 0.3 | 2.1 |
13-25 May 2024 | CYMAR Market Research Ltd | 26.0 | 24.0 | 13.0 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | - | - | 4.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 |
20-24 May 2024 | Symmetron | 25.6 | 24.2 | 12.0 | 10.2 | 3.7 | 4.3 | 2.6 | - | - | 3.9 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
17-24 May 2024 | SIGMA | 29.0 | 27.7 | 13.5 | 12.9 | 3.9 | 2.6 | 3.9 | - | - | 2.6 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
16-22 May 2024 | Pulse Market Research | 25.8 | 23.5 | 13.6 | 12.1 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 3.0 | - | - | 5.3 | 6.1 | 3.0 | 2.3 |
9-14 May 2024 | Analytica Market Research | 24.3 | 24.9 | 14.5 | 11.9 | 6.0 | 3.5 | 3.7 | - | 3.3 | 3.9 | - | 4.0 | 0.6 |
10-22 Apr 2024 | CMRC | 29.0 | 27.5 | 15.2 | 12.3 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 3.6 | 2.9 | - | 3.6 | - | 0.7 | 1.5 |
08-19 Apr 2024 | CYMAR Market Research Ltd | 28.1 | 25.0 | 15.6 | 12.5 | 6.3 | 1.6 | 1.6 | - | - | 3.1 | - | 6.3 | 3.1 |
14–23 Mar 2024 | SIGMA | 28.1 | 28.1 | 15.1 | 13.7 | 4.1 | 2.7 | 2.7 | - | - | 2.7 | - | 2.7 | 0 |
20–26 Feb 2024 | Pulse Market Research | 31.3 | 25.8 | 14.7 | 12.9 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 3.7 | - | - | - | - | 5.5 | 5.5 |
12–16 Feb 2024 | SIGMA | 29.0 | 27.5 | 14.5 | 11.6 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 2.9 | 1.4 | - | 1.4 | - | 2.9 | 1.5 |
11 Feb 2024 | Symmetron | 30.7 | 29 | 13.7 | 10.9 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.4 | - | - | 3 | - | 1.6 | 1.7 |
29 Jan – 02 Feb 2024 | Interview | 31.7 | 31.8 | 15 | 9.0 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 6.8 | - | - | - | - | 1.1 | 0.1 |
22–26 Jan 2024 | L.S.Prime | 26.4 | 26.4 | 13.8 | 11.1 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 2.8 | - | - | - | - | 11.1 | 0 |
03–11 Jan 2024 | IMR | 25.7 | 27.8 | 17.4 | 9.7 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 4.9 | - | - | 1.8 | - | 3.5 | 2.1 |
30 May | Election 2021 | 27.8% | 22.3% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 3.3% | - | 10.3% | 5.5 | |
26 May | Election 2019 | 29.0% | 27.5% | 8.2% | 13.8% | 10.6% | 3.8% | - | 0.8% | - | - | 3.0% | 1.5 |
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | SPOLU ECR–EPP | ANO Renew | Piráti G/EFA | STAN EPP | SPD– Trikolóra ID | Stačilo! Left | SOCDEM S&D | Svobodní NI | PaM NI | Zelení EGP | PRO NI | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
STEM | 22–26 May 2024 | 1,623 | 21.5 6 | 23.1 6 | 9.4 2 | 10.0 3 | 9.5 2 | 8.1 2 | 2.9 0 | 2.7 0 | 4.7 0 | 1.9 0 | 1.8 0 | 4.1 0 | 1.6 |
STEM/MARK | 20–27 May 2024 | 1,398 | 22.3 5 | 26.1 6 | 12.1 3 | 8.1 2 | 7.9 2 | 7.7 2 | 3.6 0 | 2.3 0 | 7.2 1 | 1.4 0 | 1.0 0 | 0.3 0 | 3.8 |
Phoenix Research | 1–13 May 2024 | 1,018 | 17.5 5 | 27.4 7 | 9.9 2 | 11.5 3 | 6.2 1 | 7.0 2 | 5.0 1 | 1.3 0 | 2.2 0 | — | 4.2 0 | 7.8 1 | 9.9 |
SANEP | 2–7 May 2024 | 1,800 | 19.8 5 | 26.7 7 | 10.6 3 | 9.9 2 | 10.1 3 | 5.9 1 | 3.7 0 | 2.9 0 | 4.8 0 | 0.5 0 | 3.2 0 | 1.9 0 | 6.9 |
STEM/Mark | 28 Mar–8 April 2024 | 1,009 | 20.0 5 | 27.5 7 | 10.1 2 | 10.4 3 | 10.4 2 | 6.7 1 | 3.4 0 | 2.5 0 | 6.0 1 | 0.9 0 | — | 1.9 0 | 7.5 |
Data Collect | 25 Mar 2024 | 20.9 | 27.3 | 10.8 | 9.3 | 10.9 | 7.1 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 6.4 | |
IPSOS | 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 1,517 | 21.6 | 26.3 | 11.3 | 13.4 | 7.9 | 6.1 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 4.9 | — | — | — | 4.7 |
IPSOS | Dec 2023 | TBA | 25.2 | 26.3 | 10.0 | 12.0 | 7.7 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 12.8 | 1.1 |
STEM/MARK | 23–28 Nov 2023 | 1,010 | 15.0 | 33.8 | 11.4 | 7.3 | 14.7 | 5.4 | 3.6 | 2.9 | — | — | — | 6.0 | 18.8 |
2021 parliamentary election | 8–9 Oct 2021 | – | 27.8 | 27.1 | 15.6 | 9.6 | 3.6 | 4.7 | 2.8 [lower-alpha 15] | 4.7 | 1.0 | — | 0.9 | 0.7 | |
2019 European election | 24–25 May 2019 | – | 21.8 [lower-alpha 16] | 21.2 | 14.0 | 11.7 [lower-alpha 17] | 9.1 | 6.9 | 4.0 | 0.7 | — | — | — | 10.6 | 0.6 |
Polling execution | Parties | Alliances | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | V Renew | A S&D | F G/EFA | O ID | B Renew | C EPP | Ø Left | Å G/EFA | I EPP | M Renew | Æ ECR | Others | AFÅ | BMV | CI |
Epinion | 28 May–3 Jun 2024 | 2,085 | 10.8 2 | 17.7 3 | 16.6 3 | 6.4 1 | 4.9 0 | 8.3 1 | 7.8 1 | 4.1 0 | 8.5 2 | 6.0 1 | 8.9 1 | — | 38.4 6 | 21.7 3 | 16.8 3 |
Megafon | 30 May–3 Jun 2024 | ? | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | 6 | 3 | 3 |
Megafon | 27–30 May 2024 | ? | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | 6 | 4 | 3 |
Megafon | 21–24 May 2024 | ? | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | 6 | 4 | 3 |
Epinion | 8–14 May 2024 | 2,025 | 12.5 2 | 21.4 4 | 13.1 2 | 7.4 1 | 5.4 1 | 7.1 1 | 6.8 1 | 1.7 0 | 9.9 2 | 4.0 0 | 10.4 1 | — | 36.2 6 | 21.9 3 | 17.0 3 |
Verian | 8–14 May 2024 | 1,565 | 13.6 2 | 18.6 3 | 14.0 3 | 9.6 1 | 4.7 1 | 6.8 1 | 6.2 1 | 1.2 0 | 12.2 2 | 3.9 0 | 9.1 1 | — | 33.8 6 | 22.2 3 | 19.0 3 |
Epinion | 23–29 Apr 2024 | 1,938 | 11.2 2 | 20.1 4 | 14.6 2 | 6.5 1 | 7.0 1 | 6.8 1 | 6.9 1 | 2.3 0 | 12.0 2 | 4.5 0 | 8.1 1 | — | 37.0 6 | 22.7 3 | 18.8 3 |
Epinion | 6–13 Mar 2024 | 1,074 | 12 2 | 24 4 | 14 2 | 7 1 | 5 1 | 5 1 | 7 1 | 3 0 | 9 1 | 7 1 | 7 1 | — | 41 6 | 24 4 | 14 2 |
Ipsos | 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 1,000 | 10.5 2 | 21.0 4 | 12.0 2 | 5.0 0 | 6.0 1 | 6.0 1 | 8.0 1 | 2.0 0 | 13.0 2 | 7.0 1 | 8.5 1 | — | 35.0 6 | 23.5 4 | 19.0 3 |
Epinion | 24–31 Jan 2024 | 1,051 | 11 2 | 22 4 | 12 2 | 7 1 | 6 1 | 6 1 | 7 1 | 1 0 | 10 1 | 7 1 | 9 1 | — | 35 6 | 24 4 | 16 2 |
2022 general election | 13.3 (3) | 27.5 (6) | 8.3 (1) | 2.6 (0) | 3.8 (0) | 5.5 (1) | 5.1 (0) | 3.3 (0) | 7.9 (1) | 9.3 (2) | 8.1 (1) | 5.2 (0) | 39.1 (7) | 26.4 (4) | 13.4 (2) | ||
2021 municipal elections | 21.2 (4) | 28.4 (5) | 7.6 (1) | 4.1 (0) | 5.6 (1) | 15.2 (3) | 7.3 (1) | 0.7 (0) | 1.4 (0) | — | 8.5 (0) | 36.7 (6) | 26.8 (5) | 16.6 (3) | |||
2019 general election | 23.4 (5) | 25.9 (6) | 7.7 (1) | 8.7 (1) | 8.6 (0) | 6.6 (1) | 6.9 (1) | 3.0 (0) | 2.3 (0) | — | 6.9 (0) | 36.6 (7) | 32.0 (5) | 9.0 (1) | |||
2019 EP election | 23.5 (4) | 21.5 3 | 13.2 2 | 10.8 1 | 10.1 2 | 6.2 1 | 5.5 1 | 3.4 0 | 2.2 0 | — | 3.7 0 | — |
Polling execution | Parties | Lead | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Reform Renew | SDE | Centre | EKRE ID | Isamaa EPP | EER G/EFA | Others | Party | EP group | |||||
Norstat | 8–20 May 2024 | 1,471 | 19.1 1 | 19.3 2 | 11.5 1 | 14.2 1 | 21.3 2 | 3.8 0 | 0.9 0 | 4.3 0 | 2.9 0 | 2.7 0 | 2.0 | 4.6 | ||
Kantar Emor | 6–15 May 2024 | 1,471 | 17.2 2 | 23.6 2 | 11.0 1 | 13.6 1 | 14.0 1 | 4.1 0 | 0.9 0 | 7.2 0 | 3.1 0 | 5.4 0 | 6.4 | 9.3 | ||
Norstat | 29 Apr–6 May 2024 | 1,484 | 19.3 2 | 21.4 2 | 9.4 1 | 17.9 1 | 17.1 1 | 3.9 0 | 0.9 0 | 4.5 0 | 3.0 0 | 2.7 0 | 2.1 | 7.3 | ||
Kantar Emor | 8-17 Apr 2024 | 1,484 | 18.8 2 | 20 2 | 13.8 1 | 13.8 1 | 16.8 1 | 4.7 0 | 1.5 0 | 6 0 | — | 4.5 0 | 1.2 | 12.6 | ||
Norstat | 11-15 Apr 2024 | 3,500 | 20.1 2 | 22.0 2 | 11.0 1 | 17.2 1 | 17.6 1 | 5.0 0 | 1.2 0 | 4.7 0 | — | 1.2 0 | 1.9 | 9.1 | ||
Kantar Emor | 14-20 Mar 2024 | 1,135 | 18.9 2 | 21.4 2 | 13.9 1 | 15.4 1 | 16.7 1 | 5.6 0 | — [lower-alpha 18] | 5.9 0 | — | 2.1 0 | 2.5 | 11.4 | ||
2023 parliamentary election | 31.2 3 | 9.3 1 | 15.3 1 | 16.1 1 | 8.2 0 | 13.3 1 | 1.0 0 | 2.3 0 | — | 3.3 0 | 15.1 | 30.4 | ||||
2019 EP election | 26.2 2 | 23.3 2 | 14.4 1 | 12.7 1 | 10.3 1 | 3.2 0 | 1.8 0 | — | — | 8.0 0 | 2.9 | 17.3 | ||||
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | KOK EPP | VIHR G/EFA | SDP S&D | PS ECR | KESK Renew | VAS Left | SFP Renew | KD EPP | LIIK NI | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Taloustutkimus [130] | 23–29 Apr 2024 | 2,118 | 21.7 4 | 10.5 2 | 19.7 3 | 14.1 2 | 13.6 2 | 10.5 2 | 4.0 0 | 2.9 0 | 1.0 0 | 2.1 0 | 2.0 |
Verian [131] | 18–25 Mar 2024 | 1,372 | 22 4 | 11 2 | 17 3 | 14 2 | 12 2 | 9 1 | 5 0 | 6 1 | 4 0 | 5 | |
Ipsos [132] | 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 1,000 | 22.5 4 | 9.0 1 | 20.0 4 | 19.0 3 | 10.5 2 | 8.5 1 | 3.5 0 | 3.5 0 | 3.5 0 | 2.5 | |
2023 parliamentary election | 20.8 | 7.0 | 19.9 | 20.1 | 11.3 | 7.1 | 4.3 | 4.2 | 2.4 | 2.9 | 0.7 | ||
2019 EP election | 20.8 3 | 16.0 3 | 14.6 2 | 13.8 2 | 13.5 2 | 6.9 1 | 6.3 1 | 4.9 0 | 3.1 0 | 4.8 |
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | LO NI | NPA Left | PCF Left | LFI Left | ND S&D | PS–PP S&D | EELV G/EFA | GE NI | PRG G/EFA [lower-alpha 19] | PS diss. | UDMF NI | EAC G/EFA | ÉPT Renew | PP G/EFA | PA Left | Ens. Renew | AR | NE EPP | LR EPP | DLF ECR | UPR NI | LP–VIA ECR | RN ID | REC ECR | Others | Lead | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FNC NI | R! NI | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Harris Interactive | 04–05 Jun2024 | 2,130 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 9 | <0.5 | 13 | 6 | – | <0.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 2 | 14.5 | 1 | – | 7.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 5 | [lower-alpha 20] | 17.5 | |
BVA | 03–05 Jun2024 | 1,500 | 1 | <0.5 | 2.5 | 7.5 | <0.5 | 14 | 5.5 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 2.5 | 16 | 1 | – | 6.5 | – | 1.5 | 0.5 | 33 | 5 | 2 [lower-alpha 21] | 17 | |
Ifop | 01–05 Jun2024 | 2,724 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8 | <0.5 | 13.5 | 5 | – | <0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | – | 2.5 | 15 | 1 | – | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 33 | 6 | 1.5 | 18 | |
Harris Interactive | 03–04 Jun2024 | 2,130 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 9 | <0.5 | 13 | 6 | – | <0.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 2 | 14.5 | 1 | – | 7.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 5 | [lower-alpha 22] | 17.5 | |
Ifop | 31 May–04 Jun2024 | 2,734 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 7.5 | <0.5 | 14 | 5.5 | – | <0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | – | 2 | 15 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 33 | 6 | 2 | 18 | |
Harris Interactive | 02–03 Jun2024 | 2,130 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 9 | <0.5 | 13 | 6 | – | <0.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 2 | 14.5 | 1 | – | 7.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 5 | [lower-alpha 23] | 17.5 | |
Ifop | 30 May–03 Jun2024 | 2,751 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 7.5 | <0.5 | 14 | 6 | – | <0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | – | 2 | 15.5 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 33.5 | 6 | 1.5 | 18 | |
Elabe | 29–31 May2024 | 1,688 | 1 | 0.5 | 3 | 8.5 | <0.5 | 13 | 7 | – | <0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 2 | 16 | 1 | – | 6.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32.5 | 5 | 1.5 [lower-alpha 24] | 17.5 | |
Harris Interactive | 30–31 May2024 | 2,178 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8.5 | <0.5 | 13.5 | 5.5 | – | <0.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 2 | 14.5 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 5.5 | [lower-alpha 25] | 17.5 | |
Ifop | 28–31 May2024 | 2,713 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 7 | <0.5 | 14 | 6.5 | – | <0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | – | 2 | 15.5 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 33.5 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 18 | |
OpinionWay | 28–30 May2024 | 2,149 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | <1 | 14 | 5 | – | <1 | – | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | 2 | 15 | 1 | – | 7 | – | <1 | 1 | 33 | 6 | 4 [lower-alpha 26] | 17 | |
Cluster17 | 28–30 May2024 | 1,165 | 1 | 0.5 | 2 | 8 | 0.5 | 13.5 | 5 | – | 0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | <0.5 | 2.5 | 15.5 | 1.5 | – | 7 | – | 1.5 | 1.5 | 30 | 6 | <3 [lower-alpha 27] | 14.5 | |
Harris Interactive | 29–30 May2024 | 2,200 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8 | <0.5 | 13.5 | 5.5 | – | <0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 1.5 | 14.5 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 33 | 5.5 | [lower-alpha 28] | 18.5 | |
Ipsos | 27–30 May2024 | 11,430 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 8 | 0.5 | 14.5 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 1.5 | 16 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 33 | 5 | [lower-alpha 29] | 17 | |
Ifop | 26–30 May2024 | 2,700 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 7 | <0.5 | 14 | 6.5 | – | <0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | – | 1.5 | 16 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 33.5 | 6.5 | 1 | 17.5 | |
OpinionWay | 28–29 May2024 | 1,008 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | – | 14 | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2 | 15 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 7 | 3 | 17 | |
Harris Interactive | 28–29 May2024 | 2,016 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8 | 0.5 | 14 | 5.5 | – | 0.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 1 | 14.5 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 32.5 | 5 | 4 [lower-alpha 30] | 17.5 | |
Ifop | 25–29 May2024 | 2,250 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 3 | 7 | <0.5 | 14 | 6.5 | – | 0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | – | 1.5 | 16 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 33.5 | 6.5 | 1 | 17.5 | |
Harris Interactive | 27–28 May2024 | 2,016 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 14 | 5 | – | 0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 1 | 15 | 1 | – | 7.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 5 | 4 [lower-alpha 31] | 17 | |
Ifop | 24–28 May2024 | 1,809 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 2.5 | 7.5 | <0.5 | 14 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | – | 1 | 15.5 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 34 | 6 | 1.5 | 18.5 | |
Harris Interactive | 24–27 May2024 | 2,016 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 14 | 5 | – | 0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 1 | 14.5 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 5 | 4 [lower-alpha 32] | 17.5 | |
Ifop | 23–27 May2024 | 1,362 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 7.5 | <0.5 | 14.5 | 5.5 | – | 0.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 1 | 16 | 1 | – | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 33.5 | 6 | 1 | 17.5 | |
Elabe | 24–25 May2024 | 1,688 | 1 | <0.5 | 2 | 8 | <0.5 | 13 | 6 | – | <0.5 | – | <0.5 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 15.5 | 1.5 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 0.5 | 33 | 5.5 | 2 [lower-alpha 33] | 17.5 | |
Odoxa | 23–24 May2024 | 991 | 2 | 1 | 2.5 | 7 | <0.5 | 13.5 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 15 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 0.5 | 1.5 | 34 | 4 | 0.5 | 16.5 | |
Ifop | 21–24 May2024 | 1,362 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 7.5 | <0.5 | 14.5 | 5 | – | <0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 1.5 | 16 | 1 | – | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | 1.5 | 33 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 17 | |
OpinionWay | 21–24 May2024 | 2,024 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | <1 | 13 | 5 | – | <1 | – | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | 1 | 15 | <1 | – | 8 | – | <1 | 1 | 32 | 7 | 5 [lower-alpha 34] | 17 | |
Ifop | 20–23 May2024 | 1,356 | 1 | 0.5 | 2 | 7 | <0.5 | 15 | 5 | – | <0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 2 | 16 | 1 | – | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 33 | 6 | 1.5 | 17 | |
Cluster17 | 21–22 May2024 | 1,043 | 1 | 0.5 | 2 | 8 | 0.5 | 14 | 5 | – | 1 | – | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 2 | 16 | 1.5 | – | 6.5 | – | 1.5 | 1.5 | 29 | 6 | 3 | 13 | |
OpinionWay | 21–22 May2024 | 1,067 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | – | 13 | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 1 | 16 | 1 | – | 8 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 7 | 3 | 16 | |
Ifop | 20–22 May2024 | 1,344 | 1 | 0.5 | 2 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 15 | 5.5 | – | <0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 1.5 | 16 | 1 | – | 7.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32.5 | 6 | 0.5 | 16.5 | |
Vivavoice | 20–21 May2024 | 1,059 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1 | 6.5 | <0.5 | 14 | 7 | – | <0.5 | – | 0.5 | 1 | – | – | 1.5 | 17 | 1.5 | – | 6.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 6 | 2 | 15 | |
Ifop | 19–21 May2024 | 1,344 | 1 | <0.5 | 2 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 15 | 5.5 | – | 0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 1.5 | 16.5 | 1 | – | 7.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 6 | 0.5 | 15.5 | |
Elabe | 15–17 May2024 | 1,398 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 7.5 | <0.5 | 13 | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 15.5 | 1 | – | 7.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 5.5 | 3 | 16.5 | |
Ifop | 15–17 May2024 | 1,334 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 7 | 1 | 14.5 | 5.5 | – | 0.5 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 0.5 | – | 1.5 | 16.5 | 1 | – | 8 | – | <0.5 | <0.5 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 15.5 | |
Harris Interactive | 15–17 May2024 | 2,014 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8 | 0.5 | 14.5 | 5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 1 | 15 | 1 | – | 7.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 31.5 | 5.5 | 3.5 | 16.5 | |
BVA | 15–16 May2024 | 1,500 | 1.5 | 1 | 2.5 | 8 | <0.5 | 13 | 6.5 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 2 | 17 | 1 | <0.5 [lower-alpha 35] | 6 | 1 [lower-alpha 36] | 1 | <0.5 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 14 | |
OpinionWay | 14–16 May2024 | 2,025 | 1 | <1 | 2 | 7 | <1 | 14 | 6 | – | <1 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 16 | 2 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 31 | 8 | 2 | 15 | |
Ifop | 13–16 May2024 | 1,338 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 7 | 1 | 14.5 | 5.5 | – | <0.5 | – | 0.5 | 1 | – | – | 2 | 16.5 | 1.5 | – | 8 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 32 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 15.5 | |
OpinionWay | 14–15 May2024 | 1,006 | 1 | <1 | 2 | 8 | <1 | 14 | 6 | – | <1 | – | – | <1 | – | – | 1 | 16 | 2 | – | 7 | – | <1 | 1 | 31 | 8 | 3 | 15 | |
Cluster17 | 13–15 May2024 | 1,285 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8 | 1 | 14 | 5.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | 0.5 | – | 1.5 | 15.5 | 1.5 | – | 6 | – | 1.5 | 1.5 | 29.5 | 6 | 2.5 | 14 | |
Ifop | 11–15 May2024 | 1,348 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 14 | 5.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 0.5 | – | – | 2 | 16.5 | 1.5 | – | 8 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 32.5 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 16 | |
YouGov | 6–15 May2024 | 1,028 | 1 | <1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 5 | – | <1 [lower-alpha 37] | – | 2 | – | – | 1 | 17 | 2 | <1 [lower-alpha 35] | 6 | – | 2 | 2 | 32 | 6 | 2 | 15 | ||
Ipsos | 13–14 May2024 | 1,530 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 8 | <0.5 | 14.5 | 6.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1 | 16 | 1.5 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 31 | 6 | 1.5 | 15 | |
Ifop | 10–14 May2024 | 1,348 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 2.5 | 7.5 | <0.5 | 14 | 6 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 17 | 1.5 | – | 8 | – | 1 | 1 | 32.5 | 6 | 0.5 | 15.5 | |
Harris Interactive | 10–13 May2024 | 2,294 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8 | 0.5 | 14 | 5.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | 0.5 | – | 1 | 15 | 2 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 31.5 | 5 | 2.5 | 16.5 | |
Ifop | 9–13 May2024 | 1,348 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8 | <0.5 | 14 | 6 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | 17 | 1 | – | 7.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32.5 | 6 | 1 | 15.5 | |
Ifop | 6–10 May2024 | 1,325 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 13.5 | 6.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 17 | 1.5 | – | 7.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 15 | |
Cluster17 | 6–9 May2024 | 1,208 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 13 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | 0.5 | – | 2 | 15.5 | 1.5 | – | 6.5 | – | 1.5 | 1.5 | 29.5 | 6 | 3 | 14 | |
Ifop | 5–9 May2024 | 1,325 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 13 | 6.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 17 | 1.5 | – | 7.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 31.5 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 14.5 | |
OpinionWay | 6–7 May2024 | 1,029 | 1 | <1 | 3 | 6 | <1 | 14 | 6 | – | <1 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 17 | 2 | – | 6 | – | 1 | 1 | 30 | 8 | 3 | 13 | |
Ifop | 3–7 May2024 | 1,325 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 13 | 6.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 16.5 | 1.5 | – | 8 | – | 1 | 1 | 31.5 | 6 | 0.5 | 15 | |
OpinionWay | 5–6 May2024 | 1,026 | 1 | <1 | 3 | 7 | <1 | 14 | 7 | – | <1 | – | – | 1 | – | – | <1 | 16 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 15 | |
Ifop | 2–6 May2024 | 1,325 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8 | 0.5 | 13 | 6.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1.5 | 16 | 1 | – | 8 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 32 | 6 | 0.5 | 16 | |
Elabe | 30 Apr–3 May2024 | 1,375 | 1 | 0.5 | 2 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 12 | 8 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1 | 16.5 | 1 | <0.5 | 6.5 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 32 | 5 | 2.5 | 15.5 | |
Harris Interactive | 30 Apr–3 May2024 | 2,043 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 14 | 5.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | 0.5 | – | 1 | 15 | 2 | <0.5 | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 31 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 16 | |
Ifop | 30 Apr–3 May2024 | 1,345 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 13.5 | 6.5 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 2 | 16.5 | 1 | <0.5 | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 31.5 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 15 | |
OpinionWay | 29–30 Apr2024 | 1,075 | <1 | – | 2 | 6 | <1 | 14 | 7 | – | <1 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 17 | 2 | <1 | 7 | – | 1 | 2 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 14 | |
Ifop | 29 Apr–2 May2024 | 1,375 | <0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 13.5 | 7 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1.5 | 16.5 | 1.5 | <0.5 | 7.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 31 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 14.5 | |
Cluster17 | 29 Apr–1 May2024 | 1,337 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8 | 0.5 | 13 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 2 | 15.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 6 | – | 1 | 2 | 29.5 | 5.5 | 2 | 14 | |
OpinionWay | 29–30 Apr2024 | 1,009 | 1 | – | 4 | 7 | <1 | 14 | 7 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 0.5 | 17 | 1 | 0.5 | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 12 | |
Ifop | 26–30 Apr2024 | 1,360 | <0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 7 | 0.5 | 14 | 7 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 16 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 31.5 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 15.5 | |
Harris Interactive | 24–26 Apr2024 | 2,319 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 9 | <0.5 | 13 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 1 | 16 | 2 | <0.5 | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 31 | 6 | 2 | 15 | |
Ifop | 25–29 Apr2024 | 1,345 | <0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 7 | <0.5 | 14.5 | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1.5 | 16 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 8 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 31.5 | 6 | 0.5 | 15.5 | |
Odoxa | 25–26 Apr2024 | 1,005 | 1.5 | 1 | 2.5 | 7 | <0.5 | 12 | 7 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 15.5 | 1.5 | <0.5 | 8 | – | 1 | 1.5 | 32 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 16.5 | |
BVA | 25–26 Apr2024 | 1,434 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 6.5 | – | 13 | 8 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 3 | 17 | 1 | <0.5 | 6 | 1 [lower-alpha 36] | 1 | 1 | 31 | 5.5 | 1 | 14 | |
Ifop | 23–26 Apr2024 | 1,345 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 7.5 | <0.5 | 14 | 8 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1.5 | 16.5 | 1 | 0.5 | 8 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 31.5 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 15 | |
OpinionWay | 24–25 Apr2024 | 1,011 | 1 | – | 3 | 6 | <1 | 14 | 6 | – | <1 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 18 | 1 | <1 | 7 | – | 1 | 2 | 29 | 8 | 3 | 11 | |
Cluster17 | 23–25 Apr2024 | 1,164 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 12.5 | 6.5 | – | 1 | – | – | 0.5 | 1 | – | 2 | 16 | 2 | 0.5 | 6 | – | 1 | 1.5 | 29.5 | 6 | 2 | 13.5 | |
Ifop | 22–25 Apr2024 | 1,350 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 13 | 8 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1 | 17.5 | 1 | 0.5 | 8 | – | 0.5 | <0.5 | 31 | 5.5 | 1 | 13.5 | |
OpinionWay | 23–24 Apr2024 | 1,007 | 1 | – | 3 | 8 | <1 | 13 | 7 | – | <1 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 2 | 18 | 2 | <1 | 6 | – | 1 | 1 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 12 | |
Ifop | 20–24 Apr2024 | 1,335 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 7 | 0.5 | 12.5 | 7.5 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 17.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 8.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | 31 | 5.5 | 1 | 13.5 | |
Ipsos | 19–24 Apr2024 | 10,651 | 0.5 | 1 | 2.5 | 7 | 0.5 | 14 | 6.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 17 | 1 | <0.5 | 6.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 15 | |
Ifop | 19–23 Apr2024 | 1,335 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 7 | 0.5 | 12 | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 2 | – | – | 1.5 | 17 | 1 | 0.5 | 8 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 31.5 | 5.5 | 1 | 14.5 | |
Harris Interactive | 19–22 Apr2024 | 2,319 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8 | <0.5 | 13 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 1 | 16 | 2 | 0.5 | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 31 | 6 | 1.5 | 15 | |
Ifop | 18–22 Apr2024 | 1,339 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 7 | 0.5 | 12 | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 2 | – | – | 2 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 8 | – | <0.5 | 1 | 31.5 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 14.5 | |
Ifop | 16–19 Apr2024 | 1,371 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 8 | 0.5 | 11.5 | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 2 | 17.5 | 1 | 0.5 | 8 | – | <0.5 | 1 | 31.5 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 14 | |
OpinionWay | 17–18 Apr2024 | 1,021 | <1 | – | 3 | 7 | <1 | 13 | 7 | – | <1 | – | – | 2 | – | – | 1 | 19 | 1 | <1 | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 10 | |
Ifop | 15–18 Apr2024 | 1,376 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8 | <0.5 | 11.5 | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 17.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 8 | – | <0.5 | 1 | 32 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 14.5 | |
OpinionWay | 16–17 Apr2024 | 1,002 | 1 | – | 4 | 8 | <1 | 12 | 6 | – | <1 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 19 | 2 | <1 | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 10 | |
Ifop | 13–17 Apr2024 | 1,364 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 11.5 | 7.5 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 2 | – | – | 1.5 | 17.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 8 | – | <0.5 | 1 | 32.5 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 15 | |
Ifop | 12–16 Apr2024 | 1,349 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 3 | 7 | <0.5 | 12 | 7.5 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 18 | 1 | 0.5 | 8 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | 32.5 | 6 | 0.5 | 14.5 | |
Harris Interactive | 12–15 Apr2024 | 2,005 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8 | <0.5 | 14 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 1 | 16 | 2 | 0.5 | 7 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 30 | 6 | 2.5 | 14 | |
Ifop | 11–15 Apr2024 | 1,326 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 3 | 7.5 | <0.5 | 12 | 7 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1.5 | 18 | 1 | 0.5 | 8 | – | <0.5 | 1 | 32.5 | 6 | 0.5 | 14.5 | |
Ifop | 9–12 Apr2024 | 1,347 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8 | <0.5 | 12.5 | 6.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 18 | 1 | <0.5 | 8.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 31.5 | 6 | 0.5 | 13.5 | |
Ipsos | 10–11 Apr2024 | 1,500 | 1 | 0.5 | 3 | 7 | 0.5 | 13 | 7 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1.5 | 16 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 6.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 16 | |
Cluster17 | 9–11 Apr2024 | 1,164 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8.5 | 1 | 12 | 6 | – | 1 | – | – | 0.5 | 1 | – | 1.5 | 17 | 1 | 0.5 | 6 | – | 1.5 | 1.5 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 12 | |
Ifop | 8–11 Apr2024 | 1,355 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8 | 0.5 | 12.5 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1.5 | 18 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 8.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 31 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 13 | |
Ifop | 6–10 Apr2024 | 1,343 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8 | 0.5 | 12 | 5.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1 | 18.5 | 1 | <0.5 | 8.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 31.5 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 13 | |
Ifop | 5–9 Apr2024 | 1,335 | 1 | 0.5 | 3 | 7.5 | <0.5 | 12 | 5.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1 | 18.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 8 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 32 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 13.5 | |
YouGov | 3–9 Apr2024 | 1,028 | 2 | – | 2 | 5 | – | 12 | 6 | – | 1 [lower-alpha 37] | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 19 | <1 | – | – | 7 | 2 [lower-alpha 36] | – | – | 29 | 9 | 2 | 10 | |
Harris Interactive | 5–8 Apr2024 | 2,018 | 1 | – | 3 | 9 | – | 12 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | 1 | – | 1 | 17 | 1 | 0.5 | 7 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 30 | 6 | 3.5 | 13 | |
Ifop | 4–8 Apr2024 | 1,343 | 1 | 0.5 | 3 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 11 | 6.5 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 2 | 19 | <0.5 | <0.5 | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 13 | |
OpinionWay | 3–5 Apr2024 | 1,509 | 1 | – | 2 | 7 | – | 12 | 7 | – | <1 [lower-alpha 37] | – | 1 | – | – | 2 | 19 | 2 | <1 | 8 | – | 1 | – | 29 | 7 | 2 | 10 | ||
Elabe | 2–4 Apr2024 | 1,504 | 1.5 | – | 2.5 | 7.5 | – | 12 | 8.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 2 | – | – | 1 | 16.5 | 1 | <0.5 | 7 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 30 | 5.5 | 3.5 | 13.5 | |
Harris Interactive | 28–29 Mar2024 | 2,220 | 1 | – | 3 | 8 | – | 13 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 1 | 17 | 1 | 0.5 | 7 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 31 | 6 | 2.5 | 14 | |
BVA | 27–28 Mar2024 | 1,518 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 7 | – | 11 | 6 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 0.5 | – | <0.5 | 1 | 20 | 1 | <0.5 | 8 | 3 [lower-alpha 36] | 1 | 1 | 30 | 5.5 | 1 | 10 | |
Harris Interactive | 22–25 Mar2024 | 2,027 | 1 | – | 3 | 7 | – | 12 | 7 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 1 | 18 | 1 | 0.5 | 7 | 2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 30 | 6 | 2 | 12 | |
Ifop | 19–20 Mar2024 | 1,112 | 0.5 | – | 3 | 6 | – | 11 | 7 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 21 | 1 | 0.5 | 7 | 2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 30 | 6 | 0.5 | 9 | |
Harris Interactive | 15–18 Mar2024 | 2,124 | 1 | – | 2 | 8 | – | 13 | 7 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 0.5 | 1 | 0.5 | 1 | 18 | 1 | 0.5 | 7 | 2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 12 | |
OpinionWay | 13–14 Mar2024 | 1,008 | 1 | – | 2 | 6 | – | 11 | 8 | – | 1 [lower-alpha 37] | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 20 | 1 | – | <1 | 8 | 3 | 1 | – | 27 | 6 | 3 | 7 | |
Cluster17 | 8–9 Mar2024 | 1,016 | 0.5 | – | 3 | 8 | – | 10 | 8 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1 | 17 | 2 | 0.5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | – | 29 | 6 | 2 | 12 | |
Elabe | 5–7 Mar2024 | 1,504 | 2 | – | 3 | 7.5 | – | 8.5 | 9.5 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 17 | 1 | – | – | 7 | 3 | 0.5 | – | 29.5 | 4.5 | 3 | 12.5 |
YouGov | 26 Feb–7 Mar2024 | 1,008 | 1 | – | 2 | 6 | – | 10 | 7 | – | <1 [lower-alpha 37] | – | 1 | – | – | 2 | 20 | 1 | – | – | 6 | 3 | – | – | 33 | 5 | 3 | 13 | |
Ipsos | 1–6 Mar2024 | 11,700 | 1 | 3.5 | 7 | – | 11.5 | 8.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | – | – | – | 1.5 | 18 | 0.5 | – | – | 7 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 31 | 5 | 1.5 | 13 | |
Ipsos | 23 Feb–5 Mar2024 | 2,000 | – | – | 3.0 | 7 | – | 12.2 | 8.1 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 18.1 | – | – | – | 7.6 | 2.5 | – | – | 30.7 | 5.5 | 5.4 | 12.6 |
Ifop | 29 Feb–1 Mar2024 | 1,348 | 1 | 3.5 | 8 | – | 9 | 8 | – | 1 [lower-alpha 37] | – | 1 | – | – | 2 | 19 | <0.5 | 1.5 | <0.5 | 8 | 1.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 10 | ||
BVA | 27–28 Feb2024 | 1,344 | 2 | – | 3 | 7 | – | 11 | 7 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | <0.5 | 1.5 | 18 [lower-alpha 38] | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 8 | 2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 12 |
Odoxa | 21–22 Feb2024 | 1,005 | 1.5 | – | 1.5 | 6 | – | 11 | 8.5 | – | <0.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 19 [lower-alpha 39] | 1 | – | – | 8.5 | 4 | – | – | 30 | 7 | 2 | 11 |
Stack Data Strategy | 17–22 Feb2024 | 744 | 0.5 | 3.1 | 9.9 | – | 9.9 | 5.6 | – | 2.8 [lower-alpha 37] | – | 2.6 | – | – | 1.4 | 14.5 [lower-alpha 40] | – | 1.3 | – | 4.7 | 3.1 | – | – | 31.5 | 6.5 | 3.2 | 16.0 | ||
OpinionWay | 14–15 Feb2024 | 1,009 | <1 | – | 3 | 7 | – | 10 | 8 | – | 2 [lower-alpha 37] | – | 1 | – | – | <1 | 19 | 1 | – | <1 | 8 | 2 | 1 | – | 27 | 8 | 3 | 8 | |
Elabe | 7–9 Feb2024 | 1,426 | 1.5 | – | 2.5 | 9 | – | 9 | 9.5 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 2 | – | – | 2 | 16.5 | 1 | – | – | 8 | 3 | 0.5 | – | 27.5 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
Ifop | 7–8 Feb2024 | 1,356 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 7 | – | 9.5 | 8 | – | 1.5 [lower-alpha 37] | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 19 [lower-alpha 39] | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 7 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 29 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 10 | ||
1 | 3 | 7.5 | – | 10.5 | 8.5 | – | 1 [lower-alpha 37] | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 19 [lower-alpha 40] | 1 | 1 | <0.5 | 7.5 | 1.5 | 1 | <0.5 | 28.5 | 6 | 1.5 | 9.5 | |||||
1 | 3.5 | 8 | – | 10.5 | 8 | – | 1.5 [lower-alpha 37] | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 18 [lower-alpha 38] | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 7.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 28 | 6 | 1.5 | 10 | |||||
YouGov | 29 Jan–7 Feb2024 | 1,001 | 1 | – | 2 | 8 | – | 8 | 8 | – | 1 [lower-alpha 37] | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 19 [lower-alpha 41] | 1 | – | – | 6 | 2 | – | – | 32 | 8 | 3 | 13 | |
Portland | 24–31 Jan2024 | 469 | 2 | – | 3 | 6 | – | 9 | 9 | – | 1 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 14 | 1 | – | – | 8 | 3 | – | – | 33 | 6 | 5 | 19 |
OpinionWay | 17–18 Jan2024 | 1,019 | 1 | – | 4 | 8 | – | 10 | 6 | – | 2 [lower-alpha 37] | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 20 | <1 | – | <1 | 8 | 2 | – | – | 27 | 7 | 3 | 7 | |
Ifop | 16–17 Jan2024 | 1,348 | 0.5 | 4 | 7.5 | – | 9.5 | 7 | – | 1.5 [lower-alpha 37] | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1 | 19 [lower-alpha 41] | <0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 6.5 | 2 | <0.5 | 0.5 | 31 | 7 | 1 | 12 | ||
Harris Interactive | 12–15 Jan2024 | 1,217 | 1 | – | 3 | 7 | – | 11 | 8 | – | 1 | – | – | 2 | – | – | 1 | 19 [lower-alpha 41] | 1 | – | – | 8 | 2.5 | – | – | 28 | 6 | 1.5 | 9 |
Ifop | 12–15 Jan2024 | 875 | 1 | 4 | 6.5 | – | 9 | 9 | – | – | – | – | 1 | – | – | – | 20 [lower-alpha 41] | 1 | – | – | 7.5 | 3 | – | – | 30 | 6 | 2 | 10 | |
YouGov | 8–15 Jan2024 | 1,004 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | – | 8 | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 20 [lower-alpha 42] | – | – | – | 6 | 4 | – | – | 30 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
Cluster17 | 13–14 Jan2024 | 1,209 | 1 | – | 3 | 7.5 | – | 11 | 8 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1 | 18 [lower-alpha 41] | 1 | – | – | 7 | 3 | – | – | 28.5 | 7 | 2 | 10.5 |
Elabe | 10–12 Jan2024 | 1,400 | 1.5 | – | 3 | 7.5 | – | 9.5 | 8.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1 | 18 [lower-alpha 42] | 1 | – | – | 8.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | – | 28.5 | 5 | 3 | 10.5 |
Ifop | 3–5 Jan2024 | 1,090 | 0.5 | 3 | 6 | – | 10 | 9 | – | 3 [lower-alpha 37] | – | 2.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 17 [lower-alpha 42] | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 8 | 2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 28 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 11 | ||
Odoxa | 13–14 Dec2023 | 1,004 | 2.5 | – | 3 | 6.5 | – | 9 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 21 [lower-alpha 42] | 0.5 | – | – | 9 | 2 | – | – | 31 | 6 | 3 | 10 |
OpinionWay | 13–14 Dec2023 | – | 1 | – | 3 | 6 | – | 10 | 8 | – | 2 [lower-alpha 37] | – | <1 | – | – | 1 | 19 | <1 | – | <1 | 9 | 3 | – | – | 27 | 8 | 3 | 8 | |
Ipsos | 29 Nov–12 Dec2023 | 11,691 | 1.5 | 3 | 7.5 | – | 10.5 | 9.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 20 [lower-alpha 42] | 0.5 | – | – | 8 | 2.5 | – | – | 28 | 6.5 | 2 | 8 | |
Ifop | 8–11 Dec2023 | 1,062 | 1.5 | 4.5 | 7 | – | 10 | 8 | – | – | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | – | 18 [lower-alpha 42] | 1 | – | – | 7.5 | 2.5 | – | – | 30 | 7.5 | 1 | 12 | |
OpinionWay | 15–16 Nov2023 | – | 2 | – | 3 | 7 | – | 9 | 8 | – | 3 [lower-alpha 37] | – | <1 | – | – | 1 | 19 | <1 | – | – | 8 | 2 | – | – | 28 | 7 | 3 | 9 | |
Ipsos | 9–10 Nov2023 | 1,412 | 2 | 2 | 8.5 | – | 10 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 22 [lower-alpha 43] | – | – | – | 6 | 2 | – | – | 29 | 6 | 2.5 | 7 | |
2 | 2 | 8.5 | – | 10.5 | 10.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 20 [lower-alpha 42] | – | – | – | 6.5 | 2 | – | – | 29 | 6 | 3 | 9 | ||||
Ifop | 12–13 Oct2023 | 1,515 | 1 | 5 | 9 | – | 9 | 8 | – | – | – | – | 2 | – | – | – | 20 [lower-alpha 42] | – | – | – | 8 | 2 | – | – | 28 | 6 | 2 | 8 | |
1 | 5 | 9 | – | 9 | 9 | – | – | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | – | 20 [lower-alpha 44] | – | – | – | 8.5 | 2.5 | – | – | 28 | 5 | 1 | 8 | ||||
Ifop | 30–31 Aug2023 | 1,126 | 1 | 5 | 10 | – | 9 | 8 | – | – | – | – | 2 | – | – | – | 21 [lower-alpha 42] | – | – | – | 8 | 3 | – | – | 25 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 4 | |
2 | 6 | 12 [lower-alpha 45] | 10 | – | – | – | – | 2 | – | – | – | 23 [lower-alpha 42] | – | – | – | 9 | 3 | – | – | 25 | 7 | 2 | 2 | ||||||
1 | 5 | 9 [lower-alpha 46] | – | 10 | 8 | – | – | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | – | 21 [lower-alpha 42] | – | – | – | 9 | 3 | – | – | 25 | 6.5 | 1 | 4 | ||||
Cluster17 | 16–19 Aug2023 | 1,713 | 1.5 | – | 3 | 22.5 | – | 2.5 | – | – | 5 | – | – | 2.5 | 20.5 [lower-alpha 42] | – | – | – | 7 | 3 | – | – | 23 | 7 | 2.5 | 0.5 | |||
1.5 | – | 20.5 | 7.5 | – | 2.5 | – | – | 3 | – | – | 2.5 | 20 [lower-alpha 42] | – | – | – | 7 | 3 | – | – | 23.5 | 7 | 2 | 3 | ||||||
1.5 | – | 25 [lower-alpha 47] | – | 2.5 | – | – | 4 | – | – | 2.5 | 20 [lower-alpha 42] | – | – | – | 7.5 | 4 | – | – | 24 | 7 | 2 | 1 | |||||||
1 | – | 25 [lower-alpha 48] | – | 3 | – | – | 4 | – | – | 3 | 20 [lower-alpha 42] | – | – | – | 7.5 | 3.5 | – | – | 24 | 7 | 1.5 | 1 | |||||||
2 | – | 23 [lower-alpha 49] | – | 3 | – | – | 4.5 | – | – | 3 | 21 [lower-alpha 42] | – | – | – | 7.5 | 3 | – | – | 24 | 7 | 2 | 1 | |||||||
2 | – | 25 [lower-alpha 50] | – | 2.5 | – | – | 4.5 | – | – | 2.5 | 20 [lower-alpha 42] | – | – | – | 7 | 4 | – | – | 24 | 7 | 1.5 | 1 | |||||||
Ifop | 4–5 Jul2023 | 1,008 | 1 | 4 | 8 | – | 9 | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 20 [lower-alpha 42] | – | – | – | 11 | 4 | – | – | 26 | 7 | 1 | 6 | |
Ipsos | 16–26 Jun2023 | 10,631 | 1.5 | 4 | 8.5 | – | 10 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 21 [lower-alpha 42] | – | – | – | 9 | 2.5 | – | – | 24 | 6.5 | 3 | 3 | |
2 | 24 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 24 [lower-alpha 42] | – | – | – | 10 | 3 | – | – | 25 | 7 | 5 | 1 | ||||||||
1.5 | 5 | 9.5 | – | 15 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 23 [lower-alpha 42] | – | – | – | 9 | 2.5 | – | – | 25 | 6.5 | 3 | 2 | |||||
Elabe | 19–21 Jun2023 | 1,397 | 1.5 | 2 | 8.5 | – | 9.5 | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 22.5 | – | – | – | 8.5 | 2.5 | – | – | 26 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | |
1.5 | 24.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 26 | – | – | – | 9 | 2.5 | – | – | 27 | 5.5 | 4 | 1 | ||||||||
Cluster17 | 17–19 May2023 | 1,760 | 2 | 4 | 11 | – | 9 | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 19.5 [lower-alpha 42] | – | – | – | 7.5 | 3 | – | – | 24 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 | |
2 | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 23 [lower-alpha 42] | – | – | – | 8.5 | 4 | – | – | 25.5 | 7 | 3 | 1.5 | ||||||||
Ifop | 10–11 May2023 | 1,310 | 1 | 5 | 10 | – | 10 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 19 [lower-alpha 42] | – | – | – | 8 | 3 | – | – | 25 | 6 | 3 | 6 | |
2 | 26 [lower-alpha 51] | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 22 [lower-alpha 42] | – | – | – | 11 | 3 | – | – | 26 | 6 | 4 | Tie | ||||||||
Harris Interactive | 5–9 May2023 | 1,262 | 2 | 23 [lower-alpha 52] | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 3 | 26 | – | – | – | 13 | 2 | – | – | 21 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||||
1 | 19 [lower-alpha 52] | 5 | – | 6 | – | – | – | – | 3 | 24 | – | – | – | 12 | 2 | – | – | 20 | 5 | 3 | 4 | ||||||||
1 | 3 | 9 | – | 10 | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 1 | 23 | – | – | – | 12 | 2 | – | – | 20 | 5 | 3 | 3 | ||||
2019 European election | 26 May2019 | – | 0.8 | [lower-alpha 53] | 2.5 | 6.3 | 6.2 | 13.5 | 1.8 [lower-alpha 54] | [lower-alpha 55] | – | 0.1 | [lower-alpha 56] | – | 0.1 | 2.2 | 24.9 [lower-alpha 57] | – | – | – | 8.5 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 23.3 | – | 7.0 | 0.9 |
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Union EPP | Grüne G/EFA | SPD S&D | AfD NI | Linke Left | FDP Renew | PARTEI NI | FW Renew | Tiersch. Left | ÖDP G/EFA | FAM EPP | Volt G/EFA | PIRAT G/EFA | BSW NI–Left | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wahlkreisprognose | 27 May–1 Jun2024 | 2,000 | 30.5 | 15 | 13.5 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | — | — | — | — | 6 | 7.5 | 15.5 |
INSA | 30–31 May 2024 | 1,001 | 29 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 3 | 4 | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 11 | 13 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 27–29 May 2024 | 1,197 | 30 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 4 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 13 | 15 |
Infratest dimap | 27–29 May 2024 | 1,515 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 3 | 4 | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 12 | 14 |
INSA | 23–24 May 2024 | 1,002 | 30 | 13 | 14 | 17 | 3 | 4 | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 9 | 13 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 13–21 May2024 | 2,600 | 31 | 15 | 12.5 | 16 | 3 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 6.5 | 6.5 | 15 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 14–16 May 2024 | 1,247 | 31 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 3 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 13 | 16 |
INSA | 10–13 May 2024 | 2,100 | 29 | 13 | 15.5 | 17 | 4 | 4 | — | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 7 | 5.5 | 12 |
YouGov | 3–8 May 2194 | 1,247 | 29 | 15 | 16 | 20 | 4 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 6 | 9 |
Infratest dimap | 29–30 Apr 2024 | 1,323 | 30 | 15 | 14 | 15 | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 15 | 15 |
INSA | 25–26 Apr 2024 | 1,202 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 4 | 4 | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 7 | 12 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 23–25 Apr 2024 | 1,228 | 30 | 17 | 15 | 15 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 13 | 13 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 9–11 Apr 2024 | 1,254 | 30 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 12 | 14 |
INSA | 5–8 Apr 2024 | 2,100 | 28.5 | 11.5 | 16.5 | 19 | 4 | 5 | — | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 6 | 4 | 9.5 |
Ipsos | 23 Feb–02 Mar 2024 | 2,613 | 29 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 4 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 4 | 12 |
Forsa | 12–13 Mar 2024 | 1,008 | 34 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 2 | 3 | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 9 | 18 |
INSA | 8–11 Mar 2024 | 2,100 | 28.5 | 11 | 16 | 20 | 4.5 | 6 | 1 | 2.5 | 2 | — | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 8.5 |
Ipsos | 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 2,613 | 29 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 4 | 4 | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 4 [lower-alpha 58] | 12 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 24–29 Feb 2024 | 1,900 | 31.5 | 16 | 12 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | — | — | — | — | 7.5 | 4.5 | 15.5 |
Stack Data Strategy | 17–22 Feb 2024 | 980 | 25.5 | 9.8 | 16.5 | 15.1 | 2.7 | 6.0 | 3.2 | 4.1 | 3.1 | — | — | 1.3 | 1.2 | 9.3 | 3.4 | 9.0 |
INSA | 8–12 Feb 2024 | 2,101 | 27 | 10.5 | 16 | 22 | 4.5 | 3 | 1 | 3.5 | 3 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 5 |
Portland | 24–31 Jan 2024 | 555 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 12 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 11–18 Jan 2024 | 1,440 | 28 | 13 | 9 | 23 | 3 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 1.5 | — | — | — | — | 7 | 4.5 | 5 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 1–7 Dec 2023 | 1,440 | 31 | 12 | 10 | 25 | 3 | 3 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 7 | 3 | 6 |
INSA | 31 Jul 2023 | 1,001 | 26 | 15 | 19 | 23 | 5 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 3 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 7–14 Jul 2023 | 1,040 | 23 | 13.5 | 15 | 22 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | — | — | — | — | 8.5 | 5.5 | 1 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 15–16 Dec 2022 | 1,100 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 18.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 2 | 3.5 | 2.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.5 | 1 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 24–26 Feb 2022 | 1,722 | 22 | 19.5 | 22.5 | 12.5 | 3 | 7.5 | 2.5 | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.5 | 0.5 |
2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | – | 24.1 | 14.7 | 25.7 | 10.4 | 4.9 | 11.4 | 1.0 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 0.2 | — | 0.4 | 0.4 | — | 2.9 | 1.6 |
2019 European election | 26 May 2019 | – | 28.9 | 20.5 | 15.8 | 11.0 | 5.5 | 5.4 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | — | 3.8 | 8.4 |
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | ND EPP | SYRIZA Left | PASOK S&D | KKE NI | XA [lower-alpha 59] NI | EL ECR | MeRA25 Left | PE NI | R NI | Antarsya NI | SP NI | NIKI NI | FL NI | NA Left | DIMO Renew | COS G/EFA | PAT NI | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alco/Alpha [133] | 13–15 May 2024 | 1,000 | 32.5 | 16.0 | 13.0 | 9.0 | — | 10.0 | 2.2 | 3.3 | — | — | — | 3.5 | 2.4 | 2.9 | 2.5 | — | — | 3.0 | 16.5 |
Pulse RC/Skai [134] | 13–15 May 2024 | 1,104 | 33.0 | 16.0 | 12.5 | 8.0 | — | 9.0 | 3.0 | 3.5 | — | — | — | 3.5 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 2.1 | — | 1.2 | 2.8 | 17.0 |
MARC/ANT1 [135] | 10–15 May 2024 | 1,209 | 33.8 | 15.2 | 12.2 | 8.0 | — | 8.3 | 3.0 | 4.5 | — | — | — | 3.2 | 2.8 | 3.0 | 2.5 | — | — | 3.3 | 18.6 |
MRB/Open [136] | 10–14 May 2024 | 1,100 | 32.3 | 16.0 | 14.0 | 8.0 | — | 9.9 | 2.2 | 3.4 | — | — | — | 2.9 | 2.8 | 3.8 | 2.4 | — | — | 2.2 | 16.3 |
Interview/Politic [137] | 8–13 May 2024 | 2,405 | 33.3 | 17.2 | 12.2 | 6.7 | — | 7.8 | — | 2.7 | — | — | — | 3.4 | — | 5.0 | — | — | — | 11.8 | 16.1 |
Good Affairs/To Vima [138] | — | — | 31.8 | 16.1 | 11.8 | 8.3 | — | 10.3 | 2.3 | 3.1 | — | — | — | 4.2 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 1.1 | — | 15.7 | |
Marc/Proto Thema [139] | 18–25 Apr 2024 | 1,049 | 33.4 | 14.7 | 11.4 | 8.5 | — | 9.8 | 2.4 | 5.4 | — | — | 2.4 | 3.4 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 1.7 | — | — | 2.2 | 18.7 |
GPO/Parapolitika [140] | 17–22 Apr 2024 | 1,400 | 33.6 | 16.3 | 13.5 | 8.8 | — | 9.1 | 2.1 | 3.1 | — | — | 2.4 | 3.4 | — | 2.7 | 2.2 | — | — | 2.8 | 17.3 |
Metron Analysis/Mega [141] | 10–16 Apr 2024 | 1,304 | 32.3 | 15.4 | 12.0 | 9.8 | — | 8.3 | 1.6 | 4.2 | — | — | 2.5 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 3.1 | 2.0 | 1.0 | — | 2.8 | 16.9 |
Prorata/Attica [142] | 5–10 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 29.5 | 15.0 | 12.7 | 9.2 | — | 9.8 | 2.3 | 4.6 | — | — | 1.7 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 1.2 | — | 3.0 | 14.5 |
Opinion Poll/Action 24 [143] | 8–10 Apr 2024 | 1,006 | 32.1 | 15.0 | 12.4 | 8.5 | — | 10.7 | 1.3 | 3.7 | — | — | 2.6 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 3.2 | 3.0 | — | — | 2.3 | 17.1 |
Interview/Politic [144] [145] | 4–8 Apr 2024 | 2,355 | 27.7 | 16.1 | 12.7 | 6.9 | — | 11.8 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 1.7 | — | 1.2 | 4.3 | 2.3 | 4.7 | 2.2 | — | — | 3.2 | 11.6 |
Alco/Alpha [146] | 2–5 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 29.9 | 14.3 | 13.3 | 9.4 | — | 9.6 | 2.3 | 4.1 | — | — | 2.7 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 3.0 | 2.2 | — | — | 3.5 | 15.6 |
Palmos Analysis/Eleftheros Typos [147] | 1–4 Apr 2024 | 1,008 | 31.8 | 14.1 | 13.0 | 9.4 | — | 10.3 | — | 4.2 | — | — | 3.3 | 3.5 | — | 4.0 | — | — | — | 6.6 | 17.7 |
GPO/Parapolitika [148] | 1–3 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 33.4 | 15.9 | 14.2 | 9.0 | — | 9.5 | 1.8 | 3.0 | — | — | 2.2 | 3.3 | — | 2.2 | 2.2 | — | — | 3.3 | 17.5 |
MRB/Open [149] | 1–3 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 31.5 | 15.9 | 13.4 | 8.1 | — | 9.9 | 1.9 | 4.3 | — | — | 2.1 | 3.6 | 1.8 | 3.8 | 1.6 | — | — | 2.3 | 15.6 |
Pulse RC/Skai [150] | 1–3 Apr 2024 | 1,105 | 33.0 | 15.0 | 12.5 | 8.5 | — | 9.0 | 2.5 | 3.5 | — | — | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 3.0 | 1.8 | — | — | 2.9 | 18.0 |
Opinion Poll/Action24 [151] | 15–20 Mar 2024 | 1,010 | 34.4 | 13.4 | 12.5 | 9.4 | — | 10.1 | 1.9 | 2.9 | — | — | 2.5 | 4.3 | — | 2.9 | 2.8 | — | — | 2.8 | 21.0 |
Metron Analysis/Mega [152] | 12–19 Mar 2024 | 1,317 | 31.4 | 15.1 | 13.0 | 10.1 | — | 9.7 | 1.9 | 4.3 | — | 0.6 | 2.0 | 3.2 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 | — | 1.7 | 16.3 |
Good Affairs/To Vima [153] | 12–14 Mar 2024 | 3,229 | 30.8 | 13.1 | 12.9 | 8.2 | — | 9.8 | 2.2 | 2.1 | — | — | 2.2 | 3.6 | — | 2.5 | 2.9 | — | — | 1.5 | 17.7 |
Marc/Proto Thema [154] | 11–14 Mar 2024 | 1,086 | 36.2 | 13.4 | 12.6 | 9.4 | — | 9.2 | 2.4 | 3.1 | — | — | 2.6 | 2.8 | — | 2.6 | 2.1 | — | — | 3.7 | 22.8 |
GPO/Star [155] | 11–13 Mar 2024 | 1,200 | 34.8 | 14.3 | 13.9 | 9.5 | — | 8.0 | 2.3 | 2.9 | — | — | 1.8 | 3.4 | — | 3.0 | 2.6 | — | — | 3.5 | 20.5 |
Interview/Politic [156] | 7–11 Mar 2024 | 2,250 | 29.1 | 14.4 | 12.4 | 7.1 | — | 12.0 | — | 2.5 | — | — | 1.8 | 4.6 | — | 4.9 | — | — | — | 11.3 | 14.7 |
Alco/Alpha [157] | 1–6 Mar 2024 | 1,000 | 32.8 | 12.7 | 14.1 | 10.8 | — | 7.9 | 2.8 | 3.6 | — | — | 2.9 | 4.5 | — | 3.4 | — | — | — | 4.0 | 18.7 |
Ipsos/Euronews [158] | 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 1,000 | 35.0 | 13.6 | 13.4 | 9.0 | — | 8.7 | <3.0 | 3.2 | — | — | 2.9 | 4.0 | — | 3.3 | — | — | — | 3.9 | 21.4 |
Pulse RC/Skai [159] | 27 Feb–1 Mar 2024 | 1,106 | 35.5 | 14.0 | 14.0 | 9.0 | — | 8.5 | 2.5 | 3.0 | — | — | 3.0 | 4.0 | — | 3.0 | — | — | — | 3.5 | 21.5 |
GPO/Parapolitika [160] | 26–29 Feb 2024 | 1,000 | 36.4 | 13.5 | 14.4 | 10.7 | — | 8.2 | 2.4 | 2.7 | — | — | 2.2 | 3.4 | — | 2.9 | — | — | — | 3.2 | 22.0 |
Opinion Poll/Action24 [161] | 21–27 Feb 2024 | 1,504 | 33.9 | 11.9 | 13.9 | 10.1 | — | 10.2 | 2.6 | 3.5 | — | — | 2.7 | 4.2 | — | 3.3 | — | — | — | 3.7 | 20.0 |
Opinion Poll/Action24 [162] | 13–16 Feb 2024 | 1,004 | 34.3 | 12.5 | 14.6 | 9.4 | — | 9.5 | 2.4 | 3.7 | — | — | 2.7 | 3.8 | — | 3.3 | — | — | — | 3.8 | 19.7 |
Interview/Politic [163] | 6–12 Feb 2024 | 2,155 | 33.3 | 14.2 | 12.8 | 8.3 | — | 9.1 | — | 2.6 | — | — | 2.1 | 5.1 | — | 5.1 | — | — | — | 9.7 | 19.1 |
Alco/Alpha [164] | 1–7 Feb 2024 | 1,201 | 34.5 | 12.6 | 15.0 | 11.2 | — | 7.5 | 2.2 | 3.1 | — | — | 2.8 | 3.9 | — | 2.6 | — | — | — | 4.3 | 19.5 |
GPO/Star [165] | 20–25 Jan 2024 | 1,100 | 38.8 | 14.0 | 14.2 | 9.6 | — | 7.2 | 2.7 | 2.6 | — | — | 2.2 | 3.3 | — | 3.0 | — | — | — | 2.4 | 24.6 |
MRB/Open [166] | 22–24 Jan 2024 | 1,000 | 36.1 | 12.1 | 12.1 | 9.3 | — | 9.5 | 2.8 | 4.0 | — | — | 2.8 | 3.7 | — | 2.7 | — | — | — | 4.8 | 24.0 |
Marc/Ant1 [167] | 17–23 Jan 2024 | 1,092 | 37.1 | 12.6 | 16.8 | 9.4 | — | 7.0 | 2.9 | 3.0 | — | — | 3.1 | 3.1 | — | 2.4 | — | — | — | 2.6 | 20.3 |
Interview/Politic [168] | 10–15 Jan 2024 | 2,388 | 31.5 | 14.1 | 14.2 | 10.8 | — | 8.0 | — | 2.3 | — | — | 2.6 | 5.2 | — | 4.1 | — | — | — | 7.2 | 17.3 |
Prorata/Attica [169] | 5–9 Jan 2024 | 1,000 | 36.6 | 12.8 | 15.9 | 11.0 | — | 6.1 | 1.8 | 3.0 | — | — | 3.7 | 3.7 | — | 3.7 | — | — | — | 1.8 | 20.7 |
Alco/Alpha [170] | 2–5 Jan 2024 | 1,002 | 35.3 | 13.8 | 14.3 | 11.3 | — | 6.9 | 2.4 | 3.3 | — | — | 3.2 | 3.3 | — | 2.7 | — | — | — | 3.6 | 21.0 |
Interview/Politic [171] | 4–8 Dec 2023 | 2,356 | 34.0 | 16.1 | 14.4 | 7.9 | — | 7.6 | — | 3.0 | — | — | 2.3 | 3.8 | — | 2.9 | — | — | — | 7.9 | 17.9 |
GPO/Parapolitika [172] | 5–7 Dec 2023 | 1,000 | 41.7 | 12.1 | 13.5 | 10.3 | — | 6.6 | 1.9 | 2.1 | — | — | 3.4 | 2.4 | — | 3.7 | — | — | — | 2.3 | 28.3 |
2019 election | 26 May 2019 | – | 33.1 | 23.8 | 7.7 | 5.4 | 4.9 | 4.2 | 3.0 [lower-alpha 60] | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.5 [lower-alpha 61] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 13.7 | 9.3 |
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Fidesz-KDNP NI–EPP | Momentum Renew | DK S&D | MSZP S&D | P G/EFA | LMP G/EFA | Jobbik NI | MMN EPP | Our Homeland ID | MKKP G/EFA | MEMO EPP | NP NI | 2RK NI | TISZA EPP | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Medián | 27-29 May 2024 | 1,000 | 48 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | – | – | 1 | 29 | – | 19 | ||
Társadalomkutató | May 2024 | 4,000 | 51 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | – | – | 1 | 25 | – | 26 | ||
Real-PR 93 | 27-29 May 2024 | 1,000 | 45 | 1 | 10 | – | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 1 | – | 2 | 28 | – | 17 | ||
Alapjogokért Központ | 22-24 May 2024 | 1,000 | 47 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 1 | – | 1 | 26 | – | 21 | ||
Századvég | 20-28 May 2024 | 1,000 | 45 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | – | – | 1 | 23 | – | 22 | ||
Nézőpont | 20-22 May 2024 | 1,000 | 47 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 1 | – | 1 | 24 | – | 23 | ||
Závecz Research | 2–10 May 2024 | 1,000 | 39 | 4 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | – | – | 1 | 26 | 0 | 13 | ||
IDEA | 25 Apr–4 May 2024 | 1,500 | 40 | 4 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | – | 2 | 3 | 21 | 2 | 19 | ||
Nézőpont | 29 Apr – 2 May 2024 | 1,000 | 48 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | – | 0 | 3 | 21 | – | 27 | ||
Publicus | 26–30 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 42 | 3 | 24 | 1 | 1 | – | 4 | 2 | – | – | – | 23 | – | 18 | ||
Medián | 26–29 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 45 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | – | 1 | 2 | 25 | – | 20 | ||
Iránytű | 17–19 Apr 2024 | 1,073 | 50 | 3 | 10 | – | 1 | – | 3 | 4 | – | – | 2 | 26 | 1 | 24 | ||
9–12 Apr 2024 | 53 | 3 | 9 | – | 2 | – | 6 | 4 | – | – | 1 | 20 | 2 | 33 | ||||
Závecz Research | 4–11 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 33 | 7 | 26 | 3 | 1 | – | 8 | 5 | – | – | – | 14 | 3 | 7 | ||
Nézőpont | 2–4 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 47 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | – | 2 | 2 | 13 | 2 | 34 | ||
Ipsos | 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 1,025 | 47.6 13 | 7.2 1 | 16.5 4 | – | – | 2.6 0 | 2.8 0 | 3.0 0 | 9.6 2 | 4.2 0 | 2.0 0 | – | – | – | 4.7 | 31.1 |
Nézőpont | 26–28 Feb 2024 | 1,000 | 47 13 | 7 1 | 14 3 | 2 0 | 2 0 | 2 0 | 2 0 | 4 0 | 8 2 | 8 2 | – | 1 0 | 4 0 | – | – | 33 |
21 Kutatóközpont | 22–26 Feb 2024 | 1,200 | 44 | 9 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | – | 1 | 2 | – | – | 26 [lower-alpha 62] |
44 | 9 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 6 | – | 3 | 3 | – | – | 27 [lower-alpha 63] | |||
Republikon | Jun 2023 | – | 46 | 7 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 6 | – | 9 | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | 27 | |
Nézőpont | 15–17 May 2023 | 1,000 | 51 | 9 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | – | 6 | 3 | – | – | – | – | 4 | 35 |
Závecz Research | 28 Apr–5 May 2023 | 1,000 | 46 | 8 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | – | 7 | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | 27 |
Nézőpont | 2–4 Jan 2023 | 1,000 | 56 | 6 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | – | 4 | – | – | – | – | 6 | 42 |
2022 parliamentary election | 3 Apr 2022 | – | 54.1 | 34.4 | 5.9 | 3.3 | 1.0 | – | – | – | 1.3 | 19.7 | ||||||
2019 election | 26 May 2019 | – | 52.6 | 9.9 | 16.1 | 6.6 | 2.2 | 6.3 | – | 3.3 | 2.6 | – | – | – | – | 0.4 | 36.5 |
Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Sample size | Lega ID | PD S&D | M5S NI | FI EPP | NM EPP | FdI ECR | AVS Left–G/EFA | PTD [lower-alpha 64] Left | SUE | A Renew | DSP NI | Italexit NI | Libertà NI | Others | Lead | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
+E Renew | IV Renew | |||||||||||||||||
20–24 May2024 | SWG | 2,000 | 8.6 | 22.0 | 14.7 | 8.6 | 27.3 | 4.6 | 2.5 | 4.2 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 5.3 | |||||
25–25 May2024 | Noto | 1,000 | 9.0 | 20.5 | 15.0 | 9.0 | 28.0 | 4.0 | 2.2 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 7.5 | |||||
22–23 May2024 | Demopolis | 2,000 | 8.8 | 22.0 | 14.5 | 8.7 | 27.0 | 4.3 | 2.2 | 4.2 | 3.7 | 2.8 | 5.0 | |||||
21–22 May2024 | Eumetra | 800 | 8.7 | 21.1 | 16.2 | 8.9 | 27.1 | 4.2 | 2.2 | 4.5 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 6.0 | |||||
22–23 May2024 | Termometro | 3,900 | 9.0 | 19.6 | 15.7 | 8.5 | 26.8 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 4.5 | 3.9 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 7.2 | ||||
19–23 May2024 | Quorum | 1,604 | 9.0 | 20.3 | 15.9 | 8.5 | 27.2 | 4.9 | 1.9 | 4.1 | 3.9 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 6.9 | ||||
19–23 May2024 | EMG | 2,000 | 9.3 | 20.9 | 15.7 | 7.9 | 26.9 | 4.2 | 4.5 | 3.7 | 6.0 | |||||||
20–21 May2024 | Ipsos | 1,000 | 8.6 | 22.5 | 15.4 | 9.2 | 26.5 | 4.6 | 1.9 | 4.1 | 3.6 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 4.0 | ||||
19–21 May2024 | Cluster 17 | 1,051 | 8.7 | 20.8 | 15.5 | 8.2 | 26.9 | 4.3 | 2.2 | 4.6 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 7.1 | |||
20–21 May2024 | Bidimedia | 1,190 | 9.1 | 21.2 | 15.2 | 8.3 | 27.1 | 4.4 | 2.0 | 4.6 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 6.0 | ||||
17–22 Apr2024 | SWG | 1,200 | 8.5 | 20.0 | 15.9 | 8.4 | 26.8 | 4.3 | 2.1 | 4.7 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 6.8 | |||
17–19 Apr2024 | Quorum | 801 | 7.2 | 20.5 | 16.5 | 7.6 | 27.8 | 4.4 | 1.9 | 5.0 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 4.2 | 7.3 | ||||
17–18 Apr2024 | Demos | 1,005 | 8.5 | 20.2 | 16.4 | 8.0 | 28.0 | 4.2 | 4.1 | 4.0 | 6.6 | 7.8 | ||||||
16–18 Apr2024 | Termometro Politico | 4,100 | 8.5 | 19.7 | 16.1 | 8.3 | 27.5 | 3.2 | 2.5 | 5.2 | 3.8 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 7.8 | |||
16–17 Apr2024 | Eumetra | 8.5 | 19.7 | 16.4 | 8.3 | 27.4 | 3.8 | 1.9 | 5.1 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 7.7 | ||||
10–15 Apr2024 | SWG | 1,200 | 8.6 | 19.4 | 16.0 | 8.4 | 27.2 | 4.1 | 1.8 | 5.2 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 7.8 | |||
13 Apr2024 | Tecnè | 7.9 | 19.8 | 16.2 | 10.1 | 27.3 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 5.5 | 3.6 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 7.5 | |||||
8–12 Apr2024 | Ixè | 1,000 | 8.0 | 19.9 | 16.4 | 8.4 | 26.6 | 4.2 | 1.1 | 4.0 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 6.4 | 6.7 | ||||
9–11 Apr2024 | Termometro Politico | 3,700 | 8.8 | 19.5 | 15.6 | 8.0 | 27.8 | 3.3 | 2.4 | 5.1 | 3.9 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 8.3 | |||
8–9 Apr2024 | Demopolis | 2,000 | 8.0 | 20.0 | 15.8 | 8.7 | 27.0 | 3.8 | 2.2 | 4.6 | 3.5 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 7.0 | ||||
3–8 Apr2024 | SWG | 1,200 | 8.8 | 19.8 | 15.6 | 7.8 | 26.9 | 3.9 | 1.6 | 5.3 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3.4 | 7.1 | |||
8 Apr2024 | Euromedia | 800 | 8.7 | 19.7 | 17.6 | 8.5 | 26.9 | 3.7 | 1.8 | 4.4 | 3.8 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 7.2 | ||||
5 Apr2024 | EMG | – | 7.8 | 20.2 | 16.7 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 27.2 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 6.2 | 3.2 | 4.2 | 7.0 | ||||
4–5 Apr2024 | Quorum | 801 | 7.5 | 19.8 | 16.0 | 7.8 | 27.7 | 3.9 | 2.2 | 4.6 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 4.7 | 7.9 | ||||
2–4 Apr2024 | EMG | 1,000 | 7.8 | 20.2 | 16.7 | 9.0 | 27.2 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 6.2 | 3.2 | 5.2 | 7.0 | |||||
28–30 Mar2024 | BiDiMedia | 2,000 | 8.3 | 20.2 | 16.6 | 7.1 | 27.1 | 4.4 | 1.5 | 5.1 | 4.4 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 2.7 | 6.9 | |||
27 Mar2024 | Euromedia | 800 | 8.8 | 19.3 | 17.5 | 8.0 | 0.7 | 27.5 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 4.7 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 8.2 [lower-alpha 65] | |||
8.7 | 19.5 | 17.5 | 8.3 | 0.6 | 27.9 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 4.8 | 4.1 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 8.5 [lower-alpha 66] | ||||||
19–25 Mar2024 | Ipsos | 1,000 | 8.0 | 20.5 | 16.1 | 8.7 | 0.7 | 27.5 | 3.3 | 1.5 | 2.8 | 3.3 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 7.0 | |
20 Mar2024 | Ipsos | – | 8.2 | 19.0 | 17.4 | 8.2 | 27.0 | 4.1 | 2.6 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 7.1 | 8.0 | |||||
19 Mar2024 | Noto | – | 8.0 | 19.0 | 17.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 28.0 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 5.5 | 9.0 [lower-alpha 65] | ||||
7.0 | 20.0 | 16.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 30.0 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 5.0 | 10.0 [lower-alpha 66] | |||||||
11 Mar2024 | Euromedia | 800 | 8.7 | 19.7 | 17.2 | 7.7 | 0.7 | 28.0 | 3.9 | 2.7 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 8.3 [lower-alpha 65] | ||||
8.6 | 20.2 | 16.9 | 8.2 | 0.4 | 28.7 | 3.4 | 1.5 | 3.8 | 4.0 | 3.3 | 8.5 [lower-alpha 66] | |||||||
7 Mar2024 | Noto | – | 8.0 | 19.5 | 16.5 | 7.5 | 2.0 | 27.0 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 5.5 | 7.5 [lower-alpha 65] | ||||
7.5 | 20.5 | 16.5 | 8.0 | 1.5 | 29.0 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 8.5 [lower-alpha 66] | |||||||
23 Feb–5 Mar2024 | Ipsos | 1,503 | 8.2 | 19.0 | 17.4 | 8.2 | 27.0 | 4.1 | 2.6 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 7.1 | 8.0 | |||||
28 Feb–1 Mar2024 | Quorum | 803 | 8.1 | 19.9 | 15.9 | 6.6 | 0.7 | 27.1 | 4.6 | 3.4 | 3.5 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 4.9 | 7.2 | |||
28 Feb2024 | Euromedia | 800 | 8.6 | 19.6 | 17.0 | 7.9 | 1.4 | 27.6 | 4.0 | 2.6 | 3.1 | 4.3 | 3.9 | 8.0 [lower-alpha 65] | ||||
8.7 | 20.0 | 17.2 | 8.5 | 1.2 | 28.1 | 3.9 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 2.4 | 8.1 [lower-alpha 66] | |||||||
26–28 Feb2024 | Bidimedia | 1,000 | 8.5 | 20.0 | 15.5 | 7.5 | 0.8 | 28.1 | 3.9 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 4.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 8.1 | |
25–28 Feb2024 | Cluster17 | 1,022 | 9.1 | 19.7 | 16.0 | 7.6 | 0.4 | 27.3 | 4.6 | 0.7 | 2.1 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 7.6 | |
20–22 Feb2024 | Ipsos | 1,000 | 8.3 | 18.3 | 17.0 | 7.9 | 1.1 | 28.2 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 3.6 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 9.9 | |
17–22 Feb2024 | Stack Data Strategy | 944 | 8.7 | 19.9 | 15.5 | 6.6 | 0.9 | 27.1 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 4.2 | 4.9 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 7.3 | ||
21 Feb2024 | Noto | – | 8.0 | 19.5 | 18.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 27.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 8.0 | ||||
30 Jan–1 Feb2024 | Termometro Politico | 3,800 | 9.4 | 19.6 | 16.2 | 6.8 | 29.1 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 3.8 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 2.5 | 9.5 | ||
30–31 Jan2024 | Demopolis | – | 9.0 | 20.0 | 15.8 | 7.2 | 28.0 | 3.6 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 3.8 | 8.1 | 8.0 | |||||
24–31 Jan2024 | Portland | 502 | 7.0 | 21.0 | 16.0 | 10.0 | 28.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 [lower-alpha 67] | 7.0 | |||
24–27 Jan2024 | BiDiMedia | 1,000 | 9.0 | 19.3 | 16.1 | 6.6 | 1.0 | 28.6 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 4.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 9.3 | |
25–26 Jan2024 | Quorum | 803 | 9.3 | 19.2 | 13.6 | 6.5 | 1.6 | 28.4 | 4.3 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 6.4 | 9.2 | |||
22–24 Jan2024 | Winpoll | 1,000 | 9.1 | 21.5 | 14.6 | 7.8 | 27.8 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 5.3 [lower-alpha 68] | 6.3 | |||
12–22 Jan2024 | Euromedia | 800 | 8.4 | 19.5 | 17.8 | 7.5 | 0.3 | 28.5 | 3.4 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 4.3 | 1.4 | 3.6 | 9.0 [lower-alpha 65] | |||
8.2 | 19.0 | 18.1 | 7.2 | 0.3 | 29.3 | 3.3 | 2.4 | 3.3 | 4.6 | 1.4 | 2.9 | 9.3 [lower-alpha 66] | ||||||
16 Jan2024 | Noto | – | 8.0 | 19.5 | 17.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 28.0 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 8.5 [lower-alpha 69] | ||||
6.5 | 20.0 | 17.0 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 32.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 4.5 | 12.0 [lower-alpha 66] | |||||||
15–16 Jan2024 | Tecnè | 800 | 8.4 | 19.8 | 15.6 | 9.2 | 29.0 | 2.9 | 3.9 | 11.2 | 9.2 [lower-alpha 65] | |||||||
8.3 | 19.5 | 15.6 | 9.3 | 29.3 | 2.9 | 3.9 | 11.0 | 9.8 [lower-alpha 66] | ||||||||||
4 Jan2024 | IZI | 1,068 | 9.3 | 19.5 | 17.0 | 7.4 | 27.1 | 4.2 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 6.0 | 7.6 | |||||
30 Dec–4 Jan2024 | Lab2101 | 1,000 | 10.2 | 19.8 | 16.2 | 5.8 | 0.7 | 29.4 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 3.9 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 9.6 | |||
26 May2019 | 2019 European election | – | 34.3 | 22.7 | 17.1 | 8.8 | 6.4 | 4.1 [lower-alpha 70] | 3.1 | – | – | 0.9 | – | – | 4.5 | 7.6 |
Last date of polling | Polling firm / Commissioner | Sample size | SF Left | FF Renew | FG EPP | GP G/EFA | Lab S&D | SD | PBP–S | Aon | II | O/I [lower-alpha 71] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 May 2024 | Ireland Thinks/The Journal [173] | 1,161 | 17.4 | 17.7 | 18 | 7.2 | 3.5 | 5.3 | 2.8 | 5 [lower-alpha 72] | – [lower-alpha 73] | 23 |
22 May 2024 | Red C/Business Post [174] | 1,021 | 21 | 14 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 | – [lower-alpha 73] | 25 [lower-alpha 74] |
15 May 2024 | Ipsos B&A/Irish Times [175] | 1,500 | 16 | 22 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 21 |
7 May 2024 | Ireland Thinks/The Journal [176] | 1,633 | 22 | 16 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 4 | – [lower-alpha 73] | 24 |
7 April 2024 | Ireland Thinks/The Journal [177] | 1,334 | 23 | 17 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 5 | – [lower-alpha 73] | 17 |
7 February 2024 | Ireland Thinks/The Journal [178] | 1,255 | 26 | 19 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | – [lower-alpha 73] | – [lower-alpha 73] | 19 |
8 February 2020 | 2020 general election | — | 24.5 | 22.2 | 20.9 | 7.1 | 4.4 | 2.9 | 2.6 | 1.9 | – [lower-alpha 75] | 13.5 |
24 May 2019 | 2019 EP election | — | 11.7 | 16.6 | 29.6 | 11.4 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 2.3 | – [lower-alpha 75] | – [lower-alpha 75] | 24.1 |
Last date of polling | Polling firm / Commissioner | Sample size | Andrews (FF) | L. Boylan (SF) | Doherty (FG) | Ó Riordáin (Lab) | Cuffe (GP) | Smith (S–PBP) | Daly (I4C) | Gibney (SD) | N. Boylan (II) | Doolan (SF) | Considine (Aon) | Others |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
31 May 2024 [179] | Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent | 496 | 14.1 | 11.2 | 15 | 7.4 | 7.4 | 4.8 | 8.3 | 4.6 | 9.2 | 3.4 | 2.1 | 12.5 |
15 May 2024 [175] | Ipsos B&A/The Irish Times | 500 | 18 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14 |
7 May 2024 [180] | Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent | 457 [181] | 17 | 16 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 11 |
Last date of polling | Polling firm / Commissioner | Sample size | Flanagan (Ind) | Walsh (FG) | Cowen (FF) | Chambers (FF) | Carberry (FG) | Gildernew (SF) | Mullooly (II) | MacManus (SF) | Blaney (FF) | Casey (Ind) | Tóibín (Aon) | Others |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
31 May 2024 [179] | Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent | 614 | 12.1 | 12.5 | 10.5 | 5.3 | 7 | 7.2 | 6.4 | 5.6 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 7.5 | 20.5 |
15 May 2024 [175] | Ipsos B&A/The Irish Times | 500 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17 |
7 May 2024 [180] | Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent | 631 [181] | 10 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 21 |
Last date of polling | Polling firm / Commissioner | Sample size | Kelly (FG) | Kelleher (FF) | Funchion (SF) | Ní Mhurchú (FF) | Gavan (SF) | Hourigan (Lab) | McNamara (Ind) | Mullins (FG) | Blighe (IF) | O'Sullivan (GP) | Wallace (I4C) | Doyle (SD) | Others |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
31 May 2024 [179] | Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent | 660 | 18.5 | 14.4 | 9.5 | 4.6 | 5.7 | 3.6 | 9.9 | 4.2 | 4.3 | 6.2 | 4.7 | 3.3 | 10.5 |
15 May 2024 [175] | Ipsos B&A/The Irish Times | 500 | 23 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 |
7 May 2024 [180] | Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent | 643 [181] | 14 | 16 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 12 |
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | JV EPP | S S&D | NA ECR | LA Renew | Par! Renew | ZZS | AS | JKP | PRO G/EFA | TZV | CP | TVS | S! | LPV | SV | AJ | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SKDS/LTV [182] | March 2024 | 1.505 | 16.6 (1) | 10.1 (1) | 17.1 (2) | 8.9 (1) | 1.5 | 3.4 | 6.1 (1) | 3.5 | 9.6 (1) | 0.2 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 6.4 (1) | 8.2 (1) | 3.8 | 1.9 | 0.5 |
SKDS/LTV [183] | 10-14 February 2024 | 1,505 | 17.9 (2) | 9.1 (1) | 16.5 (1) | 9.2 (1) | 0.6 | 4.0 | 7.4 (1) | 3.5 | 8.9 (1) | 0.8 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 7.5 (1) | 6.6 (1) | 3.2 | 2.3 | 1.4 |
2019 election | 25 May 2019 | – | 26.4 (2) | 17.6 (2) | 16.5 (2) | 12.5 (1) | 5.6 (0) | 5.0 | 4.4 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 6.8 (1) [lower-alpha 76] | 0.2 | 8.7 |
Pollster | Fieldwork dates | Sample size | TS–LKD EPP | LVŽS G/EFA | DP NI | LSDP S&D | LP Renew | LRLS Renew | LRP | PLT | DSVL G/EFA | Others [lower-alpha 77] | DK/WV [lower-alpha 78] | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Baltijos tyrimai | 10-21 April 2024 | 1,020 | 8.4 2 | 6.8 1 | 5.2 1 | 15.9 3 | 2.4 0 | 3.9 1 | 3.0 1 | 1.6 0 | 7.8 2 | 3.7 [lower-alpha 79] 0 | 41.3 | 7.5 |
2019 election | 1,259,954 | 19.74 3 | 12.56 2 | 8.99 1 | 15.88 2 | – | 6.59 1 | 2.36 0 | 1.92 0 | – | 31.96 2 | – | 3.86 |
No opinion polls are expected to be done for the European Parliament election in Luxembourg. The results of recent elections are shown in the absence of that.
Polling execution | Parties | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | DP Renew | CSV EPP | Greens G/EFA | LSAP S&D | ADR ECR | Pirate G/EFA | Lénk Left | Volt G/EFA | KPL | DK | Fokus | Others |
2023 general election [184] | 19.1 (2) | 29.3 (3) | 8.3 (0) | 18.2 (1) | 9.6 (0) | 6.7 (0) | 3.6 (0) | 0.2 (0) | 0.5 (0) | 1.4 (0) | 2.6 (0) | — | ||
2023 municipal elections [185] | 19.8 (1) | 26.5 (2) | 11.6 (1) | 21.9 (2) | 20.3 (0) | |||||||||
2019 EP election [186] | 21.4 (2) | 21.1 (2) | 18.9 (1) | 12.2 (1) | 10.0 (0) | 7.7 (0) | 4.8 (0) | 2.1 (0) | 1.1 (0) | 0.5 (0) | — |
It is not uncommon for smaller parties to be grouped together or excluded in polls by Maltese media houses.
Polling firm | Sample size | PL S&D | EPP | ABBA | IND/ Others | Lead | Not voting [lower-alpha 80] | Don't know/ Invalid [lower-alpha 80] | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 May–04 June 2024 | L-Oriżżont [lower-alpha 81] | 1,800 | 50.9 | 40.1 | 3.5 | 5.5 | 10.8 | 31 | 33 Invalid | |||
22 May–04 June 2024 | MaltaToday [lower-alpha 82] | 1,007 | 43.3 | 48.1 | 1.9 | 0.6 | - | - | 6.2 | 4.8 | – | |
3–10 May 2024 | MaltaToday | 657 | 49.4 | 41.7 | 8.9 | 7.7 | 30.6 | – | ||||
6–10 May 2024 | It-Torċa [lower-alpha 83] | 1,000 | 51.5 | 40.3 | 5.1 | 4.1 | 11.2 | 31 | ||||
15–24 April 2024 | MaltaToday | 656 | 50.7 | 44.2 | 5.1 | 6.5 | 29 | |||||
1–13 April 2024 | Esprimi | 600 | 45.4 | 38.0 | 3.2 | 13.4 | 7.4 | – | 41.0 | |||
7 March - 21 March 2024 | MaltaToday | 657 | 52.8 | 42.6 | 4.6 | 10.2 | 23.4 | – | ||||
27 Feb – 12 Mar 2024 | Esprimi/Times of Malta | 600 | 52.4 | 39.3 | 8.3 | 13.1 | 33 | |||||
26 Jan–05 Feb 2024 | MaltaToday | 647 | 47.9 | 41.0 | 11.1 | 6.9 | 37.5 | |||||
26 Mar 2022 | 2022 Maltese general election | – | 55.1 | 41.7 | n/a | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 13.4 | 24.4 | 2.9 |
25 May 2019 | 2019 European Parliament election in Malta | – | 54.3 | 37.9 | 3.17 | 2.7 [lower-alpha 84] | 0.5 [lower-alpha 85] | n/a | 1.2 | 16.4 | 27.3 | 2.6 |
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Total | GL–PvdA | VVD Renew | CDA EPP | FvD NI | D66 Renew | SGP ECR | CU EPP | PvdD Left | 50PLUS Renew | PVV ID | SP Left | Volt G/EFA | BBB EPP | NSC EPP | Lead | Ref | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PvdA S&D | GL G/EFA | |||||||||||||||||||
Peil.nl | 5 Jun2024 | – | 31 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | Tie | [187] | |
Ipsos | 3–5 Jun2024 | 2,030 | 31 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | Tie | [188] | |
Ipsos | 24–27 May2024 | 2,048 | 31 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | [189] | |
I&O Research | 17–21 May2024 | 2,141 | 31 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | [190] | |
Peil.nl | 17–18 May2024 | – | 31 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Tie | [191] | |
I&O Research | 10–14 May2024 | 2,102 | 31 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | Tie | [190] | |
Peil.nl | 3–4 May2024 | – | 31 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Tie | [192] | |
I&O Research | 12–15 Apr2024 | 2,182 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | [193] | |
I&O Research | 22–25 Mar2024 | 1,586 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | [190] | |
Ipsos | 23 Feb–5 Mar2024 | 1,890 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | [194] | |
2019 election | 23 May 2019 | – | 26 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | – | 2 |
3.23% = 1/31 is the threshold for one seat.
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | GL–PvdA | VVD Renew | CDA EPP | FvD NI | D66 Renew | SGP ECR | CU EPP | PvdD Left | 50PLUS Renew | PVV ID | SP Left | Volt G/EFA | JA21 ECR | BBB EPP | NSC EPP | Others | Lead | Ref | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PvdA S&D | GL G/EFA | ||||||||||||||||||||
Ipsos | 3–5 Jun2024 | 2,030 | 19.5% | 13.8% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 21.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | – | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% | [195] | |
Ipsos | 24–27 May2024 | 2,048 | 20.3% | 12.5% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 22.7% | 3.2% | 6.3% | – | 3.9% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | [196] | |
I&O Research | 17–21 May2024 | 2,141 | 19.3% | 10.9% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | – | 23.0% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 1.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 3.7% | [190] | |
I&O Research | 10–14 May2024 | 2,102 | 21.3% | 11.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | – | 22.5% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 0.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | [190] | |
I&O Research | 12–15 Apr2024 | 2,182 | 18.7% | 12.6% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.6% | – | 22.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 3.3% | [193] | |
I&O Research | 22–25 Mar2024 | 1,586 | 18.6% | 14.1% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | – | 25.1% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 1.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | – | 6.5% | [197] | |
Ipsos | 23 Feb–5 Mar2024 | 1,890 | 16.0% | 12.7% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | – | 22.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | – | 4.5% | 4.7% | 8.8% | 6.4% | [194] | |
Portland | 24–31 Jan2024 | 535 | 17% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 25% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 12% | 2% | 8% | [198] | |
2023 parliamentary election | 22 Nov 2023 | – | 15.8% | 15.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 23.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 4.6% | 12.9% | 3.8% | 7.7% | ||
2023 provincial elections | 15 Mar 2023 | – | 8.4% [lower-alpha 86] | 9.0% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 3.9% [lower-alpha 87] | 4.8% | 2.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 19.2% | – | 5.3% | 8.0% | |
2021 parliamentary election | 15–17 Mar 2021 | – | 5.7% | 5.2% | 21.9% | 9.5% | 5.0% | 15.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 10.8% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | – | 4.8% | 6.9% | |
2019 election | 23 May 2019 | – | 19.0% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | – | – | – | 1.6% | 4.4% |
Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | Sample size | United Right ECR | Third Way EPP–Ren. | Civic Coalition EPP–G/EFA–Ren. | The Left S&D | Confederation NI | There is One Poland NI | Bezpartyjni Samorządowcy NI | PolEXIT NI | Others | Don't know | Lead | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Law and Justice | Kukiz'15 | New Left | Left Together | |||||||||||||
SLD | Spring | |||||||||||||||
IPSOS | 3–4 June 2024 | - | 29.2 16 | 10.9 6 | 34.5 20 | 8.0 4 | 13.6 7 | 2.6 0 | 0.6 0 | 5.3 | ||||||
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat | 3 Jun 2024 [lower-alpha 88] | – | 30.1 | 10.7 | 29.5 | 8.0 | 9.5 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 10.0 | 0.6 | |||||
Research Partner | 31 May–3 Jun 2024 | 1,073 | 32.1 20 | 9.0 5 | 31.5 19 | 6.5 4 | 9.4 5 | 2.9 0 | 0.1 0 | 8.5 | 0.6 | |||||
CBOS | 20 May–2 Jun 2024 | 1,038 | 29 | 12 | 27 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 2 | |||||
United Surveys / WP.pl | 24–26 May 2024 | 1,000 | 30.8 | 10.8 | 32.4 | 7.8 | 11.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 5.9 | 1.6 | ||||
IPSOS / TVP | 22–25 May 2024 | 1,000 | 30 | 9 | 29 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | ||||
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat | 20 May 2024 [lower-alpha 89] | – | 30.0 | 10.1 | 30.8 | 8.1 | 8.8 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 10.1 | 0.8 | |||||
Opinia24 | 13–14 May 2024 | 1,000 | 29 | 8 | 31 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 13 | 2 | ||||||
United Surveys / DGP, RMF | 10–12 May 2024 | 1,000 | 32.7 19 | 12.6 7 | 30.3 17 | 9.6 5 | 8.6 5 | 0.9 0 | 0.0 [199] 0 | 0.2 0 | 5.1 | 2.4 | ||||
IPSOS / OKO.press, TOK FM | 26 Apr–9 May 2024 | 1,096 | 27 | 9 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 1 | |||||
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat | 7–8 May 2024 | 1,000 | 29.3 | 12.1 | 28.3 | 9.7 | 9.9 | 1.5 | 9.2 | 1.0 | ||||||
Opinia24 / TOK FM | 6–8 May 2024 | 1,001 | 30.6 | 7.7 | 30.8 | 9.0 | 8.3 | 2.7 | 10.9 | 0.2 | ||||||
29 Apr 2024 | Confederation announces There is One Poland candidates on their lists. [200] | |||||||||||||||
OGB | 22–25 Apr 2024 | 804 | 32.66 18 | 13.81 7 | 33.21 18 | 5.57 3 | 12.30 7 | 2.45 0 | 0.55 | |||||||
Ipsos / Euronews | 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 1,000 | 29.2 | 16.5 | 31.3 | 8.4 | 13.9 | 2.1 | ||||||||
Opinia24 / TOK FM | 26–28 Feb 2024 | 1,002 | 22 | 11 | 31 | 11 | 10 | 3 [lower-alpha 90] | 11 | 9 | ||||||
Opinia24 / More In Common Polska | 2–13 Feb 2024 | 2,027 | 29.0 | 14.0 | 33.5 | 8.5 | 7.5 | 1.3 | 6.2 | 4.5 | ||||||
Portland Communications | 24–31 Jan 2024 | 632 | 29 | 16 | 35 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 6 | |||||||
Parliamentary election | 15 Oct 2023 | 21,596,674 [lower-alpha 91] | 35.38 | 14.40 | 30.70 | 8.61 | 7.16 | 1.63 | 1.86 | – | 0.28 | 4.68 | ||||
Parliamentary election | 13 Oct 2019 | 18,678,457 [lower-alpha 92] | 43.59 | 8.55 | 27.40 | 12.56 | 6.81 | – | 0.78 | – | 0.31 | 16.19 | ||||
European election | 26 May 2019 | 13,647,311 [lower-alpha 93] | 45.38 27 | 3.69 0 | 38.47 22 | 6.06 3 | 1.24 0 | 4.55 0 | – | – | 0.06 | 0.54 | 6.91 | |||
Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | O | Lead | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
S&D | EPP | EPP | NI | ID | Left | Left | G/EFA | G/EFA | Renew | ||||||
Intercampus [lower-alpha 94] | 29 May–4 Jun 2024 | 604 | ? | 27.5 7 | 28.3 7 | 13.7 3 | 6.6 1 | 2.9 0 | 3.5 0 | 5.1 1 | 10.4 2 | 2.0 0 | 0.8 | ||
Aximage | 17–22 May 2024 | 801 | 55.3 | 30.6 7/8 | 26.6 6 | 15.5 4 | 6.3 1 | 3.5 0 | 1.6 0 | 5.2 1 | 7.5 1/2 | 3.2 0 | 4.0 | ||
Intercampus [lower-alpha 95] | 12–20 May 2024 | 609 | ? | 23.1 5 | 22.0 5 | 18.1 4 | 9.2 2 | 3.7 0 | 4.0 1 | 6.9 1 | 12.0 3 | 1.0 0 | 1.1 | ||
CESOP–UCP | 13–18 May 2024 | 965 | ? | 30 6/8 | 31 6/8 | 15 3/4 | 5 1 | 5 1 | 1 0 | 5 1 | 6 1/2 | 2 0 | 1 | ||
Duplimétrica | 6–13 May 2024 | 800 | ? | 34 9 | 32 8 | 10 2 | 3 0 | 3 0 | 1 0 | 3 0 | 9 2 | 5 0 | 2 | ||
ICS/ISCTE | 27 Apr–8 May 2024 | 1,001 | ? | 32 8 | 26 6 | 18 4 | 5 1 | 4 1 | 2 0 | 2 0 | 4 1 | 7 0 | 6 | ||
Intercampus [lower-alpha 96] | 18–23 Apr 2024 | 605 | ? | 33.4 8 | 28.2 7 | 13.0 3 | 7.4 1 | 3.3 0 | 1.3 0 | 5.8 1 | 4.4 1 | 3.3 0 | 5.2 | ||
Aximage | 12–16 Apr 2024 | 805 | 58.0 | 31.3 7/8 | 24.8 6 | 18.4 4 | 5.9 1 | 4.1 1 | 1.8 0 | 3.6 0/1 | 5.8 1 | 4.3 0 | 6.5 | ||
2024 legislative elections | 10 Mar 2024 | — | 59.8 | 28.0 (7) | 28.8 (7) | 18.1 (5) | 4.4 (1) | 3.2 (0) | 1.9 (0) | 3.2 (0) | 4.9 (1) | 7.5 (0) | 0.8 | ||
Ipsos | 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 2,000 | ? | 29.6 8 | 31.0 8 | 3.4 0 | – | 14.2 3 | 4.4 1 | 2.3 0 | 2.1 0 | 3.6 0 | 4.5 1 | 4.9 0 | 1.4 |
2022 legislative elections | 30 Jan 2022 | — | 51.5 | 41.4 (10) | 29.1 (7) | 1.6 (0) | 0.0 (0) | 7.2 (1) | 4.4 (1) | 4.3 (1) | 1.6 (0) | 1.3 (0) | 4.9 (1) | 4.7 (0) | 12.3 |
2019 legislative elections | 6 Oct 2019 | — | 48.6 | 36.3 (10) | 27.8 (7) | 4.2 (1) | 0.2 (0) | 1.3 (0) | 9.5 (2) | 6.3 (1) | 3.3 (0) | 1.1 (0) | 1.3 (0) | 8.8 (0) | 8.5 |
2019 EP election | 26 May 2019 | — | 30.7 | 33.4 9 | 21.9 6 | 6.2 1 | 1.5 0 | 9.8 2 | 6.9 2 | 5.1 1 | 1.8 0 | 0.9 0 | 12.5 0 | 11.5 | |
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | CNR | PUSL S&D | AUR | ADU | PRO S&D | UDMR EPP | AER | AD ECR | S.O.S. ID | REPER Renew | Others | Lead | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PNL EPP | PSD S&D | PNȚCD ECR | AUR ECR | FD EPP | PMP EPP | USR Renew | PER NI | PV G/EFA | |||||||||||
INSCOP | 20 - 25 May 2024 | 1,100 | 43.7 | 1.3 | 17.5 | 14.1 | — | 6.0 | — | — | — | 4.4 | 1.3 | 11.7 [201] | 26.2 | ||||
Sociopol | 17–22 May 2024 | 1,002 | 47 | 2 | — | 21 | 15 | — | 5 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 [lower-alpha 97] | 24 | |||
INSCOP | 12–20 April 2024 | 1,100 | 46.6 | 1.5 | — | 16.7 | 13.8 | 2.7 | 5.1 | 2.4 | 2.0 | — | 4.5 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 29.9 | |||
AtlasIntel | 5-9 April 2024 | 1,764 | 31.6 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 19.9 | 24.6 | 3 | 4.9 | 2 | — | — | 8 | 3.3 | 1.5 | 7 | |||
Sociopol | 26 March-2 April 2024 | 1,002 | 47 | 5 | — | 23 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 2 | — | — | 3 | 0 | 1 | 24 | |||
CURS | 19-28 March 2024 | 1,067 | 53 | 4 | — | 14 | 14 | — | 5 | — | — | — | 5 | — | 5 | 39 | |||
CSPS | 17-29 March 2024 | 2,088 | 37 | — | — | 27 | 21 | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | 10 | |||
Euractiv | March 2024 | — | 42 | — | — | 25 | 14 | 2 | 5 | — | — | — | 5 | 1 | 6 | 17 | |||
Ipsos | 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 970 | 42.4 | 3.0 | — | 20.7 | 14.2 | 5.1 | 3.4 | — | — | — | 5.9 | — | 5.2 | 21.7 | |||
INSCOP | 22-29 Feb 2024 | 1,100 | 43.7 | — | — | 20.6 | 13.7 | 3.7 | 3.9 | 3.4 | — | 6.4 | 0.9 | 3.7 | 23.1 | ||||
Sociopol | Feb 2024 | – | 42 | 1 | — | 28 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 2 | — | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 [lower-alpha 98] | 14 | |||
17 | 31 | 1 | — | 24 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 2 | — | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 [lower-alpha 99] | 14 | |||||
INSOMAR | Feb 2024 | 1,030 | 40.8 | 1.5 | — | 30.5 | 11.5 | 1.7 | 4.5 | — | — | — | 2 | — | 7.5 [lower-alpha 100] | 10.3 | |||
Avangarde | 19–20 Feb 2024 | 950 | 20 | 31 | — | — | 18 | 15 | — | 5 | — | — | — | 8 | 2 | 1 | 11 | ||
CURS | 3–14 Feb 2024 | 1,067 | 20 | 31 | 2 | — | 20 | 13 | 2 | 4 | — | — | — | 4 | — | 4 [lower-alpha 101] | 11 | ||
INSCOP | 16-24 Jan 2024 | 1,100 | 18.8 | 29.5 | — | — | 18.4 | 12.9 | 3.0 | 4.8 | 3.5 | — | 6.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 10.7 | |||
CURS | 15–27 Jan 2024 | 1,082 | 19 | 30 | 3 | — | 21 | 14 | — | 5 | — | — | — | 4 | — | 4 | 9 | ||
Avangarde | 8-22 Jan 2024 | 1,150 | 21 | 31 | — | — | 19 | 14 | — | 5 | — | — | — | 8 | 1 | 1 | 10 | ||
INSOMAR | Jan 2024 | 1,050 | 21 | 25 | — | — | 22 | — | 2 | 9 | 1 | 3 | — | — | — | 3 | — | 9 [lower-alpha 102] | 3 |
Sociopol | Jan 2024 | – | 17 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 2 | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 [lower-alpha 103] | 6 | ||
CIRA | Jan 2024 | 1,000 | 20 | 30 | — | — | 18 | 2 | 2 | 14 | — | 5 | — | — | — | 6 | 2 | 1 | 10 |
CURS | 26–30 Dec 2023 | 852 | 19 | 31 | 4 | — | 19 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 4 | — | — | — | 5 | — | 2 | 12 |
Mercury Research | 30 Oct–6 Nov 2023 | 1,227 | 16 | 26 | 0 | — | 19 | 22 | — | 3 | — | — | — | 7 | 1 | 5 | 4 | ||
16 | 28 | 1 | — | 19 | 2 | 4 | 15 | — | 3 | — | — | — | 7 | 1 | 3 | 9 | |||
Avangarde | 20–28 Sep 2023 | 994 | 21 | 31 | — | — | 19 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 5 | — | — | — | 5 | — | 1 | 10 |
LARICS | 11–25 Sep 2023 | 1,003 | 22.9 | 31.5 | 1.0 | — | 14.6 | — | 4.4 | 15.2 | — | 3.2 | — | — | — | 4.7 | — | 2.4 | 8.6 |
INSOMAR | 28–31 Aug 2023 | 1,030 | 15 | 25 | 2 | — | 27 | 3 | 3 | 7 | — | 4 | — | — | — | 4 | — | 10 | 2 |
2020 parliamentary election | 6 Dec 2020 | 6.058.625 | 25.2 | 28.9 | 1.0 | — | 9.1 | — | 4.9 | 15.4 | 4.1 | 5.7 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 | — | — | 4.1 | 3.7 |
2019 election | 26 May 2019 | 9.069.822 | 27.0 | 22.5 | — | — | 5.8 | 22.4 | 6.4 | 5.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 6.6 | 4.5 |
Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Publisher(s) | Sample size | SDS EPP | SLS (Gregorčič) EPP | ZS NI | SD S&D | NSi EPP | Levica Left | DeSUS EDP | DD NI | GS Renew | Resni.ca NI | PPS G/EFA | Vesna (Prebilič) G/EFA | NOT NI | Logar NI | Rupar NI | Others | None | Und. | Abst. | Lead | Source |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
21–24 May 2024 | Mediana | POPTV | 713 | 17.9 4 | 3.0 0 | 2.6 0 | 9.1 1 | 6.0 1 | 4.1 0 | 1.4 0 | 12.8 2 | 5.5 0 | – | 8.1 1 | 0.9 0 | – | – | 0.1 0 | 4.0 | 14.7 | 6.2 | 5.1 | [202] | |
13–16 May 2024 | Ninamedia | Dnevnik | 1,000 | 27.4 3 | 4.4 0 | 3.6 0 | 11.5 1 | 7.9 1 | 5.7 0 | 2.8 0 | 17.6 2 | 3.2 0 | – | 14.0 1 | 1.7 0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9.8 | [203] | |
23–25 Apr 2024 | Mediana | POPTV | 723 | 21.7 | 3.3 | – | 5.7 | 7.1 | 3.0 | 2.6 | 15.5 | 3.1 | 2.8 | 7.1 | 0.9 | – | – | 0.2 | 4.3 | 14.7 | 4.2 | 6.2 | [204] | |
5–7 Mar 2024 | Mediana | Delo | 723 | 20.7 | 2.4 | – | 6.4 | 6.2 | 4.5 | – | – | 13.0 | 4.1 | 3.3 | 3.3 | – | – | 2.7 | 1.7 | 6.4 | 18.6 | 4.3 | 7.7 | [205] |
4–7 Dec 2023 | Ninamedia | – | 700 | 14.6 | 3.7 | – | 11.4 | 6.3 | 4.0 | – | – | 11.6 | – | – | 8.3 | – | 12.4 | 0.9 | – | – | 19.7 | 7.1 | 2.2 | [206] |
24 April 2022 | 2022 parliamentary election | – | – | 23.48 | 3.41 | 6.69 | 6.86 | 4.46 | 0.66 | 1.70 | 40.23 [lower-alpha 104] | 2.86 | 1.63 | 1.35 | — | — | — | 6.13 | (29.04) | 16.75 | ||||
26 May 2019 | 2019 election | – | – | 26.25 | 2.22 | 18.66 | 11.12 | 6.43 | 5.67 | 0.53 | 19.46 [lower-alpha 105] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9.67 | (71.11) | 6.79 |
Polling firm | Date | Sample size | PS Renew | Democrats EPP | Smer NI | ĽSNS NI | Život NI | SNS ID | KDH EPP | SASKA ECR | KÚ ECR | OĽaNO EPP | ZĽ EPP | MA EPP | SR ID | Hlas S&D | Republika NI | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ipsos [207] | 30 May–4 Jun 2024 | 1,225 | 21.9 4 | 5.2 1 | 24.6 4 | 1.0 0 | 3.2 0 | 6.3 1 | 5.7 1 | 1.5 0 | 4.4 0 | 5.1 1 | — | 11.2 2 | 8.7 1 | 1.2 [lower-alpha 106] | 2.7 | ||
Median [208] | 21–27 May 2024 | 640 | 20.6 | 4.9 | 22.5 | 1.4 | 2.3 | 7.2 | 7.0 | — | 6.6 | 3.3 | — | 14.0 | 9.4 | 0.8 | 1.9 | ||
Ipsos [209] | 14–21 May 2024 | 414 | 23.5 4 | 3.4 0 | 24.4 4 | 1.7 0 | 4.0 0 | 7.1 1 | 5.7 1 | — | 5.3 1 | 4.8 0 | — | 10.3 2 | 9.0 2 | 0.8 | 0.9 | ||
NMS [210] | 9–13 May 2024 | 1,020 | 23.4 5 | 3.5 0 | 17.3 4 | 0.9 0 | 3.0 0 | 4.8 0 | 7.4 1 | 1.6 0 | 4.8 0 | 3.1 0 | — | 11.2 2 | 12.6 3 | 6.3 [lower-alpha 107] | 6.1 | ||
AKO [211] | 7–14 May 2024 | 1,000 | 25.6 4 | 3.4 0 | 17.6 3 | 1.0 0 | 5.2 1 | 7.0 1 | 6.7 1 | 0.6 0 | 2.7 0 | 3.7 0 | — | 14.4 3 | 8.5 2 | 3.6 | 8.0 | ||
NMS [212] | 18–24 April 2024 | 1,010 | 24.3 5 | 4.4 0 | 19.8 4 | 0.7 0 | 3.2 0 | 4.6 0 | 7.0 1 | 0.8 0 | 3.6 0 | 2.9 0 | — | 12.0 3 | 10.7 2 | 5.8 [lower-alpha 108] | 4.5 | ||
AKO [213] | 9–16 April 2024 | 1,000 | 27.2 5 | 2.7 0 | 15.2 3 | 1.0 0 | 4.1 0 | 6.7 1 | 6.5 1 | 0.8 0 | 3.2 0 | 5.0 1 | — | 14.2 3 | 7.5 1 | 5.9 [lower-alpha 109] | 12.0 | ||
Ipsos [214] | 23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024 | 1,502 | 24.6 5 | 2.3 0 | 26.7 5 | 2.1 0 | 4.8 0 | 8.2 2 | 4.6 0 | 4.9 0 | 2.4 0 | — | 11.8 2 | 6.4 1 | 1.2 | 2.1 | |||
2023 elections | 30 Sep 2023 | 2,967,896 | 17.96 | 2.21% | 22.95 | 0.84 | 5.63 | 6.82 | 6.32 | 8.90 | 4.39 | 2.93 | 14.70 | 4.75 | 1.60 | 4.99 | |||
2020 elections | 29 Feb 2020 | 2,881,511 | 6.97 | 18.29 | 7.97 | 3.16 | 4.65 | 6.22 | 25.03 | 5.77 | 3.91 | 8.24 | — | — | 9.34 | 6.74 | |||
2019 elections | 25 May 2019 | 985,680 | 20.11 4 | 15.72 3 | 12.07 2 | 2.07 0 | 4.09 0 | 9.70 2 | 9.62 2 | 3.85 0 | 5.26 1 | — | 4.96 0 | 3.23 0 | — | — | 9.32 | 4.29 |
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | | AR | | SALF | Lead | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
KeyData/Público [p 1] | 3 Jun 2024 | ? | 51.5 | 30.0 20 | 33.9 23 | 1.0 0 | 3.7 2 | 9.9 6 | 4.4 3 | 2.4 1 | 1.7 1 | [lower-alpha 110] | – | 6.1 4 | 2.8 1 | 3.9 |
Data10/OKDiario [p 2] | 2–3 Jun 2024 | 1,500 | ? | 30.2 20 | 34.4 23 | 1.0 0 | 3.9 2 | 10.3 7 | 4.4 3 | 2.5 1 | 1.6 1 | [lower-alpha 110] | – | 6.2 4 | – | 4.2 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía [p 3] | 1–3 Jun 2024 | 1,422 | ? | 30.2 21 | 32.9 23 | 0.8 0 | 3.6 2 | 9.5 6 | 4.2 2 | 2.5 1 | 1.7 1 | [lower-alpha 110] | 1.2 0 | 5.9 4 | 2.5 1 | 2.7 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [p 4] | 27 May–3 Jun 2024 | 3,535 | ? | 30.3 20/21 | 33.2 22/23 | ? 0 | 4.1 2/3 | 10.5 6/7 | 4.3 2/3 | 1.9 1 | 1.4 0/1 | [lower-alpha 110] | – | 6.0 4 | 3.4 2 | 2.9 |
SocioMétrica/El Español [p 5] | 30 May–2 Jun 2024 | 630 | ? | 29.3 20 | 34.1 23 | 0.9 0 | 3.7 2 | 10.1 7 | 3.8 2 | 2.8 1 | 1.6 1 | [lower-alpha 110] | – | 6.3 4 | 2.7 1 | 4.8 |
Cluster17/Agenda Pública [p 6] | 29–31 May 2024 | 2,060 | ? | 29.5 20/21 | 33.8 22/23 | ? 0 | 3.5 2 | 10.3 6/7 | 4.5 3 | 2.6 1 | 1.7 1 | [lower-alpha 110] | – | 5.9 3/4 | 2.3 1 | 4.3 |
Target Point/El Debate [p 7] | 29–31 May 2024 | 1,003 | ? | 31.0 20/21 | 33.5 22/23 | ? 0 | 3.9 2 | 8.9 5/6 | ? 3 | 2.4 1 | ? 1 | [lower-alpha 110] | – | 6.0 4 | 2.9 1/2 | 2.5 |
GESOP/Prensa Ibérica [p 8] | 27–31 May 2024 | 630 | ? | 31.5 21/22 | 32.0 21/22 | 0.9 0 | 4.4 2/3 | 8.1 5/6 | 5.0 3 | 2.0 1 | 1.8 1 | [lower-alpha 110] | – | 5.8 3/4 | 3.7 1/2 | 0.5 |
NC Report/La Razón [p 9] | 27–31 May 2024 | 1,000 | 50.8 | 29.2 20 | 35.0 23/24 | ? 0 | 3.6 2 | 9.9 6/7 | 4.9 3 | 2.8 1 | 1.9 1 | [lower-alpha 110] | – | 6.4 4 | 2.2 1 | 5.8 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía [p 10] | 25–31 May 2024 | 3,109 | ? | 30.0 20 | 33.5 23 | 0.8 0 | 3.3 2 | 9.2 6 | 4.5 3 | 2.5 1 | 2.0 1 | [lower-alpha 110] | 1.3 0 | 6.3 4 | 2.0 1 | 3.5 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [p 11] | 24–31 May 2024 | 3,948 | ? | 29.7 19/21 | 32.7 21/23 | 0.8 0 | 4.0 2/3 | 11.0 6/7 | 3.8 2 | 1.9 1 | 1.3 0/1 | [lower-alpha 110] | – | 6.9 4/5 | 3.5 2 | 3.0 |
Hamalgama Métrica/VozPópuli [p 12] | 23–31 May 2024 | 1,000 | ? | 29.6 20 | 35.1 23 | 0.9 0 | 3.5 2 | 10.2 6 | 4.5 3 | 2.5 1 | ? 1 | [lower-alpha 110] | – | 6.3 4 | 2.0 1 | 5.5 |
40dB/Prisa [p 13] [p 14] | 28–30 May 2024 | 2,000 | ? | 30.1 20/21 | 33.2 22/23 | 1.0 0 | 4.0 2/3 | 10.7 7 | 4.8 3 | 2.1 1 | 1.4 0/1 | [lower-alpha 110] | – | 5.6 3/4 | 2.5 1/2 | 3.1 |
GAD3/ABC [p 15] | 27–30 May 2024 | 1,005 | ? | 29.8 20 | 34.9 23/24 | ? 0 | 3.5 2 | 9.7 6 | 4.8 3 | 2.4 1 | 1.9 1 | [lower-alpha 110] | – | 5.9 3/4 | 2.4 1 | 5.1 |
CIS [p 16] [p 17] | 27–30 May 2024 | 7,491 | ? | 31.6–33.2 | 28.3– 30.5 | 0.7– 1.2 | 3.6– 3.9 | 9.9– 11.0 | 3.7– 4.1 | 1.5– 1.6 | 1.0– 1.3 | [lower-alpha 110] | – | 5.4– 7.1 | 4.9– 5.7 | 2.7– 3.3 |
Metroscopia [p 18] | 28–29 May 2024 | 1,000 | 50 | 29.5 20/21 | 33.6 22/23 | 0.8 0 | 3.6 2 | 10.1 6/7 | 4.7 3/4 | 2.3 1 | 1.8 1 | [lower-alpha 110] | – | 5.9 3/4 | 3.1 2 | 4.1 |
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia [p 19] | 23–29 May 2024 | 1,005 | ? | 30.1 20 | 34.5 24 | 0.7 0 | 3.8 2 | 9.9 6 | 4.0 2 | 2.3 1 | 2.1 1 | [lower-alpha 110] | – | 6.4 4 | 2.6 1 | 4.4 |
DYM/Henneo [p 20] | 23–28 May 2024 | 1,004 | ? | 30.8 20/21 | 34.4 23 | 1.3 0 | 3.3 2 | 10.4 6/7 | 4.2 2/3 | 2.4 1 | 1.2 1 | [lower-alpha 110] | 1.5 0/1 | 5.9 4 | 2.8 1 | 3.6 |
Celeste-Tel/Onda Cero [p 21] [p 22] | 23–28 May 2024 | 1,100 | 49.7 | 29.3 20 | 34.9 23 | 1.0 0 | 3.6 2 | 9.9 6 | 4.8 3 | 2.6 1 | 1.8 1 | [lower-alpha 110] | 1.1 0 | 6.3 4 | 1.9 1 | 5.6 |
SocioMétrica/El Español [p 23] | 25–26 May 2024 | 503 | ? | 29.4 20 | 34.8 24 | 1.4 0 | 3.3 2 | 10.7 7 | 4.5 2 | 2.7 1 | 1.4 0 | [lower-alpha 110] | – | 6.3 4 | 2.0 1 | 5.4 |
KeyData/Público [p 24] | 25 May 2024 | ? | 54.0 | 28.7 19 | 35.8 24 | 1.0 0 | 3.1 2 | 10.6 7 | 4.6 3 | 2.3 1 | 1.5 0 | [lower-alpha 110] | – | 7.4 4 | 2.7 1 | 7.1 |
Data10/OKDiario [p 25] | 22–24 May 2024 | 1,500 | ? | 29.6 20 | 35.4 24 | 0.9 0 | 2.9 1 | 10.4 7 | 4.7 3 | 2.5 1 | 1.7 1 | [lower-alpha 110] | – | 6.4 4 | – | 5.8 |
GAD3/Mediaset [p 26] | 21–24 May 2024 | 1,002 | ? | 31.4 21 | 34.5 23 | 0.7 0 | 3.0 2 | 9.3 6 | 4.5 3 | 2.4 1 | 1.5 1 | [lower-alpha 110] | – | 5.7 3 | 2.7 1 | 3.1 |
NC Report/La Razón [p 27] | 20–24 May 2024 | 1,000 | 54.3 | 27.9 19 | 36.1 24/25 | ? 0 | 3.0 2 | 9.0 6 | 5.2 3 | 2.9 1/2 | 2.2 1 | [lower-alpha 110] | – | 6.8 4 | 1.2 0 | 8.2 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [p 28] | 20–24 May 2024 | 2,137 | ? | 30.2 19/20 | 35.1 24/25 | 0.8 0 | 3.6 2 | 9.7 6/7 | 3.6 2 | 2.4 1 | 1.3 0/1 | [lower-alpha 110] | – | 7.0 4/5 | 2.6 1/2 | 4.9 |
ElectoPanel/El Plural [p 29] | 18–24 May 2024 | 1,500 | ? | 29.1 20 | 33.7 23 | 1.0 0 | 3.1 2 | 8.7 6 | 5.3 3 | 2.7 1 | 2.1 1 | [lower-alpha 110] | 1.3 0 | 5.8 4 | 1.8 1 | 4.6 |
Cluster17/Agenda Pública [p 30] | 21–23 May 2024 | 1,640 | ? | 28.7 19/20 | 34.1 23/24 | ? 0 | 3.4 2 | 9.6 6 | 4.5 3 | 2.6 1 | 1.9 1 | [lower-alpha 110] | 1.3 0/1 | 6.7 4 | 2.2 1 | 5.4 |
SocioMétrica/El Español [p 31] | 17–19 May 2024 | 519 | ? | 28.8 19 | 36.9 25 | 0.9 0 | 3.2 2 | 10.4 7 | 5.1 3 | 2.4 1 | 1.3 0 | [lower-alpha 110] | – | 7.0 4 | 0.8 0 | 8.1 |
NC Report/La Razón [p 32] | 13–17 May 2024 | 1,000 | 58.9 | 27.2 18/19 | 36.3 24/25 | ? 0 | 2.8 1/2 | 9.4 6 | 4.9 3 | 2.7 1 | 2.1 1 | [lower-alpha 110] | – | 7.7 5 | 1.4 0/1 | 9.1 |
ElectoPanel/El Plural [p 33] | 12–17 May 2024 | 1,250 | ? | 28.6 20 | 34.3 25 | 0.9 0 | 2.5 1 | 7.7 5 | 5.4 3 | 4.0 2 | 2.4 1 | [lower-alpha 110] | 1.3 0 | 5.9 4 | 1.1 0 | 5.7 |
CIS (Logoslab) [lower-alpha 111] [215] | 8–17 May 2024 | 6,434 | ? | 30.5 20/21 | 33.0 21/22 | 1.5 0/1 | ? 2/3 | ? 7 | ? 2/3 | ? 1 | ? 1 | [lower-alpha 110] | – | ? 3/4 | ? 2 | 2.5 |
CIS [p 34] [p 35] | ? | 32.8– 35.2 21/24 | 27.9– 30.2 18/20 | 1.8– 2.6 1/2 | 4.4– 5.4 2/3 | 8.6– 10.1 5/6 | 3.9– 5.0 2/3 | 2.2– 3.0 1/2 | 1.1– 1.6 0/1 | [lower-alpha 110] | – | 5.9– 7.2 4 | 2.9– 3.8 1/2 | 4.9– 5.0 | ||
Cluster17/Agenda Pública [p 36] | 14–16 May 2024 | 1,511 | ? | 26.4 17/18 | 35.4 24 | 1.2 0/1 | 3.4 2 | 8.8 6 | 5.6 3 | 2.6 1 | 2.0 1 | [lower-alpha 110] | 1.4 0/1 | 6.6 4 | 3.8 2 | 9.0 |
40dB/Prisa [p 37] [216] | 10–13 May 2024 | 2,000 | ? | 30.1 20/21 | 33.5 22/23 | 1.1 0 | 4.0 2/3 | 12.6 8/9 | 4.6 3 | 2.2 1 | 1.9 1 | [lower-alpha 110] | – | 5.7 3/4 | – | 3.4 |
Simple Lógica/elDiario.es [217] [218] | 1–9 May 2024 | 1,131 | ? | 29.9 20 | 36.4 24 | ? 0 | 2.0 1 | 10.9 7 | 4.8 3 | 2.2 1 | 1.1 0 | [lower-alpha 110] | – | 8.0 5 | – | 6.5 |
SocioMétrica/El Español [p 38] | 30 Apr–4 May 2024 | 1,279 | ? | 26.7 18 | 39.2 26 | 1.2 0 | 3.0 2 | 10.3 7 | 5.4 3 | 2.3 1 | 1.4 1 | [lower-alpha 110] | – | 6.4 4 | 0.3 0 | 12.5 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [p 39] | 24–30 Apr 2024 | 2,120 | ? | 28.9 19 | 35.7 23 | 0.8 0 | 3.1 2 | 11.9 7 | 4.1 2 | 2.0 1 | 1.8 1 | [lower-alpha 110] | – | 9.5 6 | – | 6.8 |
SocioMétrica/El Español [p 40] | 9–12 Apr 2024 | 2,550 | ? | 26.3 17 | 38.1 25 | 1.7 1 | 2.4 1 | 10.9 7 | 6.1 4 | 2.6 1 | 1.8 1 | [lower-alpha 110] | – | 6.7 4 | – | 11.8 |
GAD3/Mediaset [p 41] | 18–21 Mar 2024 | 1,017 | ? | 26.5 18/19 | 37.8 25/26 | 0.3 0 | 3.5 2 | 9.2 6 | 4.4 3 | 2.7 1 | 2.4 1 | [lower-alpha 110] | – | 7.2 4 | – | 11.3 |
SocioMétrica/El Español [p 42] | 5–9 Mar 2024 | 2,900 | ? | 24.5 16 | 40.1 26 | 0.9 0 | 1.9 1 | 10.6 7 | 4.9 3 | 3.0 2 | 1.2 0 | [lower-alpha 110] | – | 9.3 6 | – | 15.6 |
Ipsos/Euronews [p 43] [p 44] | 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 2,000 | ? | 28.6 19 | 37.7 25 | ? 0 | 2.4 1 | 10.4 6 | 3.8 2 | 2.5 1 | 2.0 1 | [lower-alpha 110] | – | 9.7 6 | – | 9.1 |
GAD3/ABC [p 45] | 26–29 Feb 2024 | 1,005 | ? | 27.1 18 | 38.4 26 | ? 0 | 3.0 2 | 8.6 6 | 4.3 2 | 2.7 1 | 2.4 1 | [lower-alpha 110] | – | 7.3 5 | – | 11.3 |
SocioMétrica/El Español [p 46] | 5–9 Feb 2024 | 2,900 | ? | 28.1 18 | 38.3 25 | ? 0 | 1.0 0 | 11.7 7 | 3.2 2 | 3.4 2 | 1.5 1 | [lower-alpha 110] | – | 10.2 6 | – | 10.2 |
NC Report/La Razón [p 47] | 12–18 Jan 2024 | 1,000 | 61.5 | 28.3 18 | 37.5 25 | 0.4 0 | 1.7 1 | 10.4 6 | 3.0 2 | 3.3 2 | 2.1 1 | [lower-alpha 110] | – | 9.1 6 | – | 9.2 |
SocioMétrica/El Español [p 48] | 25–31 Dec 2023 | 2,309 | ? | 28.5 19 | 37.1 24 | 1.1 0 | 3.3 2 | 11.0 7 | 3.2 2 | 4.4 2 | 1.3 0 | [lower-alpha 110] | – | 8.8 5 | – | 8.6 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [p 49] | 15–26 Dec 2023 | 2,992 | ? | 29.2 19 | 38.1 25 | 0.2 0 | 2.6 1 | 11.8 7 | 2.8 1 | 2.3 1 | 2.0 1 | [lower-alpha 110] | – | 10.1 6 | – | 8.9 |
SocioMétrica/El Español [p 50] | 20–24 Nov 2023 | 2,109 | ? | 29.2 19 | 36.8 25 | 1.1 0 | 2.0 1 | 10.2 6 | 4.2 2 | 5.1 3 | 1.3 0 | [lower-alpha 110] | – | 8.0 5 | – | 7.6 |
2023 general election | 23 Jul 2023 | — | 66.6 | 31.7 (20) | 33.1 (21) | – | [lower-alpha 110] | 12.4 (7) | 3.9 (2) | 1.7 (1) | 1.6 (1) | [lower-alpha 110] | 0.7 (0) | 12.3 (7) | – | 1.4 |
November 2019 general election | 10 Nov 2019 | — | 66.2 | 28.0 (18) | 20.8 (13) | 6.8 (4) | 12.9 (8) | 15.1 (10) | 5.3 (3) | 2.2 (1) | 2.8 (1) | 2.4 (1) | 0.9 (0) | – | – | 7.2 |
2019 EP election | 26 May 2019 | — | 60.7 | 32.9 21 | 20.2 13 | 12.2 8 | 10.1 6 | 6.2 4 | 5.6 3 | 4.5 3 | 2.8 1 | 1.3 0 | 1.3 0 | – | – | 12.7 |
Polling execution | Parties | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | V Left | S S&D | MP G/EFA | C Renew | L Renew | M EPP | KD EPP | SD ECR | Oth. | Lead |
Verian | 22–28 May 2024 | 1,000 | 9.5 2 | 25.1 6 | 10.6 2 | 4.9 1 | 4.7 1 | 17.2 4 | 5.4 1 | 19.6 4 | 3.1 0 | 5.5 |
Demoskop | 11–20 May 2024 | 2,994 | 8.7 2 | 27.5 7 | 9.8 2 | 4.6 1 | 2.8 0 | 18.5 4 | 3.9 0 | 19.9 5 | 4.3 0 | 7.6 |
Ipsos | 7–19 May 2024 | 1,646 | 7.6 2 | 29.6 7 | 10.8 3 | 3.6 0 | 4.7 1 | 19.1 4 | 3.9 0 | 17.8 4 | 2.9 0 | 10.5 |
Demoskop | 24 Apr–7 May 2024 | 3,970 | 8.7 2 | 28.5 6 | 9.2 2 | 4.6 1 | 3.2 0 | 17.3 4 | 4.4 1 | 19.9 5 | 4.2 0 | 8.6 |
Verian | 25–30 Apr 2024 | 1,900 | 8.8 2 | 29.7 7 | 9.5 2 | 4.5 1 | 3.7 0 | 18.3 4 | 4.2 1 | 17.2 4 | 4.2 0 | 11.4 |
Novus | 1–28 Apr 2024 | 2,311 | 8.5 2 | 31.1 8 | 10.3 2 | 3.6 0 | 3.8 0 | 17.7 4 | 3.5 0 | 18.8 5 | 2.6 0 | 12.3 |
Indikator Opinion | 28 Mar – 22 Apr 2024 | 6,943 | 8.1 2 | 32.3 8 | 9.7 2 | 4.6 1 | 3.3 0 | 19.0 4 | 2.3 0 | 18.6 4 | 2.1 0 | 12.9 |
Ipsos | 23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024 | 1,003 | 9.6 2 | 30.4 6 | 8.3 2 | 7.0 1 | 4.7 1 | 16.4 4 | 4.5 1 | 17.5 4 | 1.5 0 | 12.9 |
Novus | 19 Feb – 3 Mar 2024 | 504 | 7.3 2 | 32.4 7 | 8.0 2 | 4.6 1 | 3.3 0 | 18.1 4 | 4.2 1 | 20.5 4 | 1.7 0 | 11.9 |
2022 general election | 11 Sep 2022 | – | 6.8 1 | 30.3 7 | 5.1 1 | 6.7 1 | 4.6 1 | 19.1 4 | 5.3 1 | 20.5 5 | 1.5 0 | 9.8 |
2019 EP election | 26 May 2019 | – | 6.8 1 | 23.5 5 | 11.5 3 | 10.8 2 | 4.1 1 | 16.8 4 | 8.6 2 | 15.3 3 | 2.5 0 | 6.7 |
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