1940 United States presidential election

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1940 United States presidential election
Flag of the United States (1912-1959).svg
  1936 November 5, 1940 1944  

531 members of the Electoral College
266 electoral votes needed to win
Turnout62.5% [1] Increase2.svg 1.5 pp
  FDRoosevelt1938.jpg WendellWillkie.jpg
Nominee Franklin D. Roosevelt Wendell Willkie
Party Democratic Republican
Home state New York New York [2]
Running mate Henry A. Wallace Charles L. McNary
Electoral vote44982
States carried3810
Popular vote27,313,94522,347,744
Percentage54.7%44.8%

ElectoralCollege1940.svg
Presidential election results map. Blue denotes those won by Roosevelt/Wallace, red denotes states won by Willkie/McNary. Numbers indicate the number of electoral votes allotted to each state.

President before election

Franklin D. Roosevelt
Democratic

Elected President

Franklin D. Roosevelt
Democratic

The 1940 United States presidential election was the 39th quadrennial presidential election. It was held on Tuesday, November 5, 1940. Incumbent Democratic President Franklin D. Roosevelt defeated Republican businessman Wendell Willkie to be reelected for an unprecedented third term in office. Until 1988, this was the last time in which the incumbent's party won three consecutive presidential elections. It was also the fourth presidential election in which both major party candidates were registered in the same home state; the others have been in 1860, 1904, 1920, 1944, and 2016.

Contents

The election was contested in the shadow of World War II in Europe, as the United States was finally emerging from the Great Depression. Roosevelt did not want to campaign for a third term initially, but was driven by worsening conditions in Europe. [3] He and his allies sought to defuse challenges from other party leaders such as James Farley and Vice President John Nance Garner. The 1940 Democratic National Convention re-nominated Roosevelt on the first ballot, while Garner was replaced on the ticket by Secretary of Agriculture Henry A. Wallace. Willkie, a dark horse candidate, defeated conservative Senator Robert A. Taft and prosecutor Thomas E. Dewey on the sixth presidential ballot of the 1940 Republican National Convention.

Roosevelt, acutely aware of strong isolationist and non-interventionist sentiment, promised there would be no involvement in foreign wars if he were re-elected. [4] Willkie, who had not previously run for public office, conducted an energetic campaign, managing to revive Republican strength in areas of the Midwest and Northeast. He criticized perceived incompetence and waste in the New Deal, warned of the dangers of breaking the two-term tradition, and accused Roosevelt of secretly planning to take the country into World War II. However, Willkie's association with big business damaged his cause, as many working class voters blamed corporations and business leaders for the Great Depression. Roosevelt led in all pre-election polls and won a comfortable victory; his margins, though still significant, were less decisive than they had been in 1932 and 1936.

Nominations

Democratic Party

Democratic Party (United States) Democratic Disc.svg
Democratic Party (United States)
1940 Democratic Party ticket
Franklin D. Roosevelt Henry A. Wallace
for Presidentfor Vice President
FDRoosevelt1938.jpg
Henry-A.-Wallace-Townsend (cropped 3x4).jpeg
32nd
President of the United States
(1933–1945)
11th
U.S. Secretary of Agriculture
(1933–1940)
Campaign
3,250,555 votes
707.5 PD
In order of delegates and votes won
Franklin D. Roosevelt John Nance Garner Charles W. Sawyer James Farley William B. Bankhead O. John Rogge Millard Tydings Burton K. Wheeler Joseph C. O'Mahoney Ellis E. Patterson Cordell Hull Paul V. McNutt
FDRoosevelt1938.jpg
JohnNanceGarner.png
CharlesSawyer.jpg
JamesFarleyProfile.jpg
Speaker Wm. Bankhead, Sen. Barkley and Rep. Rayburn at White House conference (cropped).jpg
O John Rogge 1939.jpg
Millardetydings.jpg
Senator Burton Kendall Wheeler.jpg
JosephCOMahoney.jpg
Ellis E. Patterson.jpg
Hull-Cordell-LOC.jpg
Paul V McNutt Oct 1941.jpg
U.S. President
from New York
(1933–1945)
U.S. Vice President
from Texas
(1933–1941)
Lt. Governor
of Ohio
(1933–1935)
U.S. Postmaster General
from New York
(1933–1940)
U.S. House Speaker
from Alabama
(1936–1940)
U.S. Assistant Attorney General
from New York
(1939–1940)
U.S. Senator
from Maryland
(1927–1951)
U.S. Senator
from Montana
(1923–1947)
U.S. Senator
from Wyoming
(1934–1953)
Lt. Governor
of California
(1939–1943)
U.S. Secretary of State
from Tennessee
(1933–1944)
Administrator of the Federal Security Agency
from Indiana
(1934–1945)
3,214,555 votes
691.5 PD
426,641 votes
69.5 PD
283,952 votes
52 PD
76,919 votes
38.5 PD
196,508 votes
22 PD
20 PD16 PD8 PD6 PD48,337 votes0 PD0 PD
Convention vote
PresidentVice President
Green check.svg Franklin D. Roosevelt 946Green check.svg Henry A. Wallace 626
James Farley 72 William B. Bankhead 329
John Nance Garner 61 Paul V. McNutt 68
Millard Tydings 9 Alva B. Adams 11
Cordell Hull 5 James Farley 7
Jesse H. Jones 5
Joseph C. O'Mahoney 3
Alben W. Barkley 2
Prentiss M. Brown 1
Louis A. Johnson 1
Scott W. Lucas 1
Bascom N. Timmons 1
David I. Walsh 0.5

Throughout the winter, spring, and summer of 1940, there was much speculation as to whether Roosevelt would break with longstanding tradition and run for an unprecedented third term. The two-term tradition, although not yet enshrined in the Constitution, had been established by George Washington when he refused to run for a third term in 1796; other former presidents, such as Ulysses S. Grant in 1880 and Theodore Roosevelt in 1912 had made serious attempts to run for a third term, but the former failed to be nominated, while the latter, forced to run on a third-party ticket, lost to Woodrow Wilson due to the split in the Republican vote. President Roosevelt refused to state definitely whether he would run for a third term. He even indicated to some ambitious Democrats that he would not run. Two of them thus decided to seek the Democratic nomination. These were James Farley, his former campaign manager, and Vice President John Nance Garner. Garner was a Texas conservative who had come to disagree with Roosevelt's liberal economic and social policies, and declined to run for a third term as vice president.

However, as Nazi Germany swept through western Europe and menaced the United Kingdom in the summer of 1940, Roosevelt decided that only he had the necessary experience and skills to see the nation safely through the Nazi threat. He was aided by the party's political bosses, who feared that no Democrat except Roosevelt could defeat the popular Willkie. [5]

At the July 1940 Democratic National Convention in Chicago, Roosevelt easily swept aside challenges from Farley and Garner. Roosevelt picked Secretary of Agriculture Henry A. Wallace of Iowa to replace Garner on the ticket. An outspoken liberal who had been a Republican till joining Roosevelt's cabinet, he met strong opposition from conservatives and party traditionalists. Wallace was also known as "eccentric" in his private life: some years earlier, he had been a follower of Theosophist mystic Nicholas Roerich. But Roosevelt insisted that without Wallace he would not run. First Lady Eleanor Roosevelt came to Chicago to vouch for Wallace, and he won the vice-presidential nomination with 626 votes to 329 for House Speaker William B. Bankhead of Alabama. [6]

Republican Party

Republican Party (United States) Republican Disc.svg
Republican Party (United States)
1940 Republican Party ticket
Wendell Willkie Charles L. McNary
for Presidentfor Vice President
WendellWillkie.jpg
McNary Headshot.jpg
President of
Commonwealth & Southern
(1933–1940)
U.S. Senator from Oregon
(1917–1918, 1918–1944)
Campaign
In order of delegates and votes won
Wendell Willkie Robert A. Taft Jerrold L. Seawell Thomas E. Dewey Arthur Vanderberg Herbert Hoover Hanford MacNider Frank Gannett Arthur H. James
WendellWillkie.jpg
RobertATaft.jpg
Jerrold L. Seawell, 1935.jpg
Thomas E. Dewey color photograph.png
Arthur H. Vandenberg.jpg
President Hoover portrait.jpg
Hanford MacNider2.jpg
FrankGannett.png
Arthur H. James (Pennsylvania governor).jpg
Businessman
from New York
(1919–1939)
U.S. Senator
from Ohio
(1939–1953)
President pro tempore
of California
(1939–1941)
Manhattan District Attorney
from New York
(1938–1941)
U.S. Senator
from Michigan
(1928–1951)
Former U.S. President
from California
Assistant Secretary of War (1925–1928) Businessman
from New York
(1906–1957)
Governor
of Pennsylvania
(1939–1943)
21,140 votes
633 PD
516,428 votes
310 PD
538,112 votes
44 PD
1,605,754 votes
11 PD
100,651 votes69 votes
9 PD
2 PD1 PD1 PD
Convention vote (6th Ballot before Shifts)
PresidentVice President
Green check.svg Wendell L. Willkie 633Green check.svg Charles L. McNary 626
Robert A. Taft 310 Dewey Jackson Short 108
Thomas E. Dewey 11 Styles Bridges 2
Herbert Hoover 9
Hanford MacNider 2
Frank Gannett 1
Arthur H. James 1

In the months leading up to the opening of the 1940 Republican National Convention in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, the Republican Party was deeply divided between the party's isolationists, who wanted to stay out of World War II at all costs, and the party's interventionists, who felt that the United Kingdom needed to be given all aid short of war to prevent Nazi Germany from conquering all of Europe. The three leading candidates for the Republican nomination - Senator Robert A. Taft from Ohio, Senator Arthur H. Vandenberg from Michigan, and District Attorney Thomas E. Dewey from New York - were all isolationists to varying degrees. [7]

Taft was the leader of the conservative, isolationist wing of the Republican Party, and his main strength was in his native Midwestern United States and parts of the Southern United States. Dewey, the District Attorney for Manhattan, had risen to national fame as the "Gangbuster" prosecutor who had sent numerous infamous Mafia figures to prison, most notably Lucky Luciano, the organized-crime boss of New York City. Dewey had won most of the presidential primaries in the spring of 1940, and he came into the Republican Convention in June with the largest number of delegate votes, although he was still well below the number needed to win. Vandenberg, the senior Republican in the Senate, was the "favorite son" candidate of the Michigan delegation and was considered a possible compromise candidate if Taft or Dewey faltered. Former President Herbert Hoover was also spoken of as a compromise candidate.

However, each of these candidates had weaknesses that could be exploited. Taft's outspoken isolationism and opposition to any American involvement in the European war convinced many Republican leaders that he could not win a general election, particularly as France fell to the Nazis in June 1940 and Germany threatened the United Kingdom. Dewey's relative youth—he was only 38 in 1940—and lack of any foreign-policy experience caused his candidacy to weaken as the Wehrmacht emerged as a fearsome threat. In 1940, Vandenberg was also an isolationist (he would change his foreign-policy stance during World War II) and his lackadaisical, lethargic campaign never caught the voters' attention. Hoover still bore the stigma of having presided over the Wall Street Crash of 1929 and the subsequent Great Depression. This left an opening for a dark horse candidate to emerge. [8]

Wendell Willkie for President campaign button. Willkie For President button.svg
Wendell Willkie for President campaign button.

A Wall Street-based industrialist named Wendell Willkie, who had never before run for public office, emerged as the unlikely nominee. Willkie, a native of Indiana and a former Democrat who had supported Franklin Roosevelt in the 1932 United States presidential election, was considered an improbable choice. Willkie had first come to public attention as an articulate critic of Roosevelt's attempt to break up electrical power monopolies.

Willkie was the CEO of the Commonwealth & Southern Corporation, which provided electrical power to customers in eleven states. In 1933, President Roosevelt had created the Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA), which promised to provide flood control and cheap electricity to the impoverished people of the Tennessee Valley. However, the government-run TVA would compete with Willkie's Commonwealth & Southern, and this led Willkie to criticize and oppose the TVA's attempt to compete with private power companies. Willkie argued that the government had unfair advantages over private corporations, and should thus avoid competing directly against them. [9]

However, Willkie did not dismiss all of Roosevelt's social welfare programs, indeed supporting those he believed could not be managed any better by the free enterprise system. Furthermore, unlike the leading Republican candidates, Willkie was a forceful and outspoken advocate of aid to the Allies of World War II, especially the United Kingdom. His support of giving all aid to the British "short of declaring war" won him the support of many Republicans on the East Coast of the United States, who disagreed with their party's isolationist leaders in Congress.

Willkie's persuasive arguments impressed these Republicans, who believed that he would be an attractive presidential candidate. Many of the leading press barons of the era, such as Ogden Reid of the New York Herald Tribune , Roy Howard of the Scripps-Howard newspaper chain and John and Gardner Cowles Jr. publishers of the Minneapolis Star and the Minneapolis Tribune , as well as The Des Moines Register and Look magazine, supported Willkie in their newspapers and magazines. Even so, Willkie remained a long-shot candidate; the May 8 Gallup Poll showed Dewey at 67% support among Republicans, followed by Vandenberg and Taft, with Willkie at only 3%.

The German Army's rapid Blitzkrieg campaign into France in May 1940 shook American public opinion, even as Taft was telling a Kansas audience that America needed to concentrate on domestic issues to prevent Roosevelt from using the war crisis to extend socialism at home. Both Dewey and Vandenberg also continued to oppose any aid to the United Kingdom that might lead to war with Nazi Germany. Nevertheless, sympathy for the embattled British was mounting daily, and this aided Willkie's candidacy. By mid-June, little over one week before the Republican Convention opened, the Gallup poll reported that Willkie had moved into second place with 17%, and that Dewey was slipping. Fueled by his favorable media attention, Willkie's pro-British statements won over many of the delegates. As the delegates were arriving in Philadelphia, Gallup reported that Willkie had surged to 29%, Dewey had slipped five more points to 47%, and Taft, Vandenberg and Hoover trailed at 8%, 8%, and 6% respectively.

Hundreds of thousands, perhaps as many as one million, telegrams urging support for Willkie poured in, many from "Willkie Clubs" that had sprung up across the country. Millions more signed petitions circulating everywhere. At the 1940 Republican National Convention itself, keynote speaker Harold Stassen, the Governor of Minnesota, announced his support for Willkie and became his official floor manager.[ citation needed ] Hundreds of vocal Willkie supporters packed the upper galleries of the convention hall. Willkie's amateur status and fresh face appealed to delegates as well as voters. Most of the delegations were selected not by primaries, but by party leaders in each state, and they had a keen sense of the fast-changing pulse of public opinion. Gallup found the same thing in polling data not reported until after the convention: Willkie had moved ahead among Republican voters by 44% to only 29% for the collapsing Dewey. As the pro-Willkie galleries chanted "We Want Willkie!" the delegates on the convention floor began their vote. Dewey led on the first ballot, but steadily lost strength thereafter. Both Taft and Willkie gained in strength on each ballot, and by the fourth ballot it was obvious that either Willkie or Taft would be the nominee. The key moments came when the delegations of large states such as Michigan, Pennsylvania, and New York left Dewey and Vandenberg and switched to Willkie, giving him the victory on the sixth ballot. [10]

Willkie's nomination was one of the most dramatic moments in any political convention. [11] Having given little thought to whom he would select as his vice-presidential nominee, Willkie left the decision to convention chairman and Massachusetts Representative Joseph Martin, the House Minority Leader, who suggested Senate Minority Leader Charles L. McNary from Oregon. Despite the fact that McNary had spearheaded a "Stop Willkie" campaign late in the balloting, the convention picked him to be Willkie's running mate. [12]

General election

Polling

Polling aggregates
Candidates
  Franklin Roosevelt
  Wendell Willkie
  Undecided

The Gallup Poll accurately predicted the election outcome. [13] However, the American Institute of Public Opinion, responsible for the Gallup Poll, avoided predicting the outcome, citing a four percent margin of error. [14] The Gallup Poll also found that, if there was no war in Europe, voters preferred Willkie over Roosevelt. [13]

Fall campaign

Results by county explicitly indicating the percentage for the winning candidate. Shades of blue are for Roosevelt (Democratic) and shades of red are for Willkie (Republican). PresidentialCounty1940Colorbrewer.gif
Results by county explicitly indicating the percentage for the winning candidate. Shades of blue are for Roosevelt (Democratic) and shades of red are for Willkie (Republican).

Willkie crusaded against Roosevelt's attempt to break the two-term presidential tradition, arguing that "if one man is indispensable, then none of us is free." Even some Democrats who had supported Roosevelt in the past disapproved of his attempt to win a third term, and Willkie hoped to win their votes. Willkie also criticized what he claimed was the incompetence and waste in Roosevelt's New Deal welfare programs. He stated that as president he would keep most of Roosevelt's government programs, but would make them more efficient. [15]

However, many Americans still blamed business leaders for the Great Depression, and the fact that Willkie symbolized "Big Business" hurt him with many working-class voters. Willkie was a fearless campaigner; he often visited industrial areas where Republicans were still blamed for causing the Great Depression and where Roosevelt was highly popular. In these areas, Willkie frequently had rotten fruit and vegetables thrown at him and was heckled by crowds; still, he was unfazed. [16]

Willkie also accused Roosevelt of leaving the nation unprepared for war, but Roosevelt's military buildup and transformation of the nation into the "Arsenal of Democracy" removed the "unpreparedness" charge as a major issue. Willkie then reversed his approach and charged Roosevelt with secretly planning to take the nation into World War II. This accusation did cut into Roosevelt's support. In response, Roosevelt, in a pledge that he would later regret, promised that he would "not send American boys into any foreign wars." The United Kingdom and Germany actively interfered throughout the election, hoping to exploit public sentiments and cultivate political contacts. [17] [18] [19]

Results

Roosevelt led in all pre-election opinion polls by various margins. On Election Day—November 5, 1940, he received 27.3 million votes to Willkie's 22.3 million, and in the Electoral College, he defeated Willkie by a margin of 449 to 82. Willkie did get over six million more votes than the Republican nominee in 1936, Alf Landon, and he ran strong in rural areas in the American Midwest, taking over 57% of the farm vote. Many counties in the Midwest have not voted for a Democrat since. Roosevelt, meanwhile, carried every American city with a population of more than 400,000 except Cincinnati, Ohio. Of the 106 cities with more than 100,000 population, he won 61% of the votes cast; in the Southern United States as a whole, he won 73% of the total vote. In the remainder of the country (the rural and small-town Northern United States), Willkie had a majority of 53%. In the cities, there was a class differential, with the white-collar and middle-class voters supporting the Republican candidate, and working class, blue-collar voters going for FDR. In the North, Roosevelt won 87% of the Jewish vote, 73% of the Catholics, and 61% of the nonmembers, while all the major Protestant denominations showed majorities for Willkie. [20]

Roosevelt's net vote totals in the twelve largest cities decreased from 3,479,000 votes in the 1936 election to 2,112,000 votes, but it was still higher than his result from the 1932 election when he won by 1,791,000 votes. [21] Of the 3,094 counties/independent cities, Roosevelt won in 1,947 (62.93%) while Willkie carried 1,147 (37.07%).

Records

Roosevelt was the third of just four presidents in United States history to win re-election with a lower percentage of the electoral vote than in their prior elections, the other three were James Madison in 1812, Woodrow Wilson in 1916 and Barack Obama in 2012. Additionally, Roosevelt was the fourth of only five presidents to win re-election with a smaller percentage of the popular vote than in prior elections, the other four are James Madison in 1812, Andrew Jackson in 1832, Grover Cleveland in 1892, and Obama in 2012. This marked the first time since 1892, that the Democrats won the popular vote in three consecutive elections, and the first since 1840, where they won three consecutive elections. Although at a rate lower than 1936, Roosevelt maintained his strong majorities from labor unions, big city political machines, ethnic minority voters, and the traditionally Democratic Solid South. Roosevelt's third consecutive victory inspired the Twenty-second Amendment, limiting the number of terms a person may be president.

As of 2023, Roosevelt was the sixth of seven presidential nominees to win a significant number of electoral votes in at least three elections, the others being Thomas Jefferson, Henry Clay, Andrew Jackson, Grover Cleveland, William Jennings Bryan, and Richard Nixon. Of these, Jackson, Cleveland, and Roosevelt also won the popular vote in at least three elections. Jefferson, Cleveland, and Roosevelt were also their respective party's nominees for three consecutive elections.

This was the first time that North Dakota voted for a losing candidate and the first time since 1892 that a Democrat won without Colorado, Kansas, and Nebraska. This was also the first time anyone won without Colorado and Nebraska since 1908, and Kansas since 1900. It was also the fourth presidential election in which both major party candidates were registered in the same home state; the others have been in 1860, 1904, 1920, 1944, and 2016.

Willkie and McNary both died in 1944 (October 8, and February 25, respectively); the first, and to date only time both members of a major-party presidential ticket died during the term for which they sought election. Had they been elected, Willkie's death would have resulted in the Secretary of State becoming acting president for the remainder of the term ending on January 20, 1945, in accordance with the Presidential Succession Act of 1886. [22] [23]

Electoral results
Presidential candidatePartyHome statePopular voteElectoral
vote
Running mate
CountPercentageVice-presidential candidateHome stateElectoral vote
Franklin D. Roosevelt (incumbent) Democratic New York 27,313,94554.74%449 Henry A. Wallace Iowa 449
Wendell Willkie Republican New York 22,347,74444.78%82 Charles L. McNary Oregon 82
Norman Thomas Socialist New York 116,5990.23%0 Maynard C. Krueger Illinois 0
Roger Babson Prohibition Massachusetts 57,9030.12%0 Edgar Moorman Illinois 0
Earl Browder Communist Kansas 48,5570.10%0 James W. Ford New York 0
John W. Aiken Socialist Labor Connecticut 14,8830.03%0 Aaron M. Orange New York 0
Other2,4820.00%Other
Total49,902,113100%531531
Needed to win266266

Source (Popular Vote):Leip, David. "1940 Presidential Election Results". Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. Retrieved July 31, 2005.Source (Electoral Vote): "Electoral College Box Scores 1789–1996". National Archives and Records Administration . Retrieved July 31, 2005.

Popular vote
Roosevelt
54.74%
Willkie
44.78%
Thomas
0.23%
Others
0.25%
Electoral vote
Roosevelt
84.56%
Willkie
15.44%

Geography of results

1940 Electoral Map.png

Results by state

Source: [24]

States/districts won by Roosevelt/Wallace
States/districts won by Willkie/McNary
Franklin D. Roosevelt
Democratic
Wendell Willkie
Republican
Norman Thomas
Socialist
OtherMarginState Total
Stateelectoral
votes
# %electoral
votes
# %electoral
votes
# %electoral
votes
# %electoral
votes
# %#
Alabama 11250,72685.221142,18414.34-1000.03-1,2090.41-208,54270.88294,219AL
Arizona 395,26763.49354,03036.01----7420.49-41,23727.48150,039AZ
Arkansas 9158,62279.02942,12120.98-------116,50158.03200,743AR
California 221,877,61857.44221,351,41941.34-16,5060.50-23,2480.71-526,19916.103,268,791CA
Colorado 6265,55448.37-279,57650.9261,8990.35-1,9750.36--14,022-2.55549,004CO
Connecticut 8417,62153.448361,81946.30----2,0620.26-55,8027.14781,502CT
Delaware 374,59954.70361,44045.05-1150.08-2200.16-13,1599.65136,374DE
Florida 7359,33474.017126,15825.99-------233,17648.03485,492FL
Georgia 12265,19484.851246,36014.83----9970.32-218,83470.02312,551GA
Idaho 4127,84254.364106,55345.31-4970.21-2760.12-21,2899.05235,168ID
Illinois 292,149,93450.97292,047,24048.54-10,9140.26-9,8470.23-102,6942.434,217,935IL
Indiana 14874,06349.03-899,46650.45142,0750.12-7,1430.40--25,403-1.421,782,747IN
Iowa 11578,80047.62-632,37052.0311---4,2600.35--53,570-4.411,215,430IA
Kansas 9364,72542.40-489,16956.8692,3470.27-4,0560.47--124,444-14.47860,297KS
Kentucky 11557,22257.4411410,38442.30-1,0140.10-1,4430.15-146,83815.14970,063KY
Louisiana 10319,75185.881052,44614.09----1080.03-267,30571.80372,305LA
Maine 5156,47848.77-163,95151.105---4110.13--7,473-2.33320,840ME
Maryland 8384,54658.258269,53440.83-4,0930.62-1,9440.29-115,01217.42660,117MD
Massachusetts 171,076,52253.1117939,70046.36-4,0910.20-6,6800.33-136,8226.752,026,993MA
Michigan 191,032,99149.52-1,039,91749.85197,5930.36-5,4280.26--6,926-0.332,085,929MI
Minnesota 11644,19651.4911596,27447.66-5,4540.44-5,2640.42-47,9223.831,251,188MN
Mississippi 9168,26795.7097,3644.19-1930.11----160,90391.51175,824MS
Missouri 15958,47652.2715871,00947.50-2,2260.12-2,0180.11-87,4674.771,833,729MO
Montana 4145,69858.78499,57940.17-1,4430.58-1,1530.47-46,11918.61247,873MT
Nebraska 7263,67742.81-352,20157.197-------88,524-14.37615,878NE
Nevada 331,94560.08321,22939.92-------10,71620.1553,174NV
New Hampshire 4125,29253.224110,12746.78-------15,1656.44235,419NH
New Jersey 161,016,40451.4816944,87647.86-2,8230.14-10,1110.51-71,5283.621,974,214NJ
New Mexico 3103,69956.59379,31543.28-1440.08-1000.05-24,38413.31183,258NM
New York 473,251,91851.60473,027,47848.04-18,9500.30-3,2500.05-224,4403.566,301,596NY
North Carolina 13609,01574.0313213,63325.97-------395,38248.06822,648NC
North Dakota 4124,03644.18-154,59055.0641,2790.46-8700.31--30,554-10.88280,775ND
Ohio 261,733,13952.20261,586,77347.80-------146,3664.413,319,912OH
Oklahoma 11474,31357.4111348,87242.23----3,0270.37-125,44115.18826,212OK
Oregon 5258,41553.705219,55545.62-3980.08-2,8720.60-38,8608.07481,240OR
Pennsylvania 362,171,03553.23361,889,84846.33-10,9670.27-6,8640.17-281,1876.894,078,714PA
Rhode Island 4182,18256.734138,65343.17----3130.10-43,52913.55321,148RI
South Carolina 895,47095.6384,3604.37----20.00-91,11091.2699,832SC
South Dakota 4131,36242.59-177,06557.414-------45,703-14.82308,427SD
Tennessee 11351,60167.2511169,15332.35-4630.09-1,6060.31-182,44834.90522,823TN
Texas 23909,97480.9223212,69218.91-7280.06-1,1370.10-697,28262.011,124,531TX
Utah 4154,27762.25493,15137.59-2000.08-1910.08-61,12624.67247,819UT
Vermont 364,26944.92-78,37154.783---4220.30--14,102-9.86143,062VT
Virginia 11235,96168.0811109,36331.55-2820.08-1,0010.29-126,59836.52346,607VA
Washington 8462,14558.228322,12340.58-4,5860.58-4,9790.63-140,02217.64793,833WA
West Virginia 8495,66257.108372,41442.90-------123,24814.20868,076WV
Wisconsin 12704,82150.1512679,20648.32-15,0711.07-6,4240.46-25,6151.821,405,522WI
Wyoming 359,28752.82352,63346.89-1480.13-1720.15-6,6545.93112,240WY
TOTALS:53127,313,94554.7444922,347,74444.7882116,5990.23-123,8250.25-4,966,2019.9549,902,113US

States that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Close states

Margin of victory less than 1% (19 electoral votes):

  1. Michigan, 0.33% (6,926 votes)

Margin of victory less than 5% (192 electoral votes):

  1. Indiana, 1.42% (25,403 votes)
  2. Wisconsin, 1.82% (25,615 votes)
  3. Maine, 2.33% (7,473 votes)
  4. Illinois, 2.43% (102,694 votes)
  5. Colorado, 2.55% (14,022 votes)
  6. New York, 3.56% (224,440 votes)
  7. New Jersey, 3.62% (71,528 votes)
  8. Minnesota, 3.83% (47,922 votes)
  9. Iowa, 4.41% (53,570 votes)
  10. Ohio, 4.41% (146,366 votes)
  11. Missouri, 4.77% (87,467 votes)

Margin of victory between 5% and 10% (83 electoral votes):

  1. Wyoming, 5.93% (6,654 votes)
  2. New Hampshire, 6.44% (15,165 votes)
  3. Massachusetts, 6.75% (136,822 votes)
  4. Pennsylvania, 6.89% (281,187 votes) (tipping point state)
  5. Connecticut, 7.14% (55,802 votes)
  6. Oregon, 8.07% (38,860 votes)
  7. Idaho, 9.05% (21,289 votes)
  8. Delaware, 9.65% (13,159 votes)
  9. Vermont, 9.86% (14,102 votes)

Statistics

[25]

Counties with Highest Percent of Vote (Democratic)

  1. Terrell County, Georgia 100.00%
  2. Tate County, Mississippi 99.81%
  3. Lancaster County, South Carolina 99.57%
  4. Calhoun County, South Carolina 99.55%
  5. Chesterfield County, South Carolina 99.31%

Counties with Highest Percent of Vote (Republican)

  1. McIntosh County, North Dakota 91.66%
  2. Jackson County, Kentucky 88.62%
  3. Gillespie County, Texas 86.74%
  4. Mercer County, North Dakota 85.36%
  5. Johnson County, Tennessee 84.21%

Foreign interference

The British government engaged covert intelligence operations to support Roosevelt, including the planting of false news stories, wiretaps, "October surprises", and other intelligence activities. [26] [27] The German government had allocated $5 million as a campaign war chest via the German embassy to bribe Democratic delegates at the 1940 convention, using American businessman William Rhodes Davis as a conduit. Davis was sympathetic to the German cause after his meeting with Hermann Göring and was enlisted for this purpose. Later, he directed some of these funds towards supporting anti-Roosevelt radio broadcasts by the isolationist labor leader John L. Lewis, with the aim of impeding Roosevelt's re-election bid. Initially a supporter of Roosevelt in 1936, Davis had become disillusioned by 1940, and the two had grown apart over foreign policy. The German envoy in Mexico had also requested $160,000 to sway an unnamed Democratic Party operative in Pennsylvania to unseat interventionist Democratic Senator Joseph Guffey, who was a prominent critic of Nazi Germany. Davis was later identified as Abwehr agent C-80 following his death in August 1941. [18] [28]

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References

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Further reading

Primary sources