2016 South Carolina Republican presidential primary

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2016 South Carolina Republican presidential primary
Flag of South Carolina.svg
  2012 February 20, 2016 (2016-02-20) 2024  
  NH
NV  
  Donald Trump by Gage Skidmore 10 (cropped).jpg Marco Rubio by Gage Skidmore 8 (cropped).jpg Ted Cruz by Gage Skidmore 10 (cropped).jpg
Candidate Donald Trump Marco Rubio Ted Cruz
Home state New York Florida Texas
Delegate count5000
Popular vote240,882166,565165,417
Percentage32.51%22.48%22.33%

  Jeb Bush by Gage Skidmore 2 (cropped).jpg John Kasich (24618295175) (cropped).jpg Ben Carson by Skidmore with lighting correction (cropped).jpg
Candidate Jeb Bush John Kasich Ben Carson
Home state Florida Ohio Virginia
Delegate count000
Popular vote58,05656,41053,551
Percentage7.84%7.61%7.23%

2016 SC GOP presidential primary.svg
Election results by county.

The 2016 South Carolina Republican presidential primary took place on February 20 in the U.S. state of South Carolina, marking the Republican Party's third nominating contest in their series of presidential primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

Contents

The Democratic Party held its Nevada caucuses on the same day, while their South Carolina primary would only take place a week later on February 27.

The states delegates are allocated in this way: 29 delegates are awarded to the winner of the primary; 3 delegates are awarded to the winner of each of the seven congressional districts. [1]

Following a poor result in the primary, Jeb Bush announced the suspension of his campaign. [2]

Forums and debates

January 9, 2016 – Columbia, South Carolina The Kemp Forum was held in the Columbia Metropolitan Convention Center by the Jack Kemp Foundation. Bush, Carson, Christie, Fiorina, Huckabee, Kasich, and Rubio attended. The forum was moderated by Speaker of the House Paul Ryan and Senator Tim Scott. [3] [4]

January 14, 2016 – North Charleston, South Carolina

CandidateAirtime [5] Polls
Trump 17:1234.5%
Cruz 17:5219.3%
Rubio 14:1911.8%
Carson 8:269.0%
Christie 14:253.5%
Bush 12:364.8%
Kasich 12:262.3%
CandidateAirtimePolls
Fiorina 12:062.8%
Paul N/A2.3%
Huckabee 13:001.8%
Santorum 12:180.0%

On December 8, 2015, it was announced that Fox Business Network would host an additional debate two days after the State of the Union address. [6] The debate was held in the North Charleston Coliseum in North Charleston, South Carolina. The anchor and managing editor of Business News, Neil Cavuto, and anchor and global markets editor, Maria Bartiromo, reprised their roles as moderators for the prime-time debate, which began at 9 p.m. EST. The earlier debate, which started at 6 p.m. EST, was again moderated by anchors Trish Regan and Sandra Smith. [7] [8]

On December 22, 2015, Fox Business Network announced that in order to qualify for the prime-time debate, candidates had to either: place in the top six nationally, based on an average of the five most recent national polls recognized by FOX News; place in the top five in Iowa, based on an average of the five most recent Iowa state polls recognized by FOX News; or place in the top five in New Hampshire, based on an average of the five most recent New Hampshire state polls recognized by FOX News. In order to qualify for the first debate, candidates must have registered at least one percent in one of the five most recent national polls. [9]

On January 11, 2016, seven candidates were revealed to have been invited to the prime-time debate: Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, John Kasich, Marco Rubio, and Donald Trump. The participants were introduced in order of their poll rankings at the debate.

Carly Fiorina, Mike Huckabee, and Rick Santorum participated in the undercard debate. Rand Paul was also invited to the undercard debate, but said, "I won't participate in anything that's not first tier because we have a first tier campaign." [10] [11] The candidates were introduced in order of their poll rankings. The first question was to assess the economy. The next questions asked Fiorina about the role of the US in the world, Santorum about the Iran deal, and Huckabee about the solution to Afghanistan's problems.

February 13, 2016 – Greenville, South Carolina The ninth debate, and second debate in the month of February, was held in another early primary state of South Carolina, and aired on CBS News. The debate was moderated by John Dickerson in the Peace Center, began at 9 p.m. ET and lasted for 90 minutes. [12]

Endorsements

Jeb Bush
Statewide officials
U.S. Senators
State Senators
State Representatives
Ted Cruz
U.S. Representatives
State Senators
State Representatives
John Kasich
State Senators
State Representatives
Newspapers
Marco Rubio
Statewide officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State Senators
State Representatives
Mayors
Donald Trump
Statewide officials
State Representatives

Withdrawn candidates

Mike Huckabee (Withdrawn)
State Representatives
Rand Paul (Withdrawn)
U.S. Representatives
State Senators
State Representatives

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll

aggregation

Dates

administered

Dates

updated

Marco Rubio
Republican
Donald Trump
Republican
Ted Cruz
Republican
Jeb Bush
Republican
Margin
RealClearPolitics until February 20, 2016February 20, 201618.8%31.8%18.5%10.7%
FiveThirtyEight until February 20, 2016February 20, 201619.8%30.5%19.5%11.4%
Poll sourceDate1st2nd3rdOther
Primary results February 20, 2016 Donald Trump32.51% Marco Rubio22.48% Ted Cruz22.33% Jeb Bush 7.84%, John Kasich 7.61%, Ben Carson 7.23%
Opinion Savvy/

Augusta Chronicle [60]

Margin of error: ± 3.5% Sample size: 780

February 18–19, 2016Donald Trump
26.9%
Marco Rubio
24.1%
Ted Cruz

18.8%

Jeb Bush 10.6%, Ben Carson 8.2%, John Kasich 7.5%, Undecided 3.9%
South Carolina

House GOP [61]

Margin of error: ± 2.0% Sample size: 3500

February 18, 2016Donald Trump
33.51%
Ted Cruz

18.96%

Marco Rubio

18.07%

Jeb Bush 11.56%, John Kasich 8.49%, Ben Carson 5.22%, Undecided 4.19%
National Research [62]

Margin of error: ± ?% Sample size: 500

February 17–18, 2016Donald Trump
32%
Ted Cruz

19%

Marco Rubio

18%

Jeb Bush 8%, John Kasich 7%, Ben Carson 6%, Refused 2%, Undecided 7%
ARG [63]

Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 401

February 17–18, 2016Donald Trump
34%
Marco Rubio

22%

John Kasich

14%

Ted Cruz 13%, Jeb Bush 9%, Ben Carson 4%, Other 1%, Undecided 3%
Emerson College [64]

Margin of error: ± 4.7% Sample size: 418

February 16–18, 2016Donald Trump
36%
Ted Cruz

19%

Marco Rubio

18%

John Kasich 10%, Jeb Bush 10%, Ben Carson 6%
Clemson University [65]

Margin of error: ± 3.0% Sample size: 650

February 14–18, 2016Donald Trump
28%
Ted Cruz

19%

Marco Rubio

15%

Jeb Bush 10%, John Kasich 9%, Ben Carson 6%, Undecided 13%
ARG [66]

Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 400

February 16–17, 2016Donald Trump
33%
Marco Rubio

20%

John Kasich

15%

Ted Cruz 13%, Jeb Bush 8%, Ben Carson 3%, Other 1%, Undecided 7%
Harper Polling [67]

Margin of error: ± 4% Sample size: 599

February 16–17, 2016Donald Trump
29%
Ted Cruz

17%

Marco Rubio

15%

Jeb Bush 14%, John Kasich 13%, Ben Carson 8%, Undecided 5%
NBC News/Wall Street

Journal/Marist College [68]

Margin of error: ± 3.6% Sample size: 722

February 15–17, 2016Donald Trump
28%
Ted Cruz

23%

Marco Rubio

15%

Jeb Bush 13%, Ben Carson 9%, John Kasich 9%, Undecided 5%
Fox News [69]

Margin of error: ± 3.5% Sample size: 759

February 15–17, 2016Donald Trump
32%
Ted Cruz

19%

Marco Rubio

15%

Jeb Bush 9%, Ben Carson 9%, John Kasich 6%, Other 1%, Undecided 8%
Emerson College [70]

Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 315

February 15–16, 2016Donald Trump
33%
Ted Cruz

20%

Marco Rubio

19%

John Kasich 9%, Jeb Bush 9%, Ben Carson 5%, Other 1%, Undecided 4%
ARG [71]

Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 400

February 14–16, 2016Donald Trump
33%
Marco Rubio

16%

Ted Cruz

14%

John Kasich 14%, Jeb Bush 9%, Ben Carson 3%, Other 2%, Undecided 8%
Monmouth University [72]

Margin of error: ± 4.9% Sample size: 400

February 14–16, 2016Donald Trump
35%
Ted Cruz

19%

Marco Rubio

17%

John Kasich 9%, Jeb Bush 8%, Ben Carson 7%, Undecided 5%
Bloomberg/Selzer [73]

Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 502

February 13–16, 2016Donald Trump
36%
Ted Cruz

17%

Marco Rubio

15%

Jeb Bush 13%, Ben Carson 9%, John Kasich 7%, Undecided 3%
Public Policy Polling [74]

Margin of error: ± 3.3% Sample size: 897

February 14–15, 2016Donald Trump
35%
Ted Cruz

18%

Marco Rubio

18%

John Kasich 10%, Jeb Bush 7%, Ben Carson 7%, Undecided 6%
South Carolina

House GOP [75]

Margin of error: ± 2.4% Sample size: 1700

February 15, 2016Donald Trump
33.57%
Ted Cruz

15.54%

Marco Rubio

14.83%

Jeb Bush 14.54%, John Kasich 7.98%, Ben Carson 6.55%, Undecided 7.03%
CNN/ORC [76]

Margin of error: ± 5% Sample size: 404

February 10–15, 2016Donald Trump
38%
Ted Cruz

22%

Marco Rubio

14%

Jeb Bush 10%, Ben Carson 6%, John Kasich 4%, Jim Gilmore 1%, Someone Else 1%, Undecided 1%, No Opinion 3%
ARG [77]

Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 400

February 12–13, 2016Donald Trump
35%
John Kasich

15%

Marco Rubio

14%

Ted Cruz 12%, Jeb Bush 10%, Ben Carson 2%, Other 2%, Undecided 10%
South Carolina

House GOP [78]

Margin of error: ± ?%

Sample size: 1200

February 11–12, 2016Donald Trump
34.5%
Ted Cruz

15.5%

Jeb Bush

13%

Marco Rubio 12.5%, John Kasich 8.5%, Ben Carson 5%, Undecided 11%
CBS News/YouGov [79]

Margin of error: ± 5.2% Sample size: 744

February 10–12, 2016Donald Trump
42%
Ted Cruz

20%

Marco Rubio

15%

John Kasich 9%, Jeb Bush 6%, Ben Carson 6%, Chris Christie 1%, Carly Fiorina 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, No preference 1%
Opinion Savvy/

Augusta Chronicle [80]

Margin of error: ± 3.5% Sample size: 779

February 10–11, 2016Donald Trump
36.3%
Ted Cruz

19.6%

Marco Rubio

14.6%

Jeb Bush 10.9%, John Kasich 8.7%, Ben Carson 4.7%, Undecided 5.2%
NBC/WSJ/Marist [81]

Margin of error: ± 3.7% Sample size: 718

January 17–23, 2016Donald Trump
36%
Ted Cruz

20%

Marco Rubio

14%

Jeb Bush 9%, Ben Carson 8%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Chris Christie 2%, Rand Paul 1%, John Kasich 1%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Other 0%, Undecided 6%
CBS/YouGov [82]

Margin of error: ± 5.3% Sample size: 804

January 18–21, 2016Donald Trump
40%
Ted Cruz

21%

Marco Rubio

13%

Ben Carson 9%, Jeb Bush 8%, Rand Paul 3%, Mike Huckabee 2%, John Kasich 2%, Chris Christie 1%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, No Preference 0%
Morris News/Opinion Savvy [83]

Margin of error: ± 3.7% Sample size: 683

January 15, 2016Donald Trump
32%
Ted Cruz

18%

Jeb Bush

13%

Marco Rubio 11%, Ben Carson 9%, Chris Christie 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Mike Huckabee 2%, John Kasich 2%, Rand Paul 2%, Rick Santorum 1%, Undecided 3%
Associated Industries of Florida

Margin of error: ± 3.9%

Sample size: 600

December 16–17, 2015Donald Trump
27%
Ted Cruz
27%
Marco Rubio

12%

Ben Carson 11%, Jeb Bush 7%, Others 5%, Undecided 11%
CBS News/YouGov

Margin of error: ± 5%

Sample size: 1469

December 14–17, 2015Donald Trump
38%
Ted Cruz

23%

Marco Rubio

12%

Ben Carson 9%, Jeb Bush 7%, Rand Paul 4%, John Kasich 2%, Chris Christie 1%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Lindsey Graham 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, George Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, No preference 1%
Opinion Savvy/Augusta Chronicle

Margin of error: ± 4.2%

Sample size: 536

December 16, 2015Donald Trump
28.3%
Ted Cruz

21.1%

Marco Rubio

11.6%

Jeb Bush 9.6%, Ben Carson 9.5%, Chris Christie 5.5%, Carly Fiorina 4.6%, Rand Paul 2.6%, Mike Huckabee 2.1%, Lindsey Graham 1.9%, John Kasich 1.4%, Rick Santorum 0.5%, George Pataki 0.2%, Undecided 1.3%
Winthrop University

Margin of error: ± 3.4%

Sample size: 828

November 30 – December 7, 2015Donald Trump
24%
Ted Cruz

16%

Ben Carson

14%

Marco Rubio 11%, Jeb Bush 9%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Lindsey Graham 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Rand Paul 1%, Chris Christie 1%, John Kasich 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, George Pataki 0%
Fox News

Margin of error: ± 4.5%

Sample size: 437

December 5–8, 2015Donald Trump
35%
Ben Carson

15%

Marco Rubio/Ted Cruz

14%

Jeb Bush 5%, Rand Paul 2%, Lindsey Graham 2%, Chris Christie 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, John Kasich 1%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, George Pataki 0%, None of the Above 1%, Don't Know 5%
CBS News/YouGov

Margin of error: ± 5.1%

Sample size: ?

November 15–19, 2015Donald Trump
35%
Ben Carson

19%

Marco Rubio

16%

Ted Cruz 13%, Jeb Bush 5%, Lindsey Graham 3%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Mike Huckabee 2%, John Kasich 2%, Chris Christie 1%, Rand Paul 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, George Pataki 0%, Bobby Jindal 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%
Public Policy Polling

Margin of error: ± 3.5%

Sample size: 787

November 7–8, 2015Donald Trump
25%
Ben Carson

21%

Ted Cruz

15%

Marco Rubio 13%, Jeb Bush 8%, Carly Fiorina 5%, John Kasich 3%, Lindsey Graham 2%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Rand Paul 1%, Chris Christie 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Bobby Jindal 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, George Pataki 0%, Undecided 3%
CBS News/YouGov

Margin of error: ± 3.4%

Sample size: 843

October 15–23, 2015Donald Trump
40%
Ben Carson

23%

Ted Cruz

8%

Marco Rubio 7%, Jeb Bush 6%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Lindsey Graham 2%, Mike Huckabee 2%, John Kasich 2%, Rand Paul 1%, Chris Christie 1%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, George Pataki 0%, No Preference 5%
Clemson-Palmetto Archived 2015-10-29 at the Wayback Machine

Margin of error: ± 4%

Sample size: 600

October 13–23, 2015Donald Trump
23%
Ben Carson
19%
Ted Cruz

8%

Carly Fiorina 6%, Jeb Bush 7%, Marco Rubio 5%, Lindsey Graham 3%, Rand Paul 1%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Chris Christie 1%, John Kasich 2%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, George Pataki 0%, undecided/DK 15%
CNN/ORC

Margin of error: ± 4.5%

Sample size: 521

October 3–10, 2015Donald Trump
36%
Ben Carson

18%

Marco Rubio

9%

Carly Fiorina 7%, Jeb Bush 6%, Ted Cruz 5%, Lindsey Graham 5%, Rand Paul 4%, Mike Huckabee 3%, Chris Christie 2%, John Kasich 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Jim Gilmore *%, George Pataki *% Bobby Jindal *%, None 1%, No opinion 4%
Gravis Marketing

Margin of error: ± 3.6%

Sample size: 762

October 1, 2015Donald Trump
29.1%
Ben Carson

16.4%

Carly Fiorina

11.1%

Ted Cruz 8.1%, Marco Rubio 8%, Jeb Bush 5.9%, John Kasich 3.5%, Mike Huckabee 3.1%, Lindsey Graham 1.5%, Chris Christie 1.4%, Rand Paul 0.9%, Rick Santorum 0.5%, George Pataki 0.3% Bobby Jindal 0.3%, Unsure 9.9%
CBS News/YouGov

Margin of error: ± 4.5%

Sample size: 1002

September 3–10, 2015Donald Trump
36%
Ben Carson

21%

Ted Cruz

6%

Lindsey Graham 5%, Jeb Bush 5%, John Kasich 4%, Mike Huckabee 3%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Marco Rubio 3%, Scott Walker 3%, Chris Christie 2%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Rand Paul 1%, Rick Perry 0%, George Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, No preference 5%
Public Policy Polling

Margin of error: ± 3.6%

Sample size: 764

September 3–6, 2015Donald Trump
37%
Ben Carson

21%

Ted Cruz

6%

Jeb Bush 6%, Carly Fiorina 4%, John Kasich 4%, Marco Rubio 4%, Lindsey Graham 3%, Mike Huckabee 3%, Scott Walker 3%, Rand Paul 3%, Rick Santorum 2%, Rick Perry 1%, Chris Christie 1%, Bobby Jindal 1%, George Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%
Monmouth University Archived 2015-08-29 at the Wayback Machine

Margin of error: ± 4.6%

Sample size: 453

August 20–23, 2015Donald Trump
30%
Ben Carson

15%

Jeb Bush

9%

Carly Fiorina 6%, Marco Rubio 6%, Ted Cruz 5%, Lindsey Graham 4%, Scott Walker 4%, John Kasich 3%, Mike Huckabee 3%, Rand Paul 3%, Chris Christie 2%, Rick Santorum 1%, Rick Perry 0%, George Pataki 0%, Bobby Jindal 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Undecided 11%
Opinion Savvy/Insider Advantage

Margin of error: ± 4.3%

Sample size: 509

August 3, 2015Donald Trump
31.3%
Jeb Bush

13.9%

Ben Carson

9.9%

Mike Huckabee 8.5%, Lindsey Graham 6.5%, Scott Walker 5.8%, Ted Cruz 4.3%, Chris Christie 4.1%, John Kasich 3.1%, Marco Rubio 2.3%, Carly Fiorina 1.8%, Rand Paul 1.7%, Bobby Jindal 0.7%, Rick Perry 0.6%, Rick Santorum 0.1%, George Pataki 0%, Someone else 3.1%, Undecided 2.5%
Gravis Marketing

Margin of error: ± 4.0%

Sample size: 609

July 29–30, 2015Donald Trump
34%
Ben Carson

10.9%

Jeb Bush

10.5%

Scott Walker 10.3%, Marco Rubio 6%, Mike Huckabee 5.5%, Lindsey Graham 4.9%, Ted Cruz 3.4%, John Kasich 3.3%, Chris Christie 2.5%, Rick Perry 2.5%, Carly Fiorina 2.4%, Rick Santorum 1.3%, Rand Paul 1%, Bobby Jindal 0.9%, George Pataki 0.7%
Morning Consult

Margin of error: ± 5.0%

Sample size: 389

May 31 – June 8, 2015Lindsey Graham
14%
Ben Carson
12%
Jeb Bush
11%
Scott Walker 10%, Marco Rubio 8%, Mike Huckabee 7%, Ted Cruz 6%, Chris Christie 5%, Rand Paul 5%, Donald Trump 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Don't know/No Opinion/Refused 16%, Someone else 2%
Winthrop University Archived 2012-03-21 at the Wayback Machine

Margin of error: ± 3.2%

Sample size: 956

April 4–12, 2015Scott Walker
13.6%
Jeb Bush
12.7%
Ted Cruz

8.1%

Lindsey Graham 7.6%, Rand Paul 6.2%, Chris Christie 5%, Ben Carson 4.9%, Mike Huckabee 4.9%, Marco Rubio 4%, Rick Perry 1.9%, Donald Trump 1.9%, Bobby Jindal 0.9%, Rick Santorum 0.3%, John Bolton 0.2%, Other 1.4%, Undecided 25.1%
Gravis Marketing

Margin of error: ± 3%

Sample size: 1,371

March 26–27, 2015Scott Walker
17%
Jeb Bush
16%
Ted Cruz

13%

Lindsey Graham 9%, Mike Huckabee 7%, Chris Christie 6%, Marco Rubio 6%, Rand Paul 5%, Rick Santorum 2%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Undecided 18%
Gravis Marketing

Margin of error: ± 3%

Sample size: 792

February 24–25, 2015Jeb Bush
19%
Scott Walker
17%
Lindsey Graham

12%

Mike Huckabee 10%, Chris Christie 8%, Rand Paul 6%, Marco Rubio 6%, Ted Cruz 2%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Rick Santorum 2%, Undecided 16%
Public Policy Polling

Margin of error: ± 4.3%

Sample size: 525

February 12–15, 2015Jeb Bush
19%
Scott Walker
18%
Ben Carson

13%

Lindsey Graham 13%, Mike Huckabee 12%, Chris Christie 7%, Rand Paul 5%, Ted Cruz 3%, Rick Perry 3%, Other/Undecided 6%
NBC News/Marist

Margin of error: ± 4.6%

Sample size: 450

February 3–10, 2015Lindsey Graham
17%
Jeb Bush
15%
Scott Walker

12%

Ben Carson 10%, Mike Huckabee 10%, Rand Paul 7%, Chris Christie 6%, Rick Perry 4%, Marco Rubio 4%, Rick Santorum 3%, Ted Cruz 1%, Undecided 11%
Gravis Marketing

Margin of error: ± 3%

Sample size: 831

January 21–22, 2015Mitt Romney
20%
Jeb Bush

16%

Scott Walker

9%

Ted Cruz 8%, Mike Huckabee 8%, Rand Paul 7%, Marco Rubio 7%, Chris Christie 5%, Rick Perry 4%, Rick Santorum 4%, Undecided 12%
Jeb Bush
18%
Mike Huckabee

11%

Scott Walker

11%

Ted Cruz 9%, Marco Rubio 9%, Chris Christie 8%, Rand Paul 8%, Rick Perry 5%, Rick Santorum 4%, Undecided 17%
Clemson University Archived 2014-06-06 at the Wayback Machine

Margin of error: ± 6%

Sample size: 400

May 22–29, 2014Jeb Bush
22%
Chris Christie

10%

Ted Cruz

9%

Rand Paul 9%, Marco Rubio 6%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Undecided/Don't know 48%
Gravis Marketing

Margin of error: ± 4%

Sample size: 735

March 6–7, 2014Jeb Bush
22%
Mike Huckabee
19%
Chris Christie

12%

Ted Cruz 8%, Rand Paul 8%, Marco Rubio 6%, Scott Walker 5%, Rick Santorum 2%, Undecided 19%
Gravis Marketing

Margin of error: ± 4%

Sample size: 601

November 30 – December 2, 2013Chris Christie
16.6%
Jeb Bush
16%
Mike Huckabee
15.8%
Ted Cruz 11.1%, Rand Paul 9.7%, Marco Rubio 7.2%, Rick Santorum 2.8%, Scott Walker 2.3%, Undecided 18.5%
Harper Polling

Margin of error: ± 5.03%

Sample size: 379

October 27–28, 2013Chris Christie
19%
Ted Cruz
17%
Rand Paul

13%

Marco Rubio 12%, Paul Ryan 12%, Bobby Jindal 6%, Not sure 21%

Results

Primary date: February 20, 2016
District conventions: April 2016
State convention: May 7, 2016
National delegates: 50

South Carolina Republican primary, February 20, 2016
CandidateVotesPercentageActual delegate count
BoundUnboundTotal
Donald Trump 240,88232.51%50050
Marco Rubio 166,56522.48%000
Ted Cruz 165,41722.33%000
Jeb Bush 58,0567.84%000
John Kasich 56,4107.61%000
Ben Carson 53,5517.23%000
Chris Christie (withdrawn)000
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn)000
Rand Paul (withdrawn)000
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn)000
Rick Santorum (withdrawn)000
Jim Gilmore (withdrawn)000
George Pataki (withdrawn)000
Lindsey Graham (withdrawn)000
Unprojected delegates:000
Total:740,881100.00%50050
Source: The Green Papers

Exit Polls

2016 South Carolina Republican Primary by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling) [84]
Demographic subgroupCruzTrumpRubioKasichBush% of

total vote

Total vote22.333.522.57.67.893%
Gender
Men2236227751%
Women2229239949%
Race
White2233228896%
Education and Race
White College Graduate 19252711952%
White Non-college 2442174645%
Age
17–44 years old2626258427%
45+ years old2135227973%
Income
$30,000 - $49,9992733207817%
$50,000 - $99,9992634197637%
$100,000 - $199,99917282812726%
Issue regarded as most important
Immigration 2551113310%
Economy 15362413729%
Terrorism 2531235932%
Government spending 2525258926%
Area type
Urban 182331121023%
Suburban 2636185748%
Rural 2034228829%
Religion
Evangelical 2634215767%
Non-Evangelical17382216933%
Veteran household
Yes2135237817%
No2431219883%

Analysis

Donald Trump won the South Carolina primary by ten points. He carried the crucial Evangelical vote with 33% to Cruz at 27% and Rubio at 22%. [85] [86] Many pundits were perplexed by Trump's dominance among culturally conservative Southern whites who were expected to view him as immoral, but he benefitted from voters' racial, cultural, and economic angst that mattered more than shared values. [87]

Marco Rubio, who enjoyed the endorsement of Governor Nikki Haley, [88] came in second in the primary. Rubio won the two urban counties of Richland and Charleston, both of which have a higher percentage of college-educated voters.

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Lindsey Graham, the senior United States senator from South Carolina and former U.S. Representative for South Carolina's 3rd congressional district, announced his bid for the Republican nomination for president on June 1, 2015, at an event in his hometown of Central, South Carolina. Although he was praised for solid, often humorous debate performances, the campaign never gained any traction, and was suspended on December 21, 2015.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary</span>

The 2016 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary, which took place on February 9, was the second major vote of the cycle. Donald Trump was declared the winner with 35.2% of the popular vote and picked up 11 delegates, while John Kasich emerged from a pack of candidates between 10-20% to capture second place with 15.8% of the vote and picked up four delegates.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 Iowa Republican presidential caucuses</span>

The 2016 Iowa Republican presidential caucuses took place on February 1 in the U.S. state of Iowa, traditionally marking the Republican Party's first nominating contest in their series of presidential primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2018 South Carolina gubernatorial election</span>

The 2018 South Carolina gubernatorial election was held on November 6, 2018, to elect the Governor of South Carolina. Incumbent Republican Governor Henry McMaster, who took office after Nikki Haley resigned to become U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations, ran for election to a full term. The primary was held on June 12, with the Democrats nominating State Representative James E. Smith Jr. McMaster failed to win a majority of the vote, and then defeated John Warren in the Republican runoff on June 26. In the general election, McMaster defeated Smith, winning election to a full term.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States Senate election in South Carolina</span>

The 2020 United States Senate election in South Carolina was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of South Carolina, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 United States Senate election in Alabama</span>

The 2022 United States Senate election in Alabama was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Alabama. Incumbent senator Richard Shelby was first elected in 1986 and re-elected in 1992 as a Democrat before becoming a Republican in 1994. In his most recent election in 2016, he was re-elected with nearly 64% of the vote over Democrat Ron Crumpton. In February 2021, Shelby announced that he would not seek re-election to a seventh term, which resulted in the first open Senate seat since 1996 and the first in this seat since 1968.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2017 South Carolina's 5th congressional district special election</span>

A special election was held on June 20, 2017, to determine the member of the United States House of Representatives for South Carolina's 5th congressional district. Representative Mick Mulvaney was nominated by President Donald Trump as director of the Office of Management and Budget and confirmed by the United States Senate on February 16, 2017, necessitating his resignation from the House of Representatives.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States House of Representatives elections in South Carolina</span>

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in South Carolina were held on November 3, 2020, to elect the seven U.S. representatives from the state of South Carolina, one from each of the state's seven congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 United States Senate election in North Carolina</span>

The 2022 United States Senate election in North Carolina was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of North Carolina. Primary elections were scheduled for March 8, 2022, but were delayed by the North Carolina Supreme Court and rescheduled for May 17.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 United States Senate election in Florida</span>

The 2022 United States Senate election in Florida was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Florida.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States Senate election in Ohio</span>

The 2024 United States Senate election in Ohio will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Ohio. Primary elections took place on March 19, 2024. Incumbent Democrat Sherrod Brown is seeking a fourth term in office, while the Republican Party nominated former car dealer Bernie Moreno. This race is one of two 2024 U.S. Senate races in which Democratic senators are seeking re-election in states where Republican Donald Trump won both the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections. Brown's re-election is considered essential for Democrats' chances to retain the Senate majority in 2024.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 South Carolina gubernatorial election</span>

The 2022 South Carolina gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of South Carolina. Incumbent Republican Governor Henry McMaster ran for re-election for a second full term in office and secured the Republican nomination in the June 14 primary. Joe Cunningham, former United States Representative from South Carolina's 1st congressional district, was the Democratic nominee. McMaster won the general election with 58% of the vote — a larger margin than in 2018.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 United States House of Representatives elections in South Carolina</span>

The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in South Carolina were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the seven U.S. representatives from the state of South Carolina, one from each of the state's seven congressional districts. The elections coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 South Carolina Republican presidential primary</span> Primary election in South Carolina

The 2024 South Carolina Republican presidential primary was held on February 24, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 50 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated on a selection basis.

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