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Marshall: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Bollier: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Kansas |
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The 2020 United States Senate election in Kansas was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Kansas, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
On January 4, 2019, incumbent Republican Senator Pat Roberts announced he would not run for a fifth term. [1] Candidates had until June 1, 2020 to file to run for the open seat or to drop out if they already filed. [2] The U.S. Senate primaries were held on August 4, 2020. [3] [4]
Republican U.S. Representative Roger Marshall was considered a narrow favorite based on polling, but he won by around 11 points, a larger margin than most experts predicted. However, this was the first Senate election since 1978 where a Democrat won Shawnee County, the first Senate election since 1974 where a Democrat won Riley County, and the first Senate election ever in Kansas's history where a Democrat won Johnson County; all three counties were also flipped by Democrat Joe Biden in the concurrent presidential election.
In a live-streamed debate on May 22, 2020, in a ballroom devoid of spectators due to the COVID-19 pandemic, all five major candidates praised president Donald Trump. Kobach took on his opponents who all agreed that he could not win the general election against presumptive Democratic nominee, Bollier. [37] Marshall said, "We cannot afford to send a failed candidate back this fall who will lose to Barbara Bollier and hand the Senate majority over to Chuck Schumer." "Instead, we need to send a tried and trusted friend of President Trump." Referring to Marshall, Kobach replied, "Do you want a go-along-to-get-along kind of senator, a gutless wonder who never takes a stand, or, do you want someone who poses a threat?" Hamilton said voters didn't have to choose between Kobach, who couldn't win, and a moderate Marshall, [37] in whose behest the state party leaders had urged Senator Wagle and Lindstrom, to drop out of the race. [37] Objecting to the party pressure, Lindstrom characterized his opponents as "shortsighted, self-serving ... career politicians who are divisive, controversial," and, "have a record of losing elections." [37] Wagle touted her own candidacy, saying, "It's very, very important that we send a leader to the U.S. Senate who is articulate, who is persuasive, who other people respect. ... I'm the one who's already debated Barbara Bollier. ... I win on the Senate floor. I've beat (sic) her numerous times ... the conservative voice that can beat that liberal voice in the U.S. Senate," she said. [37] In response to a claim that he would not prioritize the issue of agriculture, Marshall said, "Fake news and another lie by Kris Kobach." [37]
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Bob Hamilton | Kris Kobach | Dave Lindstrom | Roger Marshall | Susan Wagle | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Civiqs/Daily Kos | May 30 – June 1, 2020 | 419 (LV) | – | 15% | 35% | 4% | 26% | – | 4% [lower-alpha 2] | 16% |
Wagle withdraws from the race | ||||||||||
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [upper-alpha 1] | May 10–12, 2020 | 600 (V) | ± 4% | 6% | 26% | 4% | 33% | 7% | – | 24% |
Hamilton announces his candidacy | ||||||||||
McLaughlin & Associates (R) [upper-alpha 2] | February 12–16, 2020 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 2% | 40% | 5% | 23% | 8% | – | 21% |
co/efficient (R) | January 19–20, 2020 | 1,246 LV | ± 3.2% | – | 29% | – | 29% | 6% | 9% [lower-alpha 3] | 28% |
The Tarrance Group (R) [upper-alpha 3] | October 21–23, 2019 | 607 (LV) | ± 4.1% | – | 43% | 3% | 24% | 8% | 5% [lower-alpha 4] | 16% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Kris Kobach | Roger Marshall |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [upper-alpha 1] | May 10–12, 2020 | 600 (V) | ± 4% | 34% | 48% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Bob Hamilton | Kris Kobach | Roger Marshall |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [upper-alpha 1] | May 10–12, 2020 | 600 (V) | ± 4% | 10% | 29% | 41% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Kris Kobach | Roger Marshall | Mike Pompeo | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NRSC [upper-alpha 3] | October 21–23, 2019 | 607 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 17% | 11% | 54% | 7% [lower-alpha 5] | 10% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Kris Kobach | Mike Pompeo |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
NRSC [upper-alpha 3] | October 21–23, 2019 | 607 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 24% | 68% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Roger Marshall | 167,800 | 40.28% | |
Republican | Kris Kobach | 108,726 | 26.10% | |
Republican | Bob Hamilton | 77,952 | 18.71% | |
Republican | Dave Lindstrom | 27,451 | 6.59% | |
Republican | Steve Roberts | 8,141 | 1.95% | |
Republican | Brian Matlock | 7,083 | 1.70% | |
Republican | Lance Berland | 6,404 | 1.54% | |
Republican | John Miller | 4,431 | 1.06% | |
Republican | Derek Ellis | 3,970 | 0.95% | |
Republican | Gabriel Robles | 3,744 | 0.90% | |
Republican | John Berman | 861 | 0.21% | |
Total votes | 416,563 | 100.00% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Barbara Bollier | 168,759 | 85.34% | |
Democratic | Robert Tillman | 28,997 | 14.66% | |
Total votes | 197,756 | 100.00% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [102] | Lean R | October 29, 2020 |
Inside Elections [103] | Tilt R | October 28, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [104] | Lean R | November 2, 2020 |
Daily Kos [105] | Lean R | October 30, 2020 |
Politico [106] | Lean R | November 2, 2020 |
RCP [107] | Lean R | October 23, 2020 |
DDHQ [108] | Lean R | November 3, 2020 |
538 [109] | Likely R | November 2, 2020 |
Economist [110] | Lean R | November 2, 2020 |
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Roger Marshall (R) | Barbara Bollier (D) | Jason Buckley (L) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Data For Progress | October 27 – November 1, 2020 | 1,121 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 51% | 45% | 4% | 1% [lower-alpha 6] | – |
VCreek/AMG | October 25–27, 2020 | 1,149 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 47% | 43% | 2% | – | 8% |
GBAO Strategies (D) Archived November 2, 2020, at the Wayback Machine [lower-alpha 7] [upper-alpha 4] | October 25–27, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 45% [lower-alpha 8] | 46% | 4% | 4% [lower-alpha 9] | – |
47% [lower-alpha 10] | 47% | – | – | – | ||||
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 5] | October 19–20, 2020 | 897 (V) | ± 3.3% | 43% | 43% | 5% | – | 9% |
Siena College/NYT Upshot | October 18–20, 2020 | 755 (LV) | ± 4% | 46% | 42% | 4% | 2% [lower-alpha 11] | 6% [lower-alpha 12] |
co/efficient (R) [upper-alpha 6] | October 18–20, 2020 | 2,453 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 51% | 39% | 2% | – | 8% |
VCreek/AMG (R) | September 29–30, 2020 | 3,104 (LV) | ± 1.75% | 42% | 45% | 2% | – | 11% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | September 26–29, 2020 | 677 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 50% | 43% | – | 2% [lower-alpha 13] | 5% |
GBAO Strategies (D) [upper-alpha 4] | September 24–27, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 43% | 45% | 7% | – | – |
Data For Progress (D) | September 14–19, 2020 | 883 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 40% [lower-alpha 8] | 40% | 5% | – | 15% |
42% [lower-alpha 10] | 42% | – | – | 15% | ||||
co/efficient (R) [upper-alpha 6] | September 15–16, 2020 | 794 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 43% | 39% | 2% | – | 16% |
SurveyUSA | August 8–9, 2020 | 1,202 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 44% | – | – | 10% |
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 7] | August 5–6, 2020 | 864 (V) | ± 3.3% | 43% | 42% | – | – | 15% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | May 30 – June 1, 2020 | 699 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 42% | 41% | – | 9% [lower-alpha 3] | 8% |
NMB Research (R) [upper-alpha 1] | May 17–19, 2020 | 506 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 46% | 35% | – | – | 18% |
Public Policy Polling | March 10–11, 2020 | 1,567 (V) | ± 2.5% | 47% | 37% | – | – | – |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Bob Hamilton (R) | Barbara Bollier (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Civiqs/Daily Kos | May 30 – June 1, 2020 | 699 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 40% | 41% | 11% [lower-alpha 14] | 8% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Kris Kobach (R) | Barbara Bollier (D) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Civiqs/Daily Kos | May 30 – June 1, 2020 | 699 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 41% | 42% | 11% [lower-alpha 14] | 7% |
NMB Research/NRSC (R) [upper-alpha 3] | May 17–19, 2020 | 506 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 44% | 43% | – | 12% |
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 8] | April 13–14, 2020 | 1,271 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 42% | 44% | – | 13% |
McLaughlin & Associates (R) [upper-alpha 2] | February 12–13, 2020 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 47% | 38% | – | 15% |
DFM Research Archived February 10, 2020, at the Wayback Machine [upper-alpha 9] | January 30 – February 6, 2020 | 600 (A) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 43% | 4% | 10% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Kris Kobach (R) | Barry Grissom (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tarrance Group/NRSC (R) [upper-alpha 3] | June 9–11, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 42% [lower-alpha 15] | 52% | – |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Generic Republican (R) | Generic Democrat (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
co/efficient/Keep Kansas Great PAC [upper-alpha 10] | September 15–16, 2020 | 794 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 53% | 39% | – |
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 8] | April 13–14, 2020 | 1,271 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 50% | 40% | 11% |
DFM Research/SMART Transportation Division Archived February 10, 2020, at the Wayback Machine [upper-alpha 9] | January 30 – February 6, 2020 | 600 (A) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 31% | 30% |
Tarrance Group/NRSC (R) [upper-alpha 3] | June 9–11, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 36% | – |
On the night of the election, Roger Marshall was announced as the winner of the Senate race. [111]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Roger Marshall | 727,962 | 53.22% | +0.07% | |
Democratic | Barbara Bollier | 571,530 | 41.79% | N/A | |
Libertarian | Jason Buckley | 68,263 | 4.99% | +0.67% | |
Total votes | 1,367,755 | 100.0% | |||
Republican hold | |||||
The Kansas Republican Party is the state affiliate political party in Kansas of the United States Republican Party. The Kansas Republican Party was organized in May 1859.
Kris William Kobach is an American lawyer and politician who has served as the attorney general of Kansas since 2023. He previously served as the 31st secretary of state of Kansas from 2011 to 2019. A former chairman of the Kansas Republican Party, Kobach rose to national prominence over his support for anti-immigration advocacy, including involvement in the implementation of high-profile anti-illegal immigration ordinances in various American cities. Kobach is also known for his calls for stronger voter ID laws in the United States. He has made claims about the extent of election fraud in the United States that some studies and media have said are unsubstantiated.
Susan Wagle is an American politician who served as a Republican member of the Kansas Senate, representing the 30th district from 2001 to 2021. She was elected Kansas Senate President in 2013 and was reelected in 2017. She is the first woman to hold this position.
Derek Larkin Schmidt is an American lawyer and politician who served as the Kansas Attorney General from 2011 to 2023. A Republican, Schmidt was first elected to office serving in the Kansas Senate, where he represented the 15th district from 2001 to 2011, and served as Agriculture Committee chairman and Senate majority leader. Schmidt became the state attorney general in 2011, after he defeated incumbent Democrat Stephen Six.
John Bruce "Chip" Saltsman Jr. is an American politician who has served as chairman of the Tennessee Republican Party from 1999 to 2001, senior political advisor to former Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist, and manager of Mike Huckabee's 2008 presidential campaign. He also worked for the Chuck Fleischmann campaign in Tennessee's 3rd district from 2009 to 2010. Saltsman also worked for Randy Boyd's unsuccessful Tennessee Gubernatorial campaign in 2018.
Laura Jeanne Kelly is an American politician serving since 2019 as the 48th governor of Kansas. A member of the Democratic Party, she represented the 18th district in the Kansas Senate from 2005 to 2019. Kelly was elected governor in 2018, defeating Republican nominee Kris Kobach. She was reelected in 2022, narrowly defeating Republican nominee Derek Schmidt.
Jean Kurtis Schodorf, a former three-term Republican Kansas state senator, was the Democratic Party nominee for Kansas Secretary of State in 2014. She was defeated on November 4, 2014 by incumbent Kris Kobach by a margin of 59%-41%.
Jeffrey William Colyer is an American surgeon and politician who served as the 47th governor of Kansas from January 31, 2018, to January 14, 2019. A member of the Republican Party, he was the 49th lieutenant governor of Kansas from 2011 to 2018. Colyer served in the Kansas House of Representatives from 2007 to 2009 and the Kansas Senate from 2009 to 2011. He assumed the governorship when Sam Brownback resigned to become United States Ambassador-at-Large for International Religious Freedom. Colyer ran for a full term as governor in 2018, but narrowly lost the Republican primary to Kansas secretary of state Kris Kobach, who in turn lost the general election to Democratic nominee Laura Kelly.
The 2014 United States Senate election in Kansas was held on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Kansas, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
The 2014 Kansas gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor of Kansas, concurrently with the election of Kansas' Class II U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
Barbara Goolsbee Bollier is an American physician and politician. From 2017 to 2021, she was a member of the Kansas Senate representing the 7th district, which includes Mission Hills, Kansas in Johnson County. Bollier is a member of the Democratic Party, after having left the Republican Party in 2018. Bollier was the Democratic nominee in the 2020 United States Senate election in Kansas, losing in the general election to Republican congressman Roger Marshall.
A general election was held in the U.S. state of Kansas on November 4, 2014. Primary elections were held on August 5.
Gregory John Orman is an American politician, businessman, and entrepreneur. He ran as an independent to represent Kansas in the United States Senate in the 2014 election, earning 42.5 percent of the vote and losing to incumbent U.S. Senator Pat Roberts.
The 2018 Kansas gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the next governor of Kansas.
Roger Wayne Marshall is an American politician, physician, and former military officer serving as the junior United States senator from Kansas since 2021. A member of the Republican Party, he served from 2017 to 2021 as the U.S. representative for Kansas's 1st congressional district, a mostly rural district covering much of the western and northern parts of the state.
The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the state of Kansas, one from each of the state's four congressional districts.
Willis E. "Wink" Hartman is an American businessman and political candidate from the state of Kansas.
The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas were held on November 3, 2020, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the state of Kansas, one from each of the state's four congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.
The 2022 Kansas gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Kansas, with primary elections taking place on August 2, 2022. Governor Laura Kelly ran for re-election to a second term, facing Republican State Attorney General Derek Schmidt in the general election.
The 2022 Kansas Attorney General election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the Attorney General of Kansas. Incumbent Republican Attorney General Derek Schmidt announced he would retire to run for Governor. The Republican nominee was former Kansas Secretary of State Kris Kobach, and the Democratic nominee was former police officer, prosecutor, and state securities regulator, Chris Mann. Kobach narrowly won, taking 50.80% of the general election vote to Mann's 49.20%.
Svaty is done with politics. No U.S. Senate race in 2020.