2020 United States presidential election in New York

For related races, see 2020 United States presidential election.

2020 United States presidential election in New York

←  2016 November 3, 2020 2024  →
Turnout	69.7% 2.4%
Nominee Joe Biden Donald Trump Party Democratic Republican Alliance Working Families Conservative Home state Delaware Florida Running mate Kamala Harris Mike Pence Electoral vote 29 0 Popular vote 5,244,886 3,251,997 Percentage 60.87% 37.74%
County results Municipality results Congressional district results Precinct results Biden   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90%   90–100% Trump   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90%   90–100% Tie/No Data
President before election Donald Trump Republican Elected President Joe Biden Democratic

The 2020 United States presidential election in New York was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. ^[1] New York voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. ^[2] New York had 29 electoral votes in the Electoral College. ^[3] Trump announced that Florida would be his home state for this election, rather than New York as it had been previously. ^[4] This was the first presidential election in New York to allow no-excuse absentee voting. ^[5]

New York continued its streak as a solidly blue state. Biden's victory came from overwhelming strength with Black and Hispanic voters, especially those from New York City, ^[6] as well as strong support throughout the state, particularly in suburban areas such as Westchester and Nassau counties, from college-educated, suburban, Hispanic, Asian, and Multiracial voters.

New York voted 19% more Democratic than the national average. This was the first time since 1992 that Orange, Oswego, Washington, Madison, and Warren counties voted for the losing presidential candidate, as well as the first since 1976 that a Democrat won without Cayuga, Cortland, Otsego, Seneca, Franklin, Niagara, and St. Lawrence counties, and the first since 1960 that a Democrat won without Sullivan County.

Primary elections

The primary elections were originally scheduled for April 28, 2020. On March 28, New York State elections officials moved the primary date to June 23 due to concerns over the COVID-19 pandemic. ^[7]

Canceled Republican primary

Further information: 2020 Republican Party presidential primaries § Cancellation of state caucuses or primaries

On March 3, 2020, the New York Republican Party became one of several state GOP parties to officially cancel their respective primaries and caucuses. Donald Trump was the only Republican candidate to submit the required number of names of his 162 total delegates, both the 94 primary ones and the alternates. Among Trump's major challengers, Bill Weld only submitted about half of his required delegates, and neither Rocky De La Fuente nor Joe Walsh sent in any names at all. With the cancellation, Trump was automatically able to send his 94 New York pledged delegates to the national convention. ^{[8] [9]}

Democratic primary

Further information: 2020 New York Democratic presidential primary

On April 27, 2020, New York State elections officials had decided to cancel the state's Democratic primary altogether, citing the fact that former Vice President Joe Biden was the only major candidate left in the race after all the others had suspended their campaigns, and canceling it would save the state millions of dollars from printing the extra sheet on the ballot. ^[10] However, on May 5, a federal judge ruled that the Democratic primary must proceed on June 23 after a suit made by former presidential primary candidate Andrew Yang. ^[11]

Among the other major candidates were entrepreneur Andrew Yang, Kirsten Gillibrand, one of New York's two current senators, and Bill de Blasio, the mayor of New York City. However, on August 29, 2019, Gillibrand dropped out of the race. Bill de Blasio as well dropped out on September 20, 2019, after failing to qualify for the fourth Democratic debate.

Results

This section is an excerpt from 2020 New York Democratic presidential primary § Results.[ edit ]

2020 New York Democratic presidential primary ^[12]

Candidate	Votes	%	Delegates [13]
Joe Biden	1,136,679	64.62	230
Bernie Sanders (withdrawn)	285,908	16.25	44
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn)	82,917	4.71
Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn)	39,433	2.24
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn)	22,927	1.30
Andrew Yang (withdrawn)	22,686	1.29
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn)	11,028	0.63
Tulsi Gabbard (withdrawn)	9,083	0.52
Deval Patrick (withdrawn)	3,040	0.17
Michael Bennet (withdrawn)	2,932	0.17
Tom Steyer (withdrawn)	2,299	0.13
Blank ballots / Void ballots	[lower-alpha 1] 140,107	7.96
Total	1,759,039	100%	274

Conservative

The Conservative Party of New York State cross-endorsed the Republican ticket, nominating Donald Trump for president and Mike Pence for vice president. ^[14]

Working Families

The Working Families Party cross-endorsed the Democratic ticket, nominating Joe Biden for president and Kamala Harris for vice president. ^[15] Several prominent Democrats, including Senators Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren and Kirsten Gillibrand, U.S. Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, and Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer encouraged voting for Biden and Harris on the WFP line, in order for the party to keep ballot access. ^[16]

Green

The Green Party of New York nominated the national Green Party ticket; Howie Hawkins for president and Angela Nicole Walker for vice president.

Libertarian primary

Main article: 2020 Libertarian Party presidential primaries

2020 New York Libertarian presidential primary

April 28, 2020 2024  →

←  CT NE  →

Candidate Jacob Hornberger Home state Virginia Delegate count 27 Popular vote Default winner

Future of Freedom Foundation Founder Jacob Hornberger was the sole candidate to qualify for the New York primary ballot. Therefore, in accordance with state law, he was declared the winner of the primary by default. As the winner of the primary, Libertarian Party of New York rules permitted Hornberger to choose 27 of the state's 48 unbound delegates to the 2020 Libertarian National Convention. The Libertarian Party of New York was the only Libertarian state affiliate to choose any of its delegates on the basis of its presidential primary or caucus. ^[17]

Independence

The Independence Party of New York nominated independent candidates Brock Pierce for president and Karla Ballard for vice president. ^[18]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report [19]	Safe D	November 3, 2020
Inside Elections [20]	Safe D	November 3, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [21]	Safe D	November 3, 2020
Politico [22]	Safe D	November 3, 2020
RCP [23]	Safe D	November 3, 2020
Niskanen [24]	Safe D	November 3, 2020
CNN [25]	Safe D	November 3, 2020
The Economist [26]	Safe D	November 3, 2020
CBS News [27]	Likely D	November 3, 2020
270towin [28]	Safe D	November 3, 2020
ABC News [29]	Safe D	November 3, 2020
NPR [30]	Likely D	November 3, 2020
NBC News [31]	Safe D	November 3, 2020
538 [32]	Safe D	November 3, 2020

Polling

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 2]	Margin
Real Clear Politics	April 30 – September 29, 2020	November 3, 2020	59.7%	31.0%	9.3%	Biden +28.7
FiveThirtyEight	until November 2, 2020	November 3, 2020	62.3%	32.9%	4.8%	Biden +29.4
Average			61.0%	32.0%	7.1%	Biden +29.1

Polls

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [lower-alpha 3]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Joe Biden Democratic	Jo Jorgensen Libertarian	Howie Hawkins Green	Other	Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020	6,548 (LV)	± 2%	35% [lower-alpha 4]	63%	–	–	–	–
Research Co.	Oct 31 – Nov 1, 2020	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	34%	64%	-	-	2% [lower-alpha 5]	4%
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Oct 1–28, 2020	10,220 (LV)	–	34%	63%	-	-	–	–
Swayable	Oct 23–26, 2020	495 (LV)	± 5.8%	33%	65%	1%	1%	–	–
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Sep 1–30, 2020	10,007 (LV)	–	34%	64%	-	-	–	2%
Siena College [ permanent dead link ]	Sep 27–29, 2020	504 (LV)	± 4.4%	29%	61%	0%	1%	2% [lower-alpha 6]	7%
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Aug 1–31, 2020	9,969 (LV)	–	34%	64%	-	-	–	2%
Public Policy Polling	Aug 20–22, 2020	1,029 (V)	± 3.1%	32%	63%	-	-	–	5%
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Jul 1–31, 2020	10,280 (LV)	–	34%	63%	-	-	–	2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios	Jun 8–30, 2020	4,555 (LV)	–	33%	65%	-	-	–	2%
Siena College	Jun 23–25, 2020	806 (RV)	± 3.9%	32%	57%	-	-	–	10%
Siena College	May 17–21, 2020	767 (RV)	± 3.7%	32%	57%	-	-	–	11%
Quinnipiac University	Apr 30 – May 4, 2020	915 (RV)	± 3.2%	32%	55%	-	-	5% [lower-alpha 7]	8%
Siena College	Apr 19–23, 2020	803 (RV)	± 3.7%	29%	65%	-	-	–	6%
Siena College	Mar 22–26, 2020	566 (RV)	± 4.5%	33%	58%	-	-	–	10%
Siena College	Feb 16–20, 2020	658 (RV)	± 4.5%	36%	55%	-	-	–	5%

Former candidates

with Donald Trump and Michael Bloomberg Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size [lower-alpha 3] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Michael Bloomberg (D) Other Undecided Siena College Feb 16–20, 2020 658 (RV) ± 4.5% 33% 58% – 9% with Donald Trump and Pete Buttigieg Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size [lower-alpha 3] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Pete Buttigieg (D) Other Undecided Siena College Feb 16–20, 2020 658 (RV) ± 4.5% 37% 56% – 7% with Donald Trump and Bill de Blasio Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size [lower-alpha 3] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Bill de Blasio (D) Other Undecided Siena College Jun 2–6, 2019 812 (RV) ± 4.1% 36% 48% 13% 3% with Donald Trump and Kirsten Gillibrand Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size [lower-alpha 3] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Kirsten Gillibrand (D) Other Undecided Siena College Jun 2–6, 2019 812 (RV) ± 4.1% 34% 58% 5% 3% with Donald Trump and Amy Klobuchar Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size [lower-alpha 3] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Amy Klobuchar (D) Other Undecided Siena College Feb 16–20, 2020 658 (RV) ± 4.5% 37% 53% – 10% with Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size [lower-alpha 3] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Bernie Sanders (D) Other Undecided Siena College Feb 16–20, 2020 658 (RV) ± 4.5% 38% 56% – 7% with Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size [lower-alpha 3] Margin of error Donald Trump (R) Elizabeth Warren (D) Other Undecided Siena College Feb 16–20, 2020 658 (RV) ± 4.5% 39% 53% – 8%

Electoral slates

These electors were nominated by each party in order to vote in the Electoral College should their candidate win the state: ^[33]

Joe Biden and Kamala Harris Democratic Party Working Families Party	Donald Trump and Mike Pence Republican Party Conservative Party	Jo Jorgensen and Spike Cohen Libertarian Party	Howie Hawkins and Angela Walker Green Party	Brock Pierce and Karla Ballard Independence Party
June O'Neill Xiao Wang Katherine M. Sheehan Thomas J. Garry Lovely Warren Gary S. LaBarbera Stuart H. Applebaum Mary Sullivan George K. Gresham Randi Weingarten Mario F. Cilento Alphonso David Hazel Nell Dukes Christine Quinn Byron Brown Corey Johnson Scott Stringer Andrea Stewart-Cousins Carl Heastie Jay Jacobs Letitia James Thomas DiNapoli Kathy Hochul Andrew Cuomo Hillary Clinton Bill Clinton Rubén Díaz Jr. Judith Hunter Anastasia Somoza	Brendan Lantry Jesus Garcia Susan McNeil Joseph Cairo William Napier Karl Simmeth Christine Benedict Joann Ariola Carl Zeilman Jennifer Saul Rich Charlie Joyce Adrian Anderson Rob Ortt Will Barclay John Burnett Chloe Sun Elie Hirschfeld Yechezkel Moskowitz Shaun Marie Levine Christopher Kendall Francis Vella-Marrone Andrea Catsimatidis John Gereau Rodney Strange Todd Rouse Trisha Turner Robert Keis Nick Langworthy Tom Dadey	Daniel P. Donnelly Duane J. Whitmer Robert M. Arrigo Mark N. Axinn Erin M. Becker Rachel E. Becker Richard Bell Kari R. Bittner Mark S. Braiman Jay A. Carr Tucker C. Coburn Anthony D'Orazio Kevin A. Wilson Milva E. Dordal Pietro S. Geraci Paul M. Grindle Mark E. Glogowski Shawn Hannon Andrew M. Kolstee Peyton D. Kunselman Brandon G. Lyon Leonard E. Morlock Lora L. Newell Gary Popkin Thomas D. Quiter Ilya Schwartzburg Paul C. Sechrist Larry Sharpe William C. Anderson	Stephen Bloom Peter A. Lavenia Cassandra J. Lems Paul W. Gilman Darin Robbins Barbara A. Kidney Joseph R. Naham Michael E. O'Neil Eric M. Jones Carol S. Przybylak Tatianna M. Moragne James R. Brown III James McCabe Candace Carponter Michael D. Emperor Jennifer R. White Allan D. Hunter Mary B. House Serena L. Seals David Sutliff-Atias Craig A. Seeman Daneilla Liebling Adrienne R. Craig-Williams Christopher J. Archer Claudia Flanagan Gil Obler Debra A. Rosario Gloria Mattera David L. Giannascoli	Kenneth Bayne Scott R. Major Robert G. Pilnick Barbara Pilnick Gary P. Newman Arthur Abbate Joseph W. Fuller Maryann H. Major Andrew J. Bogardt Anna C. Bogardt Robert J. Bogardt Trisha L. Sterling Thomas Hatfield Thomas A. Connolly Atef S. Zeina Lee Kolesnikoff Joseph L. Baruth Paul E. Caputo Edward G. Miller Thomas S. Connolly Dennis R. Zack Michael Amo Richard S. Bellando Maryellen Bellando William Bogardt Teresa Bogardt Frank M. MacKay Kristin A. MacKay Carolyn P. Major

Results

2020 United States presidential election in New York ^[34]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Democratic	Joe Biden Kamala Harris	4,858,273	56.38%	−0.34%
	Working Families	Joe Biden Kamala Harris	386,613	4.48%	+2.65%
	Total	Joe Biden Kamala Harris	5,244,886	60.87%	+1.85%
	Republican	Donald Trump Mike Pence	2,955,662	34.30%	+1.57%
	Conservative	Donald Trump Mike Pence	296,335	3.43%	−0.35%
	Total	Donald Trump Mike Pence	3,251,997	37.73%	+1.21%
	Libertarian	Jo Jorgensen Spike Cohen	60,383	0.70%	−0.05%
	Green	Howie Hawkins Angela Walker	32,832	0.38%	−1.02%
	Independence	Brock Pierce Karla Ballard	22,656	0.26%	−1.29%
	Write-in		4,107	0.04%	-0.75%
Total votes			8,616,861	100.00%	+11.60%

New York City results

2020 presidential election in New York City			Manhattan	The Bronx	Brooklyn	Queens	Staten Island	Total
	Democratic- Working Families	Joe Biden	603,040	355,374	703,310	569,038	90,997	2,321,759	76.2%
			86.4%	83.3%	76.8%	72.0%	42.0%
	Republican- Conservative	Donald Trump	85,185	67,740	202,772	212,665	123,320	691,682	22.7%
			12.2%	15.9%	22.1%	26.9%	56.9%
	Others	Others	9,588	3,579	9,927	8,278	2,450	33,822	1.1%
			1.4%	0.9%	1.1%	1.1%	1.1%
Total			697,813	426,693	916,009	789,981	216,767	3,047,263	100.00%

By New York City council district

2020 presidential election New York city council map

Biden won 47 of 51 city council districts, including one held by a Republican, while Trump won four of 51 city council districts, including two held by Democrats. ^[35]

District	Biden	Trump	City council member
1st	83.5%	14.9%	Margaret Chin
2nd	86.9%	11.7%	Carlina Rivera
3rd	87.8%	10.7%	Corey Johnson
4th	80.4%	18.0%	Keith Powers
5th	82.5%	16.0%	Ben Kallos
6th	88.5%	10.2%	Helen Rosenthal
7th	89.8%	9.0%	Mark Levine
8th	87.5%	11.5%	Diana Ayala
9th	93.4%	5.5%	Bill Perkins
10th	84.5%	14.3%	Ydanis Rodriguez
11th	79.4%	19.3%	Andrew Cohen
12th	92.2%	7.2%	Andy King
13th	64.7%	34.2%	Mark Gjonaj
14th	83.3%	16.0%	Fernando Cabrera
15th	84.8%	14.3%	Ritchie Torres
16th	87.2%	12.1%	Vanessa Gibson
17th	87.1%	12.2%	Rafael Salamanca
18th	86.7%	12.6%	Rubén Díaz Sr.
19th	54.4%	44.3%	Paul Vallone
20th	63.7%	35.2%	Peter Koo
21st	77.5%	21.7%	Francisco Moya
22nd	75.3%	23.2%	Costa Constantinides
23rd	69.5%	29.4%	Barry Grodenchik
24th	67.3%	31.7%	Rory Lancman
25th	73.8%	25.1%	Daniel Dromm
26th	80.0%	18.6%	Jimmy Van Bramer
27th	93.1%	6.3%	Daneek Miller
28th	86.5%	12.9%	Adrienne Adams
29th	65.7%	33.1%	Karen Koslowitz
30th	54.4%	44.3%	Robert Holden
31st	87.4%	11.9%	Donovan Richards
32nd	57.4%	41.6%	Eric Ulrich
33rd	78.8%	20.0%	Stephen Levin
34th	86.5%	12.0%	Antonio Reynoso
35th	91.5%	7.4%	Laurie Cumbo
36th	94.6%	4.1%	Robert Cornegy
37th	87.1%	11.7%	Darma Diaz
38th	76.5%	22.1%	Carlos Menchaca
39th	84.7%	14.1%	Brad Lander
40th	91.9%	7.1%	Mathieu Eugene
41st	94.3%	5.0%	Alicka Ampry-Samuel
42nd	92.9%	6.6%	Inez Barron
43rd	57.0%	41.4%	Justin Brannan
44th	25.1%	74.0%	Kalman Yeger
45th	82.0%	17.2%	Farah Louis
46th	75.3%	23.8%	Alan Maisel
47th	50.2%	48.8%	Ari Kagan
48th	33.8%	65.1%	Chaim Deutsch
49th	67.0%	31.7%	Debi Rose
50th	36.8%	62.0%	Steven Matteo
51st	27.2%	71.8%	Joe Borelli

By county

County	Joe Biden Democratic		Donald Trump Republican		Various candidates Other parties		Margin		Total votes cast
	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%
Albany	99,474	64.55%	51,081	33.15%	3,546	2.30%	48,393	31.40%	154,101
Allegany	6,048	29.10%	14,135	68.02%	599	2.88%	-8,087	-38.92%	20,782
Bronx	355,374	83.29%	67,740	15.88%	3,579	0.83%	287,634	67.41%	426,693
Broome	47,002	50.53%	43,791	47.08%	2,223	2.39%	3,211	3.45%	93,016
Cattaraugus	11,879	34.17%	22,155	63.74%	726	2.09%	-10,276	-29.57%	34,760
Cayuga	16,359	44.44%	19,632	53.33%	818	2.23%	-3,273	-8.89%	36,809
Chautauqua	23,088	38.93%	34,853	58.77%	1,364	2.30%	-11,765	-19.84%	59,305
Chemung	16,636	42.21%	21,922	55.63%	852	2.16%	-5,286	-13.42%	39,410
Chenango	8,300	37.14%	13,496	60.38%	554	2.48%	-5,196	-23.24%	22,350
Clinton	18,364	51.82%	16,514	46.60%	559	1.58%	1,850	5.22%	35,437
Columbia	20,386	57.25%	14,464	40.62%	760	2.13%	5,922	16.63%	35,610
Cortland	10,370	47.83%	10,789	49.77%	520	2.40%	-419	-1.94%	21,679
Delaware	9,143	39.71%	13,387	58.14%	495	2.15%	-4,244	-18.43%	23,025
Dutchess	81,443	53.89%	66,872	44.25%	2,807	1.86%	14,571	9.64%	151,122
Erie	267,270	56.46%	197,552	41.73%	8,596	1.81%	69,718	14.73%	473,418
Essex	9,950	51.61%	8,982	46.59%	348	1.80%	968	5.02%	19,280
Franklin	9,253	48.02%	9,668	50.18%	347	1.80%	-415	-2.16%	19,268
Fulton	7,931	33.44%	15,378	64.84%	409	1.72%	-7,447	-31.40%	23,718
Genesee	9,625	32.94%	18,876	64.61%	716	2.45%	-9,251	-31.67%	29,217
Greene	10,346	41.07%	14,271	56.64%	577	2.29%	-3,925	-15.57%	25,194
Hamilton	1,178	34.05%	2,225	64.31%	57	1.64%	-1,047	-30.26%	3,460
Herkimer	9,939	33.90%	18,871	64.36%	512	1.74%	-8,932	-30.46%	29,322
Jefferson	17,307	39.46%	25,629	58.44%	919	2.10%	-8,322	-18.98%	43,855
Kings	703,310	76.78%	202,772	22.14%	9,927	1.08%	500,538	54.64%	916,009
Lewis	3,823	29.49%	8,890	68.57%	251	1.94%	-5,067	-39.08%	12,964
Livingston	12,477	39.73%	18,182	57.90%	742	2.37%	-5,705	-18.17%	31,401
Madison	14,805	43.50%	18,409	54.09%	821	2.41%	-3,604	-10.59%	34,035
Monroe	225,746	59.25%	145,661	38.23%	9,582	2.52%	80,085	21.02%	380,989
Montgomery	7,977	37.69%	12,745	60.22%	442	2.09%	-4,768	-22.53%	21,164
Nassau	396,504	54.11%	326,716	44.59%	9,536	1.30%	69,788	9.52%	732,756
New York	603,040	86.42%	85,185	12.21%	9,588	1.37%	517,855	74.21%	697,813
Niagara	46,029	44.21%	56,068	53.85%	2,026	1.94%	-10,039	-9.64%	104,123
Oneida	41,973	41.15%	57,860	56.73%	2,163	2.12%	-15,887	-15.58%	101,996
Onondaga	138,991	58.88%	91,715	38.85%	5,362	2.27%	47,276	20.03%	236,068
Ontario	28,749	48.48%	28,782	48.54%	1,769	2.98%	-33	-0.06%	59,300
Orange	84,955	49.24%	85,068	49.30%	2,516	1.46%	-113	-0.06%	172,539
Orleans	5,587	30.78%	12,126	66.80%	441	2.42%	-6,539	-36.02%	18,154
Oswego	21,145	38.80%	32,142	58.98%	1,211	2.22%	-10,997	-20.18%	54,498
Otsego	12,975	46.21%	14,382	51.22%	723	2.57%	-1,407	-5.01%	28,080
Putnam	24,955	45.27%	29,283	53.12%	884	1.61%	-4,328	-7.85%	55,122
Queens	569,038	72.03%	212,665	26.92%	8,278	1.05%	356,373	45.11%	789,981
Rensselaer	40,969	51.59%	36,500	45.96%	1,940	2.45%	4,469	5.63%	79,409
Richmond	90,997	41.98%	123,320	56.89%	2,450	1.13%	-32,323	-14.91%	216,767
Rockland	75,802	50.30%	73,186	48.56%	1,714	1.14%	2,616	1.74%	150,702
Saratoga	68,471	51.62%	61,305	46.21%	2,879	2.17%	7,166	5.41%	132,655
Schenectady	42,465	56.58%	30,741	40.96%	1,841	2.46%	11,724	15.62%	75,047
Schoharie	5,345	34.02%	9,903	63.04%	462	2.94%	-4,558	-29.02%	15,710
Schuyler	3,903	39.97%	5,621	57.56%	242	2.47%	-1,718	-17.59%	9,766
Seneca	6,914	44.23%	8,329	53.28%	389	2.49%	-1,415	-9.05%	15,632
St. Lawrence	19,361	43.11%	24,608	54.80%	938	2.09%	-5,247	-11.69%	44,907
Steuben	15,790	34.19%	29,474	63.83%	915	1.98%	-13,684	-29.64%	46,179
Suffolk	381,021	49.27%	381,253	49.30%	11,013	1.43%	-232	-0.03%	773,287
Sullivan	15,489	44.71%	18,665	53.87%	493	1.42%	-3,176	-9.16%	34,647
Tioga	9,634	38.48%	14,791	59.08%	611	2.44%	-5,157	-20.60%	25,036
Tompkins	33,619	73.51%	11,096	24.26%	1,020	2.23%	22,523	49.25%	45,735
Ulster	57,970	59.51%	37,590	38.59%	1,860	1.90%	20,380	20.92%	97,420
Warren	17,642	48.80%	17,699	48.96%	808	2.24%	-57	-0.16%	36,149
Washington	11,565	41.10%	15,941	56.65%	632	2.25%	-4,376	-15.55%	28,138
Wayne	17,456	39.03%	26,204	58.59%	1,067	2.38%	-8,748	-19.56%	44,727
Westchester	312,437	67.57%	144,731	31.30%	5,196	1.13%	167,706	36.27%	462,364
Wyoming	5,073	26.11%	13,898	71.52%	461	2.37%	-8,825	-45.41%	19,432
Yates	4,219	39.35%	6,208	57.89%	296	2.76%	-1,989	-18.54%	10,723
Totals	5,244,886	60.76%	3,251,997	37.67%	135,372	1.57%	1,992,889	23.09%	8,632,255

Swing by county

Legend

•   Democratic — +10-12.5%
•   Democratic — +7.5-10%
•   Democratic — +5-7.5%
•   Democratic — +2.5-5%
•   Democratic — +0-2.5%
•   Republican — +0-2.5%
•   Republican — +2.5-5%
•   Republican — +5-7.5%
•   Republican — +7.5-10%
•   Republican — +10-12.5%

County flips

Legend

• Democratic   Hold   Gain from Republican

  Republican   Hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

• Broome (county seat: Binghamton)
• Essex (county seat: Elizabethtown)
• Rensselaer (county seat: Troy)
• Saratoga (county seat: Ballston Spa)

By congressional district

Biden won 20 of 27 congressional districts, including one held by a Republican. ^[36]

District	Biden	Trump	Representative
1st	47.3%	51.5%	Lee Zeldin
2nd	47.4%	51.4%	Andrew Garbarino
3rd	54.7%	44.3%	Thomas Suozzi
4th	55.6%	43.4%	Kathleen Rice
5th	83.3%	16.2%	Gregory Meeks
6th	61.8%	37.4%	Grace Meng
7th	81.9%	17.3%	Nydia Velázquez
8th	82.9%	16.5%	Hakeem Jeffries
9th	81.4%	17.8%	Yvette Clarke
10th	76.1%	22.9%	Jerry Nadler
11th	44.3%	54.8%	Nicole Malliotakis
12th	84.1%	14.8%	Carolyn Maloney
13th	88.2%	11.1%	Adriano Espaillat
14th	73.7%	25.9%	Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
15th	86.4%	13%	Ritchie Torres
16th	75.3%	23.8%	Jamaal Bowman
17th	59.6%	39.4%	Mondaire Jones
18th	51.8%	46.8%	Sean Patrick Maloney
19th	49.8%	48.3%	Antonio Delgado
20th	59.3%	38.7%	Paul Tonko
21st	43.8%	54.2%	Elise Stefanik
22nd	43.2%	54.7%	Claudia Tenney
23rd	43.3%	54.5%	Tom Reed
24th	53.4%	44.4%	John Katko
25th	60.1%	37.8%	Joe Morelle
26th	62.6%	35.6%	Brian Higgins
27th	41.1%	56.8%	Chris Jacobs

Analysis

Waiting in line for early voting

New York continued its streak as a solidly blue state, with Biden winning 60.87% of the vote to Trump's 37.74%, a Democratic victory margin of 23.13%. Due to a decrease in third-party voting, both candidates increased their party's vote share from 2016, though Biden's margin of victory was slightly wider than Hillary Clinton's.

New York's inexperience processing a large number of mail ballots, having only legalized no-excuse absentee voting in 2019, ^{[5] [37]} led to weekslong delays in counting them. ^[38] Over two million ballots and over 20% of the votes were cast by mail. ^[39] New York failed to meet its November 28 deadline to certify the election, with hundreds of thousands of votes still uncounted. ^[40] State Senator Michael Gianaris commented, "if we were a swing state in this presidential election, this would be a national scandal". ^[38] New York's voting tabulation was updated on March 15, 2021.

The delay in the counting of mail-in ballots wrongly made it seem at first that Biden had underperformed Hillary Clinton in 2016, a phenomenon referred to as a "red mirage." ^[41] However, when all the votes were counted, Biden outperformed Clinton's margin over Trump by about 0.6 percentage points. This was due to a major improvement across Upstate New York and on Long Island. Meanwhile, four of New York City's five boroughs shifted towards Trump (with the exception of Staten Island).

Donald Trump is the first Republican to receive 3 million or more raw votes in New York since George H. W. Bush in 1988.

Biden flipped four counties that Trump won in 2016: Broome, Essex, Rensselaer, and Saratoga. ^{[42] [43]} Biden also came very close to flipping an additional six counties, as he lost Cortland County by 419 votes, Franklin County by 415 votes, Ontario County by 33 votes, Orange County by 113 votes, Suffolk County by 232 votes, and Warren County by just 57 votes. ^[44] Trump's narrow victories in these counties meant that they were decided by a combined total of just 1,269 votes out of more than 1 million votes cast across all six counties. According to exit polls by CNN, Biden won 96% of Democrats, who were 41% of the electorate, 59% of Independents, who made up 32% of voters, and 21% of Republicans, who made up 27% of the vote. ^[45]

Biden dominated core Democratic constituencies in New York City, winning 76% of the city's vote. ^[46] Statewide, Biden won 94% of Black voters and 76% of Latino voters. ^[46] Biden won the upstate of New York (excluding New York City's results), albeit by a much smaller 52.4% to 45.9% margin, or 2,923,127 votes to Trump's 2,561,315. In urban Dominican neighborhoods, Trump reached only 15% of the vote to Biden's 85%. ^[47] Biden also won by 18 points in the Hudson Valley and urban Upstate counties. Trump's core support base came from rural Upstate counties. However, Trump made strong inroads with Orthodox Jewish neighborhoods of New York City ^{[48] [49]} and in Hasidic Jewish communities in Rockland County. ^[50] The shift is attributed to Trump's strong pro-Israel stance as president. ^[48] New York was one of five states in the nation in which Biden's victory margin was larger than 1 million raw votes, the others being California, Maryland, Massachusetts and Illinois.

Edison exit polls

2020 presidential election in New York by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling) [51] [52]
Demographic subgroup	Biden	Trump	% of total vote
Total vote	60.87	37.74	100
Ideology
Liberals	86	13	33
Moderates	63	35	44
Conservatives	21	79	23
Party
Democrats	97	3	39
Republicans	18	81	30
Independents	57	40	31
Gender
Men	60	39	48
Women	62	37	52
Race/ethnicity
White	50	48	60
Black	94	6	12
Latino	76	22	16
Asian	–	–	8
Other	–	–	4
Age
18–29 years old	65	33	17
30–39 years old	64	33	14
40–49 years old	68	29	20
50–64 years old	57	43	30
65 and older	51	47	19
Sexual orientation
LGBT	–	–	4
Not LGBT	60	37	96
Education
High school or less	49	51	16
Some college education	65	33	21
Associate's degree	37	61	15
Bachelor's degree	70	29	24
Postgraduate degree	71	26	23
Region
New York City	76	22	36
Long Island	–	–	17
Hudson Valley	58	40	17
Urban Upstate	58	41	15
Rural Upstate	46	53	15
Area type
Urban	73	26	48
Suburban	50	49	44
Rural	–	–	8

See also

• United States presidential elections in New York
• Presidency of Joe Biden
• 2020 New York state elections
• 2020 United States presidential election
• 2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries
• 2020 Libertarian Party presidential primaries
• 2020 Republican Party presidential primaries
• 2020 United States elections

Notes

1. 135,486 blank and 4,621 void ballots
2. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
3. Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear
4. Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
5. "Someone else" with 2%
6. Pierce (I) with 2%, "someone else" and would not vote with 0%
7. "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 2%

References

1. Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?" . The Independent . Archived from the original on August 2, 2018. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
2. "New York Election Results". The New York Times . November 3, 2020. Retrieved November 10, 2020.
3. "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration . Retrieved January 3, 2019.
4. Choi, Matthew (October 31, 2019). "Trump, a symbol of New York, is officially a Floridian now". Politico . Retrieved November 18, 2020.
5. Ferré-Sadurní, Luis (August 20, 2020). "New York Will Allow Voters to Cast Mail-In Ballots". The New York Times . ISSN   0362-4331 . Retrieved November 29, 2020.
6. "New York 2020 President exit polls". www.cnn.com. Retrieved November 5, 2022.
7. "New York presidential primary postponed amid record numbers of coronavirus cases". ABC News. March 28, 2020.
8. "New York might cancel Republican presidential primary". Politico. February 28, 2020.
9. "New York cancels Republican presidential primary". Politico. March 3, 2020.
10. "New York cancels Democratic presidential primary". Politico. April 28, 2020.
11. "Judge rules New York Democratic presidential primary will take place as planned". CNN. May 6, 2020.
12. "Certified Results from the June 23, 2020 Presidential Primary Election" (PDF). New York State Board of Elections. September 18, 2020. Retrieved September 20, 2020.
13. "2020 Presidential Primaries, Caucuses, and Conventions: New York Democrat". The Green Papers. Retrieved July 3, 2020.
14. Reisman, Nick (August 31, 2020). "NY Conservative Party Backs Trump's Re-Election". NY1 . Retrieved September 10, 2020.
15. Nichols, John (August 14, 2020). "The Working Families Party Endorses Biden and Harris". The Nation . Retrieved September 10, 2020.
16. Slattery, Denis (October 26, 2020). "Working Families Party gets support from New Yorkers and U.S. Senators Schumer, Gillibrand". New York Daily News . Retrieved October 29, 2020.
17. Howman, David (April 1, 2020). "Did Jacob Hornberger Rig the New York Libertarian Primary?". The Libertarian Republic. Retrieved April 18, 2021.
18. Independence Party of New York (August 24, 2020). "The Independence Party of New York Endorses Brock Pierce for President of the United States". PR Newswire . Retrieved September 10, 2020.
19. "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
20. "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
21. "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
22. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
23. "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
24. 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions Archived April 23, 2020, at the Wayback Machine , Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020.
25. David Chalian; Terence Burlij (June 11, 2020). "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved June 16, 2020.
26. "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved July 7, 2020.
27. "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
28. "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
29. "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
30. Montanaro, Domenico (August 3, 2020). "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved August 3, 2020.
31. "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. Retrieved August 6, 2020.
32. "2020 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. August 12, 2020. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
33. "AMENDED Certification for the November 3, 2020 General Election" (PDF). New York Board of Elections. Retrieved December 8, 2020.
34. 2020 Election Results, New York State Board of Elections, December 3, 2020.
35. "NYC City Council - 2013-2022 districts". DRA 2020 Daves Redistricting. Retrieved November 30, 2023.
36. "Introducing the 2021 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 19, 2021.
37. "Governor Cuomo Signs Landmark Legislation Modernizing New York's Voting Laws". Albany: Governor Andrew M. Cuomo. January 24, 2019. Archived from the original on January 26, 2019. Retrieved November 29, 2020.
38. Krieg, Gregory; Simko-Bednarski, Evan (November 18, 2020). "'It's embarrassing': Why New York is still waiting for full election results". CNN. Archived from the original on November 18, 2020. Retrieved March 22, 2021.
39. "NY May Speed Up And Permanently Expand Vote-By-Mail, Reform Absentee Count Process". NBC New York . November 25, 2020. Archived from the original on November 26, 2020. Retrieved November 29, 2020.
40. Bergin, Brigid (November 28, 2020). "NYC Blows Past Deadline To Certify General Election Results As Lawmakers Push Reforms". Gothamist . Archived from the original on November 28, 2020. Retrieved November 29, 2020.
41. Kahn, Chris; Lange, Jason (November 3, 2020). "Explainer: Red mirage, blue mirage - Beware of early U.S. election wins". Reuters . Retrieved December 30, 2020.
42. "New York Election Results 2016". The New York Times. August 1, 2017.
43. "New York Election Results". The New York Times. November 3, 2020.
44. "Presidential Election Results: Biden Wins". The New York Times. November 3, 2020.
45. "New York 2020 President exit polls". www.cnn.com.
46. "New York 2020 President exit polls". www.cnn.com. Retrieved August 8, 2021.
47. Cai, Weiyi; Fessenden, Ford (December 21, 2020). "Immigrant Neighborhoods Shifted Red as the Country Chose Blue". The New York Times. ISSN   0362-4331 . Retrieved November 5, 2022.
48. Kolko, Jed; Monkovic, Toni (December 7, 2020). "The Places That Had the Biggest Swings Toward and Against Trump". The New York Times. ISSN   0362-4331 . Retrieved August 8, 2021.
49. J. Miles Coleman [@JMilesColeman] (December 2, 2020). "Biden carried Jerry Nadler's NY-10 by 76%-23%, down a bit from Clinton's 77%-19%. Brooklyn makes up about 1/5 of the district, and it takes in many Orthodox Jewish precincts. Trump carried that part by <1% in 2016, but won it 56%-43% this time" (Tweet). Archived from the original on August 15, 2021. Retrieved January 15, 2023– via Twitter.
50. Tapper, Jake [@jaketapper] (March 14, 2021). "New Square is an all-Hasidic village in Rockland County NY. This is @bidenflippedit are interesting https://t.co/FNX9Qeeb0d" (Tweet). Archived from the original on November 5, 2022. Retrieved January 15, 2023– via Twitter.
51. "New York 2020 President exit polls". www.cnn.com. Retrieved December 28, 2020.
52. "New York Exit Polls: How Different Groups Voted". www.nytimes.com. Retrieved December 28, 2020.

Further reading

• Summary: State Laws on Presidential Electors (PDF), Washington DC: National Association of Secretaries of State, August 2020, New York

External links

• Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "New York", Voting & Elections Toolkits
• "New York: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org , Oakland, CA
• "League of Women Voters of New York". (state affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
• New York at Ballotpedia