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Sears: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Ayala: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Virginia |
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The 2021 Virginia lieutenant gubernatorial election was held on November 2, 2021, to elect the next lieutenant governor of Virginia. Incumbent Democratic Lieutenant Governor Justin Fairfax was eligible to run for a second term, but instead unsuccessfully ran for the Democratic gubernatorial nomination. [1] On November 3, Hala Ayala conceded the race, [2] making Republican Winsome Sears the first black woman to be elected to the lieutenant governorship of Virginia or any statewide office, as well as the first woman elected lieutenant governor in Virginia's history. Sears was also the first Jamaican-American to become a lieutenant governor.
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Hala Ayala | Elizabeth Guzman | Mark Levine | Andria McClellan | Sean Perryman | Sam Rasoul | Xavier Warren | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Roanoke College | May 24 – June 1, 2021 | 637 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 16% | 3% | 7% | 7% | 3% | 11% | 2% | – | 45% |
Christopher Newport University | April 11–20, 2021 | 806 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 12% | 2% | 1% | 64% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Hala Ayala | 181,168 | 37.64% | |
Democratic | Sam Rasoul | 116,816 | 24.27% | |
Democratic | Mark Levine | 53,735 | 11.16% | |
Democratic | Andria McClellan | 51,015 | 10.60% | |
Democratic | Sean Perryman | 38,925 | 8.09% | |
Democratic | Xavier Warren | 19,909 | 4.13% | |
Democratic | Elizabeth Guzmán (withdrawn) | 19,803 | 4.11% | |
Total votes | 481,365 | 100.00% |
After months of uncertainty, the Republican Party of Virginia State Central Committee decided to hold an "unassembled convention" to select their nominees for governor, lieutenant governor, and attorney general, as opposed to holding a state run primary. The convention was held May 8 using ranked choice voting. [44]
Virginia GOP Convention, Lieutenant Governor nominee [49] | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Round 1 | Round 2 | Round 3 | Round 4 | Round 5 | |||||
Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | |
Winsome Sears | 4,075.68 | 32.5% | 4,300.11 | 34.3% | 4,626.70 | 36.9% | 5,425.91 | 43.2% | 6,827.89 | 54.4% |
Tim Hugo | 2,824.17 | 22.5% | 2,987.20 | 23.8% | 3,184.76 | 25.4% | 3,816.11 | 30.4% | 5,726.11 | 45.6% |
Glenn Davis | 2,536.77 | 20.2% | 2,675.44 | 21.3% | 2,838.05 | 22.6% | 3,311.97 | 26.4% | Eliminated | |
Lance Allen | 1,538.80 | 12.3% | 1701.82 | 13.6% | 1,904.50 | 15.2% | Eliminated | |||
Puneet Ahluwalia | 818.95 | 6.5% | 889.43 | 7.1% | Eliminated | |||||
Maeve Rigler | 759.62 | 6.1% | Eliminated | |||||||
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Hala Ayala (D) | Winsome Sears (R) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Trafalgar Group (R) | October 29–31, 2021 | 1,081 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 50% | 1% | 2% |
Echelon Insights (R) Archived 2021-10-29 at the Wayback Machine | October 27–29, 2021 | 611 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 48% | – | 6% |
Roanoke College | October 14–28, 2021 | 571 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 46% | 44% | 0% | 10% |
Washington Post/Schar School | October 20–26, 2021 | 1,107 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 44% | 3% [lower-alpha 2] | 3% |
918 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 46% | 1% [lower-alpha 3] | 3% | ||
Christopher Newport University | October 17–25, 2021 | 944 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 48% | – | 3% |
Suffolk University | October 21–24, 2021 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 44% | – | 10% |
co/efficient (R) [upper-alpha 1] | October 20–21, 2021 | 785 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 47% | – | 7% |
Cygnal (R) | October 19–21, 2021 | 816 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 47% | 47% | – | 6% |
Virginia Commonwealth University | October 9–21, 2021 | 722 (LV) | ± 6.4% | 36% | 35% | 16% | 13% |
Data for Progress (D) | October 4–15, 2021 | 1,589 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 47% | 42% | 3% | 8% |
Christopher Newport University | September 27 – October 6, 2021 | 802 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 48% | 44% | – | 8% |
Roanoke College | September 12–26, 2021 | 603 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 45% | 40% | 1% | 14% |
KAConsulting LLC (R) [upper-alpha 2] | September 17–19, 2021 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 34% | 24% | 3% | 40% |
Virginia Commonwealth University | September 7–15, 2021 | 731 (LV) | ± 6.9% | 33% | 30% | 20% | 16% |
University of Mary Washington | September 7–13, 2021 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.1% | 38% | 38% | 6% [lower-alpha 4] | 18% |
528 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 41% | 47% | 2% [lower-alpha 5] | 10% | ||
Monmouth University | August 24–29, 2021 | 802 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 43% | 42% | 2% | 14% |
Christopher Newport University | August 15–23, 2021 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 52% | 42% | 1% | 6% |
Roanoke College | August 3–17, 2021 | 558 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 42% | 36% | 2% | 20% |
Virginia Commonwealth University | August 4–15, 2021 | 770 (RV) | ± 5.4% | 38% | 31% | 19% | 12% |
~747 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 39% | 31% | 17% | 12% | ||
JMC Analytics and Polling (R) | June 9–12, 2021 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 42% | 36% | – | 22% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Winsome Sears | 1,658,332 | 50.71% | +3.53% | |
Democratic | Hala Ayala | 1,608,030 | 49.17% | -3.54% | |
Write-in | 3,807 | 0.12% | +0.03% | ||
Total votes | 3,270,169 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Turnout | |||||
Registered electors | 5,951,368 | ||||
Republican gain from Democratic |
Winsome Sears is an American politician serving as the 42nd lieutenant governor of Virginia. A member of the Republican Party, Sears served in the Virginia House of Delegates from 2002 to 2004. She also served on the Virginia Board of Education, and she ran unsuccessfully for the U.S. House of Representatives in Virginia's 3rd congressional district in 2004 and for U.S. Senate in 2018. In 2021, Sears was elected lieutenant governor of Virginia.
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Our endorsement for governor in the June 8 Democratic primary, then, is McAuliffe.
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: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link)...the National Rifle Association Political Victory Fund (NRA-PVF) is proud to endorse Jason Miyares for attorney general and Winsome Sears for lieutenant governor of Virginia.
Official campaign websites