2022 Nebraska gubernatorial election

Last updated

2022 Nebraska gubernatorial election
Flag of Nebraska.svg
  2018 November 8, 2022 2026  
Turnout54.93% Decrease2.svg [1] 3.02 pp
  Jim Pillen (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Jim Pillen Carol Blood
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Joe Kelly Al Davis
Popular vote398,334242,006
Percentage59.74%36.29%

2022 Nebraska gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
2022 Nebraska Gubernatorial Election by congressional district.svg
Pillen:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Blood:     40–50%     50–60%

Governor before election

Pete Ricketts
Republican

Elected Governor

Jim Pillen
Republican

The 2022 Nebraska gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the next governor of Nebraska. Incumbent Republican Governor Pete Ricketts was term-limited and unable to seek a third term. [2] In the general election, Republican Jim Pillen won the gubernatorial election by a 23-point margin.

Contents

Nebraska's primary elections were held on May 10. Pillen, the former University of Nebraska Board of Regents chair, won the Republican nomination, while state senator Carol Blood won the Democratic nomination.

The race took on increased importance in October 2022, when U.S. Senator Ben Sasse announced he would resign and Ricketts said he would allow the winner of the gubernatorial election to appoint Sasse's replacement. [3] In the end, Pillen appointed Ricketts to Sasse's seat.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Charles W. Herbster
U.S. Executive Branch officials
Statewide officials
State legislators
Organizations
Brett Lindstrom
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Organizations
  • Nebraska AFL–CIO (Republican primary only; co-endorsed with Blood) [36]
Jim Pillen
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Local officials
Organizations

Polling

Graphical summary
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Charles
Herbster
Brett
Lindstrom
Jim
Pillen
Theresa
Thibodeau
OtherUndecided
WPA Intelligence (R) [upper-alpha 1] April 30 – May 2, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%26%16%31%8%19%
WPA Intelligence (R) [upper-alpha 1] April 26–28, 2022505 (LV)± 4.4%23%20%24%7%2%24%
Data Targeting (R) [upper-alpha 2] April 19–20, 2022858 (LV)± 4.9%26%28%24%6%16%
3D Strategic Research (R) [upper-alpha 3] April 10–12, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%23%27%27%6%5%12%
Moore Information Group (R) March 26–29, 2022206 (LV)± 7.0%23%19%10%5%9% [lower-alpha 2] 34%
KAConsulting LLC (R) [upper-alpha 4] March 8–10, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%27%17%18%3%35%
3D Strategic Research (R) [upper-alpha 3] March 7–9, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%30%20%23%3%6%18%
Data Targeting (R) [upper-alpha 2] February 8–11, 20221,168 (LV)± 2.9%27%21%26%
3D Strategic Research (R) [upper-alpha 3] September 2021– (LV)32%10%19%9%30%

Results

Results by county
.mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{}
Pillen
30-40%
40-50%
50-60%
60-70%
Herbster
30-40%
40-50%
50-60%
Lindstrom
30-40%
40-50% 2022 Nebraska gubernatorial Republican primary election results map by county.svg
Results by county
  Pillen
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Herbster
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Lindstrom
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%

Pillen, Herbster, and Lindstrom all won their respective home counties – Pillen won Platte County with 66.3% of the vote, Herbster won Richardson County with 55.7% of the vote, and Lindstrom won Douglas County with 39.5% of the vote. Lindstrom won the Omaha metropolitan area and came close to winning Lancaster County, home to state capital Lincoln, losing to Pillen by about 2.1%. Pillen and Herbster won parts of more rural Nebraska. [48] While Herbster won most of the Sandhills region, Pillen won most of northeastern Nebraska and counties along the I-80 corridor. [49]

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Jim Pillen 91,459 33.9%
Republican Charles Herbster 80,64229.9%
Republican Brett Lindstrom 70,48726.1%
Republican Theresa Thibodeau 16,4136.1%
Republican Breland Ridenour4,6821.7%
Republican Michael Connely2,8311.1%
Republican Donna Nicole Carpenter1,5330.6%
Republican Lela McNinch1,1920.4%
Republican Troy Wentz7080.3%
Write-in 1930.1%
Total votes269,947 100.0%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Carol Blood
U.S. representatives
Organizations

Results

Results by county:

Blood
50-60%
60-70%
70-80%
80-90%
90-100%
Harris
80-90% 2022 Nebraska gubernatorial Democratic primary election results map by county.svg
Results by county:
  Blood
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
  Harris
  •   80–90%
Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Carol Blood 88,802 87.0%
Democratic Roy Harris11,26411.3%
Write-in 1,5741.7%
Total votes100,066 100.0%

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Scott Zimmerman, businessman, comedian, founder of Z-Trak Productions and nominee for lieutenant governor in 2014 [59]
    • Running mate: Jason Blumenthal [60]

Results

Libertarian primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Libertarian Scott Zimmerman 1,567 100.0%
Total votes1,593 100.0%

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [61] Solid RMarch 4, 2022
Inside Elections [62] Solid RMarch 4, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [63] Safe RJanuary 26, 2022
Politico [64] Solid RApril 1, 2022
RCP [65] Safe RJanuary 10, 2022
Fox News [66] Solid RMay 12, 2022
538 [67] Solid RJune 30, 2022
Elections Daily [68] Safe RNovember 7, 2022

Endorsements

Jim Pillen (R)
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Local officials
Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Jim
Pillen (R)
Carol
Blood (D)
OtherUndecided
Data Targeting (R) September 26–28, 20221,340 (LV)± 2.7%48%41%11%

Results

2022 Nebraska gubernatorial election swing map by county.svg
2022 Nebraska gubernatorial election trend map by county.svg
2022 Nebraska gubernatorial election [76]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican 398,334 59.74% +0.74
Democratic 242,00636.29%-4.71
Libertarian
  • Scott Zimmerman
  • Jason Blumenthal
26,4453.97%N/A
Total votes666,795 100.00%
Turnout 682,71654.93%
Registered electors 1,242,930
Republican hold

By congressional district

Pillen won all 3 congressional districts. [77]

DistrictPillenBloodRepresentative
1st 55.77%40.57% Mike Flood
2nd 48.21%48.06% Don Bacon
3rd 75.04%20.45% Adrian Smith

See also

Notes

  1. 1 2 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. "None" with 5%; Connely with 3%; Wentz with 1%; Carpenter and Ridenour with <1%; McNinch with 0%
Partisan clients
  1. 1 2 Poll conducted for Pillen's campaign
  2. 1 2 Poll conducted for Neilan Strategy Group
  3. 1 2 3 Poll conducted for Lindstrom's campaign
  4. Poll conducted for Herbster's campaign

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