2022 United States Senate election in Maryland

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2022 United States Senate election in Maryland
Flag of Maryland.svg
←  2016 November 8, 2022 2028  →
  Chris Van Hollen official portrait 115th Congress (cropped).jpg Chris Chaffee.jpg
Nominee Chris Van Hollen Chris Chaffee
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote1,316,897682,293
Percentage65.77%34.07%
2022 United States Senate election in Maryland results map by county.svg
MD Senate 2022.svg
Van Hollen:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Chaffee:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%     50%     No votes
U.S. senator before election

Chris Van Hollen
Democratic

Elected U.S. senator

Chris Van Hollen
Democratic

The 2022 United States Senate election in Maryland was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent Maryland. The Democratic and Republican primaries were held on July 19, 2022. [1]

Contents

Incumbent Democratic Senator Chris Van Hollen was first elected in 2016 with 60.9% of the vote, winning the seat of retiring incumbent Barbara Mikulski. He ran for a second term against Chris Chaffee, the Republican nominee. [2]

Shortly after polls closed on November 8, 2022, the Associated Press called the race for Van Hollen. [3] He overperformed his 2016 numbers and flipped four counties that he lost in his first election: Anne Arundel (home to the state capital Annapolis), Frederick, Kent, and Talbot.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Michelle Laurence Smith, federal employee and business owner [5]

Endorsements

Chris Van Hollen
Labor unions
Organizations

Results

Results by county: .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} Van Hollen 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% 2022 United States Senate Democratic primary election in Maryland results map by county.svg
Results by county:
  Van Hollen
  •   60–70%
  •   70-80%
  •   80-90%
Democratic primary results [33]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Chris Van Hollen (incumbent) 535,014 80.81%
Democratic Michelle Laurence Smith127,08919.19%
Total votes662,103 100.0%

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Chris Chaffee
Organizations
Nnabu Eze
Organizations
Lorie Friend
State legislators
Reba Hawkins
Organizations
Joseph Perez
Organizations
James Tarantin
State legislators

Results

Results by county: Chaffee 10-20% 20-30% 30-40% 40-50% Friend 10-20% 20-30% 30-40% Thormann 10-20% Tarantin 20-30% 2022 United States Senate Republican primary election in Maryland results map by county.svg
Results by county:
  Chaffee
  •   10–20%
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Friend
  •   10–20%
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  Thormann
  •   10–20%
  Tarantin
  •   20–30%
Republican primary results [33]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Chris Chaffee 50,514 20.78%
Republican Lorie Friend35,71414.69%
Republican John Thormann33,29013.69%
Republican Joseph Perez26,35910.84%
Republican George Davis21,0958.68%
Republican James Tarantin20,5148.44%
Republican Reba Hawkins18,0577.43%
Republican Jon McGreevey14,1285.81%
Republican Todd Puglisi13,5505.57%
Republican Nnabu Eze9,9174.08%
Total votes243,138 100.0%

Other candidates

Write-in

Declared

  • Scottie Griffin (Democratic) [34]
  • Andrew Wildman (Unaffiliated) [34]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [46] Solid DMarch 4, 2022
Inside Elections [47] Solid DJuly 1, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [48] Safe DJune 15, 2022
Politico [49] Solid DApril 1, 2022
RCP [50] Safe DJanuary 10, 2022
Fox News [51] Solid DMay 12, 2022
DDHQ [52] Solid DJuly 20, 2022
538 [53] Solid DJune 30, 2022
The Economist [54] Safe DSeptember 7, 2022

Endorsements

Chris Van Hollen (D)
Executive branch officials
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers
Chris Chaffee (R)
Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 3] 		Margin
of error		Chris
Van Hollen (D)		Chris
Chaffee (R)		OtherUndecided
Goucher College September 8–12, 2022748 (LV)± 3.6%56%33%2% [lower-alpha 4] 8%
Hypothetical polling
Chris Van Hollen vs. Larry Hogan
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 3] 		Margin
of error		Chris
Van Hollen (D)		Larry
Hogan (R)		OtherUndecided
WPA Intelligence (R) [upper-alpha 1] November 29 – December 1, 2021500 (LV)± 4.4%37%49%–14%
Change Research (D) September 29 – October 1, 2020650 (V)± 4.6%50%34%–16%
University of Maryland/Washington Post October 9–14, 2019819 (RV)± 4.5%42%50%3% [lower-alpha 5] 5%

Results

2022 United States Senate election in Maryland [62]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Chris Van Hollen (incumbent) 1,316,897 65.77% +4.88%
Republican Chris Chaffee682,29334.07%−1.60%
Write-in 3,1460.16%+0.02%
Total votes2,002,336 100.0%
Democratic hold

By county

By county
County Chris Van Hollen
Democratic 		Chris Chaffee
Republican 		Write-in MarginTotal
votes
#%#%#%#%
Allegany 7,24433.5614,32666.36170.08-7,082-32.8121,587
Anne Arundel 123,69657.3991,47142.443770.1732,22514.95215,544
Baltimore 175,41764.2397,30735.634020.1578,11028.60273,126
Baltimore City 129,25790.1513,8499.662800.19115,40880.49143,386
Calvert 17,00745.4420,38254.46370.10-3,375-9.0237,426
Caroline 3,58633.657,05466.20160.15-3,468-32.5510,656
Carroll 27,77538.7843,76161.10900.13-15,986-22.3271,626
Cecil 12,13236.8620,72562.97560.17-8,593-26.1132,913
Charles 38,27070.1216,20729.70970.1822,06340.4354,574
Dorchester 4,94743.126,51156.75150.13-1,564-13.6311,473
Frederick 58,70855.2647,40644.621190.1111,30210.64106,233
Garrett 2,60823.168,64776.7870.06-6,039-53.6211,262
Harford 45,27343.9057,71355.961500.14-12,440-12.06103,136
Howard 92,20570.9037,61728.922300.1854,58841.97130,052
Kent 4,46152.953,95046.88140.175116.078,425
Montgomery 276,48280.5965,95619.236340.18210,52661.36343,072
Prince George's 218,72691.0421,1278.793980.17197,59982.25240,251
Queen Anne's 8,71038.1914,06461.67310.14-5,354-23.4822,805
Somerset 2,65639.024,14660.9150.07-1,490-21.896,807
St. Mary's 15,65641.6721,86958.21430.11-6,213-16.5437,568
Talbot 9,02851.338,54848.60130.074802.7317,589
Washington 19,42040.0029,07259.87640.13-9,652-19.8848,556
Wicomico 14,29646.9816,10452.92320.10-1,808-5.9430,432
Worcester 9,33739.1714,48160.75190.08-5,144-21.5823,837
Totals1,316,89765.77682,29334.073,1460.16634,60431.692,002,336
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Van Hollen won 7 of 8 congressional districts. [63]

DistrictVan HollenChaffeeRepresentative
1st 42.7%57.2% Andy Harris
2nd 60.8%39.1% Dutch Ruppersberger
3rd 62.3%37.5% John Sarbanes
4th 91%8.9% Anthony Brown (117th Congress)
Glenn Ivey (118th Congress)
5th 67.1%32.8% Steny Hoyer
6th 54.4%45.5% David Trone
7th 83.4%16.4% Kweisi Mfume
8th 81.9%17.9% Jamie Raskin

Notes

  1. ↑ Candidate for Maryland's 5th congressional district in 2010 and nominee in 2014; candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016 and 2018
  2. ↑ Candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018 and for Maryland's 4th congressional district in 2020; Green nominee for Maryland's 3rd congressional district in 2016
  3. 1 2 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. ↑ "Some other candidate" (volunteered response) with 2%
  5. ↑ "Neither" with 2%; would not vote with 1%; "Other" with 0%
Partisan clients
  1. ↑ This poll was paid for by the Senate Leadership Fund

See also

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References

  1. ↑ "Voting in Maryland". State Board of Elections. State of Maryland. Archived from the original on July 15, 2022. Retrieved July 16, 2022. Note Archived site contains Primary Election information, but not 'current' version.
  2. 1 2 Kurtz, Josh (April 16, 2021). "Mizeur Collects $350K for Congressional Bid; Aruna Miller Raising Money for Possible House Run". Maryland Matters. Retrieved May 7, 2021.
  3. ↑ "2022 race calls". Associated Press . November 8, 2022. Retrieved November 8, 2022.
  4. ↑ Kurtz, Josh (February 15, 2022). "Political Notes: A Barnburner in Southern Md., Van Hollen Makes It Official, Masking Changes, Senator Pulls Chief Judge Bill". Maryland Matters . Retrieved February 15, 2022.
  5. ↑ "Michelle Smith for Senate". September 11, 2020. Retrieved January 19, 2021.
  6. 1 2 "AFSCME Maryland Announces Endorsements for Federal, State, and County Offices". afscmemd.org. American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees Local 3. June 10, 2022. Retrieved June 21, 2022.
  7. 1 2 "2022 ELECTION ENDORSEMENTS FOR THE PRIMARY ELECTION". afscme67.org. American Federation of State, County, and Municipal Employees Local 67. Retrieved June 21, 2022.
  8. 1 2 "Labor-Endorsed Candidates for 2022 Primary Election". md.aft.org. American Federation of Teachers Maryland. June 15, 2022. Retrieved June 21, 2022.
  9. 1 2 "Endorsed Candidates 2022". mddclabor.org. Maryland State and District of Columbia AFL–CIO. May 18, 2022. Retrieved May 19, 2022.
  10. 1 2 "Our Recommended Candidates". educationvotes.nea.org. National Education Association . Retrieved March 15, 2022.
  11. 1 2 "Endorsements". seiu500.org. Service Employees International Union Local 500. Retrieved June 21, 2022.
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  13. 1 2 "United Food & Commercial Workers Unions Announce Endorsements in Maryland". ufcw400.org. United Food and Commercial Workers Local 400. June 1, 2022. Retrieved June 21, 2022.
  14. 1 2 "2022 Endorsements". bendthearc.us. Bend the Arc Jewish Action PAC . Retrieved June 21, 2022.
  15. 1 2 "Brady PAC Endorses 113 House and Senate Gun Safety Champions for Election in 2022". bradypac.org. Brady Campaign. March 17, 2022. Retrieved June 21, 2022.
  16. 1 2 Chartrand, KC (March 2, 2022). "CCAN Action Fund Endorses Climate Champion Chris Van Hollen (D-MD) for Re-election to the US Senate". Chesapeake Climate Action Network Action Fund. Retrieved March 15, 2022.
  17. 1 2 "Senate Candidates – Council for a Livable World".
  18. 1 2 3 4 "End Citizens United // Let America Vote Endorses Senator Chris Van Hollen for Re-Election". End Citizens United . February 23, 2022. Retrieved March 15, 2022.
  19. 1 2 "2022 Feminist Majority PAC Endorsements". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved April 9, 2022.
  20. 1 2 "Endorsements". Giffords . Retrieved January 31, 2022.
  21. 1 2 HRC Staff (June 1, 2022). "Human Rights Campaign Endorses Nine Pro-LGBTQ+ Equality U.S. Senators for Reelection". Human Rights Campaign . Retrieved June 23, 2022.
  22. 1 2 "2022 Endorsements". Humane Society Legislative Fund. Retrieved May 23, 2022.
  23. 1 2 "JStreetPAC Candidates". jstreetpac.org. J Street. Archived from the original on May 2, 2018. Retrieved May 4, 2022.
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  28. 1 2 Turrentine, Jeff (March 8, 2022). "NRDC Action Fund Endorses These Candidates in the 2022 Elections". Natural Resources Defense Council . Retrieved March 15, 2022.
  29. 1 2 "Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsed Candidates". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Retrieved May 4, 2022.
  30. 1 2 "2022 House & Senate Endorsements". Archived from the original on July 2, 2022. Retrieved November 12, 2021.
  31. 1 2 "Endorsements". turnoutpac.org. Progressive Turnout Project. Retrieved March 30, 2022.
  32. 1 2 "Sierra Club Endorsements".
  33. 1 2 "Official 2022 Gubernatorial Primary Election Results for U.S. Senator". Maryland State Board of Elections. July 19, 2022. Retrieved August 15, 2022.
  34. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 "Official 2022 Gubernatorial Primary Election Results for U.S. Senator". 2022 Gubernatorial Election. August 24, 2022. Archived from the original on October 16, 2022. Retrieved October 26, 2022.
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  36. ↑ "Nnabu Eze". Ballotpedia. Retrieved July 13, 2021.
  37. ↑ Kaplan, Alex (June 2, 2021). "Here are the QAnon supporters running for Congress in 2022". Media Matters for America . Retrieved July 17, 2022.
  38. ↑ "Sheriff: US Senate candidate falsely reported child sex trafficking in Harford Co". WMAR-TV . July 15, 2022. Retrieved July 18, 2022.
  39. ↑ "MD Republican Senate candidate charged with making a false report after allegedly claiming adult bookstore trafficked children". CBS News . July 15, 2022. Retrieved July 19, 2022.
  40. ↑ "James Tarantin". Federal Election Commission. Archived from the original on October 28, 2021. Retrieved October 28, 2021.
  41. ↑ "Harris: 'This was a sham, snap impeachment'". WBAL-TV 11. January 16, 2021. Retrieved January 19, 2021.
  42. ↑ "AP source: GOP Maryland Gov. Hogan won't run for Senate". WBAL. February 8, 2022. Retrieved February 8, 2022.
  43. 1 2 3 4 5 "Maryland Right to Life Pro-Life Voter Guide 2022". mdrtl.org. Maryland Right to Life . Retrieved July 28, 2022.
  44. 1 2 3 "Senatorial candidate Lorie R. Friend receives multiple endorsements". The Garrett County Republican. July 14, 2022. Retrieved July 15, 2022.
  45. ↑ "Delegate Trent Kittleman Endorses James Tarantin For United States Senate". WICZ-TV . October 19, 2021. Retrieved April 6, 2022.
  46. ↑ "2022 Senate Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 14, 2021.
  47. ↑ "Senate ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
  48. ↑ "2022 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved January 28, 2021.
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  50. ↑ "Battle for the Senate 2022". RCP. January 10, 2022.
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  52. ↑ "2022 Election Forecast". DDHQ. July 20, 2022. Retrieved July 20, 2022.
  53. ↑ "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
  54. ↑ "Economist's 2022 Senate forecast". The Economist. September 7, 2022. Retrieved September 7, 2022.
  55. ↑ Wood, Pamela (August 25, 2022). "Biden rallies Maryland Democrats and stumps for Wes Moore in Montgomery County". Baltimore Banner . Retrieved August 25, 2022.
  56. ↑ "Politics and Local 26". ibewlocal26.org. International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Local 26. Retrieved October 27, 2022.
  57. ↑ "Maryland – UAW Endorsements". uawendorsements.org. United Auto Workers . Retrieved September 28, 2022.
  58. ↑ "Everytown for Gun Safety Action Fund Announces First Major Round of Federal Endorsements". everytown.org. Everytown for Gun Safety. July 28, 2022. Retrieved July 28, 2022.
  59. ↑ "LCV Action Fund Endorses Chris Van Hollen and David Trone for Congress". www.lcv.org. July 27, 2022.
  60. ↑ "AFRO Ballot". Baltimore Afro-American . October 23, 2022. Retrieved October 27, 2022.
  61. ↑ Editorial Board (October 21, 2022). "Here's who The Post endorses for Congress in Maryland". The Washington Post . Retrieved October 22, 2022.
  62. ↑ "Official 2022 Gubernatorial General Election Results for U.S. Senator". Maryland State Board of Elections.
  63. ↑ Results. docs.google.com (Report).
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