2024 United States Senate election in Nebraska

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2024 United States Senate election in Nebraska
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←  2018 November 5, 20242030 →
  Deb Fischer, official portrait, 115th Congress (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg 3x4.svg
Nominee Deb Fischer TBD
(write-in)		 Dan Osborn
Party Republican Democratic Independent
Incumbent U.S. senator

Deb Fischer
Republican



The 2024 United States Senate election in Nebraska will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Nebraska. [1] Since there will also be a special election in Nebraska for the U.S. Senate this marks the first time since 1954 where both of Nebraska's U.S. Senate seats were concurrently up for election. Primary elections took place on May 14, 2024. [2]

Contents

Incumbent Republican Senator Deb Fischer was first elected in 2012 to fill the seat of retiring Democrat Ben Nelson and was re-elected in 2018. Fischer will seek a third term, despite having previously pledged to retire. [3]

Dan Osborn, an industrial mechanic and union leader who led the strike at Kellogg's Omaha plant in 2021, is running as an independent. No Democrats filed to run for the seat, which created speculation that Democrats may support Osborn in the general election. [4] However, due to Osborn's rejection of all party support, state party chair Jane Kleeb stated that they would look for a write-in candidate. [5]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Arron Kowalski, cattle farmer and perennial candidate [7]

Endorsements

Deb Fischer
U.S. Executive branch officials
U.S. senators
State executive officials
Organizations
Labor unions

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Deb Fischer (R)$5,694,779$3,512,236$2,694,160
Source: Federal Election Commission [15]

Results

Republican primary results [16]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Deb Fischer (incumbent) 174,144 79.7%
Republican Arron Kowalski44,12320.3%
Total votes218,267 100.0%

Democratic primary

Due to Dan Osborn's independent candidacy, the Nebraska Democratic Party had originally not intended to field a candidate, planning to endorse Osborn on May 18. However, on May 15, Osborn stated that he would not accept the help of any political party. [5] This led to a condemnation by state party chair Jane Kleeb, who said that Osborn had previously promised to work with them in exchange for them not running a candidate. Due to Osborn's announcement taking place the day after the state's primary, Kleeb announced that they would be looking for a write-in candidate to run under the party banner in November. [17]

Third-party and independent candidates

The Legal Marijuana NOW primary attracted controversy, with one candidate, Kerry Eddy, admitting that she entered the race with the intention of winning the nomination and then dropping out. Eddy, who was a registered Democrat until March 2024, supports independent candidate Dan Osborn, and feared that the Legal Marijuana NOW Party's nominee could pull votes away from Osborn, who supports legalizing marijuana. Party chair Mark Elworth Jr. denounced Eddy's plan as "shenangians." The party instead supported Ken Peterson, who had been recruited to run by Elworth. Peterson alleged that supporters of Osborn had repeatedly urged him to drop out of the race. Osborn's campaign denied having any involvement in the Legal Marijuana NOW primary, though a pro-Osborn super PAC spent over $30,000 supporting Eddy's campaign. [18]

Nominee

  • Kerry Eddy, administrative coordinator [7]

Eliminated in primary

  • Ken Peterson, compost facility attendant [7]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Kerry Eddy (LMN)$16,384$922$15,462
Source: Federal Election Commission [15]

Results

Legal Marijuana NOW primary results [16]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Legal Marijuana NOW Kerry Eddy 679 68.7%
Legal Marijuana NOW Ken Peterson30931.3%
Total votes988 100.0%

Aftermath

After Kerry Eddy won the primary by a wide margin, she said she was re-evaluating whether or not to drop out of the race. Complicating Eddy's plan is that if she rejected the Legal Marijuana NOW Party's nomination, the party could simply name a replacement nominee. Mark Elworth Jr. has pledged to seek the party's nomination for Senate if Eddy drops out. [19] It was also suggested that Elworth could use his ballot line to nominate a Democrat. [5]

Libertarian Party

In March 2024, independent candidate Dan Osborn sought the support of the Libertarian Party of Nebraska. However, he decided against this, running as an independent without any party's support. [5]

Declined

Independents

Declared

Endorsements

Dan Osborn
Labor unions

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024
CandidateRaisedSpentCash on hand
Dan Osborn (I)$812,114$427,220$384,894
Source: Federal Election Commission [15]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [24] Solid RNovember 9, 2023
Inside Elections [25] Solid RNovember 9, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball [26] Safe RNovember 9, 2023
Elections Daily [27] Safe RMay 4, 2023
CNalysis [28] Solid RNovember 21, 2023

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Deb
Fischer (R)		Dan
Osborn (I)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 1] April 24–25, 2024737 (RV)± 3.6%37%33%30%
Change Research (D) [upper-alpha 2] November 13–16, 20231,048 (LV)–38%40%22%

Results

2024 United States Senate election in Nebraska
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Deb Fischer (incumbent)
Independent Dan Osborn
Democratic TBA (write-in)
Legal Marijuana NOW Kerry Eddy
Total votes

Notes

  1. ↑ Plumbers Local 16, Sprinkler Fitters Local 699, and Steamfitters Local 664
  2. ↑ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
Partisan clients
  1. ↑ This poll was commissioned by Osborn's campaign
  2. ↑ This poll was commissioned by Nebraska Railroaders for Public Safety, which supports Osborn

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References

  1. ↑ "United States Senate elections, 2024". Ballotpedia. Retrieved July 12, 2022.
  2. ↑ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved May 13, 2023.
  3. ↑ Walton, Don (May 14, 2021). "Fischer says she'll seek third Senate term in 2024". JournalStar.com. Retrieved May 14, 2021.
  4. ↑ "Despite gun divide Dems leaning toward Osborn for Senate". central.newschannelnebraska.com.
  5. 1 2 3 4 5 Sanderford, Aaron (May 15, 2024). "Dan Osborn spurns Democrats, other parties whose help he sought in Senate race". Nebraska Examiner . Retrieved May 15, 2024.
  6. ↑ "Sen. Deb Fischer officially announces run for a third term". KRVN . June 28, 2023. Retrieved June 28, 2023.
  7. 1 2 3 "Nebraska Statewide Candidate List". Nebraska Secretary of State. January 5, 2024.
  8. 1 2 3 4 5 World-Herald, Martha Stoddard Omaha (September 21, 2023). "Former Trump adviser Conway endorses Nebraska's Fischer". Star-Herald. Archived from the original on September 22, 2023. Retrieved September 22, 2023.
  9. ↑ "Support Pro-Israel Candidates". AIPAC PAC. Retrieved April 7, 2023.
  10. ↑ "The Messenger: A PAC Dedicated to Electing GOP Women Issues First Wave of 2024 Endorsements (Exclusive)". maggieslist.org. Retrieved June 25, 2023.
  11. ↑ NRA-PVF. "NRA-PVF | Grades | Nebraska". NRA-PVF. Retrieved May 6, 2024.
  12. ↑ "U.S. Sen. Fischer Earns Nebraska Farm Bureau Endorsement". KTIC 840 AM/98.3 FM/98.7 FM. February 18, 2024. Retrieved February 18, 2024.
  13. 1 2 "Dan Osborn says he has the signatures needed to reach Nebraska's fall ballot as a U.S. Senate candidate". Nebraska Examiner. Retrieved March 28, 2024.
  14. ↑ "U.S. Chamber Endorses Sen. Deb Fischer for U.S. Senate in Nebraska". U.S. Chamber of Commerce. May 10, 2024.
  15. 1 2 3 "2024 Election United States Senate - Nebraska". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission . Retrieved August 11, 2023.
  16. 1 2 "Unofficial Results: Primary Election - May 14, 2024". Secretary of State of Nebraska . Retrieved May 15, 2024.
  17. ↑ "Nebraska Democratic Party Statement on Dan Osborn". May 15, 2024. Retrieved May 15, 2024.
  18. ↑ Wegley, Andrew (May 12, 2024). "In the Nebraska marijuana party's Senate primary, 'a daring plan' angers loyalists". Lincoln Journal Star . Retrieved May 14, 2024.
  19. ↑ Wegley, Andrew (May 15, 2024). "Nebraska marijuana party candidate tied to Dan Osborn wins primary, mulls future". Lincoln Journal Star . Retrieved May 15, 2024.
  20. ↑ Hammel, Paul (September 21, 2023). "Omaha steamfitter/union leader Dan Osborn to challenge incumbent U.S. Sen. Deb. Fischer". Nebraska Examiner . Retrieved September 21, 2023.
  21. 1 2 3 4 Early, Steve (March 13, 2024). "Dan Osborn Challenges Nebraska's Political Establishment with a Blue-Collar Agenda". Barn Raising Media. Retrieved March 13, 2024.
  22. ↑ "2024 Nebraska | CWA Endorsed Candidates | Communications Workers of America". cwa-union.org. Retrieved May 9, 2024.
  23. ↑ https://eu.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/04/15/dan-osborn-running-for-senate-nebraska/73245704007/
  24. ↑ "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
  25. ↑ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  26. ↑ "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
  27. ↑ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
  28. ↑ "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
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