1948 United States presidential election in Tennessee

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1948 United States presidential election in Tennessee
Flag of Tennessee.svg
  1944 November 2, 1948 [1] 1952  
  Harry S Truman, bw half-length photo portrait, facing front, 1945 (cropped).jpg Thomas Dewey (3x4 crop).jpg Strom Thurmond 1948 (cropped).jpg
Nominee Harry S. Truman Thomas E. Dewey Strom Thurmond
Party Democratic Republican Dixiecrat
Home state Missouri New York South Carolina
Running mate Alben W. Barkley Earl Warren Fielding L. Wright
Electoral vote1101
Popular vote270,402202,91473,815
Percentage49.14%36.87%13.41%

Tennessee Presidential Election Results 1948.svg
County Results

President before election

Harry S. Truman
Democratic

Elected President

Harry S. Truman
Democratic

The 1948 United States presidential election in Tennessee took place on November 2, 1948, as part of the 1948 United States presidential election. Tennessee voters chose 12 [2] representatives, or electors, to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

Contents

For over a century after the Civil War, Tennessee was divided according to political loyalties established in that war. Unionist regions covering almost all of East Tennessee, Kentucky Pennyroyal-allied Macon County, and the five Western Highland Rim counties of Carroll, Henderson, McNairy, Hardin and Wayne [3] voted Republican — generally by landslide margins — as they saw the Democratic Party as the "war party" who had forced them into a war they did not wish to fight. [4] Contrariwise, the rest of Middle and West Tennessee who had supported and driven the state's secession was equally fiercely Democratic as it associated the Republicans with Reconstruction. [5] After the disfranchisement of the state's African-American population by a poll tax was largely complete in the 1890s, [6] the Democratic Party was certain of winning statewide elections if united, [7] although unlike the Deep South Republicans would almost always gain thirty to forty percent of the statewide vote from mountain and Highland Rim support.

Between 1896 and 1948, the Republicans would win statewide contests three times but only in the second did they receive down-ballot coattails by winning three congressional seats in addition to the rock-ribbed GOP First and Second Districts. [8] In the early 1910s, prohibitionist “Independent Democrats” fled the party and formed a coalition, known as the “Fusionists,” with Republicans to elect Ben W. Hooper Governor, [9] whilst in 1920 the national anti-Wilson and anti-League of Nations tide allowed the GOP to carry a few traditionally Democratic areas in Middle Tennessee and with them the state, [10] and in 1928 anti-Catholicism against Democratic nominee Al Smith gave this powerfully fundamentalist state to Herbert Hoover. [11]

After the beginning of the Great Depression, however, for the next third of a century Republicans would rarely contest statewide offices seriously, despite continuing dominance of East Tennessee and half a dozen Unionist counties in the middle and west of the state. [12] State politics during the 1930s and 1940s was dominated by Edward Hull “Boss” Crump, whose Memphis political machine would consistently provide decisive votes in statewide Democratic primaries aided by cross-party voting by Republicans in eastern mountain counties. [12] Although Tennessee’s delegates at the 1948 Democratic National Convention were all opposed to incumbent President Harry S. Truman after his proposal for black civil rights titled To Secure These Rights , the presence of potentially formidable Republican opposition in East Tennessee and the Highland Rim meant that Crump could not even keep his own machine in line. [13] Governor McCord and even Crump’s long-time ally Senator Kenneth D. McKellar both broke with him over supporting States Rights Democratic nominees Strom Thurmond and Fielding L. Wright, with McCord losing the Democratic nomination to Crump foe Gordon Browning. [14] In order to get their electors on the ballot the Dixiecrats had to form a separate state organisation in Somerville, [13] although three of the Dixiecrat electors were simultaneously on the slate for Truman and Kentucky Senator Alben W. Barkley. [15]

14% of white voters supported Thurmond. [16]

Polls

SourceRatingAs of
Chattanooga Daily Times [17] Likely DOctober 15, 1948
The Montgomery Advertiser [18] Tilt ROctober 24, 1948
The Miami News [19] TossupOctober 25, 1948
Mount Vernon Argus [20] Lean DNovember 1, 1948
Oakland Tribune [21] Likely DNovember 1, 1948

Results

1948 United States presidential election in Tennessee [22] [23]
PartyCandidateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
Democratic Harry S. Truman (inc.)270,40249.14%11
States’ Rights Strom Thurmond 73,81513.41%1
Republican Thomas Dewey 202,91436.87%0
Progressive Henry A. Wallace 1,8640.34%0
Socialist Norman Thomas 1,2880.23%0
Totals550,283100.00%12

Results by county

1948 United States presidential election in Tennessee by county [24]
CountyHarry S. Truman
Democratic
Thomas Edmund Dewey
Republican
James Strom Thurmond
States’ Rights
Henry Agard Wallace
Progressive
Norman Mattoon Thomas
Socialist
MarginTotal votes cast
# %# %# %# %# %# %
Anderson 5,91549.97%5,37245.38%4333.66%530.45%640.54%5434.59%11,837
Bedford 2,39355.64%77117.93%1,12726.20%40.09%60.14%1,266 [lower-alpha 1] 29.44%4,301
Benton 1,75763.02%90832.57%1164.16%60.22%10.04%84930.45%2,788
Bledsoe 1,09248.58%1,10349.07%492.18%40.18%00.00%-11-0.49%2,248
Blount 3,14132.91%6,15264.47%2142.24%130.14%230.24%-3,011-31.55%9,543
Bradley 2,03639.52%2,94257.10%1643.18%60.12%40.08%-906-17.59%5,152
Campbell 2,26742.61%2,92254.92%871.64%310.58%130.24%-655-12.31%5,320
Cannon 1,40866.20%55826.23%1416.63%100.47%100.47%85039.96%2,127
Carroll 2,81845.65%2,65142.95%6069.82%520.84%460.75%1672.71%6,173
Carter 1,80925.96%4,94370.94%1792.57%130.19%240.34%-3,134-44.98%6,968
Cheatham 2,73188.58%1936.26%1504.87%80.26%10.03%2,53882.32%3,083
Chester 98050.52%76639.48%1939.95%10.05%00.00%21411.03%1,940
Claiborne 2,06844.13%2,50753.50%661.41%330.70%120.26%-439-9.37%4,686
Clay 1,14660.28%70336.98%462.42%50.26%10.05%44323.30%1,901
Cocke 93920.35%3,57677.50%721.56%180.39%90.20%-2,637-57.15%4,614
Coffee 2,04156.68%59916.63%93325.91%110.31%170.47%1,108 [lower-alpha 1] 30.77%3,601
Crockett 1,41553.60%60122.77%61523.30%50.19%40.15%800 [lower-alpha 1] 30.30%2,640
Cumberland 1,60743.19%1,98853.43%952.55%90.24%220.59%-381-10.24%3,721
Davidson 20,87755.46%8,41022.34%8,10321.53%1690.45%840.22%12,46733.12%37,643
Decatur 1,56551.82%1,29142.75%1565.17%30.10%50.17%2749.07%3,020
DeKalb 2,41254.67%1,75139.69%2495.64%00.00%00.00%66114.98%4,412
Dickson 2,33774.31%48515.42%31510.02%30.10%50.16%1,85258.89%3,145
Dyer 3,50365.31%98918.44%85515.94%70.13%100.19%2,51446.87%5,364
Fayette 22612.66%663.70%1,48883.36%20.11%30.17%-1,262 [lower-alpha 1] -70.70%1,785
Fentress 96236.52%1,58760.25%461.75%140.53%250.95%-625-23.73%2,634
Franklin 2,94866.08%58913.20%89220.00%70.16%250.56%2,056 [lower-alpha 1] 46.09%4,461
Gibson 3,91765.60%1,13719.04%90515.16%60.10%60.10%2,78046.56%5,971
Giles 3,67675.45%71714.72%4439.09%190.39%170.35%2,95960.73%4,872
Grainger 64425.33%1,82471.75%572.24%80.31%90.35%-1,180-46.42%2,542
Greene 3,28241.68%4,37555.56%1541.96%270.34%370.47%-1,093-13.88%7,875
Grundy 2,00978.02%43116.74%1134.39%130.50%90.35%1,57861.28%2,575
Hamblen 1,55239.46%2,11653.80%2285.80%180.46%190.48%-564-14.34%3,933
Hamilton 16,96856.21%10,43434.56%2,5718.52%1500.50%660.22%6,53421.64%30,189
Hancock 41620.15%1,59877.38%381.84%20.10%110.53%-1,182-57.24%2,065
Hardeman 1,60948.76%3179.61%1,36441.33%30.09%70.21%245 [lower-alpha 1] 7.42%3,300
Hardin 1,27038.75%1,77954.29%1895.77%280.85%110.34%-509-15.53%3,277
Hawkins 2,01934.70%3,63762.50%1172.01%240.41%220.38%-1,618-27.81%5,819
Haywood 1,05049.32%1486.95%93143.73%00.00%00.00%119 [lower-alpha 1] 5.59%2,129
Henderson 1,15531.70%2,27862.53%2055.63%50.14%00.00%-1,123-30.83%3,643
Henry 3,29276.99%60414.13%3728.70%60.14%20.05%2,68862.86%4,276
Hickman 2,14074.36%47816.61%2267.85%250.87%90.31%1,66257.75%2,878
Houston 1,15979.66%20213.88%886.05%10.07%50.34%95765.77%1,455
Humphreys 1,32759.24%35515.85%54724.42%50.22%60.27%780 [lower-alpha 1] 34.82%2,240
Jackson 1,50268.68%53624.51%1426.49%50.23%20.09%96644.17%2,187
Jefferson 90022.39%2,97974.12%1213.01%90.22%100.25%-2,079-51.73%4,019
Johnson 43314.89%2,41382.98%471.62%60.21%90.31%-1,980-68.09%2,908
Knox 15,94640.68%21,07453.77%1,8224.65%2210.56%1330.34%-5,128-13.08%39,196
Lake 83355.46%17911.92%48232.09%50.33%30.20%351 [lower-alpha 1] 23.37%1,502
Lauderdale 2,55665.89%2987.68%1,00725.96%70.18%110.28%1,549 [lower-alpha 1] 39.93%3,879
Lawrence 4,85453.43%3,83742.24%3734.11%130.14%70.08%1,01711.20%9,084
Lewis 1,14870.17%38123.29%885.38%140.86%50.31%76746.88%1,636
Lincoln 2,96972.63%3618.83%75818.54%00.00%00.00%2,211 [lower-alpha 1] 54.09%4,088
Loudon 1,67337.05%2,60557.70%2004.43%190.42%180.40%-932-20.64%4,515
Macon 73829.40%1,70868.05%592.35%30.12%20.08%-970-38.65%2,510
Madison 4,72252.48%1,68118.68%2,58628.74%10.01%70.08%2,136 [lower-alpha 1] 23.74%8,997
Marion 2,55457.17%1,73838.91%1533.43%160.36%60.13%81618.27%4,467
Marshall 3,05971.22%51712.04%69116.09%100.23%180.42%2,368 [lower-alpha 1] 55.13%4,295
Maury 2,90651.57%89515.88%1,79231.80%200.35%220.39%1,114 [lower-alpha 1] 19.77%5,635
McMinn 3,01639.36%4,43257.84%1842.40%140.18%160.21%-1,416-18.48%7,662
McNairy 2,26745.62%2,39048.10%2865.76%160.32%100.20%-123-2.48%4,969
Meigs 78849.56%74847.04%432.70%80.50%30.19%402.52%1,590
Monroe 3,55347.08%3,90551.75%730.97%60.08%90.12%-352-4.66%7,546
Montgomery 3,31073.47%64614.34%52511.65%130.29%110.24%2,66459.13%4,505
Moore 52362.94%10212.27%20624.79%00.00%00.00%317 [lower-alpha 1] 38.15%831
Morgan 1,50048.62%1,57050.89%100.32%50.16%00.00%-70-2.27%3,085
Obion 3,49075.59%64213.91%4609.96%90.19%160.35%2,84861.69%4,617
Overton 1,83563.17%91731.57%1184.06%230.79%120.41%91831.60%2,905
Perry 1,19668.42%45926.26%854.86%60.34%20.11%73742.16%1,748
Pickett 56639.39%84959.08%191.32%30.21%00.00%-283-19.69%1,437
Polk 1,41247.22%1,52951.14%260.87%190.64%40.13%-117-3.91%2,990
Putnam 3,13456.33%1,87933.77%5119.18%260.47%140.25%1,25522.56%5,564
Rhea 1,89745.70%2,07750.04%1593.83%110.26%70.17%-180-4.34%4,151
Roane 2,30639.89%3,23655.98%2183.77%150.26%60.10%-930-16.09%5,781
Robertson 3,04477.14%3769.53%51413.03%60.15%60.15%2,530 [lower-alpha 1] 64.12%3,946
Rutherford 4,15168.30%85414.05%1,01716.73%230.38%330.54%3,134 [lower-alpha 1] 51.56%6,078
Scott 97232.14%2,01666.67%180.60%120.40%60.20%-1,044-34.52%3,024
Sequatchie 90766.06%42030.59%412.99%30.22%20.15%48735.47%1,373
Sevier 84013.99%5,04984.11%701.17%390.65%50.08%-4,209-70.11%6,003
Shelby 23,85436.60%14,56622.35%26,39640.50%2290.35%1310.20%-2,542 [lower-alpha 1] -3.90%65,176
Smith 1,76462.38%77327.33%2759.72%90.32%70.25%99135.04%2,828
Stewart 1,96281.38%33113.73%1154.77%30.12%00.00%1,63167.65%2,411
Sullivan 7,62650.44%6,98446.19%4723.12%320.21%60.04%6424.25%15,120
Sumner 3,68873.67%79315.84%51510.29%100.20%00.00%2,89557.83%5,006
Tipton 3,06665.50%2094.46%1,39429.78%80.17%40.09%1,672 [lower-alpha 1] 35.72%4,681
Trousdale 1,01482.51%1048.46%1108.95%10.08%00.00%904 [lower-alpha 1] 73.56%1,229
Unicoi 84429.50%1,92767.35%812.83%70.24%20.07%-1,083-37.85%2,861
Union 51323.79%1,60374.35%190.88%160.74%50.23%-1,090-50.56%2,156
Van Buren 63665.03%29830.47%393.99%40.41%10.10%33834.56%978
Warren 2,96966.51%80718.08%66714.94%210.47%00.00%2,16248.43%4,464
Washington 4,02334.80%7,05661.04%4263.69%340.29%200.17%-3,033-26.24%11,559
Wayne 82028.65%1,95768.38%762.66%50.17%40.14%-1,137-39.73%2,862
Weakley 3,09964.02%1,31027.06%4188.63%110.23%30.06%1,78936.96%4,841
White 1,71964.09%63523.68%31211.63%110.41%50.19%1,08440.42%2,682
Williamson 2,29459.41%55614.40%98325.46%160.41%120.31%1,311 [lower-alpha 1] 33.95%3,861
Wilson 3,13366.67%85418.17%68514.58%120.26%150.32%2,27948.50%4,699
Totals270,40249.14%202,91436.87%73,81513.41%1,8640.34%1,2880.23%67,48812.26%550,283

Analysis

Truman carried Tennessee more comfortably than expected, defeating Republican nominees New York Governor Thomas Dewey and California Governor Earl Warren by 12.26 percentage points and Thurmond by 35.73 percentage points. Thurmond did however make significant inroads into traditional Democratic support in the Black Belt of West Tennessee, where he received over eighty percent in Fayette County, and also did well in prosperous urban precincts in Nashville.

Truman received eleven of Tennessee's twelve electoral votes, with the other cast in favor of Thurmond by Preston Parks of Somerville, TN, who was also on the Dixiecrat slate. [15] [25] As of the 2020 presidential election , this is the last election in which Hamilton County voted for a Democratic presidential candidate. [26]

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 In this county where Dewey ran third behind Truman and Thurmond, margin given is Truman vote minus Thurmond vote and percentage margin Truman percentage minus Thurmond percentage.

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