2014 United States House of Representatives election in Montana

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2014 United States House of Representatives election in Montana
Flag of Montana.svg
  2012 November 4, 2014 2016  
  Ryan Zinke official congressional photo (crop).jpg No image.svg
Nominee Ryan Zinke John Lewis
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote203,871148,690
Percentage55.4%40.4%

Montana's at-large congressional district election, 2014 results by county.svg
County results
Zinke:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Lewis:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

Steve Daines
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Ryan Zinke
Republican

Montana's at-large congressional district MT-Atlarge.gif
Montana's at-large congressional district

The 2014 congressional election in Montana was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the U.S. representative from Montana's at-large congressional district. Between 1993 and 2023, Montana had one at-large seat in the House.

Contents

Incumbent Republican Congressman Steve Daines was first elected in 2012. Instead of running for re-election, he successfully ran for the U.S. Senate election in 2014. [1] Representatives are elected for two-year terms; the elected will serve in the 114th United States Congress from January 3, 2015, until January 3, 2017.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Brad
Johnson
Matthew
Rosendale
Corey
Stapleton
Ryan
Zinke
OtherUndecided
PPP November 15–17, 2013469±4.5%20%9%32%9%31%

Primary results

Republican primary results [12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Ryan Zinke 43,766 33.25
Republican Corey Stapleton38,59129.32
Republican Matt Rosendale37,96528.84
Republican Elsie Arntzen9,0116.85
Republican Drew Turiano2,2901.74
Total votes131,623 100

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

  • Melinda Gopher, writer and candidate for the seat in 2010 [15]

Declined

Endorsements

John Lewis

Primary results

Democratic primary results [12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic John Lewis 42,588 59.84
Democratic John Driscoll28,58040.16
Total votes71,168 100

Libertarian nomination

Candidates

Declared

Independents

Candidates

Withdrawn

General election

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Ryan
Zinke (R)
John
Lewis (D)
Mike
Fellows (L)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing October 23–24, 2014604± 4%53%41%6%
The MSU-Billings Poll October 6–11, 2014410± 5%40%33%2%25%
Gravis Marketing September 29–30, 2014535± 4%51%41%8%
Vox Populi Polling August 3–4, 2014798± 3.5%44%37%19%
Gravis Marketing July 20–22, 2014741± 4%47%35%6%11%
Public Policy Polling November 15–17, 2013952± 3.2%37%32%30%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Brad
Johnson (R)
John
Lewis (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling November 15–17, 2013952± 3.2%43%32%26%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Matthew
Rosendale (R)
John
Lewis (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling November 15–17, 2013952± 3.2%37%32%31%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Corey
Stapleton (R)
John
Lewis (D)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling November 15–17, 2013952± 3.2%44%31%25%

Results

Montana's at-large congressional district, 2014 [30]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Ryan Zinke 203,871 55.41% +2.16%
Democratic John Lewis148,69040.41%-2.13%
Libertarian Mike Fellows 15,4024.18%+0.15%
Total votes367,963 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

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References

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  2. "Conservative state senator to run for U.S. House". Great Falls Tribune . January 25, 2014. Retrieved February 5, 2014.
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Official campaign websites