2014 Colorado gubernatorial election

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2014 Colorado gubernatorial election
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  Governor John Hickenlooper 2015.jpg Rep Bob Beauprez (cropped).jpg
Nominee John Hickenlooper Bob Beauprez
Party Democratic Republican
Running mate Joe Garcia Jill Repella
Popular vote1,006,433938,195
Percentage49.30%45.95%
2014 Colorado gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
2014 Colorado gubernatorial election by Congressional District.svg
Hickenlooper:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Beauprez:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Governor before election

John Hickenlooper
Democratic

Elected Governor

John Hickenlooper
Democratic

The 2014 Colorado gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Colorado, concurrently with the election to Colorado's Class II U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Contents

Incumbent Democratic Governor John Hickenlooper and Lieutenant Governor Joseph García were re-elected to a second term in office, narrowly defeating Republican former U.S. Representative Bob Beauprez and his running mate, Douglas County Commissioner Jill Repella, by 68,000 votes.

Democratic primary

John Hickenlooper was the only Democrat to file to run, and thus at the Democratic state assembly on April 12, 2014, he was renominated unopposed. [1]

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Democratic primary results [3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic John Hickenlooper (incumbent) 214,403 100.00
Total votes214,403 100.00

Republican primary

At the Republican state assembly on April 12, 2014, Mike Kopp and Scott Gessler received 34% and 33% of the votes of over 3,900 delegates, respectively, thus winning a place on the ballot. Greg Brophy, Steve House and Roni Bell Sylvester received 19%, 13% and 2%, respectively, falling short of the 30% needed to qualify for the ballot. Bob Beauprez and Tom Tancredo did not contest the assembly vote, instead petitioning their way onto the ballot. [4]

Candidates

Declared

  • Running mate: Vera Ortegon, biologist and former Pueblo City Councillor [9]

Eliminated at convention

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Bob Beauprez
Greg Brophy
Individuals
Organizations
Scott Gessler
Mike Kopp
Roni Bell Sylvester
Tom Tancredo

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Bob
Beauprez		Greg
Brophy		Scott
Gessler		Steve
House		Mike
Kopp		Jim
Rundberg		Roni Bell
Sylvester		Tom
Tancredo		OtherUndecided
Magellan* May 28–29, 2014>900± 3%25%—13%—10%——27%—25%
PPP March 13–16, 2014255± 6.1%20%7%18%3%8%—1%24%—18%
PPP December 3–4, 2013335± 5.2%—9%15%2%3%3%—34%—33%

Results

Results by county: .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} Beauprez 20-30% 30-40% 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% Tancredo 20-30% 30-40% 40-50% 50-60% Gessler 20-30% 30-40% 40-50% Kopp 20-30% 30-40% 40-50% 2014 Colorado gubernatorial Republican primary.svg
Results by county:
  Beauprez
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Tancredo
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Gessler
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Kopp
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
Republican primary results [3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Bob Beauprez 116,333 30.24
Republican Tom Tancredo102,83026.73
Republican Scott Gessler89,21323.19
Republican Mike Kopp76,37319.85
Total votes384,749 100.00

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Matthew Hess, IT systems administrator [38]

Green primary

Candidates

Unsuccessful

Independents

Candidates

Declared

  • Mike Dunafon, Mayor of Glendale [40]
  • Paul N. Fiorino, performing arts teacher and perennial candidate [41]

Withdrew

  • Jim Rundberg, businessman [42]

General election

Candidates

  • Running mate: Robin Roberts, president of Pikes Peak National Bank [44]
  • Running mate: Charles Whitley, retired military, arts advocate and publisher [45]
  • Running mate: Joshua Yballa
  • Running mate: Brandon Young, photographer, graphic designer and political activist
  • Running mate: Scott Olson

Debates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [48] TossupNovember 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball [49] Lean DNovember 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report [50] Tilt DNovember 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics [51] TossupNovember 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		John
Hickenlooper (D)		Bob
Beauprez (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling November 1–2, 2014739± 3.6%46%46%5% [52] 3%
48%49%—3%
Quinnipiac University October 28 – November 2, 2014815± 3.4%43%45%7% [53] 6%
43%45%5% [54] 7%
44%45%5% [55] 7%
YouGov October 25–31, 20141,417± 3.3%44%42%4%10%
Public Policy Polling October 28–29, 2014573± ?47%47%—5%
SurveyUSA October 27–29, 2014618± 4%46%46%4% [56] 4%
Vox Populi Polling October 26–27, 2014642± 3.9%49%44%—7%
Quinnipiac University October 22–27, 2014844± 3.4%40%45%6% [57] 9%
41%46%4% [58] 9%
40%45%5% [59] 9%
Strategies 360 October 20–25, 2014604± 4%46%43%2%8%
Rasmussen Reports October 21–23, 2014966± 3%47%49%1%3%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov October 16–23, 20141,611± 4%48%44%1%7%
NBC News/Marist October 18–22, 2014755 LV± 3.6%46%41%7% [60] 6%
953 RV± 3.2%46%38%8% [61] 9%
Suffolk University October 18–21, 2014500± 4.4%43%45.4%3% [62] 7.6%
Quinnipiac University October 15–21, 2014974± 3.1%45%44%4% [63] 7%
45%45%3% [64] 7%
45%44%3% [65] 8%
Monmouth University October 17–20, 2014431± 4.7%50%43%3%4%
IPSOS October 13–20, 20141,099± 3.4%46%46%—8%
Public Policy Polling October 16–19, 2014778± 3.5%45%44%5% [66] 7%
46%46%—8%
Gravis Marketing October 16, 2014695± 4%44%48%6% [59] 3%
Quinnipiac October 9–13, 2014988± 3.1%42%46%6% [67] 6%
43%48%2% [68] 7%
43%46%5% [59] 6%
CNN/ORC October 9–13, 2014665± 4%49%48%—3%
SurveyUSA October 9–12, 2014591± 4.1%45%44%4% [69] 6%
High Point University October 4–8, 2014800± 3.5%44%46%6%4%
Fox News October 4–7, 2014739± 3.5%42%42%6%10%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov September 20 – October 1, 20141,634± 3%49%45%1%5%
Rasmussen Reports September 29–30, 2014950± 3%50%46%2%3%
Gravis Marketing September 16–17, 2014657± 4%43%48%5%4%
Suffolk University September 13–16, 2014500± 4.4%43%40.8%6% [70] 10.2%
Quinnipiac September 10–15, 20141,211± 2.8%40%50%7% [53] 3%
40%52%4% [58] 4%
41%51%5% [55] 3%
Myers September 7–14, 20141,350± 2.7%51%44%1%4%
SurveyUSA September 8–10, 2014664± 3.9%45%43%7% [71] 5%
Rasmussen Reports September 3–4, 2014800± 3.5%44%45%4%7%
NBC News/Marist September 2–4, 2014795 LV± 3.5%43%39%9% [72] 9%
976 RV± 3.1%43%36%9% [72] 10%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov August 18 – September 2, 20141,727± 4%45%45%2%8%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov July 5–24, 20142,020± 3%47%47%2%3%
Public Policy Polling July 17–20, 2014653± 3.8%44%43%—12%
Quinnipiac July 10–14, 20141,147± 2.9%43%44%3%10%
Gravis Marketing July 8–10, 20141,106± 3%49%43%6% [59] 3%
NBC News/Marist July 7–10, 2014914± 3.2%49%43%1%7%
Rasmussen Reports June 25–26, 2014750± 4%44%44%4%8%
Public Policy Polling April 17–20, 2014618± ?48%41%—11%
Quinnipiac April 15–21, 20141,298± 2.7%48%39%1%12%
Magellan Strategies April 14–15, 2014717± 3.7%50%35%10%5%
Public Policy Polling March 13–16, 2014568± 4.1%48%38%—14%
Public Policy Polling April 11–14, 2013500± 4.4%50%43%—6%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		John
Hickenlooper (D)		Greg
Brophy (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling March 13–16, 2014568± 4.1%48%33%—18%
Rasmussen Reports March 5–6, 2014500± 4.5%42%33%8%17%
Quinnipiac January 29 – February 2, 20141,139± 2.9%47%37%1%14%
Public Policy Polling December 3–4, 2013928± 3.2%44%43%—12%
Quinnipiac November 15–18, 20131,206± 2.8%44%38%2%16%
Quinnipiac August 15–21, 20131,184± 2.9%47%42%1%11%
Quinnipiac June 5–10, 20131,065± 3%43%37%2%18%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		John
Hickenlooper (D)		Cory
Gardner (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling April 11–14, 2013500± 4.4%51%40%—9%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		John
Hickenlooper (D)		Scott
Gessler (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling April 17–20, 2014618± ?48%41%—12%
Quinnipiac April 15–21, 20141,298± 2.7%48%38%1%13%
Public Policy Polling March 13–16, 2014568± 4.1%48%36%—16%
Rasmussen Reports March 5–6, 2014500± 4.5%44%38%8%11%
Quinnipiac January 29 – February 2, 20141,139± 2.9%46%40%1%12%
Public Policy Polling December 3–4, 2013928± 3.2%47%40%—12%
Quinnipiac November 15–18, 20131,206± 2.8%45%40%1%14%
Quinnipiac August 15–21, 20131,184± 2.9%47%42%1%11%
Quinnipiac June 5–10, 20131,065± 3%42%40%2%16%
Public Policy Polling April 11–14, 2013500± 4.4%50%40%—11%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		John
Hickenlooper (D)		Mike
Kopp (R)		OtherUndecided
Quinnipiac April 15–21, 20141,298± 2.7%47%38%1%14%
Public Policy Polling March 13–16, 2014568± 4.1%49%32%—19%
Quinnipiac January 29 – February 2, 20141,139± 2.9%47%38%2%13%
Public Policy Polling December 3–4, 2013928± 3.2%45%37%—17%
Quinnipiac November 15–18, 20131,206± 2.8%44%40%2%14%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		John
Hickenlooper (D)		Jane
Norton (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling April 11–14, 2013500± 4.4%50%39%—12%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		John
Hickenlooper (D)		Walker
Stapleton (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling April 11–14, 2013500± 4.4%49%38%—18%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		John
Hickenlooper (D)		John
Suthers (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling April 11–14, 2013500± 4.4%49%39%—11%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		John
Hickenlooper (D)		Tom
Tancredo (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling April 17–20, 2014618± ?50%41%—10%
Quinnipiac April 15–21, 20141,298± 2.7%47%40%1%11%
Public Policy Polling March 13–16, 2014568± 4.1%50%36%—13%
Hickman Analytics February 17–20, 2014400± 4.9%51%40%—9%
Rasmussen Reports March 5–6, 2014500± 4.5%46%37%8%9%
Quinnipiac January 29 – February 2, 20141,139± 2.9%48%39%1%11%
Public Policy Polling December 3–4, 2013928± 3.2%48%40%—12%
Quinnipiac November 15–18, 20131,206± 2.8%46%41%1%12%
Quinnipiac August 15–21, 20131,184± 2.9%46%45%1%9%
A.L.G. Research June 27–30, 2013400± ?51%40%0%9%
Quinnipiac June 5–10, 20131,065± 3%42%41%2%14%
Public Policy Polling April 11–14, 2013500± 4.4%52%41%—7%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		John
Hickenlooper (D)		Scott
Tipton (R)		OtherUndecided
Public Policy Polling April 11–14, 2013500± 4.4%50%40%—10%

Results

Throughout the night, the race was very close. With 90% of the vote in, Beauprez was about 3,000 votes ahead. The Democrats were holding out hope that Jefferson County would edge them out. When 96% of the vote had reported, Hickenlooper prevailed. Beauprez conceded defeat at 5:48 am on the morning of November 6.

2014 Colorado gubernatorial election [73]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic John Hickenlooper (incumbent) 1,006,433 49.30% -1.76%
Republican Bob Beauprez 938,19545.95%+34.81%
Libertarian Matthew Hess39,5901.94%+1.19%
Green Harry Hempy27,3911.34%—
Independent Mike Dunafon24,0421.18%—
Independent Paul Noel Fiorino5,9230.29%—
Write-ins 310.00%—
Majority68,2383.34%-11.33%
Turnout 2,041,605
Democratic hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Constitution to Republican

By congressional district

Hickenlooper won 4 of 7 congressional districts, including one held by a Republican. [74]

DistrictBeauprezHickenlooperRepresentative
1st 26.49%69.38% Diana DeGette
2nd 37.83%57.12% Jared Polis
3rd 50.77%44.2% Scott Tipton
4th 59.48%35.94% Ken Buck
5th 60.96%33.63% Doug Lamborn
6th 46.49%49.71% Mike Coffman
7th 42.07%52.73% Ed Perlmutter

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References

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  2. ↑ "SUNRISE: Hickenlooper in rural Colorado as 2014 race begins". The Gazette. August 15, 2013. Retrieved August 15, 2013.
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  9. ↑ "Kopp taps Vera Ortegon as lieutenant in bid for governor". Colorado Independent. June 6, 2013. Retrieved July 10, 2013.
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  11. ↑ "Brophy sets sights on Governor's race". The Colorado Statesman. July 18, 2013. Archived from the original on August 8, 2013. Retrieved July 23, 2013.
  12. ↑ "Adams County Republican Party Leadership"
  13. ↑ Lee, Kurtis (November 11, 2013). "Steve House, Adams County GOP chair, to run for governor". The Denver Post . Retrieved November 11, 2013.
  14. ↑ Bartels, Lynn (February 21, 2014). ""Cowgirl" joins crowded GOP field for Colorado governor". The Denver Post . Retrieved February 21, 2014.
  15. ↑ "OUT: Jason Clark (aka Kurt Angle) Bows Out of Colorado Governor's Race, Backs Beauprez". Colorado Peak Politics. March 3, 2014. Retrieved April 13, 2014.
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  25. ↑ Setterholm, Drew (November 16, 2013). "Sen. Ellen Roberts announces re-election campaign". Montrose Daily Press. Retrieved March 21, 2014.
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  27. ↑ "Lang Sias, Laura Woods "Tea" Up For SD-19 GOP Primary". ColoradoPols.com. January 23, 2014. Retrieved April 7, 2014.
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  29. 1 2 Stokols, Eli (March 10, 2014). "Suthers backs Beauprez for governor". KDVR . Retrieved April 7, 2014.
  30. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Fish, Sandra (March 17, 2014). "In crowded primary, GOP candidates for governor tout endorsements". The Colorado Independent. Retrieved April 8, 2014.
  31. ↑ "Sen. Greg Brophy endorses former rival for Colorado governor". The Spot. Retrieved November 24, 2014.
  32. ↑ "Steve House endorses Bob Beauprez in Colorado governor's race". The Spot. Retrieved November 24, 2014.
  33. ↑ Brandon Rittiman, KUSA (May 20, 2014). "Beauprez snags Rick Perry endorsement". Archived from the original on June 29, 2014. Retrieved November 24, 2014.
  34. ↑ "Mitt Romney endorses Beauprez in GOP primary". Associated Press. May 13, 2014. Retrieved November 24, 2014.[ permanent dead link ]
  35. ↑ Stokols, Eli (March 13, 2014). "Beauprez's 2006 running mate backs rival Kopp". KDVR . Retrieved April 8, 2014.
  36. ↑ Bartels, Lynn (April 5, 2014). "Michelle Malkin endorses Tom Tancredo for Colorado governor". Denver Post . Retrieved April 5, 2014.
  37. ↑ "Ted Nugent: Tom Tancredo Can 'Defeat Colorado's Gun-Grabbing Governor'". Huffington Post . December 10, 2013. Retrieved December 10, 2013.
  38. ↑ Bartels, Lynn (February 3, 2013). "Oh, Hickenlooper has a challenger after all". Denver Post. Retrieved February 4, 2013.
  39. 1 2 3 "Green State Conventions and contested Primaries". Opposition News. March 25, 2014. Archived from the original on April 9, 2014. Retrieved April 13, 2014.
  40. ↑ Joey Bunch (July 19, 2014). "Colorado governor's race picks up candidate Mike Dunafon, who will make things interesting". The Denver Post. Retrieved July 22, 2014.
  41. 1 2 Peter Roper (October 24, 2014). "Paul Fiorino is the 'creative' candidate". Chieftain.com. Retrieved October 26, 2014.
  42. ↑ Rundberg, Jim (February 8, 2014). "Candidate Working to be Colorado Governor in November!". Facebook. Retrieved April 13, 2014.
  43. ↑ Bunch, Joey (July 1, 2014). "Bob Beauprez picks Douglas County leader Jill Repella as running mate". The Denver Post . Retrieved July 3, 2014.
  44. ↑ Ralph Routon (May 22, 2014). "Local banker Robin Roberts enters governor race as running mate". The Colorado Springs Business Journal. Retrieved August 24, 2014.
  45. ↑ "Paul Fiorino runs for governor". Colorado Music. September 17, 2014. Retrieved October 26, 2014.
  46. ↑ "Marcus Giavanni". Ballotpedia.
  47. ↑ "2014 Libertarian Party Candidates". April 21, 2014. Archived from the original on May 18, 2014. Retrieved July 3, 2014.
  48. ↑ "2014 Governor Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  49. ↑ "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 3, 2014. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  50. ↑ "2014 Gubernatorial Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  51. ↑ "2014 Elections Map - 2014 Governors Races". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
  52. ↑ Mike Dunafon (I) 1%, Paul Fiorino (I) 0%, Harry Hempy (G) 2%, Matthew Hess (L) 2%
  53. 1 2 Harry Hempy (G) 3%, Matthew Hess (L) 3%, Other 1%
  54. ↑ Harry Hempy (G) 4%, Other 1%
  55. 1 2 Matthew Hess (L) 4%, Other 1%
  56. ↑ Mike Dunafon (I) 1%, Harry Hempy (G) 1%, Matthew Hess (L) 2%
  57. ↑ Harry Hempy (G) 2%, Matthew Hess (L) 4%
  58. 1 2 Harry Hempy (G) 3%, Other 1%
  59. 1 2 3 4 Matthew Hess (L)
  60. ↑ Harry Hempy (G) 2%, Matthew Hess (L) 4%, Other 1%
  61. ↑ Harry Hempy (G) 3%, Matthew Hess (L) 4%, Other 1%
  62. ↑ Mike Dunafon (I) 0.4%, Paul Fiorino (I) 1%, Harry Hempy (G) 0.6%, Matthew Hess (L) 2%
  63. ↑ Harry Hempy (G) 2%, Matthew Hess (L) 1%, Other 1%
  64. ↑ Harry Hempy (G) 2%, Other 1%
  65. ↑ Matthew Hess (L) 2%, Other 1%
  66. ↑ Mike Dunafon (I) 1%, Paul Fiorino (I) 0%, Harry Hempy (G) 2%, Matthew Hess (L) 1%
  67. ↑ Harry Hempy (G) 1%, Matthew Hess (L) 5%
  68. ↑ Harry Hempy (G)
  69. ↑ Mike Dunafon (I) 1%, Harry Hempy (G) 0%, Matthew Hess (L) 3%
  70. ↑ Mike Dunafon (I) 1.6%, Paul Fiorino (I) 0.8%, Harry Hempy (G) 1.8%, Matthew Hess (L) 1.8%
  71. ↑ Mike Dunafon (I) 2%, Harry Hempy (G) 1%, Matthew Hess (L) 4%, Other <1%
  72. 1 2 Harry Hempy (G) 4%, Matthew Hess (L) 5%, Other <1%
  73. ↑ Williams, Wayne W. (2014). 2014 Abstract of Votes Cast (PDF). Denver, Colorado: Colorado Secretary of State.
  74. ↑ "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts".
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