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Turnout | 44.40% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Alaska |
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The 2022 Alaska gubernatorial election was held on Tuesday November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Alaska. Incumbent Republican Governor Mike Dunleavy won re-election to a second term, becoming the first Republican governor to be re-elected to a second term since Jay Hammond in 1978 and the first governor, regardless of political affiliation, to be re-elected to a second term since Tony Knowles in 1998. [1]
Following voter approval of Ballot Measure 2 during the 2020 Alaska elections, this was the first gubernatorial election in Alaska held under the new election process. All candidates ran in a nonpartisan blanket top-four primary on August 16, 2022, [2] and the top four candidates advanced to the general election. [3]
In addition to Dunleavy, Democratic former state representative Les Gara, Independent former governor Bill Walker, and Republican Kenai Peninsula Borough mayor Charlie Pierce advanced to the general election. [4] In the general election, Dunleavy received the majority of votes in the first round, preventing an instant runoff.
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Mike Dunleavy (R) | Les Gara (D) | Charlie Pierce (R) | Bill Walker (I) | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alaska Survey Research | July 20–25, 2022 | 1,253 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 22% | 5% | 23% | 9% [lower-alpha 3] | – |
Lake Research Partners (D) [upper-alpha 1] | May 5–11, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 40% | 24% | 5% | 18% | 3% | 10% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican |
| 76,534 | 40.43 | |
Democratic |
| 43,660 | 23.06 | |
Independent |
| 43,111 | 22.77 | |
Republican |
| 12,458 | 6.58 | |
Republican |
| 7,307 | 3.86 | |
Independence |
| 1,702 | 0.90 | |
Republican |
| 1,661 | 0.88 | |
Libertarian |
| 1,381 | 0.73 | |
Republican |
| 1,139 | 0.60 | |
Independent |
| 347 | 0.18 | |
Total votes | 188,626 | 100.00 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [23] | Likely R | July 26, 2022 |
Inside Elections [24] | Likely R | July 22, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [25] | Likely R | June 29, 2022 |
Politico [26] | Likely R | April 1, 2022 |
RCP [27] | Likely R | January 10, 2022 |
Fox News [28] | Likely R | May 12, 2022 |
538 [29] | Likely R | August 25, 2022 |
Elections Daily [30] | Likely R | November 7, 2022 |
No. | Date | Host | Link | Participants | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn | |||||||
Mike Dunleavy | Bill Walker | Les Gara | Charlie Pierce | ||||
1 | October 11, 2022 | Civic and Convention Center | Youtube | P | P | P | P |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | RCV count | Mike Dunleavy (R) | Les Gara (D) | Charlie Pierce (R) | Bill Walker (I) | Undecided / Not Ranked |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dittman Research | October 21–25, 2022 | 403 (LV) | – | 1 | 47% | 25% | 4% | 23% | — |
2 | 51% | 25% | Elim | 24% | — | ||||
Alaska Survey Research | September 25–27, 2022 | 1,282 (LV) | ± 3.0% | ||||||
1 | 43% | 28% | 7% | 21% | — | ||||
2 | 48% | 28% | Elim | 23% | — | ||||
3 | 53% | 47% | Elim | Elim | — | ||||
3* [lower-alpha 4] | 52% | Elim | Elim | 48% | — | ||||
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) [upper-alpha 2] | September 6–11, 2022 | 1,050 (LV) | [lower-alpha 5] | N/A [lower-alpha 6] | 45% | 24% | 6% | 17% | 8% U |
1 | 49% | 26% | 7% | 19% | 8% NR | ||||
2 | 54% | 26% | Elim [lower-alpha 7] | 20% | 10% NR | ||||
3 | 59% | 41% | Elim | Elim [lower-alpha 8] | 13% NR | ||||
Alaska Survey Research | July 2–5, 2022 | 1,201 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 1 | 44% | 26% | 11% | 20% | — |
2 | 51% | 26% | Elim | 23% | — |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | RCV count | Mike Dunleavy (R) | Les Gara (D) | Natasha von Imhof (R) | Bill Walker (I) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alaska Survey Research | October 22–27, 2021 | 969 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 1 | 43% | 22% | 8% | 28% | — |
2 | 46% | 24% | Elim | 30% | — | ||||
3 | 49% | Elim | Elim | 51% | — |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Mike Dunleavy (R) | Les Gara (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hays Research Group (I) Archived August 1, 2022, at the Wayback Machine [upper-alpha 3] | July 22–24, 2022 | 613 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 55% | 45% | — |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Mike Dunleavy (R) | Bill Walker (I) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hays Research Group (I) Archived August 1, 2022, at the Wayback Machine [upper-alpha 3] | July 22–24, 2022 | 613 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 50% | — |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican |
| 132,632 | 50.29% | −1.15% | |
Democratic |
| 63,851 | 24.21% | −20.20% | |
Independent |
| 54,668 | 20.73% | +18.70% | |
Republican |
| 11,817 | 4.48% | N/A | |
Write-in | 784 | 0.30% | +0.09% | ||
Total votes | 263,752 | 100.0% | |||
Turnout | 266,943 | 44.40% | −5.43% | ||
Registered electors | 601,161 | ||||
Republican hold | |||||
Sean Randall Parnell is an American attorney and politician who was the tenth governor of Alaska from 2009 to 2014. He succeeded Sarah Palin in July 2009, and was elected governor in his own right in 2010 with 59.06% of the vote, as the largest percentage margin of any Alaska governor since statehood. In 2014, he narrowly lost his bid for re-election and returned to work in the private sector. He is a member of the Republican Party.
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