2010 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election

Last updated

2010 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election
Flag of Pennsylvania.svg
  2006 November 2, 2010 2014  
Turnout41.7%
  Portrait of PA Governor Tom Corbett (cropped).jpg Dan Onorato (cropped).jpg
Nominee Tom Corbett Dan Onorato
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Jim Cawley H. Scott Conklin
Popular vote2,172,7631,814,788
Percentage54.49%45.51%

2010 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
2010 PA Governor Election by Precinct.svg
Corbett:      50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Onorato:      50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:      50%     No data

Governor before election

Ed Rendell
Democratic

Elected Governor

Tom Corbett
Republican

The 2010 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election was held on November 2, 2010, to elect the Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania, concurrently with elections to the United States Senate in Pennsylvania and other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Contents

Incumbent Democratic Governor Ed Rendell was term-limited and thus ineligible to seek re-election in 2010. In the primary, Democrats nominated Allegheny County Chief Executive Dan Onorato, who defeated Pennsylvania Auditor General Jack Wagner, State Senator Anthony H. Williams and Montgomery County Commissioner Joe Hoeffel. Republicans nominated Pennsylvania Attorney General Tom Corbett, who defeated State Representative Sam Rohrer in the primary. In primary elections for lieutenant governor, which were held separately, H. Scott Conklin defeated Jonathan Saidel and Doris Smith-Ribner in the Democratic primary. Jim Cawley emerged from a nine-candidate field in the Republican primary.

Corbett defeated Onorato in the November general election. As lieutenant gubernatorial nominees run on a joint ticket with the gubernatorial nominee of their respective parties in the general election in Pennsylvania, Cawley was elected lieutenant governor over Conklin.

As of 2024, this was the last time that a Republican was elected governor of Pennsylvania and the last time that Allegheny County was carried by a Republican candidate. This is the last time Republicans won the following counties in a gubernatorial election: Erie, Beaver, Centre, Dauphin, Luzerne, Monroe, Northampton, Lehigh, Berks, Bucks, and Chester. This is the most recent and the last Pennsylvania gubernatorial election in which the winner won a majority of Pennsylvania's counties.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Dropped Out

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredDan
Onorato
Jack
Wagner
Joe
Hoeffel
Anthony
Williams
Chris
Doherty
Tom
Knox
Undecided
Muhlenberg/Morning Call May 7, 201035%8%11%10%36%
Rasmussen Reports May 6, 201034%17%9%17%17%
Quinnipiac April 28 – May 5, 201036%8%9%8%37%
Muhlenberg/Morning Call May 2, 201041%5%6%8%40%
Quinnipiac March 31 – April 5, 201020%13%15%5%47%
Research 2000 March 8–10, 201019%10%12%3%56%
Franklin and Marshall February 23, 20106%6%6%1%4%72%
Rasmussen Reports October 13, 200919%14%11%6%4%37%
Quinnipiac September 30, 200914%7%12%5%4%46%

Results

Results by county:
.mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{}
Onorato--70-80%
Onorato--60-70%
Onorato--50-60%
Onorato--40-50%
Onorato--30-40%
Wagner--30-40%
Wagner--40-50%
Wagner--50-60%
Hoeffel--50-60%
Williams--50-60% Pennsylvania gubernatorial Democratic primary, 2010.svg
Results by county:
  Onorato—70–80%
  Onorato—60–70%
  Onorato—50–60%
  Onorato—40–50%
  Onorato—30–40%
  Wagner—30–40%
  Wagner—40–50%
  Wagner—50–60%
  Hoeffel—50–60%
  Williams—50–60%
Democratic primary results [1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Dan Onorato 463,575 45.1
Democratic Jack Wagner248,33824.1
Democratic Anthony Williams185,78418.1
Democratic Joe Hoeffel130,79912.7
Total votes1,028,496 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Dropped Out

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredJim
Gerlach
Tom
Corbett
Sam
Rohrer
Undecided
Quinnipiac March 31 – April 5, 201058%7%35%
Franklin and Marshall February 23, 201026%4%65%
Rasmussen Reports October 13, 200910%54%30%
Quinnipiac September 30, 200913%42%43%

Results

Results by county:
Corbett--80-90%
Corbett--70-80%
Corbett--60-70%
Corbett--50-60%
Rohrer--50-60%
Rohrer--70-80% Pennsylvania gubernatorial Republican primary, 2010.svg
Results by county:
  Corbett—80–90%
  Corbett—70–80%
  Corbett—60–70%
  Corbett—50–60%
  Rohrer—50–60%
  Rohrer—70–80%
Republican primary results [1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Tom Corbett 589,249 68.7
Republican Sam Rohrer267,89331.3
Total votes857,142 100.0

General election

Candidates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [3] Lean R (flip)October 14, 2010
Rothenberg Political Report [4] Lean R (flip)October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics [5] Lean R (flip)November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Likely R (flip)October 28, 2010
CQ Politics [7] Lean R (flip)October 28, 2010

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredTom
Corbett (R)
Dan
Onorato (D)
Quinnipiac October 25–30, 201052%42%
Rasmussen Reports October 28, 201052%43%
Muhlenberg/Morning Call Archived January 23, 2011, at the Wayback Machine October 28, 201052%37%
Rasmussen Reports October 21, 201050%45%
Public Policy Polling October 17–18, 201048%46%
Quinnipiac October 13–17, 201049%44%
Rasmussen Reports October 15, 201054%40%
Rasmussen Reports October 2, 201053%41%
Franklin & Marshall College in Lancaster September 29, 201036%32%
Suffolk University Archived September 30, 2010, at the Wayback Machine September 24–27, 201047%40%
Muhlenberg/Morning Call [ permanent dead link ]September 18–23, 201046%37%
CNN/Time September 17–21, 201052%44%
Quinnipiac September 15–19, 201054%39%
Rasmussen Reports September 13, 201049%39%
Rasmussen Reports August 30, 201050%37%
Rasmussen Reports August 16, 201048%38%
Public Policy Polling August 14–16, 201048%35%
Rasmussen Reports July 28, 201050%39%
Rasmussen Reports July 14, 201048%38%
Quinnipiac July 6–11, 201044%37%
Rasmussen Reports June 29, 201049%39%
Public Policy Polling June 19–21, 201045%35%
Rasmussen Reports June 2, 201049%33%
Rasmussen Reports May 19, 201049%36%
Quinnipiac [ permanent dead link ]May 4–10, 201043%37%
Rasmussen Reports April 15, 201045%36%
Quinnipiac March 30 – April 5, 201045%33%
Public Policy Polling March 29 – April 1, 201045%32%
Rasmussen Reports March 16, 201046%29%
Research 2000 March 8–10, 201040%34%
Rasmussen Reports February 10, 201052%26%
Rasmussen Reports December 10, 200944%28%
Quinnipiac September 30, 200947%28%

Results

Pennsylvania gubernatorial election, 2010 [8]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Tom Corbett 2,172,763 54.49%
Democratic Dan Onorato 1,814,78845.51%
Total votes3,987,551 100.00%
Republican gain from Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

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References

  1. 1 2 "Pennsylvania Governor Primary Results". PA Secretary of State. May 18, 2010. Retrieved June 2, 2010.
  2. "Meehan quits governor's race".
  3. "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  4. "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report . Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  5. "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics . Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  6. "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". Sabato's Crystal Ball. October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  7. "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 5, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  8. "2010 General Election". Elections Information. Pennsylvania Department of State. November 2, 2010. Archived from the original on May 21, 2012. Retrieved November 2, 2010.
Official campaign websites