2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas

Last updated

2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas
Flag of Arkansas.svg
  2018 November 3, 2020 2022  

All 4 Arkansas seats to the United States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election40
Seats won40
Seat changeSteady2.svgSteady2.svg
Popular vote828,266330,485
Percentage70.23%28.02%
SwingIncrease2.svg 7.67%Decrease2.svg 7.17%

Arkansas Congressional Election Results 2020.svg

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas were held on November 3, 2020, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the state of Arkansas, one from each of the state's four congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.

Contents

Overview

Popular vote
Republican
70.23%
Democratic
28.02%
Libertarian
1.75%
House seats
Republican
100%
Democratic
0%

District

Results of the 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas by district: [1]

District Republican Democratic Libertarian TotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1 237,596100%00.00%00.00%237,596100%Republican Hold
District 2 184,09355.37%148,41044.63%00.00%332,503100%Republican Hold
District 3 214,96064.31%106,32531.81%12,9773.88%334,262100%Republican Hold
District 4 191,61769.67%75,75027.54%7,6682.79%275,035100%Republican Hold
Total828,26670.23%330,48528.02%20,6451.75%1,179,396100%

District 1

2020 Arkansas's 1st congressional district election
Flag of Arkansas.svg
  2018
2022  
  Rick Crawford 117th Congress portrait (cropped).jpeg
Nominee Rick Crawford
Party Republican
Popular vote237,596
Percentage100.0%

2020 AR 1 by county.svg

U.S. Representatives before election

Rick Crawford
Republican

Elected U.S. Representatives

Rick Crawford
Republican

The 1st district encompasses northeastern Arkansas, taking in Jonesboro and West Memphis. The incumbent was Republican Rick Crawford, who was re-elected with 68.9% of the vote in 2018. [2]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe RNovember 2, 2020
Inside Elections [5] Safe ROctober 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe RNovember 2, 2020
Politico [7] Safe RNovember 2, 2020
Daily Kos [8] Safe RNovember 2, 2020
RCP [9] Safe RNovember 2, 2020

Results

Arkansas's 1st congressional district, 2020 [10]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Rick Crawford (incumbent) 237,596 100.0
Total votes237,596 100.0
Republican hold

District 2

2020 Arkansas's 2nd congressional district election
Flag of Arkansas.svg
  2018
2022  
  French Hill, official photo, 115th Congress (cropped).jpg Joyce Elliott 2020 cropped (cropped).jpg
Nominee French Hill Joyce Elliott
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote184,093148,410
Percentage55.4%44.6%

2018 AR 2.svg
Results by county
Hill:     60–70%     70–80%
Elliott:     50–60%

U.S. Representatives before election

French Hill
Republican

Elected U.S. Representatives

French Hill
Republican

The 2nd district takes in Central Arkansas, including Little Rock and the surrounding exurbs. The incumbent was Republican French Hill, who was re-elected with 52.1% of the vote in 2018. [2]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Endorsements

General election

Debate

2020 Arkansas's 2nd congressional district debate
No.DateHostModeratorLink Republican Democratic
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
French Hill Joyce Elliott
1Oct. 12, 2020 Arkansas PBS Steve Barnes YouTube PP

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] TossupNovember 2, 2020
Inside Elections [5] TossupOctober 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Lean RNovember 2, 2020
Politico [7] Lean RNovember 2, 2020
Daily Kos [8] TossupNovember 2, 2020
RCP [9] Lean RNovember 2, 2020

Polling

Graphical summary
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
French
Hill (R)
Joyce
Elliott (D)
OtherUndecided
Change Research October 29 – November 2, 2020586 (LV)± 4.5%48%48%4% [lower-alpha 2] 1%
ALG Research (D) [ permanent dead link ] [upper-alpha 1] October 16–21, 2020500 (LV)± 4.4%47%47%
Hendrix College October 11–13, 2020644 (LV)± 4.9%46%46%9%
ALG Research (D) [upper-alpha 1] September 27–29, 2020511 (LV)± 4.4%48%48%
Brilliant Corners Research & Strategies (D) [upper-alpha 2] September 10–16, 2020605 (LV)46%48%
ALG Research (D) [upper-alpha 1] September 9–13, 2020511 (LV) [lower-alpha 3] 50%46%
Hendrix College/TalkBusiness September 4–9, 2020698 (LV)± 4.3%48%46%7%
ALG Research (D) [upper-alpha 1] June 18–24, 2020511 (LV) [lower-alpha 3] 50%43%

Results

Arkansas's 2nd congressional district, 2020 [10]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican French Hill (incumbent) 184,093 55.4
Democratic Joyce Elliott 148,41044.6
Total votes332,503 100.0
Republican hold

District 3

2020 Arkansas's 3rd congressional district election
Flag of Arkansas.svg
  2018
2022  
  Steve Womack 2018.jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Steve Womack Celeste Williams
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote214,960106,325
Percentage64.3%31.8%

2020 AR 3 by county.svg
Results by county
Womack:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%

U.S. Representatives before election

Steve Womack
Republican

Elected U.S. Representatives

Steve Womack
Republican

The 3rd district covers northwestern Arkansas, including Bentonville, Fayetteville, Springdale and Fort Smith. The incumbent was Republican Steve Womack, who was re-elected with 64.7% of the vote in 2018. [2]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Celeste Williams, nurse practitioner [26]

Other

Candidates

Declared

General election

Debate

2020 Arkansas's 3rd congressional district debate
No.DateHostModeratorLink Republican Democratic Libertarian
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
Steve Womack Celeste WilliamsMichael Kalagias
1Oct. 13, 2020 Arkansas PBS Steve Barnes YouTube PPP

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe RNovember 2, 2020
Inside Elections [5] Safe ROctober 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe RNovember 2, 2020
Politico [7] Safe RNovember 2, 2020
Daily Kos [8] Safe RNovember 2, 2020
RCP [9] Safe RNovember 2, 2020

Results

Arkansas's 3rd congressional district, 2020 [10]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Steve Womack (incumbent) 214,960 64.3
Democratic Celeste Williams106,32531.8
Libertarian Michael Kalagias12,9773.9
Total votes334,262 100.0
Republican hold

District 4

2020 Arkansas's 4th congressional district election
Flag of Arkansas.svg
  2018
2022  
  Bruce Westerman 118th Congress (cropped).jpeg 3x4.svg
Nominee Bruce Westerman William Hanson
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote191,61775,750
Percentage69.7%27.5%

2020 AR 4.svg
Results by county
Westerman:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Hanson:     50–60%

U.S. Representatives before election

Bruce Westerman
Republican

Elected U.S. Representatives

Bruce Westerman
Republican

The 4th district encompasses southwestern Arkansas, taking in Camden, Hope, Hot Springs, Magnolia, Pine Bluff, and Texarkana. The incumbent was Republican Bruce Westerman, who was re-elected with 66.7% of the vote in 2018. [2]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared
  • William Hanson, former law professor [27]

Other

Candidates

Declared

General election

Debate

2020 Arkansas's 4th congressional district debate
No.DateHostModeratorLink Republican Democratic Libertarian
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
Bruce Westerman Williams HansonFrank Gilbert
1Oct. 13, 2020 Arkansas PBS Steve Barnes YouTube PPP

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [4] Safe RNovember 2, 2020
Inside Elections [5] Safe ROctober 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [6] Safe RNovember 2, 2020
Politico [7] Safe RNovember 2, 2020
Daily Kos [8] Safe RNovember 2, 2020
RCP [9] Safe RNovember 2, 2020

Results

Arkansas's 4th congressional district, 2020 [10]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Bruce Westerman (incumbent) 191,617 69.7
Democratic William Hanson75,75027.5
Libertarian Frank Gilbert7,6682.8
Total votes275,035 100.0
Republican hold

See also

Notes

  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. "Don't recall" with 3%; Did not vote with 1%; Would not vote with 0%
  3. 1 2 Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
Partisan clients
  1. 1 2 3 4 Poll sponsored by Elliott's campaign.
  2. Poll sponsored by EMILY's List.

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References

  1. Johnson, Cheryl L. (February 28, 2019). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 3, 2020". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives.
  2. 1 2 3 4 Wasserman, David; Flinn, Ally (November 7, 2018). "2018 House Popular Vote Tracker". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on April 3, 2019. Retrieved November 12, 2019.
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  5. 1 2 3 4 "2020 House Ratings". House Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
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  7. 1 2 3 4 "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. April 5, 2021.
  8. 1 2 3 4 "2020 House Race Ratings". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
  9. 1 2 3 4 "Battle for House 2020". RCP . Retrieved April 5, 2021.
  10. 1 2 3 4 "2020 General Election and Nonpartisan Judicial Runoff". Arkansas Secretary of State. Retrieved November 25, 2020.
  11. "State Sen. Joyce Elliott to challenge Rep. French Hill in 2020 election". November 12, 2019. Retrieved November 12, 2019.
  12. "Democratic nominee Joe Biden formally endorses Joyce Elliott for Congress". KATV. September 18, 2020. Retrieved March 3, 2021.
  13. Obama, Barack (August 3, 2020). "First Wave of 2020 Endorsements". Medium.
  14. "| CBCPAC". www.cbcpac.org.
  15. "Red to Blue". Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee . Archived from the original on October 7, 2020. Retrieved June 5, 2020.
  16. Schriock, Stephanie (June 16, 2020). "EMILY's List Endorses Joyce Elliott in Arkansas's 2nd Congressional District". www.emilyslist.org. EMILY's List.
  17. "Allies for Equality". Equality PAC. Archived from the original on September 13, 2020. Retrieved January 9, 2021.
  18. Acosta, Lucas (June 3, 2020). "Human Rights Campaign Announces Pro-Equality Endorsements". Human Rights Campaign.
  19. Sittenfeld, Tiernan (July 15, 2020). "LCV Action Fund Endorses Joyce Elliott for Congress". League of Conservation Voters. LCV Action Fund.
  20. "NARAL Pro-Choice America Endorses Slate of Reproductive Freedom Champions for U.S. House of Representatives". NARAL Pro-Choice America. July 10, 2020.
  21. "2020 PACE Endorsements". NASW.
  22. "Endorsed Candidates". NWPC.
  23. "PeaceVoter 2020 Endorsements". Peace Action. Archived from the original on March 20, 2020. Retrieved July 28, 2020.
  24. McGill Johnson, Alexis (May 20, 2020). "Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorses Health Care Champions in Competitive Races". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org.
  25. "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements". Sierra Club.
  26. "Democrat Celeste Williams Announces Bid For Womack's US House Seat In Arkansas". 5News Web. August 14, 2019. Retrieved August 16, 2019.
  27. "Democrat announces campaign for south Arkansas US congress seat held by Republican". September 6, 2019. Retrieved September 6, 2019.
Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates