2020 United States Senate election in Louisiana

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2020 United States Senate election in Louisiana
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  Bill Cassidy official Senate photo.jpg Adrian Perkins ROTC visit (cropped).jpg No image.svg
Candidate Bill Cassidy Adrian Perkins Derrick Edwards
Party Republican Democratic Democratic
Popular vote1,228,908394,049229,814
Percentage59.32%19.02%11.09%
2020 United States Senate election in Louisiana results map by parish.svg
2020 LA Senate.svg
Cassidy:     20–30%     30–40%     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Perkins:     20–30%     30–40%     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Edwards:     20–30%     30–40%     40–50%     50–60%
Pierce:     30–40%
Tie:     20–30%     30–40%     40–50%     50%     No votes
U.S. senator before election

Bill Cassidy
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Bill Cassidy
Republican

The 2020 United States Senate election in Louisiana was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Louisiana, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. A blanket primary was held on November 3, 2020; if no candidate had won a majority of the vote in the blanket primary, then a runoff election would have been held on December 5. [1]

Contents

Candidates

Republican Party

Declared

Democratic Party

Though there were multiple Democratic candidates, the one with the most institutional support was Shreveport Mayor Adrian Perkins, who had the endorsements of the Louisiana Democratic Party and the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee and would end up receiving the nomination. [5]

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Adrian Perkins (D)
Federal officials
State officials
Local officials
Organizations
U.S. senators
  • Cory Booker, U.S. senator from New Jersey (2013–present) [16]
  • Kamala Harris, U.S. senator from California (2017–2021) and Democratic 2020 vice presidential nominee [20]
Antoine Pierce (D)
Individuals
  • Andrew Yang, businessman, entrepreneur, non-profit leader and 2020 presidential candidate [21]
Organizations

Libertarian Party

Declared

  • Aaron Sigler, neurosurgeon [6]

Independents

Declared

  • Beryl Billiot, businessman [23]
  • John Paul Bourgeois [23]
  • Reno Jean Daret III [23]
  • Alexander "Xan" John, businessman and law student [23]
  • Jamar "Doc" Montgomery, attorney [24]

Withdrew

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [25] Safe ROctober 29, 2020
Inside Elections [26] Safe ROctober 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [27] Safe RNovember 2, 2020
Daily Kos [28] Safe ROctober 30, 2020
Politico [29] Safe RNovember 2, 2020
RCP [30] Safe ROctober 23, 2020
DDHQ [31] Safe RNovember 3, 2020
538 [32] Safe RNovember 2, 2020
Economist [33] Likely RNovember 2, 2020

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Bill
Cassidy (R)		Dustin
Murphy (R)		Adrian
Perkins (D)		Antoine
Pierce (D)		OtherUndecided
ALG Research (D) Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine [upper-alpha 1] August 6–12, 2020800 (LV)± 3.5%42%6%17%11%3% [lower-alpha 2] 21%

Head to head matchups

Bill Cassidy vs. Adrian Perkins
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Bill
Cassidy (R)		Adrian
Perkins (D)		Undecided
ALG Research (D) Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine [upper-alpha 1] August 6–12, 2020800 (LV)± 3.5%52%33%16%
Hypothetical polling
Bill Cassidy vs. generic opponent
Poll sourceDateSample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Bill
Cassidy (R)		Generic
Opponent		Undecided
Tyson Group/Consumer Energy Alliance [upper-alpha 2] September 2–5, 2020600 (LV)± 4%38%37%24%
Tyson Group/Consumer Energy Alliance [upper-alpha 2] March 16, 2020– (V) [lower-alpha 3] –48%25%27%
Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat
Poll sourceDateSample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Generic
Republican		Generic
Democrat		OtherUndecided
ALG Research (D) Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine [upper-alpha 1] August 6–12, 2020800 (LV)± 3.5%43%33%2% [lower-alpha 4] 23% [lower-alpha 5]

Results

United States Senate election blanket primary in Louisiana, 2020 [34]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Bill Cassidy (incumbent) 1,228,908 59.32%
Democratic Adrian Perkins 394,04919.02%
Democratic Derrick Edwards229,81411.09%
Democratic Antoine Pierce55,7102.69%
Republican Dustin Murphy38,3831.85%
Democratic Drew Knight36,9621.78%
Independent Beryl Billiot17,3620.84%
Independent John Paul Bourgeois16,5180.8%
Democratic Peter Wenstrup14,4540.7%
Libertarian Aaron Sigler11,3210.55%
Independent M.V. "Vinny" Mendoza7,8110.38%
Independent Melinda Mary Price7,6800.37%
Independent Jamar Montgomery5,8040.28%
Independent Reno Jean Daret III3,9540.19%
Independent Alexander "Xan" John2,8130.14%
Total votes2,071,543 100%
Republican hold

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 4 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ↑ Mendoza (I) with 2%; Sigler (L) with 1%
  3. ↑ Not yet released
  4. ↑ "Neither" with 2%
  5. ↑ "It depends" with 19%; "Don't know" with 4%
Partisan clients
  1. 1 2 3 Poll sponsored by Adrians Perkins' campaign.
  2. 1 2 The Consumer Energy Alliance is a pro-Keystone XL lobbying group

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References

  1. ↑ "United States Senate election in Louisiana, 2020". Ballotpedia.
  2. ↑ Hilburn, Greg (March 7, 2019). "Sen. Cassidy: I'm running for re-election in 2020". The News-Star. Retrieved March 10, 2019.
  3. ↑ "2020 Election United States Senate – Louisiana". FEC.gov. Retrieved October 22, 2020.
  4. 1 2 "Louisiana". Politics1. Retrieved June 29, 2020.
  5. ↑ "DSCC Endorses Mayor Adrian Perkins in Louisiana Senate Race". Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. July 23, 2020. Retrieved July 23, 2020.
  6. 1 2 3 4 "Candidate Inquiry". Louisiana Secretary of State. July 24, 2020. Retrieved August 16, 2020.
  7. 1 2 "The Green Papers: Louisiana 2020 General Election". The Green Papers. April 22, 2020. Retrieved May 17, 2020.
  8. ↑ Bridges, Tyler (July 15, 2020). "Democrats still looking for a big-name candidate to challenge Sen. Bill Cassidy's reelection bid". The Advocate. Retrieved July 15, 2020.
  9. ↑ "Antoine Pierce Becomes the First Democratic Candidate to Enter the 2020 Senate Race in Louisiana". Chestnut Post. August 14, 2019. Archived from the original on September 2, 2019. Retrieved September 1, 2019.
  10. 1 2 "Louisiana Senate 2020 Race". Open Secrets. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
  11. ↑ "Dartanyon A. Williams (D-LA) Announces US Senate Run for Louisiana, Challenging Incumbent Bill Cassidy (R-LA)". Business Insider. March 26, 2020. Retrieved May 17, 2020.
  12. ↑ "Mary Landrieu Closes the Door on Another Run". Roll Call. Retrieved May 2, 2020.
  13. ↑ Arkin, James (January 10, 2019). "Presidential dreams pull Democrats away from key Senate races". Politico. Retrieved February 9, 2019.[ permanent dead link ]
  14. ↑ Obama, Barack [@barackobama] (September 25, 2020). "I'm proud to endorse these outstanding Democratic candidates who will work to get the virus under control, rebuild the economy and the middle class, and protect Americans' health care and preexisting conditions protections. Support these candidates––and vote early if you can" (Tweet). Retrieved November 23, 2022– via Twitter.
  15. ↑ Ferrell, Scott. "Gov. John Bel Edwards endorses Shreveport Mayor Adrian Perkins for Senate". The Times.
  16. 1 2 Mark Ballard (July 23, 2020). "Bill Cassidy picks up formidable opponent in Senate race on second day of candidate qualifying". The Advocate.
  17. ↑ "Release: Louisiana Democrats Endorse Mayor Adrian Perkins for U.S. Senate". September 26, 2020.
  18. ↑ "DSCC Endorses Mayor Adrian Perkins in Louisiana Senate Race". DSCC: Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. July 23, 2020.
  19. ↑ "Adrian Perkins for Senate". VoteVets.org. Archived from the original on August 9, 2020. Retrieved August 20, 2020.
  20. ↑ "LA-Sen: Sen. Kamala Harris (D. CA) Endorses Shreveport Mayor Adrian Perkins (D) For U.S. Senate". Daily Kos.
  21. 1 2 "In the Now". Antoine Pierce for U.S. Senate. Archived from the original on July 11, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
  22. ↑ "2020 Endorsed House Candidates". DUH! Demand Universal Healthcare. Archived from the original on May 2, 2020. Retrieved March 19, 2020.
  23. 1 2 3 4 "Candidate Inquiry". voterportal.sos.la.gov.
  24. ↑ Senate, Doc Montgomery for US. "Doc Montgomery for US Senate – Politics". Doc Montgomery for US Senate.
  25. ↑ "2020 Senate Race Ratings for October 29, 2020". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
  26. ↑ "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
  27. ↑ "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 12, 2021.
  28. ↑ "2020 Senate Race Ratings". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
  29. ↑ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  30. ↑ "Battle for the Senate 2020". RCP. October 23, 2020.
  31. ↑ "2020 Senate Elections Model". Decision Desk HQ. September 2, 2020. Retrieved September 2, 2020.
  32. ↑ Silver, Nate (September 18, 2020). "Forecasting the race for the Senate". FiveThirtyEight . Retrieved September 18, 2020.
  33. ↑ "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. November 2, 2020. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
  34. ↑ "2020 – General Election Official Results". Louisiana Secretary of State. Retrieved November 22, 2020.
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