2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi

Last updated

2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi
Bicentennial Banner of Mississippi.svg
  2018 November 3, 2020 (2020-11-03) 2022  

All 4 Mississippi seats to the United States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election31
Seats won31
Seat changeSteady2.svgSteady2.svg
Popular vote806,859421,121
Percentage65.71%34.29%
SwingIncrease2.svg 15.53%Decrease2.svg 8.18%

2020 U.S. House elections in Mississippi.svg

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the U.S. state of Mississippi; one from each of the state's four congressional districts. Primaries are scheduled for March 10, 2020.

Contents

Overview

District Republican Democratic TotalResult
Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1 228,78768.75%104,00831.25%332,795100.0%Republican hold
District 2 101,01033.98%196,22466.02%297,234100.0%Democratic hold
District 3 221,06464.67%120,78235.32%341,846100.0%Republican hold
District 4 255,971100.00%00.00%255,971100.0%Republican hold
Total806,85965.71%421,12134.29%1,227,846100.0%
Popular vote
Republican
65.71%
Democratic
34.29%
House seats
Republican
75.00%
Democratic
25.00%

District 1

2020 Mississippi's 1st congressional district election
Bicentennial Banner of Mississippi.svg
  2018
2022  
  Trent Kelly, Official Portrait, 115th Congress (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Trent Kelly Antonia Eliason
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote228,787104,008
Percentage68.7%31.3%

2020 United States House Election in Mississippi's 1st District by County.svg
County results
Kelly:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Eliason:     50–60%

MS1 House 2020.svg
Precinct results
Kelly:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Eliason:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%

U.S. Representative before election

Trent Kelly
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Trent Kelly
Republican

The 1st district takes in the northeastern area of the state, including Columbus, Oxford, Southaven, and Tupelo. The incumbent is Republican Trent Kelly, who was re-elected with 66.9% of the vote in 2018. [1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

Republican primary results [3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Trent Kelly (incumbent) 56,501 100.0%
Total votes56,501 100.0%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

Democratic primary results [4]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Antonia Eliason 37,830 100.0%
Total votes37,830 100.0%

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [5] Safe RJuly 2, 2020
Inside Elections [6] Safe RJune 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [7] Safe RJuly 2, 2020
Politico [8] Safe RApril 19, 2020
Daily Kos [9] Safe RJune 3, 2020
RCP [10] Safe RJune 9, 2020
Niskanen [11] Safe RJune 7, 2020

Results

Mississippi's 1st congressional district, 2020 [12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Trent Kelly (incumbent) 228,787 68.7
Democratic Antonia Eliason104,00831.3
Total votes332,795 100.0
Republican hold

District 2

2020 Mississippi's 2nd congressional district election
Bicentennial Banner of Mississippi.svg
  2018
2022  
  Bennie Thompson official photo (2).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Bennie Thompson Brian Flowers
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote196,224101,010
Percentage66.0%34.0%

2020 MS-2.svg
Results by county

Flowers:     50-60%     60-70%

Thompson:     50-60%     60-70%     70-80%     80-90%

MS2 House 2020.svg
Precinct results
Flowers:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Thompson:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     50%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Bennie Thompson
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Bennie Thompson
Democratic

The 2nd district encompasses the Mississippi Delta, taking in most of Jackson, the riverfront cities of Greenville and Vicksburg, and the interior market cities of Clarksdale, Greenwood and Clinton. The incumbent is Democrat Bennie Thompson, who was re-elected with 71.8% of the vote in 2018 without major-party opposition. [1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

2020 Mississippi's 2nd congressional district Democratic primary results by county
Thompson
Thompson-->=90%
Thompson--80-90% 2020MS02D.svg
2020 Mississippi's 2nd congressional district Democratic primary results by county
Thompson
  •   Thompson—≥90%
  •   Thompson—80–90%
Democratic primary results [4]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Bennie Thompson (incumbent) 97,921 94.0
Democratic Sonia Rathburn6,2566.0
Total votes104,177 100.0%

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Thomas Carey, realtor [13]
  • Brian Flowers, nuclear worker, Navy veteran [13]
  • B.C. Hammond, volunteer firefighter, farmer and a small business owner [13]

Primary results

2020 Mississippi's 2nd congressional district Republican primary initial round results by county
Flowers
Flowers--60-70%
Flowers--50-60%
Flowers--40-50%
Flowers--30-40%
Carey
Carey--30-40%
Carey--40-50%
Carey--50-60%
Hammond
Hammond--40-50%
Hammond--50-60%
Hammond--60-70% 2020MS02GOP.svg
2020 Mississippi's 2nd congressional district Republican primary initial round results by county
Flowers
  •   Flowers—60–70%
  •   Flowers—50–60%
  •   Flowers—40–50%
  •   Flowers—30–40%
Carey
  •   Carey—30–40%
  •   Carey—40–50%
  •   Carey—50–60%
Hammond
  •   Hammond—40–50%
  •   Hammond—50–60%
  •   Hammond—60–70%
Republican primary results [3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Brian Flowers 9,883 37.9
Republican Thomas Carey 9,456 36.1
Republican B.C. Hammond6,81226.0
Total votes26,151 100.0%

Runoff results

Republican primary runoff results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Brian Flowers 3,747 70.0%
Republican Thomas Carey1,60730.0%
Total votes5,354 100.0%

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [5] Safe DJuly 2, 2020
Inside Elections [6] Safe DJune 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [7] Safe DJuly 2, 2020
Politico [8] Safe DApril 19, 2020
Daily Kos [9] Safe DJune 3, 2020
RCP [10] Safe DJune 9, 2020
Niskanen [11] Safe DJune 7, 2020

Results

Mississippi's 2nd congressional district, 2020 [12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Bennie Thompson (incumbent) 196,224 66.0
Republican Brian Flowers101,01034.0
Total votes297,234 100.0
Democratic hold

District 3

2020 Mississippi's 3rd congressional district election
Bicentennial Banner of Mississippi.svg
  2018
2022  
  Michael Guest, official portrait, 116th Congress (cropped 2).jpg 3x4.svg
Nominee Michael Guest Dorothy Benford
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote221,064120,782
Percentage64.7%35.3%

MS3 House 2020.svg
Precinct results
Guest:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Benford:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     50%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Michael Guest
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Michael Guest
Republican

The 3rd district is located in eastern and southwestern Mississippi, taking in Meridian, Starkville, Pearl, Natchez, and most of the wealthier portions of Jackson, including the portion of the city located in Rankin County. The incumbent is Republican Michael Guest, who was elected with 62.3% of the vote in 2018. [1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

2020 Mississippi's 3rd congressional district Republican primary results by county
Guest
Guest-->=90%
Guest--80-90%
Guest--70-80% 2020MS03GOP.svg
2020 Mississippi's 3rd congressional district Republican primary results by county
Guest
  •   Guest—≥90%
  •   Guest—80–90%
  •   Guest—70–80%
Republican primary results [3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Michael Guest (incumbent) 67,269 89.8
Republican James Tulp7,61810.2
Total votes74,887 100.0%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared
  • Dorothy "Dot" Benford, activist
  • Katelyn Lee, veterinary medical technologist [13]

Primary results

2020 Mississippi's 3rd congressional district Democratic primary results by county
Benford
Benford--70-80%
Benford--60-70%
Benford--50-60% 2020MS03D.svg
2020 Mississippi's 3rd congressional district Democratic primary results by county
Benford
  •   Benford—70–80%
  •   Benford—60–70%
  •   Benford—50–60%
Democratic primary results [4]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Dorothy "Dot" Benford 38,967 64.0
Democratic Katelyn Lee21,95136.0
Total votes60,918 100.0%

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [5] Safe RJuly 2, 2020
Inside Elections [6] Safe RJune 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [7] Safe RJuly 2, 2020
Politico [8] Safe RApril 19, 2020
Daily Kos [9] Safe RJune 3, 2020
RCP [10] Safe RJune 9, 2020
Niskanen [11] Safe RJune 7, 2020

Results

Mississippi's 3rd congressional district, 2020 [12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Michael Guest (incumbent) 221,064 64.7
Democratic Dorothy "Dot" Benford120,78235.3
Total votes341,846 100.0
Republican hold

District 4

2020 Mississippi's 4th congressional district election
Bicentennial Banner of Mississippi.svg
  2018
2022  
  Steven Palazzo 116th congress (cropped).jpg
Nominee Steven Palazzo
Party Republican
Popular vote255,971
Percentage100.0%

MS4 House 2020.svg
Precinct results
Palazzo:     >90%

U.S. Representative before election

Steven Palazzo
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Steven Palazzo
Republican

The 4th district encompasses the Mississippi Gulf Coast, including Gulfport, Biloxi, Hattiesburg, Bay St. Louis, Laurel, and Pascagoula. The incumbent is Republican Steven Palazzo, who was elected with 68.2% of the vote in 2018. [1]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Primary results

2020 Mississippi's 4th congressional district Republican primary results by county
Palazzo
Palazzo--80-90%
Palazzo--70-80%
Palazzo--60-70%
Palazzo--50-60% 2020MS04GOP.svg
2020 Mississippi's 4th congressional district Republican primary results by county
Palazzo
  •   Palazzo—80–90%
  •   Palazzo—70–80%
  •   Palazzo—60–70%
  •   Palazzo—50–60%
Republican primary results [3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Steven Palazzo (incumbent) 54,318 66.8
Republican Robert Deming11,46314.1
Republican Samuel Hickman7,9819.8
Republican Carl Boyanton7,5339.3
Total votes81,295 100.0%

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [5] Safe RJuly 2, 2020
Inside Elections [6] Safe RJune 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [7] Safe RJuly 2, 2020
Politico [8] Safe RApril 19, 2020
Daily Kos [9] Safe RJune 3, 2020
RCP [10] Safe RJune 9, 2020
Niskanen [11] Safe RJune 7, 2020

Results

Mississippi's 4th congressional district, 2020 [12]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Steven Palazzo (incumbent) 255,971 100.0
Total votes255,971 100.0
Republican hold

Related Research Articles

Mississippi's 4th congressional district covers the southeastern region of the state. It includes all of Mississippi's Gulf Coast, stretching ninety miles between the Alabama border to the east and the Louisiana border to the west, and extends north into the Pine Belt region. It includes three of Mississippi's four most heavily populated cities: Gulfport, Biloxi, and Hattiesburg. Other major cities within the district include Bay St. Louis, Laurel, and Pascagoula. The district is currently represented by Republican Mike Ezell. With a Cook Partisan Voting Index rating of R+22, it is the most Republican district in Mississippi.

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References

  1. 1 2 3 4 Wasserman, David; Flinn, Ally (November 7, 2018). "2018 House Popular Vote Tracker". Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 2, 2019.
  2. 1 2 Vance, Taylor (January 13, 2020). "Antonia Eliason, Trent Kelly launch campaigns for U.S. congressional election". Daily Journal. Retrieved February 2, 2020.
  3. 1 2 3 4 "2020 State Republican Party Certified Primary Election Results". MS GOP. June 3, 2020. Archived from the original on August 14, 2020. Retrieved June 3, 2020.
  4. 1 2 3 "2020 State Democratic Party Certified Primary Election Results". MS DEMS. June 3, 2020. Archived from the original on April 18, 2020. Retrieved June 3, 2020.
  5. 1 2 3 4 "2020 Senate Race Ratings for April 19, 2019". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2019.
  6. 1 2 3 4 "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 3, 2019.
  7. 1 2 3 4 "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived from the original on August 22, 2019. Retrieved August 28, 2019.
  8. 1 2 3 4 "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  9. 1 2 3 4 "Daily Kos Elections releases initial Senate race ratings for 2020". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved February 28, 2020.
  10. 1 2 3 4 "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  11. 1 2 3 4 "2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections". Niskanen Center. April 28, 2020. Archived from the original on June 21, 2020. Retrieved April 29, 2020.
  12. 1 2 3 4 "State of Mississippi OFFICIAL 2020 GENERAL ELECTION CERTIFIED RESULTS" (PDF). State of Mississippi Secretary of State. Retrieved December 28, 2020.
  13. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Ramseth, Luke (January 22, 2020). "Mississippi election 2020: Who's running for U.S. Senate, House seats?". The Clarion Ledger. Retrieved February 2, 2020.
  14. "James Tulp to run for Mississippi's third congressional district". WJTV. January 10, 2020. Retrieved February 2, 2020.
  15. 1 2 Corder, Frank (January 7, 2020). "MS-4 Rep. Steven Palazzo draws 2 GOP primary challengers including former intern". Y'all Politics. Retrieved February 2, 2020.
  16. Chighizola, Grant (January 9, 2020). "ROBERT DEMING ANNOUNCES CANDIDACY FOR CONGRESS". WXXV 25. Retrieved February 2, 2020.
Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates