2020 United States presidential election in Connecticut

Last updated

2020 United States presidential election in Connecticut
Flag of Connecticut.svg
  2016 November 3, 2020 2024  
Turnout79.70% Increase2.svg
  Joe Biden presidential portrait (cropped).jpg Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg
Nominee Joe Biden Donald Trump
Party Democratic Republican
Home state Delaware Florida
Running mate Kamala Harris Mike Pence
Electoral vote70
Popular vote1,080,680715,291
Percentage59.24%39.21%

Connecticut Presidential Election Results 2020.svg
Connecticut Presidential Election Results 2020 by Municipality.svg
2020 United States presidential election in Connecticut results by congressional district.svg
2020 Presidential Election by CT COG.svg
CT President Precinct 2020.svg

President before election

Donald Trump
Republican

Elected President

Joe Biden
Democratic

The 2020 United States presidential election in Connecticut was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. [1] Connecticut voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Connecticut has seven electoral votes in the Electoral College. [2]

Contents

Connecticut voted 16% more Democratic than the national average.

Primary elections

The primary elections were originally scheduled for April 28, 2020. On March 19, they were moved to June 2 due to concerns over the COVID-19 pandemic. [3] Then on April 17, they were further pushed back to August 11. [4]

Republican primary

The state had 28 delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention, all going to Trump. [5]

2020 Connecticut Republican presidential primary [6]
CandidateVotes %Delegates
Donald Trump 71,66778.4%28
Uncommitted12,99414.2%
Rocky De La Fuente (withdrawn)6,7917.4%
Total91,452100%28

Democratic primary

2020 Connecticut Democratic presidential primary [7]
CandidateVotes %Delegates [8]
Joe Biden 224,50084.9060
Bernie Sanders (withdrawn)30,51211.54
Tulsi Gabbard (withdrawn)3,4291.30
Uncommitted5,9752.26
Total264,416100%60

Libertarian caucus

2020 Connecticut Libertarian presidential caucus
Flag of Connecticut.svg
April 25–28, 2020 2024  
  OH
NY  
  Jacob Hornberger by Gage Skidmore (cropped) (3).jpg Jim Gray (cropped).jpg Jo Jorgensen by Gage Skidmore 3 (50448627641) (crop 2).jpg
CandidateJacob Hornberger Jim Gray Jo Jorgensen
Home state Virginia California South Carolina
First vote47
(31.7%)
23
(13.8%)
18
(10.8%)
Final vote85
(66.9%)
42
(33.1%)
Eliminated

  Kokesh2013 (cropped).jpg Vermin Supreme August 2019 (cropped).jpg
Candidate Adam Kokesh Vermin Supreme
Home state Indiana Massachusetts
First vote14
(8.4%)
14
(8.4%)
Final voteEliminatedEliminated

Voting took place from April 25–28, 2020. [9]

Connecticut Libertarian presidential caucus [9]
CandidateRound 1Round 19
Votes%TransferVotes%
Jacob Hornberger4731.7%+ 488566.9%
James P. Gray 2313.8%+ 194233.1%
Jo Jorgensen 1810.8%- 34Eliminated in round 18
Adam Kokesh 148.4%- 22Eliminated in round 17
Vermin Supreme 148.4%- 16Eliminated in round 16
Brian Ellison63.6%- 11Eliminated in round 15
Souraya Faas42.4%- 8Eliminated in round 14
N.O.T.A84.2%- 8Eliminated in round 13
Dan Behrman53.0%- 5Eliminated in round 12
Sorinne Ardeleanu42.4%- 5Eliminated in round 11
Sam Robb42.4%- 5Eliminated in round 10
Arvin Vohra42.4%- 4Eliminated in round 9
John Monds 42.4%- 4Eliminated in round 8
Ken Armstrong10.6%- 3Eliminated in round 7
Phil Gray21.2%- 2Eliminated in round 6
Steve Richey10.6%- 1Eliminated in round 5
Erik Gerhardt10.6%- 1Eliminated in round 4
Jedidiah Hill10.6%- 1Eliminated in round 3
Louis Vanacore10.6%- 1Eliminated in round 2
Kenneth Blevins, James Ogle, Rhett Smith00.0%- 0Eliminated in round 1
Round 1 total167100.0%Round 9 total167 (40 exhausted)100.0%

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [10] Safe DSeptember 10, 2020
Inside Elections [11] Safe DSeptember 4, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball [12] Safe DJuly 14, 2020
Politico [13] Safe DSeptember 8, 2020
RCP [14] Likely DNovember 3, 2020
Niskanen [15] Safe DJuly 26, 2020
CNN [16] Safe DAugust 3, 2020
The Economist [17] Safe DSeptember 2, 2020
CBS News [18] Likely DAugust 16, 2020
270towin [19] Safe DAugust 2, 2020
ABC News [20] Safe DJuly 31, 2020
NPR [21] Likely DAugust 3, 2020
NBC News [22] Likely DAugust 6, 2020
538 [23] Safe DSeptember 9, 2020

Polling

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Donald
Trump

Republican
Other/
Undecided
[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
FiveThirtyEight until November 2, 2020November 3, 202058.6%32.4%9.0%

Polls

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump

Republican
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Jo
Jorgensen

Libertarian
Howie
Hawkins

Green
Other Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 20 – Nov 2, 20202,031 (LV)± 3.5%38% [lower-alpha 3] 60%--
Swayable [lower-alpha 4] Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020367 (LV)± 6.2%33%64%2%1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Oct 1–28, 20203,782 (LV)35%63%--
Sacred Heart University [lower-alpha 5] Oct 8–21, 20201,000 (A)± 3.02%26%51%--2%20%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Sep 1–30, 20201,415 (LV)37%61%--2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Aug 1–31, 20201,009 (LV)35%64%--1%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jul 1–31, 20201,360 (LV)39%59%--2%
SurveyMonkey/Axios Jun 8–30, 2020574 (LV)32%65%--3%
SurveyUSA May 19–24, 2020808 (RV)± 4.5%33%52%--7% [lower-alpha 6] 8%
Quinnipiac University Apr 30 – May 4, 2020945 (RV)± 3.2%33%56%--3% [lower-alpha 7] 7%
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant Mar 24 – Apr 3, 20201,000 (A)± 3.0%34%47%--
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant Feb 24 – Mar 12, 20201,000 (A)± 3.0%36%52%--
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant Dec 16, 2019 – Jan 2, 20201,000 (A)± 3.0%32%52%--16%
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant Sep 17 – Oct 2, 20191,000 (A)± 3.2%33%52%--15%
Former candidates

with Donald Trump and Pete Buttigieg

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Pete
Buttigieg (D)
Undecided
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant/Institute for Public Policy Dec 16, 2019 – Jan 2, 20201000 (A)± 3.%33%47%20%
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant Sep 17 – Oct 2, 20191,000 (A)± 3.2%34%46%20%

with Donald Trump and Kamala Harris

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Kamala
Harris (D)
Undecided
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant Sep 17 – Oct 2, 20191,000 (A)± 3.2%34%47%19%

with Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Bernie
Sanders (D)
Undecided
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant Mar 24 – Apr 3, 20201,000 (A)± 3.0%37%48%
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant Feb 24 – Mar 12, 20201,000 (A)± 3.0%38%50%
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant Dec 16, 2019 – Jan 2, 20201,000 (A)± 3.0%35%52%13%
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant Sep 17 – Oct 2, 20191,000 (A)± 3.2%35%51%14%

with Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Undecided
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant/Institute for Public Policy Dec 16, 2019 – Jan 2, 20201000 (A)± 3.0%36%49%16%
Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant Sep 17 – Oct 2, 20191,000 (A)± 3.2%35%49%16%

Results

2020 United States presidential election in Connecticut [24]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Joe Biden
Kamala Harris
1,080,831 59.24% +4.67%
Republican Donald Trump
Mike Pence
715,29139.21%-1.72%
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen
Spike Cohen
20,2271.11%-1.85%
Green Howie Hawkins
Angela Walker
7,5380.41%-0.98%
Write-in 5440.03%
Total votes1,824,280 100.00%

By county

CountyJoe Biden

Democratic

Donald Trump

Republican

Various candidates

Other parties

MarginTotal votes cast
# %# %# %# %#
Fairfield 297,50562.90%169,03935.74%6,4461.36%128,46627.16%472,990
Hartford 283,36863.06%159,02435.39%6,9441.55%124,34427.67%449,336
Litchfield 50,16446.65%55,60151.70%1,7791.65%-5,437-5.05%107,544
Middlesex 56,84857.30%40,66540.99%1,6901.70%16,18316.31%99,203
New Haven 242,63058.05%169,89340.65%5,4601.31%72,73717.40%417,983
New London 79,45956.92%57,11040.91%3,0352.17%22,34916.01%139,604
Tolland 44,15154.70%34,83843.16%1,7252.14%9,31311.54%80,714
Windham 26,70646.79%29,14151.05%1,2352.16%-2,435-4.26%57,082
Total1,080,83159.24%715,29139.21%28,3091.55%365,38920.03%1,824,280
Connecticut County Swing 2020.svg
Connecticut County Trend 2020.svg

By town

TownJoe Biden

Democratic

Donald Trump

Republican

Jo Jorgensen

Libertarian

Howie Hawkins

Green

Various candidates

Other parties

MarginTotal votes cast
# %# %# %# %# %# %
Andover 1,05850.60%99847.73%271.29%80.38%00.00%602.87%2,091
Ansonia 4,52153.70%3,79745.10%630.75%370.44%10.01%7248.60%8,419
Ashford 1,33052.28%1,16045.60%351.38%170.67%20.08%1706.68%2,544
Avon 7,29960.89%4,46937.28%1691.41%490.41%10.01%2,83023.61%11,987
Barkhamsted 1,15447.26%1,22850.29%421.72%160.66%20.08%-74-3.03%2,442
Beacon Falls 1,54340.57%2,19157.61%571.50%120.32%00.00%-648-17.04%3,803
Berlin 6,00846.67%6,68751.95%1361.06%410.32%10.01%-679-5.27%12,873
Bethany 1,91251.70%1,71846.46%461.24%220.59%00.00%1945.25%3,698
Bethel 6,27056.12%4,73442.37%1141.02%510.46%30.03%1,53613.75%11,172
Bethlehem 93739.59%1,39358.85%210.89%150.63%10.04%-456-19.26%2,367
Bloomfield 11,00785.85%1,69813.24%780.61%340.27%40.03%9,30972.61%12,821
Bolton 1,72752.52%1,48245.07%541.64%230.70%20.06%2457.45%3,288
Bozrah 70345.41%81752.78%231.49%50.32%00.00%-114-7.36%1,548
Branford 10,56258.96%7,09839.62%1780.99%680.38%70.04%3,46419.34%17,913
Bridgeport 33,51579.44%8,26919.60%2000.47%1530.36%510.12%25,24659.84%42,188
Bridgewater 66754.10%54944.53%100.81%70.57%00.00%1189.57%1,233
Bristol 15,46251.89%13,83446.42%3571.20%1210.41%250.08%1,6285.46%29,799
Brookfield 5,42650.21%5,22648.36%1111.03%390.36%50.05%2001.85%10,807
Brooklyn 1,87644.43%2,26253.58%701.66%130.31%10.02%-386-9.14%4,222
Burlington 3,09949.72%3,03448.68%761.22%220.35%20.03%651.04%6,233
Canaan 43766.72%20931.91%60.92%20.31%10.15%22834.81%655
Canterbury 1,18239.24%1,75558.27%581.93%170.56%00.00%-573-19.02%3,012
Canton 3,87858.20%2,66339.97%971.46%230.35%20.03%1,21518.24%6,663
Chaplin 59846.36%66251.32%221.71%80.62%00.00%-64-4.96%1,290
Cheshire 9,74555.95%7,34942.19%2371.36%860.49%10.01%2,39613.76%17,418
Chester 1,70165.52%85332.86%291.12%110.42%20.08%84832.67%2,596
Clinton 4,36855.97%3,31242.44%991.27%250.32%00.00%1,05613.53%7,804
Colchester 5,21653.82%4,24343.78%1781.84%540.56%00.00%97310.04%9,691
Colebrook 40340.79%56356.98%191.92%30.30%00.00%-160-16.19%988
Columbia 1,88852.91%1,60044.84%611.71%180.50%10.03%2888.07%3,568
Cornwall 76073.64%25024.22%90.87%131.26%00.00%51049.42%1,032
Coventry 4,01151.61%3,54545.61%1541.98%490.63%130.17%4666.00%7,772
Cromwell 4,87255.47%3,74942.68%1101.25%420.48%100.11%1,12312.79%8,783
Danbury 18,86958.93%12,78839.94%2610.82%1000.31%30.01%6,08118.99%32,021
Darien 7,87660.50%4,92137.80%1741.34%470.36%00.00%2,95522.70%13,018
Deep River 1,78561.51%1,07637.08%291.00%120.41%00.00%70924.43%2,902
Derby 2,96351.28%2,74947.58%490.85%170.29%00.00%2143.70%5,778
Durham 2,36349.41%2,33048.72%651.36%220.46%20.04%330.69%4,782
East Granby 1,78954.81%1,40543.05%551.69%150.46%00.00%38411.76%3,264
East Haddam 2,98051.16%2,73146.88%881.51%250.43%10.02%2494.27%5,825
East Hampton 4,05150.71%3,74646.90%1391.74%480.60%40.05%3053.82%7,988
East Hartford 14,78771.76%5,52426.81%2271.10%670.33%20.01%9,26344.95%20,607
East Haven 6,75746.60%7,57252.22%1110.77%580.40%30.02%-815-5.62%14,501
East Lyme 7,29062.01%4,28536.45%1451.23%360.31%00.00%3,00525.56%11,756
East Windsor 3,00853.22%2,54144.96%821.45%200.35%10.02%4678.26%5,652
Eastford 46443.49%57253.61%232.16%80.75%00.00%-108-10.12%1,067
Easton 2,77755.29%2,17843.36%460.92%190.38%30.06%59911.93%5,023
Ellington 4,78750.44%4,51547.57%1421.50%360.38%110.12%2722.87%9,491
Enfield 11,26353.82%9,29844.43%2721.30%850.41%110.05%1,9659.39%20,929
Essex 3,01163.86%1,63534.68%440.93%230.49%20.04%1,37629.18%4,715
Fairfield 22,86164.55%12,05234.03%3771.06%1160.33%80.02%10,80930.52%35,414
Farmington 9,61659.96%6,16038.41%2021.26%560.35%30.02%3,45621.55%16,037
Franklin 55343.85%67453.45%282.22%50.40%10.08%-121-9.60%1,261
Glastonbury 13,99062.53%7,99835.75%2901.30%960.43%00.00%5,99226.78%22,374
Goshen 90242.95%1,16155.29%321.52%50.24%00.00%-259-12.33%2,100
Granby 4,02954.65%3,16642.94%1381.87%350.47%50.07%86311.70%7,373
Greenwich 22,24361.59%13,26936.74%4881.35%940.26%180.05%8,97424.85%36,112
Griswold 2,56542.89%3,25754.46%1161.94%420.70%10.02%-692-11.57%5,981
Groton 10,69961.53%6,27236.07%3191.83%920.53%70.04%4,42725.46%17,389
Guilford 9,61664.68%5,05033.97%1350.91%630.42%30.02%4,56630.71%14,867
Haddam 2,72849.49%2,69348.86%671.22%230.42%10.02%350.63%5,512
Hamden 21,65274.40%7,13924.53%1740.60%1390.48%00.00%14,51349.87%29,104
Hampton 57250.22%55148.38%90.79%60.53%10.09%211.84%1,139
Hartford 28,30186.58%4,11612.59%1350.41%1340.41%10.00%24,18573.99%32,687
Hartland 45735.37%81863.31%110.85%50.39%10.08%-361-27.94%1,292
Harwinton 1,39737.75%2,22960.23%531.43%210.57%10.03%-832-22.48%3,701
Hebron 3,38854.07%2,73143.58%1211.93%260.41%00.00%65710.49%6,266
Kent 1,27768.47%56830.46%120.64%70.38%10.05%70938.02%1,865
Killingly 3,40241.07%4,67856.48%1471.77%540.65%20.02%-1,276-15.41%8,283
Killingworth 2,34353.41%1,97945.11%441.00%200.46%10.02%3648.30%4,387
Lebanon 2,05246.24%2,26851.10%841.89%340.77%00.00%-216-4.87%4,438
Ledyard 4,53453.80%3,66443.48%1772.10%500.59%20.02%87010.32%8,427
Lisbon 1,09944.14%1,33153.45%441.77%160.64%00.00%-232-9.32%2,490
Litchfield 2,67350.04%2,55547.83%741.39%390.73%10.02%1182.21%5,342
Lyme 1,16565.74%57632.51%271.52%40.23%00.00%58933.24%1,772
Madison 7,62561.31%4,63837.29%1180.95%500.40%60.05%2,98724.02%12,437
Manchester 19,45568.34%8,53029.97%3541.24%1100.39%170.06%10,92538.38%28,466
Mansfield 5,75375.18%1,72722.57%1241.62%460.60%20.03%4,02652.61%7,652
Marlborough 2,11952.17%1,86145.81%681.67%110.27%30.07%2586.35%4,062
Meriden 14,95559.05%9,98139.41%2781.10%1020.40%100.04%4,97419.64%25,326
Middlebury 2,25944.49%2,74153.98%581.14%160.32%40.08%-482-9.49%5,078
Middlefield 1,44250.54%1,35647.53%391.37%150.53%10.04%863.01%2,853
Middletown 15,50865.97%7,61132.37%2731.16%1130.48%40.02%7,89733.59%23,509
Milford 17,62654.97%13,99743.66%3090.96%1200.37%100.03%3,62911.32%32,062
Monroe 5,83848.64%5,98949.90%1281.07%470.39%00.00%-151-1.26%12,002
Montville 4,40649.66%4,24247.81%1731.95%500.56%20.02%1641.85%8,873
Morris 65341.83%87455.99%201.28%120.77%20.13%-221-14.16%1,561
Naugatuck 6,92346.45%7,74051.93%1611.08%790.53%10.01%-817-5.48%14,904
New Britain 16,03166.60%7,72432.09%2110.88%1050.44%00.00%8,30734.51%24,071
New Canaan 7,29859.02%4,85539.26%1691.37%370.30%60.05%2,44319.76%12,365
New Fairfield 4,10147.92%4,34350.75%951.11%160.19%30.04%-242-2.83%8,558
New Hartford 2,08945.64%2,38252.04%821.79%220.48%20.04%-293-6.40%4,577
New Haven 35,52184.37%6,14614.60%2010.48%2080.49%260.06%29,37569.77%42,102
New London 6,91275.76%2,04522.42%991.09%670.73%00.00%4,86753.35%9,123
New Milford 8,00450.87%7,49347.62%1611.02%760.48%00.00%5113.25%15,734
Newington 10,03157.80%7,07440.76%1791.03%680.39%30.02%2,95717.04%17,355
Newtown 9,69556.14%7,29242.23%2001.16%690.40%130.08%2,40313.92%17,269
Norfolk 65962.17%38135.94%171.60%30.28%00.00%27826.23%1,060
North Branford 3,71843.08%4,78655.45%881.02%380.44%10.01%-1,068-12.37%8,631
North Canaan 86250.56%81247.62%271.58%40.23%00.00%502.93%1,705
North Haven 7,38947.85%7,87951.03%1130.73%560.36%40.03%-490-3.17%15,441
North Stonington 1,60147.44%1,71050.67%491.45%150.44%00.00%-109-3.23%3,375
Norwalk 29,38267.98%13,31130.80%3550.82%1660.38%50.01%16,07137.19%43,219
Norwich 9,30660.86%5,64336.91%2451.60%950.62%10.01%3,66323.96%15,290
Old Lyme 3,22659.60%2,09938.78%681.26%200.37%00.00%1,12720.82%5,413
Old Saybrook 4,25357.92%2,99540.79%670.91%280.38%00.00%1,25817.13%7,343
Orange 4,81652.05%4,31746.66%780.84%380.41%40.04%4995.39%9,253
Oxford 3,26938.40%5,11860.11%1071.26%170.20%30.04%-1,849-21.72%8,514
Plainfield 2,85440.25%4,08057.54%1241.75%330.47%00.00%-1,226-17.29%7,091
Plainville 4,67048.41%4,81149.87%1221.26%440.46%00.00%-141-1.46%9,647
Plymouth 2,47737.57%3,98460.43%991.50%330.50%00.00%-1,507-22.86%6,593
Pomfret 1,35753.76%1,11344.10%391.55%130.52%20.08%2449.67%2,524
Portland 3,15553.58%2,64144.85%721.22%190.32%10.02%5148.73%5,888
Preston 1,27044.28%1,52953.31%501.74%190.66%00.00%-259-9.03%2,868
Prospect 2,11034.53%3,93564.39%470.77%180.29%10.02%-1,825-29.86%6,111
Putnam 2,06347.43%2,19350.41%771.77%160.37%10.02%-130-2.99%4,350
Redding 3,82964.08%2,05234.34%651.09%240.40%50.08%1,77729.74%5,975
Ridgefield 10,27863.27%5,68935.02%2131.31%550.34%100.06%4,58928.25%16,245
Rocky Hill 6,11555.90%4,67042.69%1121.02%400.37%30.03%1,44513.21%10,940
Roxbury 93757.77%66040.69%181.11%70.43%00.00%27717.08%1,622
Salem 1,28548.99%1,29149.22%281.07%150.57%40.15%-6-0.23%2,623
Salisbury 2,02379.18%50219.65%170.67%130.51%00.00%1,52159.53%2,555
Scotland 40641.86%53755.36%232.37%40.41%00.00%-131-13.51%970
Seymour 4,01142.71%5,24255.81%961.02%430.46%00.00%-1,231-13.11%9,392
Sharon 1,01965.53%51032.80%171.09%90.58%00.00%50932.73%1,555
Shelton 10,83745.36%12,74753.35%2060.86%920.39%100.04%-1,910-7.99%23,892
Sherman 1,23452.83%1,07646.06%220.94%40.17%00.00%1586.76%2,336
Simsbury 10,29663.66%5,57534.47%2251.39%710.44%70.04%4,72129.19%16,174
Somers 2,44542.66%3,20455.91%540.94%170.30%110.19%-759-13.24%5,731
South Windsor 9,59661.82%5,63036.27%2111.36%810.52%50.03%3,96625.55%15,523
Southbury 6,57050.58%6,26048.19%1190.92%410.32%00.00%3102.39%12,990
Southington 12,85548.11%13,47350.43%2851.07%1010.38%40.01%-618-2.31%26,718
Sprague 64141.17%88256.65%261.67%80.51%00.00%-241-15.48%1,557
Stafford 2,80943.74%3,46153.89%1171.82%330.51%20.03%-652-10.15%6,422
Stamford 40,43768.06%18,24230.70%4960.83%2240.38%130.02%22,19537.36%59,412
Sterling 63933.49%1,22964.41%251.31%140.73%10.05%-590-30.92%1,908
Stonington 7,45362.69%4,24035.66%1551.30%400.34%10.01%3,21327.02%11,889
Stratford 17,36361.58%10,51637.30%1830.65%1320.47%00.00%6,84724.29%28,194
Suffield 4,36350.23%4,15547.84%1401.61%260.30%20.02%2082.39%8,686
Thomaston 1,52834.93%2,76863.28%651.49%130.30%00.00%-1,240-28.35%4,374
Thompson 2,05039.77%3,00558.29%801.55%200.39%00.00%-955-18.53%5,155
Tolland 5,10355.13%3,97542.94%1341.45%430.46%20.02%1,12812.19%9,257
Torrington 7,28343.29%9,22054.80%2351.40%830.49%30.02%-1,937-11.51%16,824
Trumbull 11,91955.68%9,17542.86%2311.08%760.36%70.03%2,74412.82%21,408
Union 24943.61%30753.77%122.10%30.53%00.00%-58-10.16%571
Vernon 9,25960.12%5,84837.97%2161.40%760.49%10.01%3,41122.15%15,400
Voluntown 56637.14%91860.24%322.10%80.52%00.00%-352-23.10%1,524
Wallingford 13,56052.59%11,83145.88%3021.17%860.33%60.02%1,7296.71%25,785
Warren 46549.21%47049.74%90.95%10.11%00.00%-5-0.53%945
Washington 1,46164.42%77033.95%251.10%120.53%00.00%69130.47%2,268
Waterbury 21,57359.75%14,15739.21%2490.69%1180.33%100.03%7,41620.54%36,107
Waterford 6,91756.16%5,12441.60%1901.54%820.67%30.02%1,79314.56%12,316
Watertown 4,61236.16%7,97662.54%1281.00%380.30%00.00%-3,364-26.38%12,754
West Hartford 27,29875.22%8,45123.29%3791.04%1430.39%200.06%18,84751.93%36,291
West Haven 14,24563.02%8,12635.95%1450.64%890.39%00.00%6,11927.07%22,605
Westbrook 2,28853.07%1,95845.42%451.04%180.42%20.05%3307.65%4,311
Weston 4,73372.50%1,68025.74%841.29%250.38%60.09%3,05346.77%6,528
Westport 13,04874.46%4,22224.09%2061.18%460.26%10.01%8,82650.37%17,523
Wethersfield 9,61259.05%6,41339.40%1721.06%770.47%30.02%3,19919.65%16,277
Willington 1,67452.25%1,44545.10%611.90%200.62%40.12%2297.15%3,204
Wilton 7,67665.52%3,81932.60%1691.44%490.42%20.02%3,85732.92%11,715
Winchester 2,30444.89%2,79954.53%130.25%170.33%00.00%-495-9.64%5,133
Windham 5,36564.27%2,82433.83%951.14%610.73%30.04%2,54130.44%8,348
Windsor 13,18375.27%4,09023.35%1751.00%610.35%50.03%9,09351.92%17,514
Windsor Locks 3,75153.43%3,15644.95%811.15%320.46%10.01%5958.47%7,021
Wolcott 3,33333.32%6,51965.18%1051.05%410.41%40.04%-3,186-31.85%10,002
Woodbridge 3,85667.15%1,81731.64%370.64%310.54%10.02%2,03935.51%5,742
Woodbury 3,18148.50%3,29550.24%691.05%140.21%00.00%-114-1.74%6,559
Woodstock 2,54849.20%2,52048.66%871.68%230.44%10.02%280.54%5,179
Totals1,080,83159.26%714,71739.19%20,2301.11%7,5380.41%5400.03%366,11420.07%1,823,856

By congressional district

Biden won all five congressional districts.

DistrictTrumpBidenRepresentative
1st 35.3%63.3% John Larson
2nd 43.5%54.5% Joe Courtney
3rd 38.8%59.9% Rosa DeLauro
4th 34.5%64.2% Jim Himes
5th 43.9%54.6% Jahana Hayes

Analysis

Biden won the state by 20 points, a notable improvement from Hillary Clinton's 13-point win in the state in 2016. He fared especially well in Fairfield County, an ancestrally Republican area, as well as the Hartford suburbs. Biden also came within 5 points of flipping traditionally Republican Litchfield County, which had previously voted Democratic in 2008; and 4.2 points of flipping traditionally Democratic Windham County, which had previously voted Democratic in 2012.

Per exit polls by the Associated Press, Biden's strength in Connecticut came from college-educated and high income voters. [25] Biden won a combined 70% in large cities and 62% in suburban areas, a key demographic in a heavily suburban state. Biden built on Hillary Clinton's gains in suburban Fairfield County, even flipping three towns: Trumbull, Brookfield, and Sherman. [26] [27] Trumbull and Brookfield last voted Democratic in 1964, while Sherman last voted Democratic in 2008. [28]

Biden is the first presidential nominee ever to exceed 1 million votes in the state. Additionally, his total is currently the highest that any candidate in any race in Connecticut has received, surpassing the previous record of 1,008,714 that Richard Blumenthal received in his 2016 Senate race. At the same time, Biden became the first Democrat to win the White House without carrying Windham County since Woodrow Wilson in 1916. [29] He also become the first Democrat to win without the town of Griswold since 1888, the first to win without the town of Sprague since 1892, the first to win without the towns of Killingly, Plainfield, Putnam, and Stafford since 1916, the first to win without Lisbon and Plainville since 1948, and the first to win without the town of Salem since 1960. [30] [ failed verification ]

See also

Notes

  1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. 1 2 3 4 5 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  4. Archived November 27, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
  5. Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
  6. "Someone else" with 7%
  7. "Someone else" with 2%; would not vote with 1%

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Further reading