2018 Rhode Island gubernatorial election

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2018 Rhode Island gubernatorial election
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  Governor Gina Raimondo of Rhode Island.jpg Allan Fung (cropped).jpg
Nominee Gina Raimondo Allan Fung
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote198,122139,932
Percentage52.64%37.18%
2018 Rhode Island gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
2018 Rhode Island gubernatorial election results map by municipality.svg
Raimondo:      40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Fung:      40–50%     50–60%
Governor before election

Gina Raimondo
Democratic

Elected Governor

Gina Raimondo
Democratic

The 2018 Rhode Island gubernatorial election was held on November 6, 2018, to elect the Governor of Rhode Island, concurrently with the election of Rhode Island's Class I U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.

Contents

On September 12, 2018, incumbent governor Gina Raimondo and Cranston mayor and 2014 gubernatorial nominee Allan Fung won the Democratic and Republican primaries respectively, facing each other in a rematch of the 2014 election. Raimondo defeated Fung in the general election on November 6 to win a second term as governor, improving on her plurality win in 2014 to earn a majority of the votes, and becoming the first gubernatorial candidate (incumbent or challenger) to win a majority of votes since Donald Carcieri in 2006. It was also the first time that a Democrat was re-elected as Governor of Rhode Island since Bruce Sundlun won a second term in 1992, and the first time ever they did so for four year terms.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

  • Paul Roselli, president of the Burrillville Land Trust (running for State Senate Dist. 23) (Endorsed Matt Brown) [6]

Declined

Endorsements

Matt Brown
Statewide politicians
Local officials
Individuals
  • Capri Catanzaro, Political Director of Rhode Island Progressive Democrats
  • Andrea James-Gomez, Youth & Programs Director of Rhode Island for Community & Justice
  • Kate Michelman, former president of NARAL Pro-Choice America
  • Barbara Roberts, Director, Women's Cardiac Center, The Miriam Hospital
  • Paul Roselli, President of Burrillville Land Trust, candidate for State Senate, withdrawn Democratic candidate for Governor [6]
  • Gloria Steinem, American feminist, journalist, and social political activist
Organizations

Results

Results by county" Map legend .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} Raimondo--40-50% Raimondo--50-60% Raimondo--60-70% 2018RIGOVD.svg
Results by county"
Map legend
  •   Raimondo—40–50%
  •   Raimondo—50–60%
  •   Raimondo—60–70%
Results by municipality: Raimondo Raimondo--40-50% Raimondo--50-60% Raimondo--60-70% Raimondo--70-80% Brown Brown--40-50% Brown--60-70% Rhode Island Democratic gubernatorial primary results by municipality, 2018.svg
Results by municipality:
Raimondo
  •   Raimondo—40–50%
  •   Raimondo—50–60%
  •   Raimondo—60–70%
  •   Raimondo—70–80%
Brown
  •   Brown—40–50%
  •   Brown—60–70%
Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Gina Raimondo (incumbent) 66,978 57.1
Democratic Matt Brown39,30033.5
Democratic Spencer Dickinson10,9269.3
Total votes117,204 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Allan Fung
Federal Officials
State Officials
Local Officials
  • Scott Hirst, Town Moderator of Hopkinton [25]
  • Glen Shibley, President of the Coventry Town Council [24]
  • Michael Farina, President of the Cranston City Council [24]
  • Michael Favicchio, Vice-President of the Cranston City Council [24]
  • Christopher Paplauskas, Cranston city councilman [24]
  • Kenneth Hopkins, Cranston city councilman [24]
  • Trent Colford, Cranston city councilman [24]
  • Michael Isaacs, former President of the East Greenwich Town Council [24]
  • Rolland Grant, former Mayor of East Providence [24]
  • Kevin McGovern, President of the Exeter Town Council [24]
  • Frank Landolfi, President of the Hopkinton Town Council [24]
  • Liana Ferreira-Fenton, Middletown School Committeewoman [24]
  • Matthew Mannix, President Pro Tem of the Narragansett Town Council [24]
Party Leadership
Organizations
Newspapers
  • Cranston Herald [35]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Allan
Fung		Patricia
Morgan		OtherUndecided
National Research Inc. (R-Morgan) July 23–24, 2018400–44%33%–18%
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Fung) Archived August 2, 2018, at the Wayback Machine July 11–14, 2018400± 4.9%62%22%4% [36] 10%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Allan
Fung		Patricia
Morgan		Joe
Trillo		Undecided
TargetPoint (R-Fung) Archived July 19, 2018, at the Wayback Machine November 4–6, 2017433± 4.0%45%24%10%20%

Results

Results by county: Fung Fung--40-50% Fung--50-60% Fung--60-70% Morgan Morgan--50-60% 2018RIGOVGOP.svg
Results by county:
Fung
  •   Fung—40–50%
  •   Fung—50–60%
  •   Fung—60–70%
Morgan
  •   Morgan—50–60%
Results by municipality: Fung Fung--40-50% Fung--50-60% Fung--60-70% Fung--80-90% Morgan Morgan--40-50% Morgan--50-60% Morgan--60-70% Rhode Island Republican gubernatorial primary results by municipality, 2018.svg
Results by municipality:
Fung
  •   Fung—40–50%
  •   Fung—50–60%
  •   Fung—60–70%
  •   Fung—80–90%
Morgan
  •   Morgan—40–50%
  •   Morgan—50–60%
  •   Morgan—60–70%
Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Allan Fung 18,577 56.4
Republican Patricia Morgan13,20840.1
Republican Giovanni Feroce1,1473.5
Total votes32,932 100.0

Moderate primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Bill Gilbert, chairman of the Moderate Party of Rhode Island and nominee for lieutenant governor in 2014 [37]

Independents

Declared

Failed to qualify

Declined

Minor third parties

Declared

General election

Debates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [41] Lean DOctober 26, 2018
The Washington Post [42] Lean DNovember 5, 2018
FiveThirtyEight [43] Safe DNovember 5, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report [44] Lean DNovember 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [45] Likely DNovember 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics [46] Likely DNovember 4, 2018
Daily Kos [47] Lean DNovember 5, 2018
Fox News [48] [lower-alpha 1] Likely DNovember 5, 2018
Politico [49] Lean DNovember 5, 2018
Governing [50] Lean DNovember 5, 2018
Notes
  1. ↑ The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Gina
Raimondo (D)		Allan
Fung (R)		Joe
Trillo (I)		OtherUndecided
Fleming & Associates October 20–24, 2018416± 4.8%45%34%9%4% [51] 8%
SocialSphere October 5–9, 2018502–40%32%17%–11%
University of New Hampshire September 27 – October 6, 2018503± 4.4%48%34%5%3% [52] 11%
Fleming & Associates Archived September 21, 2018, at the Wayback Machine September 14–17, 2018420± 4.8%43%36%7%4% [53] 9%
Fleming & Associates Archived August 7, 2018, at the Wayback Machine July 28–31, 2018407± 4.8%39%37%6%3% [54] 14%
SocialSphere May 30 – June 4, 2018501–33%33%16%–18%
Fleming & Associates Archived March 6, 2018, at the Wayback Machine February 25–28, 2018419± 4.8%38%36%6%–17%
TargetPoint (R-Fung) Archived July 19, 2018, at the Wayback Machine November 4–6, 2017600± 4.0%41%46%–––
Hypothetical polling
with Gina Raimondo and Patricia Morgan
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Gina
Raimondo (D)		Patricia
Morgan (R)		Joe
Trillo (I)		OtherUndecided
Fleming & Associates Archived August 7, 2018, at the Wayback Machine July 28–31, 2018407± 4.8%42%24%8%5% [55] 22%
SocialSphere May 30 – June 4, 2018501–39%20%19%–22%
Fleming & Associates Archived March 6, 2018, at the Wayback Machine February 25–28, 2018419± 4.8%43%25%9%–20%
with Gina Raimondo and Giovanni Feroce
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Gina
Raimondo (D)		Giovanni
Feroce (R)		Joe
Trillo (I)		OtherUndecided
Fleming & Associates Archived August 7, 2018, at the Wayback Machine July 28–31, 2018407± 4.8%44%9%12%6% [56] 30%
with Matt Brown and Allan Fung
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Matt
Brown (D)		Allan
Fung (R)		Joe
Trillo (I)		OtherUndecided
Fleming & Associates Archived August 7, 2018, at the Wayback Machine July 28–31, 2018407± 4.8%21%36%7%6% [57] 30%
SocialSphere May 30 – June 4, 2018501–25%35%14%–27%
with Matt Brown and Patricia Morgan
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Matt
Brown (D)		Patricia
Morgan (R)		Joe
Trillo (I)		OtherUndecided
Fleming & Associates Archived August 7, 2018, at the Wayback Machine July 28–31, 2018407± 4.8%25%21%9%8% [58] 36%
SocialSphere May 30 – June 4, 2018501–30%20%18%–33%
with Matt Brown and Giovanni Feroce
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Matt
Brown (D)		Giovanni
Feroce (R)		Joe
Trillo (I)		OtherUndecided
Fleming & Associates Archived August 7, 2018, at the Wayback Machine July 28–31, 2018407± 4.8%27%8%11%10% [59] 43%

Results

Support for Joe Trillo by county Map legend >=5% 4-5% <4% 2018RIGOVTrillo.svg
Support for Joe Trillo by county
Map legend
  •   ≥5%
  •   4–5%
  •   <4%
Rhode Island gubernatorial election, 2018 [60]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Gina Raimondo (incumbent) 198,122 52.64% +11.94%
Republican Allan Fung 139,93237.18%+0.94%
Independent Joe Trillo 16,5324.39%N/A
Moderate Bill Gilbert10,1552.70%-18.68%
Independent Luis Daniel Muñoz 6,2231.65%N/A
CompassionAnne Armstrong4,1911.11%N/A
Write-in 1,2460.33%+0.10%
Total votes376,401 100% N/A
Democratic hold

See also

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References

  1. ↑ "Records: Raimondo Has $2 Million Before 2018 Campaign". Usnews.com. Retrieved August 1, 2018.
  2. ↑ "Gina Raimondo (@GinaRaimondo) | Twitter". Twitter.com. Retrieved May 29, 2018.
  3. ↑ "Gina for RI – Let's Keep Going". Ginaraimondo.com. Archived from the original on January 27, 2021. Retrieved May 29, 2018.
  4. 1 2 Ahlquist, Steve (April 25, 2018). "Matt Brown to challenge Gina Raimondo in Democratic Primary". UpriseRI. Archived from the original on April 25, 2018. Retrieved April 25, 2018.
  5. ↑ Plain, Bob (October 2, 2017). "Spencer Dickinson is running for governor". Rhode Island's Future . Retrieved October 4, 2017.
  6. 1 2 "Roselli ends race for governor, endorses Matt Brown, will run for vacant Senate District 23 seat". Upriseri.com. June 14, 2018. Archived from the original on June 15, 2018. Retrieved August 1, 2018.
  7. ↑ Pindell, James (May 29, 2018). "Lincoln Chafee says he will not run for US Senate in Rhode Island". The Boston Globe . Archived from the original on June 2, 2018. Retrieved June 2, 2018.
  8. ↑ Kalunian, Kim; Nesi, Ted (February 26, 2017). "Langevin: I may run for governor, but not in 2018". WPRI . Retrieved February 26, 2017.
  9. 1 2 3 4 Gregg, Katherine (December 28, 2016). "Who will challenge Raimondo in '18?". The Providence Journal . Retrieved January 1, 2017.
  10. ↑ Gregg, Katherine (November 7, 2017). "Dan McKee launches campaign for reelection as lieutenant governor". The Providence Journal . Retrieved December 4, 2017.
  11. ↑ Anderson, Patrick (June 28, 2018). "Chafee endorses Matt Brown for governor". The Providence Journal .
  12. ↑ "As Bernie Supporters Back Matt Brown, Rhode Island Dem Gov Gina Raimondo's Primary Problems Worsen". Freetelegraph.com. May 16, 2018. Retrieved August 1, 2018.
  13. ↑ "Justice Democrats : Candidates". Now.justicedemocrats.com. Archived from the original on June 27, 2018. Retrieved August 1, 2018.
  14. ↑ "Climate Action RI Endorses Matt Brown for Governor". World.350.org. Retrieved August 1, 2018.
  15. ↑ "Fung announces candidacy for governor". WPRI 12. October 24, 2017. Archived from the original on March 26, 2018. Retrieved October 25, 2017.
  16. ↑ "Giovanni Feroce announces run for governor". wpri.com. January 3, 2018. Retrieved January 3, 2018.
  17. ↑ "Patricia Morgan first to formally announce 2018 run for RI governor". WPRI 12. October 23, 2017. Archived from the original on December 23, 2017. Retrieved October 25, 2017.
  18. ↑ Gregg, Katherine (November 16, 2017). "Former Supreme Court Justice Flanders announces run for U.S. Senate". The Providence Journal (video). Retrieved November 17, 2017.
  19. ↑ Nagle, Kate (November 17, 2016). "Bang: The 2018 RI Governor's Race is Off and Running". GoLocalProv. Retrieved November 17, 2016.
  20. ↑ Gregg, Katherine (May 15, 2017). "GOP's Nardolillo declares for U.S. Senate". The Providence Journal . Retrieved May 18, 2017.
  21. 1 2 Anderson, Patrick (December 5, 2017). "Joe Trillo to run for governor as an independent". The Providence Journal . Retrieved December 5, 2017.
  22. ↑ @seanspicer (September 10, 2018). "Had fun talking with @GeneValicenti at @wpro and @JohnDePetroshow today about what a great #rigovernor @MayorFung a…" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  23. ↑ Anderson, Patrick (October 16, 2018). "Lincoln Almond endorses Fung's campaign for governor". The Providence Journal . Retrieved October 18, 2018.
  24. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 "Fung Announces City & Town Campaign Chairs". GoLocalProv. March 20, 2018.
  25. ↑ Voting for Flanders, Fung | Cranston Herald
  26. ↑ "International Brotherhood of Police Officers Local 301 Endorse Fung for Governor". GoLocalProv. October 15, 2018.
  27. ↑ "North Kingstown Republican Town Committee Endorses Mayor Fung for Governor – Allan Fung for Governor". Allanfung.com. Archived from the original on June 20, 2018. Retrieved August 1, 2018.
  28. ↑ "Woonsocket Republican City Committee Endorses Allan Fung for Governor – Allan Fung for Governor". Allanfung.com. Archived from the original on June 20, 2018. Retrieved August 1, 2018.
  29. ↑ "Cranston Republicans Unanimously Endorse Allan Fung for Governor - Home - Cranston Republican City Committee". Home - Cranston Republican City Committee. Retrieved August 1, 2018.
  30. ↑ "Lincoln Republican Town Committee Endorses Mayor Allan Fung for Governor – Allan Fung for Governor". Allanfung.com. Archived from the original on June 20, 2018. Retrieved August 1, 2018.
  31. ↑ "Warwick Republican City Committee Endorses Fung for Governor – Allan Fung for Governor". Allanfung.com. Archived from the original on June 20, 2018. Retrieved August 1, 2018.
  32. ↑ "Fung Gets Endorsement From Cumberland GOP Town Committee – RI Relevant". Rirelevant.com. June 15, 2018. Archived from the original on June 21, 2018. Retrieved August 1, 2018.
  33. ↑ @AllanFungRI (June 21, 2018). "Thanks to the Middletown GOP for their unanimous support & endorsement! #FungTimesAreComing" (Tweet). Retrieved August 1, 2018– via Twitter.
  34. ↑ @AllanFungRI (June 21, 2018). "Very proud to earn the endorsement of the South Kingstown GOP last night! #FungTimesAreComing" (Tweet). Retrieved August 1, 2018– via Twitter.
  35. ↑ "Allan Fung deserves a shot at governor". Cranston Herald . October 31, 2018.
  36. ↑ Giovanni Feroce with 4%
  37. ↑ "Office of the Secretary of State: Nellie M. Gorbea: Qualifying Candidates". Sos.ri.gov. Archived from the original on November 25, 2020. Retrieved August 1, 2018.
  38. ↑ Kriss, Lexi (January 16, 2018). "RI doctor, entrepreneur announces gubernatorial run". WPRI. Retrieved February 10, 2018.
  39. ↑ "Office of the Secretary of State: Nellie M. Gorbea: Qualifying Candidates". Sos.ri.gov. Archived from the original on May 16, 2022. Retrieved August 1, 2018.
  40. ↑ Gregg, Katherine (February 18, 2018). "Political Scene: Gearing up for gun bill battles at General Assembly". Providence Journal. Retrieved February 20, 2018.
  41. ↑ "2018 Governor Race Ratings for October 26, 2018". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved April 10, 2021.
  42. ↑ "The Washington Post's gubernatorial race ratings". The Washington Post . October 16, 2018.
  43. ↑ "2018 Governor Forecast | FiveThirtyEight". FiveThirtyEight. October 17, 2018. Retrieved October 17, 2018.
  44. ↑ "2018 Gubernatorial Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved November 15, 2017.
  45. ↑ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2018 Governor". www.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved November 15, 2017.
  46. ↑ "2018 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics . October 9, 2018.
  47. ↑ "2018 Governor Race Ratings". Daily Kos . June 5, 2018.[ permanent dead link ]
  48. ↑ "2018 Midterm Power Ranking". Fox News . July 27, 2023.
  49. ↑ "Politico Race Ratings". Politico .
  50. ↑ "2018 Governor Elections: As November Nears, More Governors' Races Become Tossups". www.governing.com. Archived from the original on October 21, 2018. Retrieved July 18, 2018.
  51. ↑ Bill Gilbert (M) and Anne Armstrong (Comp.) with 2%, Luis-Daniel Muñoz (I) with 1%
  52. ↑ Bill Gilbert (M), Anne Armstrong (Comp.), and Luis-Daniel Muñoz (I) with 1%, other with 0%
  53. ↑ Bill Gilbert (M) with 2%, Anne Armstrong (Comp.) and Luis-Daniel Muñoz (I) with 1%
  54. ↑ Bill Gilbert (M), Anne Armstrong (Comp.), and Luis-Daniel Muñoz (I) with 1%
  55. ↑ Bill Gilbert (M), Anne Armstrong (Comp.), and Luis-Daniel Muñoz (I) with 2%
  56. ↑ Anne Armstrong (Comp.) with 3%, Luis-Daniel Muñoz (I) with 2%, Bill Gilbert (M) with 1%
  57. ↑ Bill Gilbert (M) with 3%, Anne Armstrong (Comp.) with 2%, Luis-Daniel Muñoz (I) with 1%
  58. ↑ Bill Gilbert (M) with 4%, Anne Armstrong (Comp.) with 3%, Luis-Daniel Muñoz (I) with 2%
  59. ↑ Anne Armstrong (Comp.) with 5%, Bill Gilbert (M) with 3%, Luis-Daniel Muñoz (I) with 2%
  60. ↑ RI.gov: Election Results
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