2018 Connecticut gubernatorial election

Last updated

2018 Connecticut gubernatorial election
Flag of Connecticut.svg
  2014 November 6, 2018 2022  
Turnout61.4% Increase2.svg
  Governor Ned Lamont of Connecticut, official portrait (cropped).jpg Bob Stefanowski Headshot (cropped).png
Nominee Ned Lamont Bob Stefanowski
Party Democratic Republican
Alliance Working Families Independent
Running mate Susan Bysiewicz Joe Markley
Popular vote694,510650,138
Percentage49.37%46.21%

2018 Connecticut gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
2018 Connecticut gubernatorial election results map by municipality.svg
2018 Connecticut gubernatorial election results map by congressional district.svg
CT Governor 2018.svg
Lamont:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Stefanowski:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Tie:     40–50%

Governor before election

Dannel Malloy
Democratic

Elected Governor

Ned Lamont
Democratic

The 2018 Connecticut gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the next governor and lieutenant governor of Connecticut, concurrently with the election of Connecticut's Class I U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. This race's Democratic margin of victory was the closest to the national average of 3.1 points. (It was 0.1 point more Democratic.)

Contents

As Connecticut does not have gubernatorial term limits, incumbent Democratic Governor Dannel Malloy was eligible to run for a third term, but declined to do so. [1] [2] [3] After the resignation of Kansas Governor Sam Brownback in January 2018, Malloy became the most unpopular governor in the United States. [4] [5] The general election was between 2006 Democratic U.S. Senate nominee Ned Lamont, and Republican financial executive Bob Stefanowski. Independent candidate and former Republican Oz Griebel has been called a spoiler candidate for Stefanowski, earning 3.89% of the vote. [6]

Democratic primary

Governor

Democratic nominee

Lost the Democratic primary

Withdrew prior to the Democratic primary

Declined

Primary endorsements

Susan Bysiewicz (withdrew)
State legislators
Mayors and other municipal leaders
Sean Connolly (withdrew)
State legislators
Jonathan Harris (withdrew)
Statewide officials
State legislators
Mayors and other municipal leaders
Ned Lamont
Presidents
Vice President
Withdrawn Candidates
U.S. Representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Party leaders
  • Kevin Comer, Chairman of Washington Democratic Town Committee [42]
  • Steven Sheinberg, Chairman of Fairfield Democratic Town Committee [42]
  • Audrey Tyson, Member of Democratic State Central Committee [42]
  • Barbara Reynolds, Member of Democratic State Central Committee [42]
  • Karen Jarmoc, Member of Democratic State Central Committee [42]
Newspapers and magazines
Mayors and other municipal leaders
2018 Candidates for Office
  • Amanda Webster, Democratic Nominee for Connecticut Representatives from the 62nd District
Labor unions

Results

2018DemGov.svg
Democratic primary results by municipality. Shades of blue denote win for Lamont, green for Ganim.
2018CTgovD.svg
Democratic primary results by county. Shades of blue denote win for Lamont.
Map legend
  •   Lamont—≥90%
  •   Lamont—80–90%
  •   Lamont—70–80%
Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Ned Lamont 172,024 81.2
Democratic Joe Ganim39,91318.8
Total votes211,937 100.0

Lieutenant governor

Democratic nominee

Lost the Democratic primary

  • Eva Bermúdez Zimmerman, activist [53]

Withdrew

Results

Results for the 2018 Democratic Lieutenant Governor Primary Election in Connecticut by municipality.svg
Results by municipality
Results for the 2018 Democratic Lieutenant Governor Primary Election in Connecticut by county.svg
Results by county
  Bysiewicz
  •   50-60%
  •   60-70%
  •   70-80%
  Zimmerman
  •   50-60%
Democratic primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Susan Bysiewicz 129,928 62.2
Democratic Eva Bermúdez Zimmerman79,02137.8
Total votes208,949 100.0

Republican primary

Governor

Republican nominee

Endorsed by the state party; lost the Republican primary

Lost the Republican primary

  • Tim Herbst, former First Selectman of Trumbull and nominee for state treasurer in 2014 [61]
  • Stephen A. Obsitnik, businessman and nominee for CT-04 in 2012 [62]
  • David Stemerman, businessman [63]

Eliminated at Convention

Withdrew prior to the Convention

Declined

Convention

The Republican statewide nominating convention was held May 11–12, 2018 at Foxwoods Resort Casino in Ledyard, Connecticut.

Under the rules established by the convention, any candidate not receiving at least eight percent of the vote would be eliminated in the first round of voting. In the second round of voting, candidates not receiving 15 percent of the vote would be eliminated. In all subsequent rounds of voting, the candidate with the fewest votes would be eliminated, regardless of percentage. Voting would continue until one candidate receives 50 percent plus one of all votes cast. [88]

Results at the Convention

RoundMark BoughtonTim HerbstSteve ObsitnikPeter LumajMark LaurettiDavid M. WalkerPrasad SrinivasanMike Handler
127724.4%21318.8%11710.3%16714.7%11910.5%1049.2%907.9%464.1%
240836.3%31928.4%19817.6%16114.3%262.3%131.2%
355750.1%45440.9%1009.0%

Primary endorsements

Mark Boughton [89]
Tim Herbst [97]
Steve Obsitnik
Bob Stefanowski
David Stemerman
Mike Handler (eliminated)
Mark Lauretti (eliminated)
State legislators
Mayors and other municipal leaders
Republican Town Committee leaders
  • Mike Barnes, Chairman, New Milford RTC [119]
  • Bill Paecht, Chairman, Seymour RTC [119]
  • Anthony Simonetti, Chairman, Shelton RTC [119]
Peter Lumaj (eliminated)
Prasad Srinivasan (eliminated)
State Legislators
Local Officials
  • Stewart "Chip" Beckett, Member, Glastonbury Town Council
  • Tim Devanney, Member, Town of Manchester Board of Directors
  • Matthew Galligan, Member, Town of Manchester Board of Directors
  • Carolyn Mirek, Member, South Windsor Town Council and former Mayor
  • Robert Morra, Member, Town of Bolton Board of Selectmen
  • George P. Norman, Member, Glastonbury Town Council
  • Donald Palmer, Member, Town of Manchester Ways and Means Committee
  • William T. Finn, former Member, Glastonbury Town Council
  • Michael T. Zelasky, Chairman, Lisbon Board of Finance
State Central Committee
  • Michael FitzPatrick (4th Senatorial District) of Glastonbury
  • Louis Spadaccini (4th Senatorial District) of Manchester
Republican Town Committee Leaders
  • John Deeb, Chairman, Manchester RTC
  • Rodney Fournier, Chairman, Bolton RTC
  • Ken Hjulstrom, Chairman, Marlborough RTC
  • Robert Ike, Chairman, Bloomfield RTC
  • Robert Lynn, Chairman, Glastonbury RTC
  • Allan Spotts, Chairman, Cromwell RTC
  • John Tanski, First Vice Chair, Glastonbury RTC
Erin Stewart (withdrew)

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Mark
Boughton
Tim
Herbst
Steve
Obsitnik
Bob
Stefanowski
David
Stemerman
Undecided
Tremont Public Advisors August 7–9, 20181,151± 3.0%32%16%11%22%17%3%
Tremont Public Advisors July 18–20, 20181,006± 3.0%34%15%12%20%15%5%
McLaughlin & Associates (R-Stefanowski) Archived August 10, 2018, at the Wayback Machine July 21–23, 2018400± 4.9%18%11%4%29%17%21%
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Mark
Boughton
Mike
Handler
Tim
Herbst
Mark
Lauretti
Peter
Lumaj
Steve
Obsitnik
Prasad
Srinivasan
Bob
Stefanowski
David
Stemerman
Erin
Stewart
Dave
Walker
Undecided
McLaughlin & Associates (R-Stefanowski) May 4–6, 2018400± 4.9%7%2%3%4%2%2%3%33%2%11%3%30%

Results

2018 Republican Gubernatorial Primary in Connecticut.svg
Republican primary results by municipality. Shades of reddenote win for Stefanowski, orange for Boughton, purplefor Stemerman, green for Herbst, and teal for Obsitnik.
2018CTgovGOP.svg
Republican primary results by county. Shades of red denote win for Stefanowski. Shades of green denote win for Boughton.
Map legend
  •   Stefanowski—30–40%
  •   Stefanowski—<30%
  •   Boughton—<30%
  •   Boughton—30–40%
Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Bob Stefanowski 42,119 29.4
Republican Mark D. Boughton30,50521.3
Republican David Stemerman26,27618.3
Republican Tim Herbst25,14417.6
Republican Steve Obsitnik19,15113.4
Total votes143,195 100.0

Lieutenant governor

Republican nominee

Lost the Republican primary

Withdrew

  • Ann Brookes, attorney [128]
  • Peter Tesei, Greenwich First Selectman [129]

Endorsements

Joe Markley
Erin Stewart

Results

Republican primary results
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Joe Markley 65,702 47.6
Republican Erin Stewart45,26232.8
Republican Jayme Stevenson27,13919.7
Total votes138,103 100.0

Independent

Candidates

Declared

Declined

  • Joe Scarborough, television personality and former Republican U.S. Representative from Florida [133]

Withdrew

  • Micah Welintukonis, former Coventry town councilman and army veteran [134]

Endorsements

General election

Endorsements

Bob Stefanowski (R)
Ned Lamont (D)
Federal officials
Public figures
Statewide officials
State legislators
Party leaders
Newspapers and magazines
Mayors and other municipal leaders
2018 Candidates for Office
  • Amanda Webster, Democratic Nominee for Connecticut Representatives from the 62nd District
Organizations
Labor unions
Oz Griebel (I)
Newspapers and magazines

Debates

DatesLocationLamontStefanowskiGriebelLink
October 18, 2018 Hartford, Connecticut ParticipantParticipantParticipant Full debate - C-SPAN
October 30, 2018 New Haven, Connecticut ParticipantParticipantParticipant Full debate - C-SPAN

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [171] TossupOctober 26, 2018
The Washington Post [172] TossupNovember 5, 2018
FiveThirtyEight [173] Likely DNovember 5, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report [174] Lean DNovember 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [175] Lean DNovember 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics [176] TossupNovember 4, 2018
Daily Kos [177] Lean DNovember 5, 2018
Fox News [178] [lower-alpha 1] Likely DNovember 5, 2018
Politico [179] Lean DNovember 5, 2018
Governing [180] Lean DNovember 5, 2018
Notes
  1. The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Ned
Lamont (D)
Bob
Stefanowski (R)
Oz
Griebel (I)
OtherUndecided
Gravis Marketing October 30 – November 1, 2018681± 3.8%46%37%9%8%
Sacred Heart University Archived July 24, 2019, at the Wayback Machine October 29–31, 2018500± 4.3%38%40%9%1%12%
Emerson College October 27–29, 2018780± 3.7%46%39%10%0% [lower-alpha 1] 5%
Quinnipiac University October 22–28, 20181,201± 4.0%47%43%7%0%4%
Sacred Heart University Archived October 23, 2018, at the Wayback Machine October 13–17, 2018501± 4.3%40%36%8%1%15%
Public Policy Polling (D-Change Course CT PAC) October 8–9, 201882843%38%19%
Quinnipiac University October 3–8, 2018767± 5.0%47%39%11%0%3%
Sacred Heart University Archived July 23, 2019, at the Wayback Machine September 12–17, 2018501± 4.3%43%37%4%16%
Gravis Marketing August 24–27, 2018606± 4.0%49%40%12%
Quinnipiac University August 16–21, 20181,029± 3.9%46%33%4%2% [lower-alpha 2] 14%
53%37%6%
Sacred Heart University Archived July 23, 2019, at the Wayback Machine August 16–21, 2018502± 4.3%41%37%6%17%
Hypothetical polling
with Ned Lamont and Mark Boughton
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Ned
Lamont (D)
Mark
Boughton (R)
Undecided
Tremont Public Advisors May 3–5, 2018550± 4.5%50%40%11%
with Ned Lamont and Erin Stewart
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Ned
Lamont (D)
Erin
Stewart (R)
Undecided
Tremont Public Advisors May 3–5, 2018550± 4.5%44%46%10%
with Susan Bysiewicz and Erin Stewart
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Susan
Bysiewicz (D)
Erin
Stewart (R)
Undecided
Tremont Public Advisors May 3–5, 2018550± 4.5%40%50%10%
with Susan Bysiewicz and Mark Boughton
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Susan
Bysiewicz (D)
Mark
Boughton (R)
Undecided
Tremont Public Advisors May 3–5, 2018550± 4.5%42%47%11%
with generic Democrat and Republican
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Generic
Democrat
Generic
Republican
Undecided
Tremont Public Advisors May 3–5, 2018550± 4.5%43%50%7%

Results

Connecticut's gubernatorial election, 2018 [181]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Ned Lamont676,64948.10%-0.36%
Working Families Ned Lamont17,8611.27%-1.00%
Total Ned Lamont 694,510 49.37% -1.36%
Republican Bob Stefanowski624,75044.41%-1.71%
Independent Party Bob Stefanowski25,3881.80%-0.24%
Total Bob Stefanowski 650,13846.21%-1.95%
Griebel-Frank for CT Party Oz Griebel 54,7413.89%N/A
Libertarian Rod Hanscomb6,0860.43%N/A
Amigo Constitution LibertyMark Greenstein1,2540.09%N/A
Write-in Lee Whitnum740.01%N/A
Total votes1,406,803 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold

Results by congressional district

Lamont won 3 of the 5 congressional districts, while Stefanowski won the other 2, which both elected Democrats. [182]

DistrictLamontStefanowskiRepresentative
1st 52%41% John B. Larson
2nd 45%49% Joe Courtney
3rd 52%45% Rosa DeLauro
4th 54%45% Jim Himes
5th 45%51% Elizabeth Esty (115th Congress)
Jahana Hayes (116th Congress)
By county
CountyNed Lamont

Democratic

Bob Stefanowski

Republican

Various candidates

Other parties

MarginTotal votes cast
# %# %# %# %#
Fairfield 188,33453.01%160,64145.22%6,2831.77%27,6937.80%355,258
Hartford 179,18251.74%144,21841.64%22,9306.62%34,96410.10%346,330
Litchfield 32,12537.61%49,28057.69%4,0154.70%-17,155-20.08%85,420
Middlesex 36,48345.78%38,67848.54%4,5245.68%-2,195-2.75%79,685
New Haven 160,40649.39%153,86547.38%10,4853.23%6,5412.01%324,756
New London 50,41747.38%49,36446.39%6,6256.23%1,0530.99%106,406
Tolland 29,99245.13%31,88247.98%4,5766.89%-1,890-2.84%66,450
Windham 17,57141.42%22,21052.35%2,6436.23%-4,639-10.93%42,424
Total694,51049.37%650,13846.22%62,0814.41%44,3723.15%1,406,729

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

Notes

  1. Rod Hanscomb (L) with 0%
  2. Rod Hanscomb (L) with 1%, other with 1%

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  112. 1 2 Bob Stefanowski. "Thank you @SteveForbesCEO for supporting my economic plan to rebuild Connecticut. Our state needs a political outsider with experience turning around large organizations like Connecticut. My plan cuts taxes and gets Connecticut working again!". Twitter.
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  114. 1 2 Bob Stefanowski. "I am pleased to announce that Enfield Mayor, Mike Ludwick, has endorsed me to be Connecticut's next governor. I hope that you will join Mike in voting for me on Tuesday!". Twitter.
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  122. Peter Lumaj [@PeterLumaj] (February 1, 2018). "Happy to have the endorsement of @Rep80! Rob is a great friend and a steadfast conservative leader! Looking forward to working with him the create a #FreshStart4CT!" (Tweet) via Twitter.
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  135. Donald Trump. "It is about time that Connecticut had a real and talented Governor. Bob Stefanowski is the person needed to do the job. Tough on crime, Bob is also a big cutter of Taxes. He will win in November and make a Great Governor, a major difference maker. Bob has my total Endorsement!". Twitter.
  136. David Stemerman. "David: "I just got off the phone with Bob Stefanowski to offer him my support as the best chance to fix Connecticut." THANK YOU to our supporters, to our team and to the people of Connecticut. Let's unite and #SaveConnecticut". Twitter.
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  146. Barack Obama. "Today, I'm proud to endorse even more Democratic candidates who aren't just running against something, but for something—to expand opportunity for all of us and to restore dignity, honor, and compassion to public service. They deserve your vote". Twitter.
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  148. Ned Lamont. "Vice President Biden is an inspiration to all Americans and I am honored to receive his endorsement, @JoeBiden". Twitter.
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  151. Ned Lamont. "My thanks to @KamalaHarris for her enthusiastic support and for speaking to Connecticut voters about how much is at stake in this election". Twitter.
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  153. Jim Himes. "Very happy to stand with @NedLamont @ShawnTWooden @SteveStafstrom @reprosario128 @repsantiago130 in #Bridgeport for some serious door-knocking!". Twitter.
  154. "Medal of Honor recipient Paul Bucha of Ridgefield wants you to know his choice for governor. I am grateful beyond words". Ned Lamont on Facebook. Retrieved October 27, 2018.
  155. "With my good friend @NedLamont at his #Hartford headquarters running through #ElectionDay strategy. #VoteNed". Ted Kennedy Jr. on Twitter. November 5, 2018.
  156. Ned Lamont. "Thank you so much @donnabrazile for joining @SusanForCT and me in Hartford. Thank you for bringing your inspiring message to Connecticut. We will keep on speaking out, keep on fighting, and yes, we will VOTE!". Twitter.
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  165. "The Sierra Club of Connecticut has endorsed Susan and me, citing our "demonstrated commitment to protecting the environment."". Ned Lamont on Twitter. October 19, 2018. Retrieved October 21, 2018.
  166. "Newtown Action Alliance Endorses Ned Lamont for Governor of Connecticut". Newtown Action Alliance. October 23, 2018.
  167. "Everytown for Gun Safety Action Fund Endorses More Than 70 State and Federal Candidates". Everytown for Gun Safety. October 9, 2018. Retrieved October 25, 2018.
  168. "Without leadership at top, CT gun laws are at risk. @NedLamont as Governor will be champion for gun safety". Connecticut Against Gun Violence on Twitter. October 25, 2018.
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  170. "Editorial: The Courant Endorses Oz Griebel For Governor". Hartford Courant . October 28, 2018.
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Debates
Official gubernatorial campaign websites
Official lieutenant gubernatorial campaign websites