2012 United States presidential election in North Carolina

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2012 United States presidential election in North Carolina
Flag of North Carolina.svg
  2008 November 6, 2012 2016  
  Mitt Romney by Gage Skidmore 6 cropped.jpg President Barack Obama, 2012 portrait crop.jpg
Nominee Mitt Romney Barack Obama
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Massachusetts Illinois
Running mate Paul Ryan Joe Biden
Electoral vote150
Popular vote2,270,3952,178,391
Percentage50.39%48.35%

North Carolina Presidential Election Results 2012.svg
2012 United States presidential election in North Carolina results map by congressional district.svg
2012 NC Pres.svg

President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Barack Obama
Democratic

The 2012 United States presidential election in North Carolina took place on November 6, 2012, as part of the 2012 general election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. North Carolina voters chose 15 electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting incumbent Democratic President Barack Obama and his running mate, Vice President Joe Biden, against Republican challenger and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney and his running mate, Congressman Paul Ryan.

Contents

Romney narrowly carried the state of North Carolina, winning 50.39% of the vote to Obama's 48.35%, a margin of 2.04%. North Carolina was one of just two states (along with Indiana) that flipped from voting for Obama in 2008 to voting Republican in 2012. Like Indiana, North Carolina had been a reliably Republican state prior to Obama's 2008 win, having not previously gone Democratic since 1976. Unlike Indiana, however, North Carolina was still considered a competitive swing state in 2012, and both campaigns targeted it heavily, with the Democrats holding their convention in Charlotte. Romney was the first presidential candidate since Zachary Taylor in 1848 to carry North Carolina while losing both Wake County and Mecklenburg County, the two most populous counties and home to the cities of Raleigh and Charlotte, respectively. Romney also became the third-ever Republican to carry North Carolina without winning the presidency after George H. W. Bush and Bob Dole in the 1992 and 1996 elections and Obama became the first ever Democrat incumbent to win the state only once to then win re-election without it. Although Obama lost North Carolina to Romney, he received more votes than he received in 2008, garnering 35,740 more.

Obama became the first Democrat ever to win the presidency without Caswell and Hyde counties. As of the 2020 presidential election, this is the last time where the Republican presidential candidate won Watauga County; and where the Democratic presidential candidate won Bladen County, Gates County, Granville County, Martin County, Richmond County, and Robeson County. This is also the last time that any presidential candidate won the majority of the vote in North Carolina.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

The 2012 North Carolina Democratic primary was held May 8, 2012. North Carolina awarded 157 delegates proportionally. [1]

No candidate ran against incumbent President Barack Obama in North Carolina's Democratic presidential preference primary. Obama received 766,079 votes, or 79.23% of the vote, with the remainder (200,810 votes, or 20.77%) going to elect delegates with "No Preference". [1]

At the North Carolina Democratic state convention, 152 delegates were awarded to Obama, with 5 delegates remaining unannounced. [1]

Democratic primary election in North Carolina [2]
CandidateVotesPercentageAwarded delegates
Barack Obama (incumbent)766,07779.23%104
No Preference200,81020.77%0
Totals966,889100.00%104

Republican primary

The 2012 North Carolina Republican primary was held May 8, 2012. [3] [4] North Carolina awarded 55 delegates proportionally. [5] Ron Paul and Mitt Romney were the only active contenders on the ballot. By the time of the primary, Romney had already been declared the party's presumptive nominee. [6]

Romney won the North Carolina GOP presidential primary with 65.62% of the vote. Paul (with 11.12% of the vote) narrowly edged out Santorum (with 10.39% of the vote), and Gingrich came in last with 7.64% of the vote. 5.23% of voters registered "no preference". The awarded delegate count from North Carolina's Republican state convention was Romney with 48 delegates and Paul with 7 delegates. [5]

Republican primary election in North Carolina [5]
CandidateVotesPercentageAwarded delegates
Mitt Romney638,60165.62%48
Ron Paul108,21711.12%7
Rick Santorum (withdrawn)101,09310.39%
Newt Gingrich (withdrawn)74,3677.64%
No Preference50,9285.23%
Totals973,206100.00%55

General election

Polling

Statewide opinion polling for the 2012 United States presidential election

Throughout most of 2011, Obama won or tied with Romney in every poll. On September 25, 2011, Romney won a poll for the first time, 50% to 39%. Until May 2012, Obama had a consistent but narrow lead over Romney. Throughout the summer of 2012, the tide changed with Romney winning more polls than Obama. In September, Obama's momentum rose and Obama won most polls in September 2012. In October, the tide changed in Romney's favor, and Obama had not won a poll since October 1, 2012. Romney won every poll for the first three weeks in October, but then many polls came as tied between Obama and Romney. Romney led the last poll 50% to 46%, but the second last poll was tied. [7] The last three polls showed an average of Romney leading 49% to 48%, which was accurate compared to the results. [7]

Overview

2012 United States presidential election in North Carolina [8]
PartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
Republican Mitt Romney Paul Ryan 2,270,39550.39%15
Democratic Barack Obama Joe Biden 2,178,39148.35%0
Libertarian Gary Johnson Jim Gray 44,5150.99%0
Others (write-in)12,0710.27%0
Totals4,505,372100.00%15
Voter turnout (registered voters)67.74%
North Carolina 2012 presidential election by precinct North Carolina 2012 Presidential Election by Voting District.png
North Carolina 2012 presidential election by precinct

By county

CountyMitt Romney
Republican
Barack Obama
Democratic
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal
#%#%#%#%
Alamance 38,17056.32%28,87542.60%7311.08%9,29513.72%67,776
Alexander 12,25371.25%4,61126.81%3321.94%7,64244.44%17,196
Alleghany 3,39066.90%1,58331.24%941.86%1,80735.66%5,067
Anson 4,16637.01%7,01962.36%710.63%−2,853−25.35%11,256
Ashe 8,24265.36%4,11632.64%2522.00%4,12632.72%12,610
Avery 5,76674.31%1,88224.26%1111.43%3,88450.05%7,759
Beaufort 13,97759.17%9,43539.94%2080.89%4,54219.23%23,620
Bertie 3,38733.46%6,69566.14%410.40%−3,308−32.68%10,123
Bladen 7,74848.56%8,06250.52%1470.92%−314−1.96%15,957
Brunswick 34,74360.57%22,03838.42%5811.01%12,70522.15%57,362
Buncombe 54,70142.84%70,62555.31%2,3701.85%−15,924−12.47%127,696
Burke 22,26760.93%13,70137.49%5761.58%8,56623.44%36,544
Cabarrus 49,55759.30%32,84939.31%1,1601.39%16,70819.99%83,566
Caldwell 23,22966.88%10,89831.38%6051.74%12,33135.50%34,732
Camden 3,10966.09%1,50832.06%871.85%1,60134.03%4,704
Carteret 24,77569.76%10,30129.00%4411.24%14,47440.76%35,517
Caswell 5,59450.67%5,34848.45%970.88%2462.22%11,039
Catawba 44,53863.99%24,06934.58%9941.43%20,46929.41%69,601
Chatham 16,66547.03%18,36151.82%4081.15%−1,696−4.79%35,434
Cherokee 9,27872.11%3,37826.25%2111.64%5,90045.86%12,867
Chowan 3,89151.85%3,55647.38%580.77%3354.47%7,505
Clay 3,97370.42%1,57927.99%901.59%2,39442.43%5,642
Cleveland 25,79359.51%17,06239.37%4851.12%8,73120.14%43,340
Columbus 12,94153.38%11,05045.58%2521.04%1,8917.80%24,243
Craven 26,92858.32%18,76340.64%4791.04%8,16517.68%46,170
Cumberland 50,66639.69%75,79259.38%1,1830.93%−25,126−19.69%127,641
Currituck 7,49666.31%3,56231.51%2462.18%3,93434.80%11,304
Dare 10,24857.02%7,39341.13%3331.85%2,85515.89%17,974
Davidson 49,38369.62%20,62429.07%9281.31%28,75940.55%70,935
Davie 14,68771.05%5,73527.75%2481.20%8,95243.30%20,670
Duplin 11,41655.44%9,03343.87%1430.69%2,38311.57%20,592
Durham 33,76923.01%111,22475.80%1,7421.19%−77,455−52.79%146,735
Edgecombe 8,54631.68%18,31067.89%1160.43%−9,764−36.21%26,972
Forsyth 79,76845.83%92,32353.04%1,9781.13%−12,555−7.21%174,069
Franklin 14,60351.44%13,43647.33%3501.23%1,1674.11%28,389
Gaston 56,13862.04%33,17136.66%1,1741.30%22,96725.38%90,483
Gates 2,56447.52%2,78651.63%460.85%−222−4.11%5,396
Graham 2,75069.67%1,11928.35%781.98%1,63141.32%3,947
Granville 12,40547.21%13,59851.75%2721.04%−1,193−4.54%26,275
Greene 4,41153.56%3,77845.87%470.57%6337.69%8,236
Guilford 104,78941.28%146,36557.66%2,6981.06%−41,576−16.38%253,852
Halifax 8,76333.60%17,17665.86%1400.54%−8,413−32.26%26,079
Harnett 25,56558.89%17,33139.92%5191.19%8,23418.97%43,415
Haywood 15,63355.88%11,83342.30%5081.82%3,80013.58%27,974
Henderson 32,99462.98%18,64235.58%7561.44%14,35227.40%52,392
Hertford 3,00727.54%7,84371.84%680.62%−4,836−44.30%10,918
Hoke 6,81939.90%10,07658.96%1941.14%−3,257−19.06%17,089
Hyde 1,19350.06%1,16348.80%271.14%301.26%2,383
Iredell 49,29964.56%26,07634.15%9901.29%23,22330.41%76,365
Jackson 8,25449.42%8,09548.47%3522.11%1590.95%16,701
Johnston 48,42763.15%27,29035.58%9741.27%21,13727.57%76,691
Jones 2,83754.24%2,35244.97%410.79%4859.27%5,230
Lee 13,15854.28%10,80144.56%2801.16%2,3579.72%24,239
Lenoir 13,98049.78%13,94849.66%1580.56%320.12%28,086
Lincoln 25,26768.71%11,02429.98%4841.31%14,24338.73%36,775
Macon 10,83564.26%5,71233.88%3141.86%5,12330.38%16,861
Madison 5,40453.44%4,48444.34%2252.22%9209.10%10,113
Martin 5,99547.38%6,58352.03%740.59%−588−4.65%12,652
McDowell 11,77565.06%6,03133.32%2931.62%5,74431.74%18,099
Mecklenburg 171,66838.24%272,26260.65%4,9701.11%−100,594−22.41%448,900
Mitchell 5,80674.77%1,83823.67%1211.56%3,96851.10%7,765
Montgomery 6,40457.02%4,70641.90%1211.08%1,69815.12%11,231
Moore 29,49563.55%16,50535.56%4150.89%12,99027.99%46,415
Nash 23,84249.17%24,31350.14%3370.69%−471−0.97%48,492
New Hanover 53,38551.52%48,66846.96%1,5751.52%4,7174.56%103,628
Northampton 3,48332.38%7,23267.24%410.38%−3,749−34.86%10,756
Onslow 32,24362.69%18,49035.95%7021.36%13,75326.74%51,435
Orange 21,53928.06%53,90170.22%1,3171.72%−32,362−42.16%76,757
Pamlico 4,05159.91%2,64739.15%640.94%1,40420.76%6,762
Pasquotank 7,63342.15%10,28256.78%1921.07%−2,649−14.63%18,107
Pender 14,61759.60%9,63239.27%2781.13%4,98520.33%24,527
Perquimans 3,82257.46%2,75941.48%711.06%1,06315.98%6,652
Person 10,49654.94%8,41844.06%1921.00%2,07810.88%19,106
Pitt 36,21445.92%41,84353.06%7991.02%−5,629−7.14%78,856
Polk 6,23660.03%4,01338.63%1401.34%2,22321.40%10,389
Randolph 45,16074.38%14,77324.33%7821.29%30,38750.05%60,715
Richmond 9,33248.06%9,90451.01%1810.93%−572−2.95%19,417
Robeson 17,51040.77%24,98858.18%4481.05%−7,478−17.41%42,946
Rockingham 25,22760.04%16,35138.91%4421.05%8,87621.13%42,020
Rowan 38,77562.23%22,65036.35%8871.42%16,12525.88%62,312
Rutherford 18,95466.04%9,37432.66%3741.30%9,58033.38%28,702
Sampson 14,42255.10%11,56644.19%1860.71%2,85610.91%26,174
Scotland 5,83141.19%8,21558.03%1100.78%−2,384−16.84%14,156
Stanly 19,90469.31%8,43129.36%3821.33%11,47339.95%28,717
Stokes 15,23770.48%6,01827.84%3641.68%9,21942.64%21,619
Surry 19,92367.60%9,11230.92%4351.48%10,81136.68%29,470
Swain 2,97651.96%2,61845.71%1342.33%3586.25%5,728
Transylvania 9,63457.47%6,82640.72%3031.81%2,80816.75%16,763
Tyrrell 93052.16%83746.94%160.90%935.22%1,783
Union 61,10764.51%32,47334.28%1,1481.21%28,63430.23%94,728
Vance 7,42935.62%13,32363.89%1020.49%−5,894−28.27%20,854
Wake 211,59643.50%267,26254.94%7,5691.56%−55,666−11.44%486,427
Warren 3,14030.90%6,97868.67%440.43%−3,838−37.77%10,162
Washington 2,62240.34%3,83358.98%440.68%−1,211−18.64%6,499
Watauga 13,86150.09%13,00246.98%8112.93%8593.11%27,674
Wayne 27,64153.83%23,31445.40%3970.77%4,3278.43%51,352
Wilkes 20,51570.39%8,14827.96%4821.65%12,36742.43%29,145
Wilson 17,95445.91%20,87553.38%2800.71%−2,921−7.47%39,109
Yadkin 12,57874.81%3,95723.54%2781.65%8,62151.27%16,813
Yancey 5,27855.85%3,98142.12%1922.03%1,29713.73%9,451
Totals2,270,39550.39%2,178,39148.35%56,5861.26%92,0042.04%4,505,372
County flips:
Democratic
Hold
Gain from Republican
Republican
Hold
Gain from Democratic North Carolina County Flips 2012-fixed.svg
County flips:

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Romney won 10 of the state's 13 congressional districts, including one held by a Democrat.

DistrictRomneyObamaRepresentative
1st 27.88%71.60% G. K. Butterfield
2nd 57.26%41.71% Renee Ellmers
3rd 57.99%41.01% Walter B. Jones
4th 27.41%71.43% David Price
5th 59.06%39.77% Virginia Foxx
6th 57.65%41.34% Howard Coble
7th 59.24%39.86% Mike McIntyre
8th 58.06%41.00% Larry Kissell
Richard Hudson
9th 56.19%42.81% Sue Myrick
Robert Pittenger
10th 58.00%40.89% Patrick McHenry
11th 60.90%37.79% Heath Shuler
Mark Meadows
12th 20.79%78.54% Mel Watt
13th 55.45%43.53% Brad Miller
George Holding

See also

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